Tampa Bay has won 12 of its last 13 games.
Philadelphia has gone UNDER the point total in 13 of its last 17 home games.
Tampa Bay has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games when facing the NFC East.
Antonio Brown has scored a TD in four straight games when playing on a Thursday.
The point total has gone OVER in three straight meetings.
NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, October 14
Philadelphia has gone UNDER the point total in 13 of its last 17 home games.
Tampa Bay has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games when facing the NFC East.
Antonio Brown has scored a TD in four straight games when playing on a Thursday.
The point total has gone OVER in three straight meetings.
NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, October 14
NFL OCTOBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........16-13-00 ..........55.17%...........+ 8.50
O/U Picks ........08-16-00 ..........33.33%...........- 48.00
Totals..............24-29-00...........45.28%...........- 39.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........14-11-00............. 56.00% .............+ 9.50
O/U Picks...........06-15-00..............28.57%..............-52.50
Totals................20-26-00...............43.18%..............-43.00
UPDATED ON 10/14/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........16-13-00 ..........55.17%...........+ 8.50
O/U Picks ........08-16-00 ..........33.33%...........- 48.00
Totals..............24-29-00...........45.28%...........- 39.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........14-11-00............. 56.00% .............+ 9.50
O/U Picks...........06-15-00..............28.57%..............-52.50
Totals................20-26-00...............43.18%..............-43.00
UPDATED ON 10/14/2021
Gridiron Angles - Week 6
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Steelers are 12-0 ATS since 2019 coming off a home game where they scored at least 20 points.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Cincinnati at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Lions are 0-11 ATS since December 2016 coming off a game as a road dog that went under the total by at least five points.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Seahawks are 7-0 OU since November 2018 as an underdog when the total is under 52.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Dallas at New England (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Patriots are 0-13 OU since December 2016 coming off a game as a road favorite where they failed to cover.
Super System of the Week
Matchup: Miami vs. Jacksonville from London (9:30 a.m. ET)
-- Favorites are 27-11-1 ATS in regular season neutral site (international) games. Active on Miami.
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Steelers are 12-0 ATS since 2019 coming off a home game where they scored at least 20 points.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Cincinnati at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Lions are 0-11 ATS since December 2016 coming off a game as a road dog that went under the total by at least five points.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Seahawks are 7-0 OU since November 2018 as an underdog when the total is under 52.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Dallas at New England (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Patriots are 0-13 OU since December 2016 coming off a game as a road favorite where they failed to cover.
Super System of the Week
Matchup: Miami vs. Jacksonville from London (9:30 a.m. ET)
-- Favorites are 27-11-1 ATS in regular season neutral site (international) games. Active on Miami.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
GB at CHI 01:00 PM
CHI +5.5
U 44.0
+500 +500
MIN at CAR 01:00 PM
MIN -2.5
O 45.5
+500 +500
LAR at NYG 01:00 PM
NYG +7.5
U 49.5
+500 +500
CIN at DET 01:00 PM
DET +4.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
LAC at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL -3.0
O 50.5
+500 +500
KC at WAS 01:00 PM
KC -6.0
O 54.0
+500 +500
HOU at IND 01:00 PM
HOU +11.5
O 45.0
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
GB at CHI 01:00 PM
CHI +5.5
U 44.0
+500 +500
MIN at CAR 01:00 PM
MIN -2.5
O 45.5
+500 +500
LAR at NYG 01:00 PM
NYG +7.5
U 49.5
+500 +500
CIN at DET 01:00 PM
DET +4.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
LAC at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL -3.0
O 50.5
+500 +500
KC at WAS 01:00 PM
KC -6.0
O 54.0
+500 +500
HOU at IND 01:00 PM
HOU +11.5
O 45.0
+500 +500
NFL OCTOBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........21-19-00 ..........52.50%...........+ 0.50
O/U Picks ........13-21-01 ..........38.23%...........- 50.50
Totals..............34-40-01...........45.94%...........- 50.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........19-13-00............. 59.37% .............+23.50
O/U Picks...........10-19-00..............34.48%..............- 54.50
Totals................29-32-00...............47.54%..............- 31.00
UPDATED ON 10/17/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........21-19-00 ..........52.50%...........+ 0.50
O/U Picks ........13-21-01 ..........38.23%...........- 50.50
Totals..............34-40-01...........45.94%...........- 50.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........19-13-00............. 59.37% .............+23.50
O/U Picks...........10-19-00..............34.48%..............- 54.50
Totals................29-32-00...............47.54%..............- 31.00
UPDATED ON 10/17/2021
Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Raiders +5 (ML +185) at Broncos, 34-24
Cardinals +3 (ML +125) at Browns, 37-14
Jaguars +3 (ML +135) vs. Dolphins (London), 23-20
The largest favorites to cover
Colts (-11.5) vs. Texans, 31-3
Rams (-7.5) at Giants, 38-11
Chiefs (-6.5) at Washington, 31-13
Packers (-5.5) at Bears, 24-14
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The Dallas Cowboys-New England Patriots game was very exciting in Sunday's late window. The Patriots (+4, ML +175) held a slim 21-20 lead, and that's the way it looked like it might end. All the Patriots needed to do was get a first down or two to salt things away. UNDER (50.5) bettors were also feeling very good with just under three minutes to go in regulation.
