i'm going on record right now...BIG BROWN will win the kentucky derby

Search

New member
Joined
Jan 1, 2007
Messages
1,316
Tokens
fact is....when kent decides to stay here instead of going to dubai....

is a good enough reason to think hes the best horse he's ever ridden

watch kents head when he turns for home in that youtube video
 

New member
Joined
Sep 4, 2005
Messages
455
Tokens
There's one of these horses every year. He's pretty much gunna have to win the Florida Derby to have enough graded earnings just to run in the Kentucky Derby.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2005
Messages
6,676
Tokens
Pyro looks like a steamroller to me. Pyro has a good shot. No horse will be over 4-1 to be the favorite.


Big Brown didn't show me much in that cheap ass race.
 

''AKA'' MONGO SLADE FROM BROOKLAND, NY
Joined
Mar 20, 2007
Messages
815
Tokens
i will be in vegas 28th-30th i will make sure to bet alittle on this horse !
thanks guys !:103631605
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
22,529
Tokens
fact is....when kent decides to stay here instead of going to dubai....

is a good enough reason to think hes the best horse he's ever ridden

watch kents head when he turns for home in that youtube video

best horse he's ever ridden now that is good stuff! great thread love talken horses in the main forum!
 

powdered milkman
Joined
Aug 4, 2006
Messages
22,984
Tokens
:dancefool
best horse he's ever ridden now that is good stuff! great thread love talken horses in the main forum!
ya didnt kent ride kostroma for gary jones?........i mean nice win but best horse ever?
 

New member
Joined
Apr 20, 2000
Messages
3,293
Tokens
I love for this to happen. I can't wait till Saturday to see what the horse can do
 

New member
Joined
Aug 20, 2003
Messages
1,946
Tokens
Lightly raced horses never seem to do well in the Kentucky Derby. If Big Brown does win in Florida, he will have two strong trends going against him.

A horse with four or fewer career starts has not won the Derby since Exterminator in 1918. That was 90 years ago. Curlin, the most talented 3-year-old last year, was the latest horse to fall to that trend.

Also, Derby winners with only two preps as a 3-year-old were Street Sense in 2007, Sunny's Halo in 1983 and before that it was Jet Pilot in 1947. So with Street Sense breaking this trend last year, that's twice in the last 61 years. Street Sense had much more seasoning and experience heading into the Derby than Big Brown will have.



It looks like things got a little tougher for your horse as Big Brown drew post # 12 for Saturday.

http://www.drf.com/news/article/93235.html

For a horse who has won just two races six months apart, Big Brown has become the buzz horse of this year's Kentucky Derby. Off those two wins, including a victory March 5 in a first-level allowance race at Gulfstream Park, he has been installed as the morning-line favorite for the Grade 1, $1 million Florida Derby on Saturday at Gulfstream.

Nothing has stopped him so far. Not his feet, which have been plagued by quarter cracks in both front hooves. Not a change of trainers, from Patrick Reynolds to Richard Dutrow Jr. following his debut win last September. Not a switch of surfaces, from grass in his debut to dirt in his second start. And certainly not the inferior horses he has dusted by a combined margin of 24 lengths.

But in order to make the field for the May 3 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs, Big Brown is going to have to clear several significant hurdles on Saturday, most notably a steep rise in competition and a dreadful post position.

Big Brown landed the outside post when 12 3-year-olds were entered on Wednesday for the Florida Derby. Many of the other well-regarded runners in the race are outside, too, including Face the Cat (post 11), Majestic Warrior (10), Hey Byrn (9), and Elysium Fields (8).

Bill Mott, the trainer of Majestic Warrior, was disappointed in the draw. "It's as far outside as I could be to still consider running," Mott said from the Payson Park training center in Florida, where he is based in the winter. "At least it's not 11 or 12. Right now, we're in."

Ah, posts 11 and 12. Going 1 1/8 miles on the main track at Gulfstream, with a short run to the first turn, the outside posts are like the Bermuda Triangle. Since Gulfstream reconfigured its track four years ago, posts 11 (0 for 18) and 12 (0 for 11) are a combined 0 for 29 at 1 1/8 miles, the distance of the Florida Derby. Barbaro won from post 10 two years ago, but he was Barbaro.

Yet despite those grim stats, Dutrow professed no concern over the post.

"I like it," he said via telephone. "He's not going to get in trouble in the race. As long as he breaks good, I think it's going to be to our advantage. It eliminates any chance of him getting into trouble. He'll get a clean trip, which is half the battle going in.

"Look, I wish he was outside in a seven-horse field, but we're going to take it. We're not going to cry. We get to play the intimidator from out there, instead of being intimidated. We are ready, babe."

Chuck Streva, the line-maker at Gulfstream, made Big Brown the 3-1 favorite, with Elysium Fields next at 4-1. The Florida Derby is the 10th race on a 12-race card, and it will be shown live on ESPN2 in a one-hour telecast beginning at 5 p.m. Eastern.
 

New member
Joined
Feb 14, 2006
Messages
1,879
Tokens
Pyro looks like a steamroller to me. Pyro has a good shot. No horse will be over 4-1 to be the favorite.


Big Brown didn't show me much in that cheap ass race.
Pyro will NOT hit the board on derby day ......... he has ''' LOOKED GOOD '' but his figs don't lie.
 
Last edited:

ATP

New member
Joined
Apr 16, 2007
Messages
5,713
Tokens
couple weeks ago i narrowed my choice to big brown, barrier reef and georgie boy, got big brown at 25-1 after that smashing score in last
 

New member
Joined
Sep 4, 2005
Messages
455
Tokens
Honestly, backing a horse to win the derby off of a 1X off the turf event is quite silly, but what the hell do I know.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 20, 2003
Messages
17,238
Tokens
Proper bump for a horse that just won very impressively and will be the favorite come Derby day.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
22,529
Tokens
I was so wrong wrong wrong..


only chance for others is a huge
bounce Derby day or if he hates that track surface. he sort of ran his Derby winning race today but maybe he is so good he can just always win like that.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
4,245
Tokens
christ i wish i had a bet on him at 20+ to 1....then come derby day you could just bet one of the props (the field) and hedge nicely....esp if he is overhelming favorite...
gl to those who bet him
 
Joined
Jan 19, 2006
Messages
30,208
Tokens
Wow this horse has never been tested..

Bred to go long too, so sky's the limit. Love good frontrunning horses.. Put me on the bandwagon now..

WOW
 

New member
Joined
Aug 20, 2003
Messages
1,946
Tokens
Proper bump for a horse that just won very impressively and will be the favorite come Derby day.

Impressive win for sure. He set strong fractions and then just ran away from the field. Desormeaux looked back at the quarter pole like "Where is everybody?"
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,109,921
Messages
13,464,111
Members
99,499
Latest member
summitfence089
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com