Melniko Winter Thread

Search
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,473
Tokens
Good luck today, Niko. Fairgrounds is actually in my Racing Form today. Happy to see it. Hope they're on the weeds.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
12/18 SUNDAY

AQUEDUCT
R1 - #3 Sourcing Network (1-1) placed $3.10
R2 - #6 El Mayor (12-1)
R3 - #3 Run Devil (9-2) 3rd
R4 - #9 Miami Chrome (20-1) scratched
R5 - #8 Watasha (6-1) 3rd
R6 - #4 Lady Empire (30-1)
R7 - #10 More Mango (12-1)
R8 - #2 Gulfstream Way (4-1) winner $7.00 $4.40
R9 - #1 Mo Rewards (6-1)
R10 - #2 Sly Stone (20-1)

36/14.50
running total - 1,746/1,214.50 (0.70)
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
BOXING DAY - 12/26

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #8 Basalt Street (3-1)
R2 - #5 Le Monstre Rapide (8-1)
R3 - #3 Powder River (4-1)
R4 - #6 Late September (7-2)
R5 - #10 Gametime Gladiator (9-2)
R6 - #7 Lake Lucerne (7-2)
R7 - #12 Pyrenees (5-1)
R8 - #3 Neutralize (6-1)
R9 - #4 Heart Rhythm (6-1)
R10 - #3 Big Agenda (12-1)
R11 - #2 Jace's Road (3-1)
R12 - #1 Pretty Mischievous (3-1)
R13 - #8 Chess Chief (10-1)

investing $52
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
BOXING DAY - 12/26 results

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #8 Basalt Street (3-1) winner $4.80 $2.60
R2 - #5 Le Monstre Rapide (8-1)
R3 - #3 Powder River (4-1) placed $4.00
R4 - #6 Late September (7-2)
R5 - #10 Gametime Gladiator (9-2)
R6 - #7 Lake Lucerne (7-2) 3rd
R7 - #12 Pyrenees (5-1) 3rd
R8 - #3 Neutralize (6-1)
R9 - #4 Heart Rhythm (6-1) 3rd
R10 - #3 Big Agenda (12-1) 3rd
R11 - #2 Jace's Road (3-1) winner $6.80 $4.40
R12 - #1 Pretty Mischievous (3-1) winner $5.40 $3.20
R13 - #8 Chess Chief (10-1)

52/31.20 - too many shows
running total - 1,798/1,245.70
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
12/31 SATURDAY

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #6 Inspector Ed (8-1)
R2 - #3 Everlyn's Angel (6-1)
R3 - #6 Jeb's Lucky Eight (10-1)
R4 - #1 Medley (3-1)
R5 - #5 Sutherland (6-1)
R6 - #6 Guntown (7-2)
R7 - #2 Oh Pollyanna (12-1)
R8 - #7 A Mo Reay (3-1)
R9 - #4 King's Lute (6-1)
R10 - #9 Lady With A Cause (8-1)

Investing $40
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
12/31 SATURDAY

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #6 Inspector Ed (8-1) 3rd
R2 - #3 Everlyn's Angel (6-1) placed $7.00
R3 - #6 Jeb's Lucky Eight (10-1)
R4 - #1 Medley (3-1) winner $3.60 $2.60
R5 - #5 Sutherland (6-1) placed $2.40
R6 - #6 Guntown (7-2)
R7 - #2 Oh Pollyanna (12-1)
R8 - #7 A Mo Reay (3-1) winner $4.40 $2.80
R9 - #4 King's Lute (6-1) 3rd
R10 - #9 Lady With A Cause (8-1)

40/22.80
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/1 SUNDAY

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #2 Magnolia Ridge (4-1) steadily improving since arrival in Nola
R2 - #3 Pickin Ana Grinnin (3-1) the works point to a solid return from 15 month vacation
R3 - #4 Plemmonston (9-2) best late speed of the bunch
R4 - #5 Bartulia (4-5) here's the single
R5 - #3 Royal Unlimited (7-2) something went wrong in debut, but if he's fit he should have his way here
R6 - #8 Speedy Dudette (9-2) Reylu has been a perfect 2 for 2 with her and she's 5 of 6 in the money at FG
R7 - #4 Dance It (3-1) Assmussen's signature slow work prior to race day signals she's ready
R8 - #11 Nosy Banker (20-1) I'm looking for the apprentice to try and run away and hide

Investing $32
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/1 SUNDAY Results

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #2 Magnolia Ridge (4-1)
R2 - #3 Pickin Ana Grinnin (3-1)
R3 - #4 Plemmonston (9-2) Winner $9.00 $3.80
R4 - #5 Bartulia (4-5) Winner $2.80 $2.20
R5 - #3 Royal Unlimited (7-2)
R6 - #8 Speedy Dudette (9-2) 3rd
R7 - #4 Dance It (3-1)
R8 - #11 Nosy Banker (20-1) Placed $7.00

32/24.80
running total - 1,870/1,295.30 (0.69)
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/7 SATURDAY

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #6 Speading Rumors (4-1) stretches out to a mile in 3rd off layoff combined with switch from apprentice to journeyman. I expect to see plenty of late interest.
R2 - #1 Afikoman (9-2) making first dirt start of career. If he handles the surface he'll have a brisk pace to close into and the speed seems ripe to break down.
R3 - #4 Ova Charged (2-5) single. I see a 4-3 exacta here.
R4 - #4 Topsy (2-1) Graham has a very high ROI when riding for Assman. Work pattern (quick, slow, quick, slow) sets up for a well-meant debut.
R5 - #4 Let's Go Random (6-1) takes a big drop in class after popping and stopping in first route try. 2nd time Lasix and Lanerie stays.
R6 - #8 Gutzy (5-1) has been burning money like my wife at Macy's. I like the outside post and move back to 6f for him today, though.
R7 - #5 Amanwalksintoabar (7-2) route to sprint combined with the big drop down to claiming and gotta love the connections.
R8 - #3 Maga Man (15-1) would have to run the race of his life to win this, but gets the scorching hot jockey, has won his last 3 tries on the lawn (why hasn't that trainer been entering him in more turf races?), and seems to perform well at FG.
R9 - #8 Swot Analysis (7-2) tough to hold that speed at Woodbine, but has had things more his way sprinting in NOLA. I'm expecting a big run today.
R10 - #3 Maintenance Matt (4-1) loves the track, tried hard in last pair under Pedroza - hoping the inner post today puts him in better position to make his run.

