Saturday 06/13/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Big Al Mcmordie

At 4:10 pm, our member selection is on the New York Yankees over their cross-town rivals, the Mets. Last night, the Bronx Bombers had, perhaps, the luckiest win in franchise history. With two outs in the bottom of the 9th inning, the Yanks' Alex Rodriguez hit a pop fly to Luis Castillo. At the time, the Yankees were down 8-7, and had runners on 1st and 2nd. Thus, both runners were off at the crack of the bat. And, when Rodriguez made contact with the ball, it was such an obvious out that A-Rod slammed his bat to the ground, and broke it, before he half-heartedly jogged to 1st base. The 3-time Gold Glover Castillo moved into shallow right field and got under the high pop-up, but inexplicably dropped it, and allowed the Yankees who were stationed on 1st and 2nd to trot around with the game-tying and winning runs. When a team wins a game like that, it's definitely a "high," and when a team loses a game like that, it haunts them. That's not good news for the Mets this afternoon. Neither is the fact that righty Fernando Nieve will be making his first start since 2006. He will match up against southpaw Andy Pettitte, who is 8-4 lifetime vs. the Mets. Take the Yankees. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Gamehunter

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2009 Record: 252-237, +62.2649 Forschs
Friday: 6-2, +7.600 units

My heart goes out to anyone on the Mets yesterday!


ST. LOUIS +105 (2 UNITS)

UNDER DET/PITT 8.5 RUNS (-104) (1.75 UNITS)

WASHINGTON +150 (1.5 UNITS)

BALTIMORE -105 (1.5 UNITS)

SEATTLE 1ST 5 INNS +163 (1.5 UNITS)

METS +195 (1 UNIT)

PHILADELPHIA -115 (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER LAD/TEX 9.5 RUNS (-108) (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER OAK/SF 7.5 RUNS (-120) (1.5 UNITS)

OVER HOU/ARIZ 9.5 RUNS (+110) (1.5 UNITS)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jr Tips

SEATLLE vs. COLORADO

The Colorado Rockies are looking for a 10th straight victory tonight. Colorado (29-32) rallied from an early three-run deficit to win 6-4 in last night's opener. The Rockies catch a break by not having to face Seattle's ace Erik Bedard so former closer Brandon Morrow (0-3, 6.38) will make his first start since Sept. 26 after appearing in 16 games out of the bullpen this season for the Mariners (30-31). The right-hander, who is 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in five career starts, could be limited to around 60 pitches and he has never faced Colorado. The Rockies are batting .286 while outscoring opponents 61-24 during their nine-game streak. Colorado's starter Jason Marquis (8-4, 3.98) looks to build off another strong start for after giving up two runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 5-2 win over St. Louis on Monday.The right-hander is tied for the NL lead in wins as he is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in his last five starts. The Rockies are too hot for bullpen pitcher Marrow to have a chance plus they are only going to let him throw 60 pitchers before they turn to their bullpen which will be trouble against this potent Colorado offense.

TAKE COLORADO-110
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on St. Louis Cardinals -105

We'll back the Cards in Game 2 of this series as they are 6-1 in their last 7 game 2's. Plus, Thompson gives them an edge on the hill as they are 6-0 in his last 6 starts with 4 days of rest, 7-1 in his last 8 starts game 2's of a series, and 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a favorite. The Indians are 5-15 in their last 20 game 2's of a series, 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games, and 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Cards strike back this afternoon.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Ben Burns

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PICK: Pittsburgh Pirates

After knocking off the Braves in Atlanta, 3-1 on Thursday, the Pirates had the tables turned on them yesterday and lost by the same 3-1 score in the series opener vs. Detroit. Pittsburgh had won 6 of their first 10 games in June and have surprised many by playing some of their best ball this season AFTER the Nate McLouth trade. The Pirates still have a winning record (15-12) at home this season and I believe that they’ve got the right man on the mound to add another "W" to that record today.

Southpaw Zach Duke gets the ball for the Pirates and he had been on fire before struggling at Atlanta in his last start. Duke went into his start against the Braves having allowed two earned runs or less in six of his last eight starts. The Pirates southpaw also had lasted at least seven innings in seven of those eight outings. Indeed, Duke had been an effective workhorse for the Pirates staff and he'll look to quickly resume that role after the sub-par effort at Atlanta. Note that Duke has won three straight home starts and also that he’s never faced the Tigers in his career so many of Detroit’s hitters will be getting their first-ever look at the talented left-hander.