With just 2:27 to go, rookie QB Mac Jones was picked off by CB Trevon Diggs, who beat his fellow Alabama alumnus for the interception and a subsequent 42-yard return for touchdown. For the first time all day the Cowboys were covering, even after misfiring on the two-point conversion. Just 16 seconds later, Jones bounced right back, hitting WR Kendrick Bourne for his first catch of the day. Bourne did the rest, taking it to the end zone for a 75-yard score. The Pats also hit the two-point conversion, and they led 29-26. And just like that, the UNDER was gone.
Not to be outdone, QB Dak Prescott drove the Cowboys into Patriots territory and set up the game-tying field goal from 49 yards out. PK Greg Zuerlein sent the game to overtime, knotting things up at 29.
In the overtime session, Prescott threw a dart to WR CeeDee Lamb for his second touchdown of the day. The 35-yard score helped the Cowboys to the win, and the unfortunate non-cover for the Patriots.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Miami Dolphins opened the season with a 17-16 road win against the New England Patriots in Week 1, and things were looking up. They ended up losing QB Tua Tagovailoa to injury, and a four-game losing skid ensued. They got their franchise quarterback into the lineup for Sunday's game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, and they were facing the winless Jacksonville Jaguars. They'd surely get back on track, right?
Well, things started off well enough for the Dolphins. They fired out to a 13-3 lead before the Jaguars cut the lead to 13-10 right before halftime.
The Jags picked up right where they left off, as RB James Robinson punched one in from a yard out, giving the Jaguars their first lead of the day. It stayed that way until the fourth quarter, when rookie WR Jaylen Waddle hauled in his second touchdown of the day, as the Alabama connection was working overseas. The Dolphins led 20-17 late into the fourth quarter, but the pesky Jaguars were determined to get that first win.
PK Matthew Wright nailed one from 54 yards out to tie things up 20-20 with 3:40 to go, and then Wright bagged the game-winning field goal with zeroes on the clock from 53 yards away. The Jags, head coach Urban Meyer and rookie QB Trevor Lawrence, picked up their first win of the season, and the franchise snapped a 20-game losing streak in the process. If you laid the points with the Dolphins, or just bet the money line, it was a rough finish.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 6 was in the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Pittsburgh Steelers (43). We had a scoreless first quarter, and the Seattle offense was moribund in the first half with backup QB Geno Smith starting in place of the injured QB Russell Wilson (finger). Smith and the Seahawks came alive in the second half. We had 31 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter, and just 34 total points with under two to play. However, a 52-yard field goal by Chris Boswell put the home side up 20-17. Smith miraculously led the Seahawks down the field for the game-tying field goal, tying it 20-20 to force overtime. DE T.J. Watt forced a fumble on a sack, jarring the ball loose deep in Seattle territory. Boswell knocked it through from 37 yards, and after all of that, we had a push.
The next lowest total was in the Green Bay Packers-Chicago Bears (44) game, and the UNDER was never in doubt. We had just 17 points on the board at the break, and 24 total points through 45 minutes.
The highest total was in the Kansas City Chiefs-Washington Football Game (54), but things never really got off the ground for OVER bettors. The Chiefs did their part, even after committing their NFL-high 14th turnover. Washington is to blame, however, going scoreless in the final 30 minutes.
The second-highest total was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Philadelphia Eagles (53) game, and we had a total of 50 points in that one. The game started off quick enough, as we had a total of 21 points in the first quarter. There were 42 total points through three quarters, but then things grinded to a halt.
So in the primetime games, the UNDER is 1-0-1 with the Buffalo Bills-Tennessee Titans (53.5) still pending. That's now 9-6-1 (60.0%) through 16 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 7
New York Jets at New England Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Jets (1-4) travel to meet the Patriots (2-4) for the second and final meeting of the season. New England traveled to MetLife Stadium and picked up a 25-6 win in Week 2, as Jones outdueled fellow rookie QB Zach Wilson. New England covered a 5.5-point number as the UNDER (43.5) connected.
The Jets are coming off a bye, so they'll have two weeks to prepare for the Pats this time around. New York enters 1-4 ATS in the past five outings, with the OVER hitting in the past two. New York is also 5-15 ATS in the past 20 against AFC East teams.
The Patriots have also hit the OVER in the past two, and they're also 2-4 ATS. New England has picked up the pace offensively, going for 27.0 PPG across the past two outings.
New England is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six home meetings with New York, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Bengals (4-2) and Ravens (5-1) tangle in Charm City, and Cincinnati has a shot to work its way into first place in the AFC North with a victory.
Cincinnati worked over Detroit 34-11 in the Motor City, covering as 3.5-point favorites on the road. The UNDER has cashed in five straight games for the Bengals. The Bengals have played just one game inside the division this season, winning on the road and covering as 2.5-point 'dogs at Pittsburgh in Week 3.
The Ravens have won five consecutive games, including a convincing 34-6 win against the Los Angeles Chargers in a marquee game on Sunday. Baltimore has alternated non-covers and covers in each of its six games to date. The UNDER is 3-1 in the past four for Baltimore.
Cincinnati has cashed in five of the past seven meetings in Baltimore, while the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series.
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Lions (0-6) and Rams (5-1) got together and swapped quarterbacks this past offseason. L.A. has QB Matthew Stafford, and he has excelled in his new home. QB Jared Goff, well, let's just say he has struggled a bit in his new surroundings, and head coach Dan Campbell expects more.
It's a revenge game, so perhaps Goff will bring it in front of what might be a bit of a hostile crowd. Perhaps that will get him going. And perhaps the Lions defense will use facing Stafford as some sort of motivation.
