Fading Top 25 teams favored at home Jan 14-end reg season

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

25 Rutg - 3x
9 Duke - 16



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627 Purdue + 3 - They are 8-0 against Rutgers since they joined Big 10. Baker, Rutgers 2nd leading scorer getting over broken hand, but I don’t trust Purdue on the road and see Rutgers not only getting first win, but covering. Pass

639 Pitt + 16x - Duke got the blowout they needed against Miami, maybe Coach K takes it easy on former player and asst coach Capel. Plus Duke has Syr, BC and NC on deck all on the road. Get a big lead then cruise to 14 point win. Or 25 pt blowout. I’m taking chance on former.

BOL tonight Guys:103631605
 

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Jan 28 Recap

Purdue got behind early, cut it to 3 with 29 seconds left, then outscored 6-2. Didn’t expect it to get that close, but glad I passed on that Dog.

Duke built 11pt halftime lead to 17 with about 13 minutes left, but a 20-6 Pitt run cut it to 3 with 4:26 remaining. However, they were outscored 11-2 to end the game, but most importantly covered the number!
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 1-1
My fading plays 1-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 25-23-2
My fading plays 16-12-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

10 SHall - 9x
13 KY - 20
14 MSU - 17x
22 LSU - 5
24 PSU - 5x


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781 DePaul + 9 - The Pirates have chalked up this win already. DePaul is 1-6 last 7 and only covered 2 of last 9. Will Pass on this Dog.

783 NW + 17 - MSU coming off blowout win at Minn now a big fav before going on road to Wisky. Going to take a chance on this Dog not getting destroyed.

785 Vandy + 20 - Normally don’t see high lines like this unless it’s Gonzaga in against their overmatched conference opponents. Not touching this flea infested Dog!

809 Bama + 5x - LSU’s last 5 wins have been by 4pts or less. Let’s make it 6 close games in a row.

843 Ind + 5x - PSU is 10-1 at home, maybe they get 11-1 but expecting a close game.

:103631605To a winning day!
 

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Jan 29 recap

SHall faced a determined DePaul group and didn’t take the lead until about 5 minutes left. Down 7 with 23 seconds left DePaul didn’t foul and covered.

The infested Dog was NW, not Vandy who played tough and was actually up 10 early 2H before KY decided to wake up, win, but no blowout like MSU did to NW.

LSU took a big 1H lead and never looked back.

Ind only down 1 with 15:37 left 2H outscored 31-17.

Did a poor job by falling for popular Dogs and didn’t take into consideration motivation by big chalk. That had worked for me earlier and I should always keep in mind motivation and be leery of popular Dogs.
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 3-2
My fading plays 0-3 :>(

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 28-25-2
My fading plays 16-15-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

19 ILL - 5
15 Mary - 5x


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627 Minn + 6 - Minn being outscored by 5 on the road, ILL only out scored last two opponents at home by 4 and 3. This should keep Illini focused and get a win and cover. Pass on the Dog.

647 Iowa + 5x - Iowa on a roll but 4 of last 5 wins have been at home. Let’s see if Big 10 teams continue to not cover on the road. Pass on this Dog as well.
 

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Jan 30 Recap

Minn made it 51-52 with 1:51 left but never scored again, losing 59-51.

Iowa was never in the game 2H until cutting it to 8 with 35 seconds but couldn’t get the cover.

This will be last recap update, not adding much value.
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 0-2
My fading plays 0-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 28-27-2
My fading plays 16-15-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

None


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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

10 SHall - 8
8 Vill - 6
22 LSU - 12
12 WV - 12
16 But - 8x
1 Bay - 12x
3 Kan - 9
7 Day - 25
17 Aub - 3
4 SDSt - 7x


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601 Xav + 8 - Xavier comes in losers 5 of 6. Line has dropped to 8 but I will Pass on this public Dog.

603 Creigh + 6 - IMO if Creigh gets to 70 they cover. I am betting they do.

609 Miss + 11x - Ol Piss avg 62 on road games, LSU 82 last 5....no reason LSU shouldn’t cover, exactly why I’m taking Miss.

627 KST + 12x - Similar stats to the two above but WV coming off loss to TT so I’m Passing on this Dog.

645 Prov + 7 - Butler righted the ship with a couple wins. Now Providence needs more than a close loss. I say they get another close loss. Taking the Dog.

693 TT + 8x - Texas Tech needs to keep this close. Even though they won a high scoring game at home against WV I think this one stays in low 70’s and the Dog covers.

697 TCU + 11x - Another offensively challenged team which should have no chance in covering. I’m betting on Baylor not giving it their all and the Dog gets a cover.

709 Fordham + 24 - If Dayton scores over 74 they probably cover. Crazy to even touch this game but Dayton probably looking past this game so bark Dog and lose by 23!

731 KY + 3 - I don’t trust Auburn to win or cover.

811 UtSt + 7 - UtSt has won and covered 4 of 5. This is tied for lowest line for SDSt last 8 since they won by 9 at UtSt as 3 pt Dog. They win and cover again. Pass on this Dog.
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 3-7
My fading plays 5-2

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 31-34-2
My fading plays 21-17-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

18 Iowa - 4x


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843 ILL + 4x - Illinois has proven they can win on the road in Big 10 and maybe that is why this line is under 5. If you like the Dog maybe wait to get 5? I think Iowa wins another at home and covers so I will Pass on this live Dog.
 

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Today’s
Top 25 at home ATS 1-0
My fading plays 0-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 32-34-2
My fading plays 21-17-1


Glad Iowa finished last 5 minutes on 13-6 run as I played them.
 

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