Like Duke, Armando Galarraga will have the advantage of starting against today's opponent for the first time. Unlike Duke, Galarraga has really struggled lately. After going 3-0 in April, he went 0-5 in May with an awful 8.49 ERA. While he has been better in June, he's still winless in his two June starts, going 0-1. Here's another notable stat about Galarraga that should be mentioned here. He’s 9-2 in day games in his career with a 2.86 ERA but 7-11 with a 4.95 ERA in night games. With the Pirates a perfect 6-0 their last six home games played on a Saturday, consider a play on Pittsburgh.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
John Ryan

St Louis Cardinals vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: St Louis Cardinals

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on St. Louis as they face Cleveland. ST. Louis is 41-24 (+15.8 Units) against the money line versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons; 19-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is just 8-19 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season; 5-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis bullpen is quite strong and performing well sporting a 3.33 ERA and a 1.296 WHIP in all road games spanning 81 IP. Cardinals starter Thompson is a vastly under rated starter. He throws 4 pitches well featuring a slider that he throws 20% of the time to RH batters. He uses a change very effectively to LH hitters and all hitters are batting 238 on that pitch. Take the Cardinals
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Rob Vinciletti

Houston Astros vs. Arizona D-Backs
Play Over 9

The Bonus Play for Saturday is over the total in the Houston-Arizona game at 8:10 eastern based on the system above that has cashed 7 of the last 9 times and averages nearly 11 runs per game.What we want to do is play the over when a team is a home dog off a home favored win and scored 5+ runs,provided the road team scored 2 runs or less and had 2 or less hits in the game.Arizona is a home dog and fits this solid system tonight.Other trends include,Arizona has gone over 5 of 7 times as a home dog this year,Pitcher J.Garland has gone over in 4 of his 5 home starts this year and in the series 5 of the last 7 in Arizona have gone over the total.On Saturday night I have an Interleague total of the month backed with another incredible angle.Plus a solid overall card,including off shore steam plays which are 4-1 this week.For the Bonus Play though I will back the over 9 runs tonight in the Houston-Arizona game bol RV.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
LT Profits

Kansas City Royals -1.5

The Kansas City Royals took the series opener here 4-1 last night as the Cincinnati Reds offense continues to hibernate, and we see value in playing against the Reds on the Run Line until they start to hit.

The Reds are batting a pathetic .193 as a team over their last 10 games including .188 vs. right-handers, averaging just 3.00 runs during this span. That is good news for Royals starter Kyle Davies, who has been very inconsistent nut can be dominant on one of his good days. Given the current state of the Cincinnati offense, today could easily be one of those good days.

Bronson Arroyo has also been inconsistent for the Reds, although it appears he has turns things around with three Quality Starts in his last four outings. However, all three of those quality efforts came at home, and the lone non-quality outing came on the road at St. Louis, where he was touched up for five earned runs on seven hits with two walks in 5.1 innings. He is facing a Kansas City offense that is coming around scoring 16 runs the last three games.

We are not usually fans of playing home favorite on the Run Line, but as long as the Reds offense will remain non-existent, we see the Royals building at least a two-run lead over the first eight innings. We then trust closer Joakim Soria, who has allowed just one hit in his last three games, not to allow a meaningless run in the ninth.

Pick: Royals -1.5
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
VEGAS EXPERTS

Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks

We find the D'backs off back-to-back wins, a real rarity considering the club's 7-19 mark this season when off a victory. Don't like their chances at three straight against Houston's Roy Oswalt, who has owned Arizona in his career with an 8-1 team start record and a 2.25 ERA. He'll be opposed by Jon Garland, who has been miserable over his last three starts with an 0-3 TSR and 8.80 ERA. Houston is due to beat Arizona.

Play on: Houston
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tom Freese

Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati is 6-2 their last 8 games vs. losing teams and they are 8-3 vs. AL Central teams. The Reds are are 6-1 with Bronson Arroyo vs. a team with a losing record and they are 5-2 their last 7 games with the Royals. Kansas City is 8-23 their last 31 games and they are 4-10 vs. righty starters. The Royals are 1-9 vs. an opponent that scored 2 or less runs in their last game and they are 0-6 in the last 6 starts made by Kyle Davies. PLAY ON CINCINNATI+ (Arroyo vs. Davies)
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,134,162
Messages
13,811,400
Members
104,086
Latest member
s666hncomm
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com