NCAA Tournament Thread

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1* Texas A%M Corpus -3 (-120) These games tend to be close, but SE Missouri plays little defense. Both teams are from low ranked conferences, but Texas A&M Corpus was a leader in offense and defense in its conference. It can handle the fast paced opponent.

1* Miss. State/ Pitt- under 133 ( a little on under 61.5 1H. MSU will slow it down and force Pitt to take plenty of poor shots. MSU works the ball around, and inside, to shoot. Very little 3 point shots relative to opponents. Pitt hasn't had a signature win since Feb. 1.
 

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Fred..........BOL with today's action buddy......
have a solid and profitable tourney .......indy
 

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I'm out to lunch forgetting the NIT games. Got busy and spaced it out. Will look at those for Wednesday.
 

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2-0 start, with a little nicked off for the 1H play.

2* ASU -1.5 (-115) ASU seems like the perfect "start over" type team for the tournament. They play aggressive defense and if they can avoid getting too worked up and emotional, then they have been capable of beating anyone. Hurley good at motivating, but needs to keep them focused.

1.2* UCF +1.5 1H
1* UCF +3 (-114)
UCF has so many very tight losses to top 20 teams. They kind of knew they were NIT bound, and will be excited to lay State rival Florida. Florida has been undisciplined in their play all season except for a few games.

1* Texas Southern -2 Texas Southern might have a losing record, but plays in a better conference and played a much tougher non-conference schedule. Farleigh Dickinson is lucky to be here...and is only in it because Merrimack was ineligible. The NEC might just be the worst conference in Div. 1 hoops. Texas Southern giving up 2 with a 14-20 record says something.
 

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2.3* Cal Irvine +7 The Ducks will be without their top 2 guards in this game, a position that has been mediocre for much of the season. They might also be without Dante, their top scorer and big man. He's on a wobbly ankle, and even if he starts, likely won't last the entire game...or be at 100%. The whole season has been a disappointment. They got torched in their conference game with a UCLA team missing two of their top 7 players. Irvine seems to be better offensively this season, a little weaker defensively. They should be motivated to play Oregon.
 

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Thanks JB, Hache, Bills Fan...

1* Oklahoma St/ Youngstown- under 71.5 1H Not sure why this line is so high. Okie State has played pretty good D vs. much better Big 12 teams. Youngstown State plays good enough D to semi-limit a pedestrian OSU offense. Everyone is rested. Got another one of these 1H under later.
 

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Two early wins, Texas Southern a likely loss. 0-10 from three...not good.

1* Utah Valley +5 Utah Valley plays in a decent conference, not far below the Mt. West. The Mt. West looked pretty good, but UNM stumbled badly after starting the season 14-0. Utah Valley shoots the 3 well, rebounds well and is used to the up tempo play that UNM favors. UV did beat BYU and Oregon earlier this season, so they know how to play/ adjust with more talented teams.
 

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Fairly good day, but Cal Irvine is suffering from what doomed Texas Southern - terrible outside shooting. Maybe a 2nd half comeback? ASU, UCF and Utah Valley all came through.

3.4* Alabama -24 Don't like to give up these big spreads, but Alabama can run the score up in the 2nd half with their bench. They are also underrated defensively. Alabama seems to bring their A game in big spots.

1* Furman +6 Virginia will be tested vs. an up tempo, veteran team that shoots well. The Cavs missing Vander Plas, a good defender inside and out, and a contributor also in and out. Cavs win a squeaker.

1* Utah State -1.5 The Mt. West is looking terrible so far, but Utah State and SD State might be the exceptions. Utah St. a senior laden team that shoot well and defend well. Missouri being the underdog is the books making some kind of statement.

1* Arkansas -1.5 Illinois seems like a mercurial team, and a bit immature. Arkansas is loaded with talent, but underperforms at times. A chance here to redeem themselves.
 

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Fred....thank ypu......here's to a solid Thurs.. buddy....
BOL with all your tourney action......indy
 

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If Oregon played like that all season, they would have easily been a middle seed in the NCAA Tourney.

3.2* Texas -13 (-116) After Bama, Texas is in that group of 3 or 4 that can win it all. Their defense should completely stifle a Colgate team that wins often in a weak conference.

1* Iowa +1.5 Auburn rebounds poorly win defense while Iowa is a very good offensive rebounding team. While Iowa is not a solid defensive team, Auburn is so limited in creating shots and making shots. If Iowa scouts this Auburn team, they should find some exploitive tendencies.
 

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1.5* Duke/ Oral Robert- under 68 1H Seeing a lot of under 1H plays going by the wayside. Teams are rested, one and done tournament, and defenses playing all out. Duke has been playing great D, but with so-so outside shooting. OR not a bad defensive team at all, but likely will struggle to get many open looks offensively.
 

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Tough loss with a 3 pointer at the buzzer. More surprising is how Alabama played mediocre D in the 2nd half.

1.2* Texas -7.5 1H Little insurance in case we see a similar scenario as with the Alabama game.

1* Northwestern -2 Largest line move, I think, of the first day games. Mt. West has looked pretty bad, and while Boise can play defense, they struggle offensively vs. good teams. Northwestern has to be just thrilled to finally play a post-season game. They also played a brutal Big 10 schedule with some impressive wins.

1.7* ULL/ Tenn.- under 63 1H With the Vols missing their starting point guard, and ULL being a gritty defensive team (Tenn. being an even better defensive team), I think Tenn. slows it down on offense, while ULL has to work really hard to score.
 

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1.2* Houston -11.5 Even if Sasser doesn't play, Houston should be able to defensively dominate N. Ky, a so-so offensive team. Shead will play point guard, and will likely shine doing it. Then there's the injury factor...where teammates play harder and better tome up for the missing star.

I like A&M in the late game, but PSU might get hot shooting 3s. Will likely play it live. UCLA down 2 key players, and not sure if they took advantage of a weaker than usual PAC 12 this season.
 

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