Saturday 06/13/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TONY WESTON

Tough loss last night as the Dodgers get blanked. That’s fine as we’re getting back on the winning track tonight and taking the Astros on the road at the Diamondbacks.
Despite last night’s loss in Game 1 of this series Houston has won 2 of its last 3 and is 8-4 its last 12 games overall.
The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have only 2 wins their last 5 games overall. At home, Arizona is 14-21 overall this season and the team only has 6 wins its last 17 games at Chase Field.
Taking the mound for Arizona will be Jon Garland, who has struggled mightily for the Diamondbacks lately. Arizona has lost each of Garland’s last 4 starts as he’s allowed 18 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings of work.
Garland will struggle again tonight as the Astros get over on the Diamondbacks. Take Houston on the road in this one tonight.

3♦ ASTROS (on a 1♦ - 5♦ Scale)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JAKE TIMLIN

Surviving last night for the home win I look for the Rays to have a bit of an easier time today.
Tough game for the Rays last night as they only won by one run, but despite the narrow victory given how bad Washington is it’s easy to back Tampa Bay today. You see for the Nationals with last night’s loss they continue to play like a triple A team having lost 24 of their last 30 games. Even worst numbers the Nationals only have 6 road wins and only 16 total wins over all on the season.
Meanwhile, for the Rays with last night’s win they climbed above the five hundred mark on the season and improved 19-12 at home.
Well thanks to playing at home and against the worst team in the league look for the Rays to fatten up on the Nationals here today.
Go with Tampa Bay at home.

1♦ Tampa Bay Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

For Saturday night, how can you argue what is going on with the Rockies right now?
Last night's win over Seattle pushed the Colorado winning streak to 9 in a row!
Tonight Jason Marquis and his 8-4 mark will toe the rubber at Coor's Field. True, Seattle hurler Erik Bedard has been rolling along, but you just get the feeling that the way the Rocks are playing right now, they will find a way to win this contest.
Colorado is closing in on the .500 mark for the season, while Seattle is still just 14-17 away from Safeco this year.
Can't buck this horse tonight, as the Rockies definitely have something brewing.
Take Colorado to extend the winning streak to 10 straight.

3♦ COLORADO

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

He won his 300th, threw less than 80 pitches and then came out on three days’ rest and was defeated by the Marlins. Let’s come back with Randy Johnson, who will work on his normal four days' rest for this Bay City rivalry. Hey, fact is, Johnson pitched respectably at Florida, tossing shutout ball in four of his five innings; problem was his lone lapse made a difference as he left one hanging for Brett Carroll, who drilled a three-run homer in a 4-0 Giants defeat.
Not to worry, as he’s 4-2 at home with a 4.24 ERA, and should be pumped to face the organization’s crosstown rival. I admit, I’m a big fan of Josh Outman – I think he’s Oakland’s best rookie in that young staff – but The Big Unit is my choice tonight, as he avenges his loss to the Fish.

1♦ GIANTS (LIST Johnson)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Fina
June 13, 2009

Selection: Cincinnati Reds (-105)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

The Royals have been fading fast in the A.L. Central standings, going from the top of the group five weeks ago to the bottom of the division now. They've only won eight games in five weeks as they've gone 8-23 since May 7 with a .233 batting average and team ERA of 4.84.
Things aren't getting better tonight when they have to face Cincinnati's Bronson Arroyo (7-4, 5.00 ERA). Arroyo has a 2.79 ERA in three career starts against Kansas City and he gave up three runs and five hits on Sunday against the Cubs, but the Reds lost 6-3 in 11 innings.
The Royals go with Kyle Davies (2-6, 5.13 ERA) who is on a five-game losing streak. He had some bad luck on Sunday when he went up against Roy Halladay. Davies threw a complete game and gave up four runs and nine hits in eight innings. He hasn't notched a win since April 30.
Kansas City got the win Friday night, beating Cincinnati 4-1, but that isn't happening two times in a row. Kansas City is just 2-6 in its last eight games as a home favorite and 4-10 against right-handed pitching.
The Reds are on runs of 8-3 against the A.L. Central and 6-2 against teams with a losing record. Look for the Reds to get some offense tonight and win this one with ease. Play Cincinnati.

