New Mexico State out-gained Liberty 388 to 293 yet lost 30-27. They won the turnover battle 3-2 but horrible red zone efficiency go them.
Delaware out-gained FIU 456 to 388 yet lost 38-25. A 2-0 turnover ratio plucked the Hens.
San Jose State out-gained Utah State 534 to 461 yet lost 30-25. A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor fourth down efficiency got the Spartans.
Bowling Green out-gained Central Michigan 310 to 276 yet lost 27-6. A 2-0 turnover ratio and terrible red zone efficiency got the George’s
Duke out-gained Georgia Tech 441 to 376 yet lost 27-18. A 1-0 turnover ratio and eight penalties with poor red zone got the Dukies.
Texas State out-gained Marshall 558 to 466 yet lost 40-37 in overtime. A 3-1 ratio and a huge choke by GJ Kinney sealed it.
Akron out-gained Ball State 419 to 374 yet lost 42-28. Equal turnovers but 9 penalties and bad red zone got the Zips.
Georgia State out-gained Georgia Southern 444 to 420 yet lost 41-24. A 1-0 turnover ratio, poor fourth down and 15 penalties got the Panthers.
Tennessee out-gained Alabama 410 to 373 yet lost 37-20. Equal turnovers at one but four sacks and 10 penalties got the Vols.
Utah out-gained BYU 470 to 368 yet lost 24-21. A 2-0 turnover ratio, 10 penalties and a horrible targeting call got the Utes.
Florida State out-gained Stanford 444 to 283 yet lost 20-13. They won the turnover battle but bad special teams, 13 penalties and poor red zone got the Semis.
The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published. This is for the rated plays, the high-ranking plays, and any type of play worth tracking. There’s no reason to keep track of every bottom-tier or “recommended” play; it’s not worth the work.
Sometimes the newsletters will cheat a little by claiming a different common or later line if it turns a loss into a push or otherwise boosts their record. I’ll usually be able to note what happened to explain the discrepancy.
I’ll also highlight particularly good or bad weekends or short-term runs. I will not include picks from newsletter issues that we don’t get in time.
Starting to color-code the hottest and coldest records. Usually just anything hitting/missing around 70% or more with a reasonable sample. Still early, so some of these will probably regress to the mean.
Power Sweep NCAA
4* (3-4-1)
3* (5-11-0)
2* (10-7-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-4-0)
Tech Play of the Week (6-1-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (4-2-0)
Situational Play of the Week (6-0-0)
Series Play of the Week (2-2-0)
Power Sweep NFL
4* (3-3-1)
3* (5-2-0)
2* (4-3-0)
3* o/u play (4-3-0)
Power Rating POW (0-0-1)
Power Plays (7-4 overall this week after 9-0-1 last week)
NCAA 4.5* (12-9-1)
NCAA 4* (26-24-1)
NFL 4* (3-3-1)
Red Sheet (nothing again this week; previous weeks' records from another contributor)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (2-6-0)
88* (3-8-1)
NFL 88* (4-0-0)
Sports Reporter (missed 4 weeks of this one)
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (6-6-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (3-3-0)