The Rams are favored by more than two touchdowns, and the Lions are 3-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 7.5 or more points.
The Lions are 4-9 ATS in the past 13 as a road underdog, and they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. The Rams are 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 as a home favorite.
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
We get another revenge game, as Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins gets a shot at the team which traded him. And while Texans RB David Johnson has a reserve role these days, perhaps he'll get more touches in his old stomping grounds.
The Texans have dropped five straight since a Week 1 win against the Jaguars. They have also covered just once in the past four outings, with the UNDER going 3-1 during the span.
The Cardinals worked over a good Cleveland Browns team in their building, with Arizona winning 37-14 as 3-point underdogs. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in the past four, and 5-1 ATS overall. Arizona's only non-cover came in one of its two home games, with the OVER/UNDER splitting 1-1.
Joe Williams
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Raiders +5 (ML +185) at Broncos, 34-24
Cardinals +3 (ML +125) at Browns, 37-14
Jaguars +3 (ML +135) vs. Dolphins (London), 23-20
The largest favorites to cover
Colts (-11.5) vs. Texans, 31-3
Rams (-7.5) at Giants, 38-11
Chiefs (-6.5) at Washington, 31-13
Packers (-5.5) at Bears, 24-14
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The Dallas Cowboys-New England Patriots game was very exciting in Sunday's late window. The Patriots (+4, ML +175) held a slim 21-20 lead, and that's the way it looked like it might end. All the Patriots needed to do was get a first down or two to salt things away. UNDER (50.5) bettors were also feeling very good with just under three minutes to go in regulation.
With just 2:27 to go, rookie QB Mac Jones was picked off by CB Trevon Diggs, who beat his fellow Alabama alumnus for the interception and a subsequent 42-yard return for touchdown. For the first time all day the Cowboys were covering, even after misfiring on the two-point conversion. Just 16 seconds later, Jones bounced right back, hitting WR Kendrick Bourne for his first catch of the day. Bourne did the rest, taking it to the end zone for a 75-yard score. The Pats also hit the two-point conversion, and they led 29-26. And just like that, the UNDER was gone.
Not to be outdone, QB Dak Prescott drove the Cowboys into Patriots territory and set up the game-tying field goal from 49 yards out. PK Greg Zuerlein sent the game to overtime, knotting things up at 29.
In the overtime session, Prescott threw a dart to WR CeeDee Lamb for his second touchdown of the day. The 35-yard score helped the Cowboys to the win, and the unfortunate non-cover for the Patriots.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Miami Dolphins opened the season with a 17-16 road win against the New England Patriots in Week 1, and things were looking up. They ended up losing QB Tua Tagovailoa to injury, and a four-game losing skid ensued. They got their franchise quarterback into the lineup for Sunday's game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, and they were facing the winless Jacksonville Jaguars. They'd surely get back on track, right?
Well, things started off well enough for the Dolphins. They fired out to a 13-3 lead before the Jaguars cut the lead to 13-10 right before halftime.
The Jags picked up right where they left off, as RB James Robinson punched one in from a yard out, giving the Jaguars their first lead of the day. It stayed that way until the fourth quarter, when rookie WR Jaylen Waddle hauled in his second touchdown of the day, as the Alabama connection was working overseas. The Dolphins led 20-17 late into the fourth quarter, but the pesky Jaguars were determined to get that first win.
PK Matthew Wright nailed one from 54 yards out to tie things up 20-20 with 3:40 to go, and then Wright bagged the game-winning field goal with zeroes on the clock from 53 yards away. The Jags, head coach Urban Meyer and rookie QB Trevor Lawrence, picked up their first win of the season, and the franchise snapped a 20-game losing streak in the process. If you laid the points with the Dolphins, or just bet the money line, it was a rough finish.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 6 was in the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Pittsburgh Steelers (43). We had a scoreless first quarter, and the Seattle offense was moribund in the first half with backup QB Geno Smith starting in place of the injured QB Russell Wilson (finger). Smith and the Seahawks came alive in the second half. We had 31 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter, and just 34 total points with under two to play. However, a 52-yard field goal by Chris Boswell put the home side up 20-17. Smith miraculously led the Seahawks down the field for the game-tying field goal, tying it 20-20 to force overtime. DE T.J. Watt forced a fumble on a sack, jarring the ball loose deep in Seattle territory. Boswell knocked it through from 37 yards, and after all of that, we had a push.
The next lowest total was in the Green Bay Packers-Chicago Bears (44) game, and the UNDER was never in doubt. We had just 17 points on the board at the break, and 24 total points through 45 minutes.
The highest total was in the Kansas City Chiefs-Washington Football Game (54), but things never really got off the ground for OVER bettors. The Chiefs did their part, even after committing their NFL-high 14th turnover. Washington is to blame, however, going scoreless in the final 30 minutes.
The second-highest total was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Philadelphia Eagles (53) game, and we had a total of 50 points in that one. The game started off quick enough, as we had a total of 21 points in the first quarter. There were 42 total points through three quarters, but then things grinded to a halt.
So in the primetime games, the UNDER is 1-0-1 with the Buffalo Bills-Tennessee Titans (53.5) still pending. That's now 9-6-1 (60.0%) through 16 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 7
New York Jets at New England Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Jets (1-4) travel to meet the Patriots (2-4) for the second and final meeting of the season. New England traveled to MetLife Stadium and picked up a 25-6 win in Week 2, as Jones outdueled fellow rookie QB Zach Wilson. New England covered a 5.5-point number as the UNDER (43.5) connected.
The Jets are coming off a bye, so they'll have two weeks to prepare for the Pats this time around. New York enters 1-4 ATS in the past five outings, with the OVER hitting in the past two. New York is also 5-15 ATS in the past 20 against AFC East teams.
The Patriots have also hit the OVER in the past two, and they're also 2-4 ATS. New England has picked up the pace offensively, going for 27.0 PPG across the past two outings.
New England is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six home meetings with New York, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Bengals (4-2) and Ravens (5-1) tangle in Charm City, and Cincinnati has a shot to work its way into first place in the AFC North with a victory.
Cincinnati worked over Detroit 34-11 in the Motor City, covering as 3.5-point favorites on the road. The UNDER has cashed in five straight games for the Bengals. The Bengals have played just one game inside the division this season, winning on the road and covering as 2.5-point 'dogs at Pittsburgh in Week 3.
The Ravens have won five consecutive games, including a convincing 34-6 win against the Los Angeles Chargers in a marquee game on Sunday. Baltimore has alternated non-covers and covers in each of its six games to date. The UNDER is 3-1 in the past four for Baltimore.
Cincinnati has cashed in five of the past seven meetings in Baltimore, while the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series.
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Lions (0-6) and Rams (5-1) got together and swapped quarterbacks this past offseason. L.A. has QB Matthew Stafford, and he has excelled in his new home. QB Jared Goff, well, let's just say he has struggled a bit in his new surroundings, and head coach Dan Campbell expects more.
It's a revenge game, so perhaps Goff will bring it in front of what might be a bit of a hostile crowd. Perhaps that will get him going. And perhaps the Lions defense will use facing Stafford as some sort of motivation.
The Rams are favored by more than two touchdowns, and the Lions are 3-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 7.5 or more points.
The Lions are 4-9 ATS in the past 13 as a road underdog, and they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. The Rams are 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 as a home favorite.
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
We get another revenge game, as Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins gets a shot at the team which traded him. And while Texans RB David Johnson has a reserve role these days, perhaps he'll get more touches in his old stomping grounds.
The Texans have dropped five straight since a Week 1 win against the Jaguars. They have also covered just once in the past four outings, with the UNDER going 3-1 during the span.
The Cardinals worked over a good Cleveland Browns team in their building, with Arizona winning 37-14 as 3-point underdogs. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in the past four, and 5-1 ATS overall. Arizona's only non-cover came in one of its two home games, with the OVER/UNDER splitting 1-1.
NFL OCTOBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........22-19-00 ..........53.65%...........+ 5.50
O/U Picks ........13-22-01 ..........37.14%...........- 56.00
Totals..............35-41-01...........46.05%...........- 50.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........20-13-00............. 60.60% .............+28.50
O/U Picks...........10-20-00..............33.33%..............- 60.00
Totals................30-33-00...............47.61%..............- 31.50
UPDATED ON 10/18/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........22-19-00 ..........53.65%...........+ 5.50
O/U Picks ........13-22-01 ..........37.14%...........- 56.00
Totals..............35-41-01...........46.05%...........- 50.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........20-13-00............. 60.60% .............+28.50
O/U Picks...........10-20-00..............33.33%..............- 60.00
Totals................30-33-00...............47.61%..............- 31.50
UPDATED ON 10/18/2021
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse in the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.
CAROLINA is 39-19 ATS (18.1 Units) in road games vs. bad defenses (>24 PPG) since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games
ATLANTA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (16.3 Units) after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game
DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS are 16-46 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.
CHICAGO is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game since 1992.
HOUSTON is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.
CAROLINA is 39-19 ATS (18.1 Units) in road games vs. bad defenses (>24 PPG) since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games
ATLANTA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (16.3 Units) after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game
DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS are 16-46 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.
CHICAGO is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game since 1992.
HOUSTON is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 7
Thursday game
Denver (3-3) @ Cleveland (3-3)
— Denver lost last three games, outscored 51-20 in first half.
— Two of their three wins were against a rookie QB.
— Denver has one takeaway in last three games (-5).
— Last three years, Denver is 11-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 16-62 third down plays.
— Four of six Denver games stayed under the total.
— Strangely, this is first time this year Broncos are an underdog.
— Browns lost last two games, giving up 47-37 points.
— Browns are banged up and on a short week, tough combination.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Browns gave up 21 or fewer points in wins, 32-47-37 in losses.
— Cleveland is 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— Last two games, opponents converted 14-25 third down plays.
— AFC North home favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Denver won eight of last nine series games.
— Browns won last three visits here, by 10-4-3 points; last visit was 2015.
— Cleveland won last meeting, 17-16 in Denver, in 2018.
— Last three series games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Sunday games
Cincinnati (4-2) @ Baltimore (5-1)
— Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
— Bengals have had a TD play of 31+ yards in all six games.
— Cincy outscored last four opponents 66-30 in 2nd half.
— Last three years, Bengals are 8-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Cincy’s two losses were both by three points.
— Last five Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore won last four games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
— Four of their six games were decided by 1 or 2 points, or in OT.
— Last 6+ years, Ravens are 18-22-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last 2+ years, Ravens are 17-9-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Last four years, Ravens are 4-8 ATS in AFC North home games.
— Last four games, Ravens outscored foes 47-23 in 2nd half.
— Ravens won last five series games, last three by total of 114-19.
— Bengals lost last three visits to Baltimore, by 3-6-24 points.