GULFSTREAM
R3 - #6 Free Shipping (7-2)

TAMPA
R1 - #4 Vinnie Van Go (6-1)

Investing $48
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Nov 10, 2022
Messages
1,447
Tokens
good luck, Niko
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/7 SATURDAY Results

FAIRGROUNDS
R1 - #6 Speading Rumors (4-1)
R2 - #1 Afikoman (9-2) winner $11.20 $5.20
R3 - #4 Ova Charged (2-5) scratch
R4 - #4 Topsy (2-1) winner $6.00 $3.60
R5 - #4 Let's Go Random (6-1)
R6 - #8 Gutzy (5-1) 3rd
R7 - #5 Amanwalksintoabar (7-2) 3rd
R8 - #3 Maga Man (15-1)
R9 - #8 Swot Analysis (7-2) placed $3.80
R10 - #3 Maintenance Matt (4-1)

GULFSTREAM
R3 - #6 Free Shipping (7-2) winner $7.60 $4.20

TAMPA
R1 - #4 Vinnie Van Go (6-1) winner $7.80 $5.00

44/54.40
running total - 1,914/1,349.70 (0.71)
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/8 SUNDAY looks like a long shot day at OP, hope I can find a couple of them.

OAKLAWN
R1 - #7 Holding Pattern (12-1)
R2 - #4 Backgate Red (8-1)
R3 - #4 Huge Bigly (10-1)
R4 - #3 Morning Snow (15-1)
R5 - #5 Heythere Jogeegirl (6-1)
R6 - #3 Leola (15-1)
R7 - #11 Miacomet (10-1)
R8 - #9 Whelen Springs (20-1)
R9 - #6 US Navy Cross (12-1)

Investing $36
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/8 SUNDAY Results - I was correct, the long shots were hitting yesterday. Unfortunately, not the ones I was on.

OAKLAWN
R1 - #7 Holding Pattern (12-1) winner $7.00 $3.20 (bet down to 5-2!)
R2 - #4 Backgate Red (8-1)
R3 - #4 Huge Bigly (10-1)
R4 - #3 Morning Snow (15-1)
R5 - #5 Heythere Jogeegirl (6-1)
R6 - #3 Leola (15-1)
R7 - #11 Miacomet (10-1) 3rd
R8 - #9 Whelen Springs (20-1)
R9 - #6 US Navy Cross (12-1)

36/10.20
running total - 1,950/1,359.90
 

Member
Joined
Nov 12, 2018
Messages
23,100
Tokens
running total - 1,950/1,359.90
Good job here Mel. It is tough laying them all out up front . I am sure you make real adjustments when wagering
which are not reflected in your overall results . Anyway always appreciate the effort and information being laid out .
Thx

yes
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
Good job here Mel. It is tough laying them all out up front . I am sure you make real adjustments when wagering
which are not reflected in your overall results . Anyway always appreciate the effort and information being laid out .
Thx

yes
Oh yes, absolutely - this was just an exercise to see how I would do under extreme limitations. One of the things I've discovered is many of my selections (which I make early in the morning), seem to get bet down significantly at post time. Shows me I'm seeing the horses that the morning line maker undervalued, but doesn't help the ROI.
I can tell you I'm doing much better than 70% return over the last 3 months in my wagering account. Also, although I bet many of the selections I post here, I usually lay off or bet very light if the track happens to go wet.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/12 THURSDAY

GULFSTREAM
R4 - # 4 All About Lucky (10-1)
R5 - #1 Right On Richie (4-1)
R6 - #11 Maroon Bells (12-1) Why the hell is #8 40-1 on ML? Am I missing something?
R7 - #5 Double Play King (6-1)
R8 - #3 Timmy M (6-1)
R9 - #1 Victory Line (8-1)

AQUEDUCT
R4 - #8 Tap It Up (5-2)
R8 - #5 London Gold (6-1)

investing $32
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/12 THURSDAY Results

GULFSTREAM
R4 - # 4 All About Lucky (10-1)
R5 - #1 Right On Richie (4-1) placed $5.80
R6 - #11 Maroon Bells (12-1)
R7 - #5 Double Play King (6-1) winner $13.00 $5.20
R8 - #3 Timmy M (6-1) 3rd
R9 - #1 Victory Line (8-1)

AQUEDUCT
R4 - #8 Tap It Up (5-2) scratched
R8 - #5 London Gold (6-1)

28/24
running total - 1,978/1,383.90 (0.70)
 

Member
Joined
Mar 15, 2020
Messages
10,379
Tokens
1/13 FRIDAY

AQU
R2 - #4 Run Devil (6-1)
R7 - #7 Braciole (4-1)

FG
R3 - #5 Izeondec (9-2)
R6 - #4 Vale (5-1)

OP
R2 - #4 Flatout Winner (6-1)
R7 - #3 Plausible Denile (3-1)

TAM
R1 - #4 Luvisanaki (6-1)
R4 - #1 Golden Tone (8-1)

Investing $32
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,839
Messages
13,454,883
Members
99,431
Latest member
fxgxfbwin79
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com