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College Football Week 8 Misleading Final Scores

  • New Mexico State out-gained Liberty 388 to 293 yet lost 30-27. They won the turnover battle 3-2 but horrible red zone efficiency go them.
  • Delaware out-gained FIU 456 to 388 yet lost 38-25. A 2-0 turnover ratio plucked the Hens.
  • San Jose State out-gained Utah State 534 to 461 yet lost 30-25. A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor fourth down efficiency got the Spartans.
  • Bowling Green out-gained Central Michigan 310 to 276 yet lost 27-6. A 2-0 turnover ratio and terrible red zone efficiency got the George’s
  • Duke out-gained Georgia Tech 441 to 376 yet lost 27-18. A 1-0 turnover ratio and eight penalties with poor red zone got the Dukies.
  • Texas State out-gained Marshall 558 to 466 yet lost 40-37 in overtime. A 3-1 ratio and a huge choke by GJ Kinney sealed it.
  • Akron out-gained Ball State 419 to 374 yet lost 42-28. Equal turnovers but 9 penalties and bad red zone got the Zips.
  • Georgia State out-gained Georgia Southern 444 to 420 yet lost 41-24. A 1-0 turnover ratio, poor fourth down and 15 penalties got the Panthers.
  • Tennessee out-gained Alabama 410 to 373 yet lost 37-20. Equal turnovers at one but four sacks and 10 penalties got the Vols.
  • Utah out-gained BYU 470 to 368 yet lost 24-21. A 2-0 turnover ratio, 10 penalties and a horrible targeting call got the Utes.
  • Florida State out-gained Stanford 444 to 283 yet lost 20-13. They won the turnover battle but bad special teams, 13 penalties and poor red zone got the Semis.
 

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Newsletter Tracking (through 10/20/2025)

The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published. This is for the rated plays, the high-ranking plays, and any type of play worth tracking. There’s no reason to keep track of every bottom-tier or “recommended” play; it’s not worth the work.

Sometimes the newsletters will cheat a little by claiming a different common or later line if it turns a loss into a push or otherwise boosts their record. I’ll usually be able to note what happened to explain the discrepancy.

I’ll also highlight particularly good or bad weekends or short-term runs. I will not include picks from newsletter issues that we don’t get in time.

Starting to color-code the hottest and coldest records. Usually just anything hitting/missing around 70% or more with a reasonable sample. Still early, so some of these will probably regress to the mean.



Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA (16-17-1)
NFL (11-5-0) (includes 4-0 this week)

Bondi Bulletin
2* NCAA (3-2-0)
1* NCAA (6-9-0)
2* NFL (2-2-0)
1* NFL (4-4-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (3-4-1)
4* (5-3-0)
3* (4-4-0)
Upset pick (5-4-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-4-0)
Awesome Angle (6-2-0)
Incredible Stat (3-3-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (4-3-0)
4* (5-2-0)
3* (3-4-0)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (8-8-0)
2* (2-6-0)
3* (3-5-0)
4* (8-8-0)
5* (7-9-0)

Pointwise NFL
2* (0-0-0)
3* (5-9-0)
4* (4-3-0)
5* (4-9-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (3-4-1)
3* (5-11-0)
2* (10-7-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-4-0)
Tech Play of the Week (6-1-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (4-2-0)
Situational Play of the Week (6-0-0)
Series Play of the Week (2-2-0)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (3-3-1)
3* (5-2-0)
2* (4-3-0)
3* o/u play (4-3-0)
Power Rating POW (0-0-1)

Power Plays (7-4 overall this week after 9-0-1 last week)
NCAA 4.5* (12-9-1)
NCAA 4* (26-24-1)
NFL 4* (3-3-1)

Red Sheet (nothing again this week; previous weeks' records from another contributor)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (2-6-0)
88* (3-8-1)
NFL 88* (4-0-0)

Sports Reporter (missed 4 weeks of this one)
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (6-6-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (3-3-0)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (0-0-0)
NCAA 3* (0-0-0)
NFL 4* (0-0-0)
NFL 3* (0-0-0)

King’s Totals Tipsheet
10* GOY (0-0-0)
3* (6-3-0)
2* (5-7-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Team Total of the Week
2* (7-2-1)
1* (2-2-0)

Gold Sheet NCAA
Key Releases (8-16-1)
Priority Picks (7-9-0)
Tech Plays (6-2-0)

Gold Sheet NFL
Key Releases (10-11-0)
Priority Picks (8-6-0)
Tech Plays (1-5-0)

Powers' Ratings NCAA
(no actual best bets in his newsletter again this year)
Top Computer Play (4-5-0)

Inside the Press Box NCAA
Phil's Best Bets (12-20-0)
Phil's FCS Best Bets (3-1-0)
Computer Best Bets (12-17-1)
Computer FCS Best Bets (3-0-0)

Inside the Press Box NFL (2-1 overall for the 2nd-straight week)
Phil’s Best Bets (9-6-0)
Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)



Feel free to point out any typos or grading errors
 

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