Carolina (3-3) @ NY Giants (1-5)
— Carolina lost last three games after 3-0 start, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Under Rhule, Panthers are 8-2 ATS on the road.
— Carolina outscored opponents 79-37 in first half.
— Last three games, Panthers were outscored 60-35 in second half.
— Under is 4-2 in Carolina games this season.
— Carolina is 15-12 ATS last 27 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Panthers blocked a punt for a TD last week.
— NFC South road favorites are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Giants lost last two weeks, giving up 44-38 points.
— Giants lost first three home games, by 14-3-27 points.
— Big Blue is 4-16 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
— Giants are 8-15-1 ATS last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Giants have been outscored 58-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Opponents have started 8 drives in Giant territory (minus-7).
— NFC East home underdogs are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Carolina won last three series games, scoring 38-38-33 points.
— Carolina won four of six meetings with Giants in New Jersey.
— Panthers’ coach Rhule was a Giants’ assistant in 2012.
— Teams’ last meeting was in 2016.
Washington (2-4) @ Green Bay (5-1)
— Washington lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 33-31 points last 2 games.
— Washington allowed 34.3 ppg in its last four games.
— Washington opponents converted 52-90 on third down (57.8%).
— Last 3+ years, Washington is 12-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 7-1 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Green Bay won last five games (4-0-1 ATS), scoring 28.3 ppg.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay ran ball for 139.3 yards/game.
— Packers are 2-0 SU at home TY, winning by 18-10 points.
— Green Bay is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Last three Packer games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Packers have 21 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 10.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Washington last last five games in Lambeau, three by 18+ points.
— Washington’s last win in Green Bay was 1986.
Kansas City (3-3) @ Tennessee (4-2)
— KC scored 31+ points in four of its six games.
— Chiefs are scoring 36 ppg on road (2-1 SU).
— Chiefs have given up 29+ points in five of six games.
— KC has scored 23 TD’s on 54 drives this season.
— Chiefs turned ball over 14 times in last five games (-10)
— Four of six Chief games went over the total.
— KC has 24 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 30.
— AFC West road favorites are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Tennessee won four of last five games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Last four weeks, Titans ran ball for 179.8 yards/game.
— Titans had 7 turnovers first three games, only one in last three.
— Tennessee have only two TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Last four years, Titans are 7-3 ATS as home underdogs.
— Over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.
— AFC South home underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Titans won four of last five series games.
— Teams split two playoff meetings, in ’17/’19.
— Teams split last four series games in Nashville.
— Three of last four series games were decided by 3 or less points.
Atlanta (2-3) @ Miami (1-5)
— Last ten years, Atlanta is 7-3 ATS coming off a bye.
— Falcons have been outscored 90-45 in 2nd half of games.
— Last two games, Atlanta converted 19-30 3rd down plays.
— Last 4+ years, Falcons are 13-21 ATS in true road games.
— Last 3+ years, Atlanta is 9-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 5-12 ATS vs AFC teams.
— NFC South favorites are 4-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Miami lost last five games, giving up 32.2 ppg.
— Miami has only ten TD’s this season, on 58 drives.
— Last 5+ years, Dolphins are 14-9-1 ATS as home dogs.
— Miami has given up 39 plays of 20+ yards, has only 24 themselves.
— Last 4+ years, Miami is 7-10 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Three of last four Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 9-4 against Atlanta, winning 27-23/20-17 in last two.
— Falcons are 2-6 in Miami; last visit here was 2013.
NJ Jets (1-4) @ New England (2-4)
— Jets are 0-2 in true games, losing 19-14 @ Carolina, 26-0 @ Denver.
— Jets have been outscored 75-13 in first half.
— Last six years, Jets 11-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Jets were 3-8-1 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Last 12 years, Jets are 4-8 ATS coming off a bye.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 8-18 ATS so far this season.
— Patriots lost three of their last four games.
— Patriots’ two wins are both over rookie QB’s.
— New England scored 25-29 last two games, after 17.8 ppg in first four.
— Last four games, Patriots are minus-6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, New England allowed 18 plays of 20+ yards.
— Belichick’s career record without Brady: 64-76 SU
— Patriots beat Jets 25-6 in Swamp Stadium, in Week 2.
— Jets outgained NE 336-260, but were minus-4 in turnovers.
— New England won last 12 series games; 8 of last 9 were by 14+ points.
— Jets lost last 10 visits to Foxboro; their last win here was in ’10 playoffs.
Detroit (0-6) @ LA Rams (5-1)
— Detroit is winless, but is 3-3 against the spread.
— Last four games, Lions were outscored 47-6 in first half.
— Detroit gave up at least 7.3 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Last three years, Detroit is 6-8-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
— GM of Lions (Holmes) worked for the Rams the last 18 years.
— Rams won last two games, scoring 26-38 points.
— LA threw for 8.5+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of 6 games.
— Last two weeks, Rams converted 4-21 on 3rd down— not good.
— Last three years, LA is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 5-1 in Rams’ games.
— Last 11 years, Rams are 7-4 ATS as double digit favorites.
— These two QB’s were traded for each other last winter.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Lions lost 41-34/21-14 in last two road series games.
Philadelphia (2-4) @ Las Vegas (4-2)
— Eagles lost four of their last five games.
— Last four years, Eagles are 6-9 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Philly converted 7-23 on 3rd down.
— Last two games, Philly averaged only 4.7/4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Last five weeks, Eagles were outscored 84-36 in first half.
— NFC East teams are 7-1 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Raiders ended chaotic week LW with 34-24 win at Denver.
