If you know what you are doing, you can kill playing teasers in the NFL. I play teasers every week in the NFL and I think I have lost 1 all year. You have to be smart about it though.
If you don't know what you are doing, then I agree with not playing teasers. If you do not know what you are doing, it is an easy way to bury yourself.
there is no way to know when wiseguys will move a line...when you see a line jump 2-4 points it is wiseguy money...the smaller line moves like 4.5 to 5 or 5.5 are you usually public money...Sharps money means nothing to be honest...you cant win in this game by just playing line moves...RAS and Dr Bob can move lines like 5 points sometimes because they have so many followers that once there play is released books go ahead and move the line in anticipation of the action to give the players a bad line...I think you have more success going against big line moves than betting with them
exactlySO TRUE. You will lose over time trying to piggy-back "sharp" moves. There are so many false oves nowadays, disguised to look like a big move and then the real side always comes back with a vengeance. the Rice Houston game this year comes to mind. someone in here posted something about working behind a counter at a VEgas sports book and having a "large player" come in heavy on Rice. (Which may or not have been true, however, the line dropped quickly.) Almost immediately after dropping a couple points, the "real side" came in and started betting theor balls off with two hands and pounded Houston. Houston of course rolled and everyone that thought they were getting some "inside information" got crushed. At least they didn't have to suffer though, as the game was pretty much a blowout from jumpstreet. Point being....if you're not in the room with Billy Walters or you don't have him or some of the other true "sharps" on your speed dial, then you don't TRULY know when a move is designed to fool the public and simply get themselves a better number. If you think that many of these groupd don't have people monitoring sites like these, you are sorely mistaken as well. They do. Information is a two way street. It's a market, and just like the real stock market, it is most easily and readily manipulated by the largest money.
I agree with you...don't chaseBR great stuff, but you are missing a KEY point in being sucessful. DO NOT CHASE. I spose that falls under dont raise your bets, but when people lose they tend to get all stressed about it and think that they can win it all back in one play. This is a recipe for disaster and you can have a winning record, but by doing this you will always lose in the long run. It is very hard and even I do it sometimes, money management is KEY. LOL ill prolly put 500 on ASU tonight when i usually bet 2-300. I feel pretty confident in that tho. Mariotas 2nd freshman start on the road and just there second road game this year. ASU is good on both sides of the ball and will be PUMPED UP for this game tonight
this is an interesting question because most of my guys who play ML...they play the ML faves which is dumb...playing ML faves is definitely a losing proposition over time. In NFL I would ALWAYS play the Spread and never play the dog on the ML because the spread comes into play a lot in the NFL and the lines are tighter. However with CFB I do believe playing ML dogs is the way to go especially if the line is low like 6 or less...better odds than playing the spread and with so many games the lines are looser.