Running dogs 2018-2019

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I think these should be the plays. This is from the original premise.
N ill
Utep
E Mich
Marshall
Kent st
N Texas
Hawaii
T tech
UCLA
V tech
Ariz st
Wash st
C Mich
Cinn

Ark
Miss
Still trying to figure this out game by game. How is E.Mich a running dog. The stats I brought up they are horrible against the run and can’t run. Correct me if I’m wrong.
 
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Still trying to figure this out game by game. How is E.Mich a running dog. The stats I brought up they are horrible against the run and can’t run. Correct me if I’m wrong.

Exactly. The team stats I used to calculate, go off YPG. So there's no way Eastern Michigan, with a 112th rushing offense and #110 rushing defense, is the running dog vs Liberty.

My list is accurate for the teams with both a better rushing offense + defense, which is sorted by YPG, than the favorite
 
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Net rushing per game

It has to be better rushing offense and defense. I don't think this average of the two is accurate. You could have a team with a great rushing defense but a horrible rushing offense (Miss St, last in country) perhaps qualifying over an opponent.

Uab and BYU split the categories
Same for UTEP and Fresno
 
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North Texas
Hawaii
Air Force
SMU
Clemson
Central Mich
Oklahoma St

I think that is the list. Not a pretty one

All of these teams have both a better rushing offense AND a better rushing defense than the favorite. In terms of YPG which is what NCAA uses to calculate their team ranking statistics
 

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UAB
N TEXAS
UCLA
TT
AIR FORCE
CMU
CINCY*
UTAH
OK STATE
SMU*


Also: WMU, Mich St, K State, Baylor, Clemson, Miami FL all would have qualified but are no longer dogs.

*Vs P-5 opponent
 

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N Ill 5.1-3.9= 1.2
CCar 5.7-5.7=0

N Ill was +1.2 and a dog. I'm just going off what was originally in this thread.

You are close. You need to compare the team's average offensive and defensive ypc vs. what its regular season opponents averaged.

CC gained 0.86 more ypc than its opponents' allowed and allowed 0.05 less ypc than its opponents' gained. Net 0.91.

UNI gained 0.65 more ypc than its opponents' allowed and allowed 1.35 more ypc than its opponents' gained. Net -0.68.

UNI is not a running dog under the system GS shared years ago.
 

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SMU is +2.65 compared to UVA. That is the third highest since 2013. Teams +2 or greater are 5-1 ATS since 2013. Oddly enough the 1 loss was the highest ever. But they are vs. a P5 this year and are without a head coach.
 
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thanks for chiming in! So it looks like the difference is not finding teams that have BOTH the better rushing O and D than opponent, but the team that has the better average of the two. As the ones that you have, that I skipped, all have a better average (team rushing rankings O + D). Interesting on that concept. I have played this system in the past with you, so good luck.
 

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UAB
N TEXAS
UCLA
TT
AIR FORCE
CMU
CINCY*
UTAH
OK STATE
SMU*


Also: WMU, Mich St, K State, Baylor, Clemson, Miami FL all would have qualified but are no longer dogs.

*Vs P-5 opponent
Thank you for clarifying the system.
 
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You are close. You need to compare the team's average offensive and defensive ypc vs. what its regular season opponents averaged.

CC gained 0.86 more ypc than its opponents' allowed and allowed 0.05 less ypc than its opponents' gained. Net 0.91.

UNI gained 0.65 more ypc than its opponents' allowed and allowed 1.35 more ypc than its opponents' gained. Net -0.68.

UNI is not a running dog under the system GS shared years ago.

Why doesn't Hawaii qualify? B/c of their FCS game vs Portland State? They have the 84th best rushing O vs Memphis's 91st. 73rd best rushing defense vs Memphis's 90th.
 

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Why doesn't Hawaii qualify? B/c of their FCS game vs Portland State? They have the 84th best rushing O vs Memphis's 91st. 73rd best rushing defense vs Memphis's 90th.
Hawaii is a running dog, but their QB/RB is out. So it depends on how confident you feel about their backups.
 

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Hawaii is a running dog, but their QB/RB is out. So it depends on how confident you feel about their backups.
GoSooners......hope all is well with you and family buddy....just wanted to say hello....indy
 
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Hawaii is a running dog, but their QB/RB is out. So it depends on how confident you feel about their backups.

Gotcha. So it's a real play as I thought and had, but NoCoke didn't list it. Odd.

I remember you saying to factor in important variables such as players out or strength of schedule. Thanks for chiming in. Miss seeing your posts
 

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GoSooners......hope all is well with you and family buddy....just wanted to say hello....indy
Hey buddy, good to hear from you. All is well with the family. I have to come back every now and then and peak my nose in. The place sure has changed from the old days. I don't recognize many of these new playas...But it looks like there are still some pretty football savvy people in the house. Glad they still got the running dogs system going. My website partner is the one who started the whole thing here. We've been living and dying by it ever since. But it's the most fundamentally solid system out there imo. Good luck this season Indy!
 

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Gotcha. So it's a real play as I thought and had, but NoCoke didn't list it. Odd.

I remember you saying to factor in important variables such as players out or strength of schedule. Thanks for chiming in. Miss seeing your posts
Yep, there are some general rules you have to follow with the system, such as being careful when your dog is going up in class. I know these player defections can be a pain in the ass, and we'll see how it plays out. But my hunch is it's not going to make as much difference in these bowls games as people think. But I could be wrong!
 

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