Fading Top 25 teams favored at home Jan 14-end reg season

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Jan 20 recap

WV was out to make a statement and was easy to do when TX put up 20 1H. Bad call on TX and way to give up almost 100.

Bay turned 8 pt lead with 1:40 left into 2 with 42 seconds and OU missed 3 ptr for potential upset. Did Baylor do a poor job of handling pressure of being number 1??
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 1-1
My fading plays 1-1

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 10-10-1
My fading plays 9-6
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

3 Kan - 15
9 Vill - 3x
15 KY - 11x
8 Duke-17x
4 SDSt-23


Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays
 

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601 Butler + 3x - Butler has lost last two and needs a win. Nova has won 4 straight and most have been close. Let’s see if Butler gets a “meaningless” 3 at the end and loses by 3 or less.

603 KSt + 17 - Biggest cupcake Kansas will have in their next 7 games. The only reason I’m playing this game is the in state rivalry. That may also be the reason why the Jayhawks want to destroy the WildCats:think2:

613 Geo + 11x - Geo was awful in 32 pt loss at MSU. I would consider playing this but since they just played Jan 7th at Geo and lost by 9 I’m going to pass.

633 Mia + 18x - Mia coming off tough OT loss to FSU and add to that Duke has to be pissed after losing two in a row, plus they beat Miami by 33 back on Jan 4th. I wouldn’t be totally surprised if they only lose by 15 but I’m not betting they will! Pass

647 Wyo + 23 - Wyo brings their 5-15 record and 20pt home loss already to SDSt into tonight’s game. They can’t shoot, can’t rebound and probably won’t cover. Only chance is if SDSt completely overlooks this game as I’m sure the players have counted this win and looking ahead to next two road games. Still a Pass for me.
 

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Jan 21 recap

Butler made one run to cut lead to 4 with 11 minutes left but they didn’t have it last night.

Stupid kids on both sides. KST should not have stole the ball but it in no way warrants the behavior by De Sousa. On a side note I had Kan-5x 2H and those two FT’s made it a 4pt 2H.

Geo was down 15 with 1:55 left but finished with 9-4 run. Although no scoring final 56 seconds so I don’t feel too bad about passing.

Duke - mission accomplished, up 9-2 and never looked back.

Wyo down 18 with 4 minutes left but played tough to only lose by 17. Clearly I didn’t expect that.:ohno:
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 3-2
My fading plays 0-2 :ohno:

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 13-12-1
My fading plays 9-8
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

6 Lou - 13x
7 Day - 15x
16 Aub - 10x
10 S H - 8x
19 Iowa-5x


Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays
 

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783 GT + 13x - Facing Louis team who has David Johnson back and on a 4 game win streak. GT near the bottom in turnovers. No reason why Louis should be concerned about the Yellow Jackets. But why only 13 point fav at home? Rolling the dice on the Dog to stay within the number.

789 StBon + 17x - Dayton coming off rally win at StL and facing Bonnies who got rolled by 28 by VCU. No wonder line has moved higher. I wonder why I am playing Bonnies to stay within the number?

839 Rutg + 5x - Iowa has been good at home and I’m a little surprised that the line is under 6. I’m still going to Pass on this Dog.

813 S Car + 11 - Cocks are standing tall after two big wins. Aub #4 ranking took a big hit after losses to Bama and Florida. I think this one plays out like Duke and Auburn stomps on the Gamecocks. Pass

833 Prov + 9 - Facing Pirate team looking for 9 in a row. They will get it but I’m counting on Friars to keep it within double digits.


Didn’t mean to get those out of order..dang IPhone spacing and not paying close enough attention...

BOL tonight :103631605
 

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Jan 22 recap

Louis came out flat, down 6 at half but pulled out the 4pt win. Nice Dog cover in the flat spot.

Bonnies got behind early and never had a chance with Dayton shooting 65% to their 41%.

Rutgers was down 9 with 4:40 left, took the lead with 2:32 left, but couldn’t pull off the upset. Missed out on this winner but passed on the SC loser so breakeven on passes plays.

Aub up 21 with over 7 minutes left, scored only TWO points remainder of game but held on for the cover.

The dreaded stupid foul cost the Dog cover...down 7 with 20 seconds....yeah wild things happen and you have to fight until the end (just not when I had the Dog). Push better than loss.
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 2-2-1
My fading plays 1-1-1

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 15-14-2
My fading plays 10-9-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

25 Hou - 8x
23 Col - 13x
12 Ore - 9

Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays
 

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663 UConn + 9 - They are coming off two hard fought losses. I think they may have one of those road game like they did against Cincy and SFlor so a pass for me. (Check if Willie plays them)

673 WSU + 13 - Coming off wins over both Oregon schools but a 13 point Dog?? Pass

681 USC + 9x - Coming off that wild OT win versus Stanford, expect a letdown. Pass

Watch all 3 dogs cover....just don’t have a decent feel for any of their situations.
 

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Jan 23 Recap

UConn played a great game and didn’t lose their 2H lead until under 3 minutes. Easy cover for UConn.

WSU was within 4 with 12:12 remaining and then scored an impressive SIX points the remainder of the game...Wow.

Oregon blew a 9pt lead with about 7 minutes to go in regulation then in 2OT won by that 9 points. Depending on what number you played that could have been a bad beat.
 

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Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 2-1
My fading plays 0-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 17-15-2
My fading plays 10-9-1
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

13 But - 6


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867 Marq + 6x - Combining Butler really needing a statement win after 3 straight losses and Marq has been thumped on the road at Creigh and S Hall, I will Pass on this Dog.
 

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Jan 24 recap

Butler either isn’t who we thought they were, or Marquette played one hell of a game. Butler was up 7 with 37 seconds left in OT but did not cover.

Let’s see if another #1 team bites the dust today!
 

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Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

14 WVir - 12x
16 Aub - 8x
6 Louis - 9x
24 Rutg - 13
3 Kan - 13
20 Mem - 4x
18 TxTch - 4
5 FSU. - 8
23 Col. - 8
2 Gonz - 20x


Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays
 

Member
Joined
Feb 16, 2016
Messages
13,680
Tokens
Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 0-1
My fading plays 0-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 17-16-2
My fading plays 10-9-1
 

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