As I stated in another thread, Tulane backers were lucky and Houston backers were not. But not a great wager for either side IMO because the linesmakers were pretty much spot on.
As far as motivation goes, to me it is impossible to judge motivation - at least statistically. How do I know Auburn wasn't trying as hard as they could have? Maybe they were trying their best and Tulane was up to the task. Or, maybe Tulane had a good scheme. I think many handicappers have a good feel for that stuff, but I don't. So, I stick to the statistics and assume that everyone was giving 100% effort. But I also understand that they don't play the games on paper, and statistics don't tell the whole story. But no matter what you use, if you have a good system, and it is proven over time, then you should stick by it, and use the information that you see and hear to help.
My take, FWIW.
WEEK 5:
FRIDAY:
AIR FORCE -18.5 Over San Jose State - $110/$100
SATURDAY:
WISCONSIN -23.5 Over Northwestern - $110/$100
WAKE FOREST -6.5 Over Boston College - $230/$200
BUFFALO +1.5 Over Miami, OH - $110/$100
IOWA -24 Over Middle Tennessee - $100/$100
WASHINGTON STATE/UTAH OVER 56 - $110/$100
KENTUCKY/SOUTH CAROLINA OVER 50.5 - $110/$100
NORTHERN ILLINOIS/VANDERBILT OVER 54.5 - $110/$100
KANSAS STATE +5 Over Oklahoma State - $220/$200
TEXAS TECH +27.5 Over Oklahoma - $110/$100
COASTAL CAROLINA +15.5 Over Appalachian State - $220/$200
SOUTH ALABAMA +16 Over Louisiana Monroe - $220/$200
SOUTHERN MISS -26.5 Over UTEP - $110/$100
EXTRA:
PITT -27 Over Delaware - $120/$100
FRIDAY:
AIR FORCE -18.5 Over San Jose State - $110/$100
SATURDAY:
WISCONSIN -23.5 Over Northwestern - $110/$100
WAKE FOREST -6.5 Over Boston College - $230/$200
BUFFALO +1.5 Over Miami, OH - $110/$100
IOWA -24 Over Middle Tennessee - $100/$100
WASHINGTON STATE/UTAH OVER 56 - $110/$100
KENTUCKY/SOUTH CAROLINA OVER 50.5 - $110/$100
NORTHERN ILLINOIS/VANDERBILT OVER 54.5 - $110/$100
KANSAS STATE +5 Over Oklahoma State - $220/$200
TEXAS TECH +27.5 Over Oklahoma - $110/$100
COASTAL CAROLINA +15.5 Over Appalachian State - $220/$200
SOUTH ALABAMA +16 Over Louisiana Monroe - $220/$200
SOUTHERN MISS -26.5 Over UTEP - $110/$100
EXTRA:
PITT -27 Over Delaware - $120/$100
Week 5's title - How to Get Your Ass Kicked. It can't get much worse than that. Best thing to do is wash that one away and move forward.
WEEK 1 - 9-5-1 +$610 ($2270 RISKED)
WEEK 2 - 7-4 +$435 ($1705 RISKED)
WEEK 3 - 9-6 +$310 ($2140 RISKED)
WEEK 4 - 7-7-1 +$110 ($2125 RISKED)
WEEK 5 - 2-12 -$1,370 ($1990 RISKED)
TOTAL - 34-34-1 - 50.00% - +$95 ($10,230 RISKED) - +0.92% ROI
WEEK 1 - 9-5-1 +$610 ($2270 RISKED)
WEEK 2 - 7-4 +$435 ($1705 RISKED)
WEEK 3 - 9-6 +$310 ($2140 RISKED)
WEEK 4 - 7-7-1 +$110 ($2125 RISKED)
WEEK 5 - 2-12 -$1,370 ($1990 RISKED)
TOTAL - 34-34-1 - 50.00% - +$95 ($10,230 RISKED) - +0.92% ROI
WEEK 6 PLAYS:
PENN STATE/PURDUE OVER 56 - $220/$200
WISCONSIN -36 Over Kent - $110/$100
MISSOURI -25 Over Troy - $110/$100
ARIZONA/COLORADO OVER 63.5 - $220/$200
SAN DIEGO STATE/COLORADO STATE UNDER 51.5 - $110/$100
GEORGIA/TENNESSEE UNDER 52.5 - $110/$100
BUFFALO +3.5 Over Ohio - $330/$300
VANDERBILT/OLE MISS OVER 62 - $110/$100
MARSHALL/MIDDLE TENNESSEE OVER 56 - $110/$100
MEMPHIS -14.5 Over Louisiana-Monroe - $220/$200
UTAH STATE +28 Over Lsu - $220/$200
BOISE STATE -21.5 Over Unlv - $110/$100
PENN STATE/PURDUE OVER 56 - $220/$200
WISCONSIN -36 Over Kent - $110/$100
MISSOURI -25 Over Troy - $110/$100
ARIZONA/COLORADO OVER 63.5 - $220/$200
SAN DIEGO STATE/COLORADO STATE UNDER 51.5 - $110/$100
GEORGIA/TENNESSEE UNDER 52.5 - $110/$100
BUFFALO +3.5 Over Ohio - $330/$300
VANDERBILT/OLE MISS OVER 62 - $110/$100
MARSHALL/MIDDLE TENNESSEE OVER 56 - $110/$100
MEMPHIS -14.5 Over Louisiana-Monroe - $220/$200
UTAH STATE +28 Over Lsu - $220/$200
BOISE STATE -21.5 Over Unlv - $110/$100
