But I think that what people are failing to realize is that the plays that I made, I made for value's sake, not necessarily because I thought they had the best chance to win. It's like the old gambling proverb indicating that if you could get +150 on a coin flip, you would jump all over it, right? Well, that doesn't mean that you necesarily think that it is more likely to hit than the other side. It comes down to this.
Do I think that Zellwegger has a better than 16% chance of winning? You bet I do. I would put her chances right now AT LEAST at 40%, maybe higher than that, making this a HUGE overlay.
Do I think that Walker has a better than 10% chance of winning? Nobody would argue that he doesn't. I would put his chances AT LEAST at 30%, and probably higher than that following his SAG and BAFTA wins.
That's all she wrote, folks.
Good luck.
JP
Do I think that Zellwegger has a better than 16% chance of winning? You bet I do. I would put her chances right now AT LEAST at 40%, maybe higher than that, making this a HUGE overlay.
Do I think that Walker has a better than 10% chance of winning? Nobody would argue that he doesn't. I would put his chances AT LEAST at 30%, and probably higher than that following his SAG and BAFTA wins.
That's all she wrote, folks.
Good luck.
JP