HOW TO IMPROVE YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING AT SPORTS BETTING

[bongzanpoker]

sportssavant.. that's your perception of exceptional value.. if u do what you just did 100 times u'll lose. u'll lose more if u played the under to begin with.

to win at this game u have to go in armed with more than some perceived to be rational system. dog- under- monday nght ml dog to 2x bet the under its raining! game move 3.5 points bet the other side for the exceptional value.

i got a tip. give up now and try something new and constructive.
j/k
takes more.

 

[SportSavant]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>sportssavant.. that's your perception of exceptional value.. if u do what you just did 100 times u'll lose. u'll lose more if u played the under to begin with.

to win at this game u have to go in armed with more than some perceived to be rational system. dog- under- monday nght ml dog to 2x bet the under its raining! game move 3.5 points bet the other side for the exceptional value.

i got a tip. give up now and try something new and constructive.
j/k
takes more. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

, I empathize that you probably bet the over at the last minute...

Of course concede that more than simply a line move has to go into any capping system...But I enjoy waiting till the last minute & betting against public perception...today I was able to get the nets at the last minute + 3.5, heck I liked em + 2...but wait...if it goes down to 1.5....well fvck it, No play, more games tomorrow....but if it gets higher, as it did...why not bang it....

By the way, Ill take you on your challenge of 100 games smartalec...learn some manners

 

[NoTax]

This is BS advise

 

[bongzanpoker]

they laugh when they win. 90% of the people here lose. ill take my chances you're one of them.

the first thing u say - laughing out loud empathising that i probably bet the over. me learn manners? ok, sorry for being so rude. u probably think i'm being sarcastic but im trying to educate you. u r wasting your time but please keep 'bangin' away. i love you for it.

keep picking those winners..

 

[bongzanpoker]

just read the post again. seems my manners eluded me. ill read over my replies before i post them, cheers!

 

[TEASERGURU]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by FISHHEAD:
This is Saddlebrook......my home is somewhere in the background of those trees. I have a very small treehouse.

http://www.saddlebrook.com/images/real/homepic.jpg <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

 

[Fishhead]

Teaser-

I dont believe in mortgages.

LOL!

PS- The house that I sold in Vegas less than 2 years ago has appreciated $35,000 since I sold it.

Just wonderful.....

 

[SportSavant]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>they laugh when they win. 90% of the people here lose. ill take my chances you're one of them.

the first thing u say - laughing out loud empathising that i probably bet the over. me learn manners? ok, sorry for being so rude. u probably think i'm being sarcastic but im trying to educate you. u r wasting your time but please keep 'bangin' away. i love you for it.

keep picking those winners.. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> just read the post again. seems my manners eluded me. ill read over my replies before i post them, cheers! <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

bongz, not sure what to make of your second post...sincerity or sarcasm....

nonetheless, I find that there are generally 2 categories of posters here at the RX.

1) The type that enjoys the business/hobby of wagering on sports, enjoys comaraderie, is looking for good solid information & is friendly & helpful when it comes to exchanging ideas on the net. This type realizes that they can never know enough not to learn more & if they see someone who can benefit from their knowledge they offer insight/information in a friendly fashion...LIKE AN ADULT.

Then there is

2) The type who feels that they know everything, claim to be among the 5% of elite who make $$$$ at this business...ridicule & mock other posters for their thoughts & opinions...They remarkably, however, do not offer any insight into their thoughts simply blindly shouting them out....

so far, with your 17 posts here, I fear you fall into the second category...it is too bad becauz you probably do have some good information to share....

***Betting against a publically backed position at the last minute when the line has been pounded to smitherines, regardless of what you may think, is, IMHO, a smart play...I concede that it should not be the only factor one looks at when handicapping a game, but trust me when I say it is a HUUUGGEEE indicator....Especially if the play is on an UNDER or a DOG, & probably more so in the PRO's than in the COLLEGE's...but true nonetheless.

Here is hoping that your second quote was sincere & that you will not just be a waste of space here at the RX...

 

[LucaBrasi]

Savant - well done............

 

[SportSavant]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Wise guys aren’t just handicapping the NCAA tournament. They realize good betting situations develop, too, in the NIT. But if a number on an NCAA tournament game begins to run away, with the public perhaps hammering a public favorite, a professional gambler will look to step in and grab the ‘dog near post with a big wager giving the bookmaker his two-way action.

“In the NCAA tournament many amateur bettors enter the betting world for the first time all season,” said professional handicapper Ted Sevransky. “These square bettors tend to back popular favorites, and generally don’t know a lot about the schools from the smaller conferences. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>


bongz I didnt write this, just noticed it in the article Dante Posted...

 

[bongzanpoker]

sorry for coming off like that.. reading some of posts here recently it doesnt seem like there are too many people serious about finding an edge. not a bad thing.

ok, in reagrd to a large line move, usually other events are making a line change and not the weight of public moeny - if the line is right the bookmakers win their theoretical. they may move it a 0.5 point if risk becomes too large and that is may, a bad bookmaker or low funded bookmaker probably would.

in your example i think it was a college basketball total. the cause of this move was not public money and u were on the other side because it moved so far. it moved so far because the line was wrong, way wrong which does happen. the line you played at the end most likely was the right line, therefore u lose 1.5% at -107 in the long run.

bookmakers have some games were they are wrong like that, this eats a large % of their overall profit. you were with the book. granted you had 3 points better the line they did but they were getting +107 and not -107 so there goes some of your 3 points and these games with a line moving that much and all wise guys on it. i just can't see how you'll make any money at all on this long term.

 

[wilheim]

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