3♦ CINCINNATI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Templer's Sports Picks

MLB 6/13/2009 at 1:05:00 PM
Minnesota/tbd at Chi Cubs/tbd


Chi Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

Seattle -110 over Colorado (MLB)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Black Cobra

MLB 6/13/2009 at 1:07:00 PM
Florida/Sean West at Toronto/Casey Janssen


Toronto

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

USA Sports Consulting
Brian Smith

MLB
6/13/2009 ST LOUIS CARDINALS -101

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Take ST LOUIS (Thompson) +105 over Cleveland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Platinum Plays

MLB: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - 110 Over the Boston Red Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIKE WYNN

MLB
Philly w/Bastardo -110 Over Boston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Boston Red Sox/Philadelphia Phillies over 9 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

SATURDAY: Take CINCINNATI (Arroyo) Pick'em over Kansas City

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

High Stakes Syndicate

Saturday: Los Angeles Dodgers + 115

 

[goldencontender]

Saturtday comp total with system

SU: 4-5 (-0.7 rpg) average line: +120 / -132 on / against: +$25 / -$75 ROI: +2.8% / -6.2%
O/U: 7-2-0 (2.1 rpg) average total: 8.8 over / under: +$485 / -$585 ROI: +43.7% / -52.9%

Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Grounders Fly Balls Team left on base
Team: 5.1 9.8 0.67 4.3 7.7 9.6 9.2 8.7
Opp: 5.8 9.3 1.44 3.6 7.6 10.9 9.1 7.1
Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors Line Total Innings
view 08-13-2004 home Nationals Rauch - R Astros Clemens - R 6-5 1 W 3.0 O 11-7 0-0 170 8.0 10+
view 06-04-2006 home Dodgers Sele - R Phillies Myers - R 4-6 -2 L 1.0 O 9-10 1-2 120 9.0 9
view 08-16-2006 home Nationals Traber - L Braves Smoltz - R 9-6 3 W 6.5 O 12-9 1-1 150 8.5 9
view 08-22-2006 home Giants Cain - R Diamondbacks Webb - R 7-6 1 W 5.0 O 9-13 0-2 100 8.0 9
view 05-17-2007 home Phillies Garcia - R Brewers Sheets - R 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 6-9 0-1 115 8.5 9
view 07-28-2007 home Cardinals Reyes - R Brewers Capuano - L 7-6 1 W 3.5 O 12-8 1-1 105 9.5 9
view 06-01-2008 home Mariners Batista - R Tigers Bonderman - R 5-7 -2 L 3.0 O 15-10 0-1 130 9.0 9
view 07-12-2008 home Blue Jays Litsch - R Yankees Rasner - R 4-9 -5 L 3.5 O 7-11 2-2 105 9.5 9
view 04-19-2009 home Astros Paulino - R Reds Volquez - R 2-4 -2 L -3.0 U 7-7 1-3 110 9.0 9
06-13-2009 home Diamondbacks Garland - R Astros Oswalt - R 100 9.0
The Bonus Play for Saturday is over the total in the Houston-Arizona game at 8:10 eastern based on the system above that has cashed 7 of the last 9 times and averages nearly 11 runs per game.What we want to do is play the over when a team is a home dog off a home favored win and scored 5+ runs,provided the road team scored 2 runs or less and had 2 or less hits in the game.Arizona is a home dog and fits this solid system tonight.Other trends include,Arizona has gone over 5 of 7 times as a home dog this year,Pitcher J.Garland has gone over in 4 of his 5 home starts this year and in the series 5 of the last 7 in Arizona have gone over the total.Take the over a Sturdays comp play bol GC-

 

[whitelightning]

Templer's Sports Picks

MLB 6/13/2009 at 1:05:00 PM
Minnesota at Chi Cubs


Chi Cubs

 

[whitelightning]

Insider Sports Report

Seattle -110 over Colorado (MLB)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

The Marlins won last night in Toronto and are 4-7 in their last 11 road games. Florida is 6-17 in their last 23 games an underdog. The Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games. The Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 24 home games the Jays are 16-8. In their last 65 home games vs. a left-handed starter the Jays are 44-21. Toronto has been solid at home this season and will take another one today. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.