— Raiders threw for 348 yards LW, were +4 in turnovers.
— Raiders are 4-2, but trailed 14-0 or 14-3 in four of six games.
— Las Vegas outscored opponents 96-67 in 2nd half/OT of games.
— Raiders are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as home favorites.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 8-1-1 in Raider home games.
— AFC West teams are 1-6 ATS in non-divisional home games.
— Philly won three of last four series games.
— Eagles are 2-3 vs Raiders in Los Angeles/Oakland- they won last visit to Oakland 49-29 in 2013- Nick Foles threw seven TD passes.
Houston (1-5) @ Arizona (6-0)
— Texans lost last five games, giving up 30.2 ppg.
— Houston is 0-3 on road, losing 21-31, 0-40, 3-31 (1-2 ATS).
— Last 3+ years, Texans are 10-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Houston was outscored 95-17 in 2nd half.
— Last three games, Texans are minus-7 in turnovers (9-2)
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 8-18 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 17-23 ATS this season.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Arizona won its first six games (5-1 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Cardinals have 22 TD’s on 61 drives this season.
— Arizona has 157 points on 27 drives to red zone (5.81)
— Last 11 years, Arizona is 0-2 ATS as double digit favorites.
— Arizona has 26 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 18.
— Last four games, Cardinals are +8 in turnovers.
— Cardinals are only unbeaten team in NFL.
— JJ Watt, DeAndre Hopkins are former Texans’ stars.
— Home side won all four series games.
— Texans lost 28-21/27-24 in two visits to Arizona.
Chicago (3-3) @ Tampa Bay (5-1)
— Chicago allowed 34-26-24 in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— All three of their losses this year were by 10+ points.
— Last three games, Bears ran ball for 188-143-140 yards.
— Chicago has been outscored 88-46 in second half of games.
— Last three years, Chicago is 5-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Bears converted 12-43 third down plays.
— Last five Chicago games stayed under the total.
— Bucs gave up 29.3 ppg to veteran #1 QB’s (Prescott, Ryan, Stafford).
—.Bucs gave up 18.7 ppg to suspect/backup QB’s (Jones/Brissett/Hurts)
— Bucs won their home games this year, by 2-23-28 points.
— Buccaneers have 23 TD’s on 63 drives this season.
— Last five games, Tampa Bay is +6 in turnovers.
— Average total in Tampa Bay’s first five games: 56.5
— Over is 4-2 in Tampa Bay games this season.
— Bucs played on Thursday LW, had extra time to prep/rest.
— NFC South home teams are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Buccaneers lost 20-19 in Chicago LY.
— Chicago won five of last seven series games.
— Bears lost 36-10/29-7 in last two visits to Tampa.
Indianapolis (2-4) @ San Francisco (2-3)
— Colts covered four of their last five games.
— Indy is 9-7-1 ATS last 17 games as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Colts averaged 10.5/9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Colts have 11 takeaways in last five games (+7)
— Colts are 10-3-1 ATS last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
— Last three weeks, Colts outscored opponents 27-9 in first half.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— 49ers lost last three games, giving up 25 ppg.
— Last two games, SF converted 5-25 third down plays.
— Niners are 0-7 ATS last seven games as home favorites.
— 49ers lost both home games, 30-28 (Green Bay), 28-21 (Seattle).
— 49ers had 8 plays of 20+ yards in opener, total of only 11 last four games.
— Last four years, 49ers were 11-5 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Niners have only two takeaways (-6) in first five games.
— Last two years, 49ers won their post-bye game (31-3/23-20).
— Colts won last four series games, by average of 25-12.
— Indy won 28-3/27-7 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Monday game
New Orleans (3-2) @ Seattle (2-4)
— This is Saints sixth game, in six different cities.
— Saints scored 38-28-33 points in wins, 7-21 in losses.
— Underdogs won/covered four of their five games.
— Saints scored TD’s on 13 of 14 red zone drives.
— Last six years, Saints are 16-7 ATS as road favorites.
— Last 12 years, NO is 8-3-1 ATS in post-bye games.
— New Orleans has 10 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 21.
— NFC South road teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Seahawks lost four of their last five games.
— Smith is 12-20 as NFL starter; 29 of those games were in 2013-14.
— Seattle is 0-2 at home (33-30 OT/Titans, 26-17 Rams).
— Last 11 years, Seattle is 10-4 ATS as home underdogs.
— Seattle has 29 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 22.
— Last three games, opponents converted 9-38 on third down.
— Third straight primetime game for Seattle.
— Teams split 16 series games.
— Saints lost three of last four visits to Seattle, winning last visit 33-27 in ’19.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 7
Thursday game
Denver (3-3) @ Cleveland (3-3)
— Denver lost last three games, outscored 51-20 in first half.
— Two of their three wins were against a rookie QB.
— Denver has one takeaway in last three games (-5).
— Last three years, Denver is 11-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 16-62 third down plays.
— Four of six Denver games stayed under the total.
— Strangely, this is first time this year Broncos are an underdog.
— Browns lost last two games, giving up 47-37 points.
— Browns are banged up and on a short week, tough combination.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Browns gave up 21 or fewer points in wins, 32-47-37 in losses.
— Cleveland is 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— Last two games, opponents converted 14-25 third down plays.
— AFC North home favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Denver won eight of last nine series games.
— Browns won last three visits here, by 10-4-3 points; last visit was 2015.
— Cleveland won last meeting, 17-16 in Denver, in 2018.
