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Thursday, December 24
New Mexico Bowl
View attachment 19144
Hawaii vs. Houston
Suggested Line 1: Houston -5.21
Suggested Line 2: Houston -4.93
Suggested Line 3: Houston -4.99
Suggested Line 4: Houston -4.22
PLAY: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +7 (10 Units)
My goodness the line is dropping like a sack of bricks in the ocean and there is nothing any amount of money on Houston can do about it in this game. This is usually scary in the NFL. Good example is when New England was being absolutely hammered (2-3 points worth) close to a few hours before kickoff with Miami last weekend and ended up losing. However in college this usually means something. Someone knows something. My system was already calling for a play on Hawaii and I'm a bit upset I didn't grab the +10.5 but that would have possibly kicked this off into FADE territory so we are good now. It looks to me like the books need some action back the Cougars way and dropping this line hoping they get it. Hawaii traditionally plays in their own Bowl Game at Home on Christmas Even but that wasn't possible this season so they are back on the mainland trying to finish the year with a winning record after a slow start. Neither team played more than 8 games and but both played a few weeks ago and should be ready to go for this game. Houston comes into this game having lost 3 of their last 4 games overall while Hawaii lost 3 of their last 5. Both teams struggle away from home going 1-2 SU each on the season. Hawaii is coming off an incredible offensive performance against UNLV in their regular season finale and they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games coming off a game where they had 450+ total yards of offense. Houston on the other hand is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus Mountain West Conference opponents and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games played in December including their regular season games this season. Hawaii has the offensive weapons to continuously make plays against the #90 ranked points defense in the Country. I think a lot of people also don't realize this but Hawaii has the #20 ranked pass defense in the Nation and they struggle against the run uniquely. That's bad news for a Houston team that is only ranked #75 in rushing yards per game. Hawaii keeps this game close with all their experience playing on Christmas Eve and I'm calling for a straight up Dog win today. MELE KALIKiMAKA to all!
Trend of the Game: Hawaii is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games coming off a game where they have 450+ total yards of offense.
Hawaii 34, Houston 26
MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL AND HAVE A SAFE NIGHT!
:toast: