NCAA Tournament Thread

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1.2* Miami, FL +7.5 Miami just doesn't lose by this kind of margin. They are a much better offensive team than Auburn, although they have a height disadvantage. Miami is also playing better D than some of their regular season games. Coach Jim Larranaga consistently gets his team to achieve above their talent level. Houston guards Sasser and Shead should be about 90% with their injuries, but even that can affect their movements in particular ways.
 

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2* Texas -4 It's hard to imagine that Chris Beard could have this Texas team playing any better than they're playing under interim coach Rodney Terry. While Xavier has more consistent shooters, Texas has the scrappier defense. Carr, Rice and Hunter will be the difference here, and if they play great perimeter D, then they should cover this -4 line.

1.8* Princeton +10 Like Xavier, it is really hard to play against Creighton. Yet like last night's UCLA/ Gonzaga game, and betting on the Zags, it just feels like the better play. I have seen Princeton for parts of their wins over Arizona and Missouri, and I'm still trying to figure out how this team lost 8 games this year. They weren't just lucky in those 2 wins, they looked like a smart. solid team...a team that really knows how to play excellent team basketball. Can they win this game? Likely not, but they have a chance if Creighton has a cold shooting half.
 

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fred isn't done here

We got rid of his heckler for a while
For the record ..... I WASN'T heckling him & for the clowns here who took cheap shots at me when I was " suspended " are the same guys who would " sucker-punch" you when your not looking

Oh ... I'm back from susoension
 

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I LOVE watching a team run off 30 seconds watching the game end while I miss a cover by 1 point.
 

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I LOVE watching a team run off 30 seconds watching the game end while I miss a cover by 1 point.
Yup. The missed free throw hurt too. That whole 2nd half was dancing around that 10 number. Tough loss. Texas, though, looking hopeful.
 

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Missed a sweep by one bucket. Going into Saturday: 33-24, +10.31 units

3* UConn -2 (-114)
This line jumped as I was playing it, from -110 to -114. While Gonzaga had an impressive 2nd half comeback vs. UCLA, part of that was how inept UCLA's offense was. Campbell and Jaquez were not their usual unstoppable selves. Gonzaga has to be feeling so up in the clouds after that, while UConn seems almost professional in dispatching teams. I just can't see the Zags containing the multiple offensive weapons that the Huskies have.
 

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1.2* Kansas State -1.5 Less sure about this game, but still like K. State's chances here. For FAU, the Wildcats will be the polar opposite of Tennessee. Yeah, their D won't be as stout. But with Nowell running the show, an up-tempo similar offense, and big guys that have more moves than the Vols have, bodes well.... FAU might also have a bad game in them. They hit some miraculous shots last game that might not fall in this one.
 

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Thank you ofred for sharing your handicapping work. I follow you in college football and now in college basketball. You know your stuff. You don't have to share your work, but you do.
 

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Fred.....solid capping buddy.....thank you............
here's to a winning weekend........on UConn with you....
will probably add Kan. St. as well.........indy
 

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That small spread of -2/ -3 on UConn made me question that play a bit. Should have played it for much more. Overthought it, and a modest winning day should have been a huge winning day. Oh well....

Going into Sunday:
34-25, +11.98 units
 

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Oh, and on the K State game... too much on one guy carrying the load. Nowell was great again, but the Wildcats stood around waiting for him to create far too often. FAU totally deserved that win.
 

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