— Last three series games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Sunday games
Cincinnati (4-2) @ Baltimore (5-1)
— Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
— Bengals have had a TD play of 31+ yards in all six games.
— Cincy outscored last four opponents 66-30 in 2nd half.
— Last three years, Bengals are 8-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Cincy’s two losses were both by three points.
— Last five Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore won last four games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
— Four of their six games were decided by 1 or 2 points, or in OT.
— Last 6+ years, Ravens are 18-22-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last 2+ years, Ravens are 17-9-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Last four years, Ravens are 4-8 ATS in AFC North home games.
— Last four games, Ravens outscored foes 47-23 in 2nd half.
— Ravens won last five series games, last three by total of 114-19.
— Bengals lost last three visits to Baltimore, by 3-6-24 points.
Carolina (3-3) @ NY Giants (1-5)
— Carolina lost last three games after 3-0 start, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Under Rhule, Panthers are 8-2 ATS on the road.
— Carolina outscored opponents 79-37 in first half.
— Last three games, Panthers were outscored 60-35 in second half.
— Under is 4-2 in Carolina games this season.
— Carolina is 15-12 ATS last 27 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Panthers blocked a punt for a TD last week.
— NFC South road favorites are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Giants lost last two weeks, giving up 44-38 points.
— Giants lost first three home games, by 14-3-27 points.
— Big Blue is 4-16 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
— Giants are 8-15-1 ATS last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Giants have been outscored 58-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Opponents have started 8 drives in Giant territory (minus-7).
— NFC East home underdogs are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Carolina won last three series games, scoring 38-38-33 points.
— Carolina won four of six meetings with Giants in New Jersey.
— Panthers’ coach Rhule was a Giants’ assistant in 2012.
— Teams’ last meeting was in 2016.
Washington (2-4) @ Green Bay (5-1)
— Washington lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 33-31 points last 2 games.
— Washington allowed 34.3 ppg in its last four games.
— Washington opponents converted 52-90 on third down (57.8%).
— Last 3+ years, Washington is 12-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 7-1 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Green Bay won last five games (4-0-1 ATS), scoring 28.3 ppg.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay ran ball for 139.3 yards/game.
— Packers are 2-0 SU at home TY, winning by 18-10 points.
— Green Bay is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Last three Packer games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Packers have 21 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 10.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Washington last last five games in Lambeau, three by 18+ points.
— Washington’s last win in Green Bay was 1986.
Kansas City (3-3) @ Tennessee (4-2)
— KC scored 31+ points in four of its six games.
— Chiefs are scoring 36 ppg on road (2-1 SU).
— Chiefs have given up 29+ points in five of six games.
— KC has scored 23 TD’s on 54 drives this season.
— Chiefs turned ball over 14 times in last five games (-10)
— Four of six Chief games went over the total.
— KC has 24 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 30.
— AFC West road favorites are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Tennessee won four of last five games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Last four weeks, Titans ran ball for 179.8 yards/game.
— Titans had 7 turnovers first three games, only one in last three.
— Tennessee have only two TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Last four years, Titans are 7-3 ATS as home underdogs.
— Over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.
— AFC South home underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Titans won four of last five series games.
— Teams split two playoff meetings, in ’17/’19.
— Teams split last four series games in Nashville.
— Three of last four series games were decided by 3 or less points.
Atlanta (2-3) @ Miami (1-5)
— Last ten years, Atlanta is 7-3 ATS coming off a bye.
— Falcons have been outscored 90-45 in 2nd half of games.
— Last two games, Atlanta converted 19-30 3rd down plays.
— Last 4+ years, Falcons are 13-21 ATS in true road games.
— Last 3+ years, Atlanta is 9-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 5-12 ATS vs AFC teams.
— NFC South favorites are 4-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Miami lost last five games, giving up 32.2 ppg.
— Miami has only ten TD’s this season, on 58 drives.
— Last 5+ years, Dolphins are 14-9-1 ATS as home dogs.
— Miami has given up 39 plays of 20+ yards, has only 24 themselves.
— Last 4+ years, Miami is 7-10 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Three of last four Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 9-4 against Atlanta, winning 27-23/20-17 in last two.
— Falcons are 2-6 in Miami; last visit here was 2013.
NJ Jets (1-4) @ New England (2-4)
— Jets are 0-2 in true games, losing 19-14 @ Carolina, 26-0 @ Denver.
— Jets have been outscored 75-13 in first half.
— Last six years, Jets 11-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Jets were 3-8-1 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Last 12 years, Jets are 4-8 ATS coming off a bye.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 8-18 ATS so far this season.
— Patriots lost three of their last four games.
— Patriots’ two wins are both over rookie QB’s.
— New England scored 25-29 last two games, after 17.8 ppg in first four.
— Last four games, Patriots are minus-6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, New England allowed 18 plays of 20+ yards.
— Belichick’s career record without Brady: 64-76 SU
— Patriots beat Jets 25-6 in Swamp Stadium, in Week 2.
— Jets outgained NE 336-260, but were minus-4 in turnovers.
— New England won last 12 series games; 8 of last 9 were by 14+ points.
— Jets lost last 10 visits to Foxboro; their last win here was in ’10 playoffs.
Detroit (0-6) @ LA Rams (5-1)
— Detroit is winless, but is 3-3 against the spread.
— Last four games, Lions were outscored 47-6 in first half.
— Detroit gave up at least 7.3 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Last three years, Detroit is 6-8-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
— GM of Lions (Holmes) worked for the Rams the last 18 years.
