Friday 11/23/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

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GUS AUGUSTINE

They had a little against the spread roll there for a spell, as Arkansas was on a 4-game cover streak in SEC play through October 20th, but the Hogs have failed the number in 2 of their last 3, and their defense continues to yield big yards and big points in conference play which makes this trek to Columbia on Friday shape up to be a blowout win for the Tigers.

The Razorbacks are allowing nearly 35 points per game, and they just absorbed a rather horrific 52-6 pounding on the SEC road in Starkville just last weekend to fall to 2-9 in Chad Morris' first year at the helm in Fayetteville.

Missouri turned things up a notch last weekend in Knoxville where they ripped a Tennessee team that had been playing pretty competitive football, as the Tigers cruised to a 50-17 road win and cover. Led by quarterback Drew Lock who will be playing in his final regular season home game, and is "just" 6 TD passes away from 100 for his career in Columbia, look for Lock to have a field day against a Hogs defense that will now also be minus a pair of their starting defensive backs in Curl and Pulley who have been suspended for this game.

Mizzou has been a strong against the spread team in the month of November with 6 covers in their last 8 games, and they have also covered in 7 of their last 10 games played in front of the home crowd. Speaking of the home crowd, coach Barry Odom has personally shelled out money for over 1,000 tickets as he said he wants to see the stadium rocking for the regular season finale on senior day.

The Razorbacks offense has only been able average just over 19 points per game for their last 4, and they have scored just 23 total points in their last 2 losses. That kind of offense, or should I say LACK of offense is not going to cut it against Lock and the Tigers.

Big score rung up today at home. Let's called this one Missouri 52, and Arkansas 17. Lay it!

4* MISSOURI

 

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RAY CHADWICK

Hurtful loss for the Mountaineers last week in Stillwater, as West Virginia was nipped, 45-41 by Oklahoma State. One thing did remain the same though for West Virginia, as they once again wound up in the 40's. Will Grier has helped his team score 41, 47 and 42 points in his last 3 games, and in the game prior he help post 58 points! The Heisman Hopeful will surely be firing away tonight against another Heisman Hopeful in Kyler Murray of Oklahoma.

Murray has accounted for 44 total touchdowns this year, 34 of them through the air! The bottom line is the Sooners are going to put the pigskin in the end-zone. OU has scored 45 points or better in each of their last 7 games, and all 7 of those games have landed Over the total. For the year, Lincoln Riley's team is 10-1 Over, and with the weather looking very good for this time of year in Morgantown, another big offensive effort is upcoming for the Sooners.

West Virginia has played each of their last 4 games, and 5 of their last 7 on the year Over the total as well.

You can see why the oddsmakers have jacked this total up as high as is it.

With this game going out on ESPN, and with it being billed as a battle of quarterbacks that are in line to hoist the Heisman Trophy at the end of the season, look for this on to live up to the hype.

Murray and Grier tonight will be like Mahomes and Goff this past Monday night.

Points a-plenty.

Sooners-Mountaineers Over the total.

4* OKLAHOMA-WEST VIRGINIA OVER

 

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BRANDON LEE

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Oregon State +19.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Beavers keeping this closer than expected. I just think this is one of those games where the books know the public wants absolutely nothing to do with Oregon State and will be pounding the Ducks.

I completely understand why you would want to back Oregon State. If all things were equal, the Ducks should beat a team like the Beavers by at least 20-points. The thing is, crazy things happen in these rivalry games and this is a real tricky spot for a team like Oregon. Sure there’s in-state bragging rights on the line, but when you have dominated a series like the Ducks have, it’s hard to get the juices flowing like it’s a do-or-die scenario. Especially with no real incentive for winning this game. The only difference being they finish 8-4 instead of 7-5.

On the flip side of this, this game means everything to the Beavers. A win here and while the Beavers would still be sitting at 3-9, it would be a big accomplishment for first year head coach Jonathan Smith, who is trying to bring this program back to respectability. Smith and his staff will be coaching their tails off and doing whatever they can to get their players to play their hearts out. I think we get that max effort here from the Beavers at home.

Whether it’s enough for them to pull off the upset I don’t know, but I think they can keep it within the number. The biggest key to the Beavers being able to cover is they have an offense that has shown they can put points on the board and Oregon’s defense is one that can be exploited. Give me the Beavers +19.5!

 

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Elite Sports Picks

CFB C. Florida -14

 

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The Sports Consensus

CFB Wash. St. -2.5

 

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Profit On Sports

CFB Missouri over 59.5

 

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Primetime Sports Picks

CBB Texas A&M under 147

 

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Top Rank Sports Picks

CFB Memphis -9

 

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Doc's Picks

CFB Nebraska +7.5

 

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National Sports Service

CFB Kansas over 49

 

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Valley Sports

#142 West Virginia

 

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Vegas Hotsheet

#143 Washington

 

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FRANK SAWYER
NCAA-F | Nov 23, 2018
Nebraska vs.Iowa
over 52½

Take Over the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Iowa Hawkeyes. Nebraska (4-7) has won four of the last five games with their 9-6 win over Michigan State last Saturday. Despite that low-scoring game (in the snow), the Over is still 9-4-1 in the Cornhuskers’ last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road. Iowa (7-4) held Illinois to just 231 yards of offense in their 63-0 blowout victory. But the Hawkeyes have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards of offense in their last game. Iowa has also played 12 of their last 16 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

 

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Tys Terrific Tips

NCAA Football WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS ‑2

 

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Donny action

nhl st. Louis blues +115

 

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Weekend Warrior
Mark Mayer

#144 Washington St
#124 Iowa

 

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The Last Call

Early Friday's Bonus Play: Oregon Ducks - 18 1/2

 

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MATT JOSEPHS
NCAA-B | Nov 23, 2018
UC-Davis vs. Indiana
UC-Davis+21

This seems to be too perfect of a situation to take the large underdog. Indiana could be down to seven scholarship players with three walk-ons available as well. Romeo Langford is among the many banged up players who may or may not take the court and even if he does, he won't be 100%. This team has Duke on deck so I have a feeling they may rest guys even if they are healthy. The squad didn't cover as 26 point favorites against UT-Arlington just a few days ago. UC Davis is bad offensively and they have no covered a game yet this season. They have played pretty decent defense as of late though allowing 70 points or less to three straight opponents. The Aggies don't have a ton of talent, but this could be a slower paced game and we could see the Hoosiers literally do as little as possible to get out of this before the Blue Devils. Give me the underdog and hold your nose.