— Rams won last two games, scoring 26-38 points.
— LA threw for 8.5+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of 6 games.
— Last two weeks, Rams converted 4-21 on 3rd down— not good.
— Last three years, LA is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 5-1 in Rams’ games.
— Last 11 years, Rams are 7-4 ATS as double digit favorites.
— These two QB’s were traded for each other last winter.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Lions lost 41-34/21-14 in last two road series games.
Philadelphia (2-4) @ Las Vegas (4-2)
— Eagles lost four of their last five games.
— Last four years, Eagles are 6-9 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Philly converted 7-23 on 3rd down.
— Last two games, Philly averaged only 4.7/4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Last five weeks, Eagles were outscored 84-36 in first half.
— NFC East teams are 7-1 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Raiders ended chaotic week LW with 34-24 win at Denver.
— Raiders threw for 348 yards LW, were +4 in turnovers.
— Raiders are 4-2, but trailed 14-0 or 14-3 in four of six games.
— Las Vegas outscored opponents 96-67 in 2nd half/OT of games.
— Raiders are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as home favorites.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 8-1-1 in Raider home games.
— AFC West teams are 1-6 ATS in non-divisional home games.
— Philly won three of last four series games.
— Eagles are 2-3 vs Raiders in Los Angeles/Oakland- they won last visit to Oakland 49-29 in 2013- Nick Foles threw seven TD passes.
Houston (1-5) @ Arizona (6-0)
— Texans lost last five games, giving up 30.2 ppg.
— Houston is 0-3 on road, losing 21-31, 0-40, 3-31 (1-2 ATS).
— Last 3+ years, Texans are 10-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Houston was outscored 95-17 in 2nd half.
— Last three games, Texans are minus-7 in turnovers (9-2)
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 8-18 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 17-23 ATS this season.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Arizona won its first six games (5-1 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Cardinals have 22 TD’s on 61 drives this season.
— Arizona has 157 points on 27 drives to red zone (5.81)
— Last 11 years, Arizona is 0-2 ATS as double digit favorites.
— Arizona has 26 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 18.
— Last four games, Cardinals are +8 in turnovers.
— Cardinals are only unbeaten team in NFL.
— JJ Watt, DeAndre Hopkins are former Texans’ stars.
— Home side won all four series games.
— Texans lost 28-21/27-24 in two visits to Arizona.
Chicago (3-3) @ Tampa Bay (5-1)
— Chicago allowed 34-26-24 in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— All three of their losses this year were by 10+ points.
— Last three games, Bears ran ball for 188-143-140 yards.
— Chicago has been outscored 88-46 in second half of games.
— Last three years, Chicago is 5-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Bears converted 12-43 third down plays.
— Last five Chicago games stayed under the total.
— Bucs gave up 29.3 ppg to veteran #1 QB’s (Prescott, Ryan, Stafford).
—.Bucs gave up 18.7 ppg to suspect/backup QB’s (Jones/Brissett/Hurts)
— Bucs won their home games this year, by 2-23-28 points.
— Buccaneers have 23 TD’s on 63 drives this season.
— Last five games, Tampa Bay is +6 in turnovers.
— Average total in Tampa Bay’s first five games: 56.5
— Over is 4-2 in Tampa Bay games this season.
— Bucs played on Thursday LW, had extra time to prep/rest.
— NFC South home teams are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Buccaneers lost 20-19 in Chicago LY.
— Chicago won five of last seven series games.
— Bears lost 36-10/29-7 in last two visits to Tampa.
Indianapolis (2-4) @ San Francisco (2-3)
— Colts covered four of their last five games.
— Indy is 9-7-1 ATS last 17 games as road underdogs.
— Last two games, Colts averaged 10.5/9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Colts have 11 takeaways in last five games (+7)
— Colts are 10-3-1 ATS last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
— Last three weeks, Colts outscored opponents 27-9 in first half.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— 49ers lost last three games, giving up 25 ppg.
— Last two games, SF converted 5-25 third down plays.
— Niners are 0-7 ATS last seven games as home favorites.
— 49ers lost both home games, 30-28 (Green Bay), 28-21 (Seattle).
— 49ers had 8 plays of 20+ yards in opener, total of only 11 last four games.
— Last four years, 49ers were 11-5 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Niners have only two takeaways (-6) in first five games.
— Last two years, 49ers won their post-bye game (31-3/23-20).
— Colts won last four series games, by average of 25-12.
— Indy won 28-3/27-7 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Monday game
New Orleans (3-2) @ Seattle (2-4)
— This is Saints sixth game, in six different cities.
— Saints scored 38-28-33 points in wins, 7-21 in losses.
— Underdogs won/covered four of their five games.
— Saints scored TD’s on 13 of 14 red zone drives.
— Last six years, Saints are 16-7 ATS as road favorites.
— Last 12 years, NO is 8-3-1 ATS in post-bye games.
— New Orleans has 10 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 21.
— NFC South road teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Seahawks lost four of their last five games.
— Smith is 12-20 as NFL starter; 29 of those games were in 2013-14.
— Seattle is 0-2 at home (33-30 OT/Titans, 26-17 Rams).
— Last 11 years, Seattle is 10-4 ATS as home underdogs.
— Seattle has 29 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 22.
— Last three games, opponents converted 9-38 on third down.
— Third straight primetime game for Seattle.
— Teams split 16 series games.
— Saints lost three of last four visits to Seattle, winning last visit 33-27 in ’19.
