Fading Top 25 teams favored at home Jan 14-end reg season

[TimmyRules]

Jan 15 Quick Recap

But outscored 28-15 last 10 minutes. They let The Hall play their style...bad move, like me passing on this fade.

Virg hit big 3 with 6 seconds left or a miss, foul, 2 made FT’s could have been 7 pt win.

ISU leading scorer only had 6, 10 below avg. 55 pts not anywhere near the 78 they were averaging.

 

[TimmyRules]

Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 1-2
My fading plays 1-1

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 3-4
My fading plays 3-2

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

22 Memp-4x

1 Gonz-20


Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays

 

[TimmyRules]

629 Cincy + 4x - This could be a low scoring defensive battle. If this stays in low 60’s maybe the Cincy 7 footer Vogt is the difference. Taking a chance it plays out that way.

699 S Clara + 19x - Their third game in a row on the road has me concerned that I made this fade play. If they don’t score near 70 they probably don’t cover. The Zags are only 4-6 ATS at home so let’s hope the backups get plenty of late action in a comfortable (less than 20 pt) win.

 

[indiana]

T/Rules...…..BOL tonight with your action buddy...…..indy

 

[TimmyRules]

Jan 16 Recap

Cincy cut it to 3 with 5:16, then outscored 13-5. 30% FG and 58% FT shooting isn’t good enough.

Santa Clara - :hammerit 30% FG and 47% FT shooting....70 wouldn’t have been enough when you give up 104!

 

[TimmyRules]

Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 2-0
My fading plays 0-2

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 5-4
My fading plays 3-4

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

15 MichSt - 9x



Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays

 

[TimmyRules]

861 Wisc + 9x - Wisky beat PSU, OSU and TN on the road recently but MSU just got thumped by Purdue and I expect them to do to Wis what they have done at home to Min, Mich, and ILL. I will not fade MSU, either a pass or play on MSU, but for this thread No Play.

I’m sure we will have plenty to choose from on Saturday.

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

14 Vill - 9x
17 Mary - 5
16 WichSt - NL
23 TxTch - NL
25 Creigh - NL
24 Illinois - NL
3 Duke - 7x
7 SDSt - NL
1 Gonz - NL


Back tomorrow with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays

 

[TimmyRules]

Jan 17 recap

MSU up 23 with 6:24 left then made it interesting by being outscored 13-2.

 

[TimmyRules]

Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 1-0
My fading plays 0-0

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 6-4
My fading plays 3-4

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

14 Vill - 10
17 Mary - 5x
16 WichSt - 3x
23 TxTch - 7x
25 Creigh - 7
24 Illinois - 12
3 Duke - 8
7 SDSt - 13
1 Gonz - 13


Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays

 

[TimmyRules]

615 Conn + 9x - Conn coming off double OT loss to WichSt is concerning but that was Sunday and they should be ready to keep this one within double digits against Nova. (If Willie is on Nova don’t play UConn !)

657 Purd + 6 - Coming off big win against MSU, now facing Mary who let their O at home when losing last two on the road. I expect Mary focused so will pass on this one.

713 Hou + 4x - Hou has won last 3 against WichSt. Had the Shockers not lost their last game I would be more confident (plus line going up) but I am going to take a chance that this game stays close.

715 IwSt + 8 - I backed ISU at Baylor and they shot 40% in 13 point loss. I’m going to be a little stubborn and back them again as I expect a better performance from Haliburton.

733 Prov + 7 - Friars starting the 1st of 4 tough games against ranked teams. Creigh won’t be ranked after this week as they lost 3 of 4. Based on line Vegas expecting an angry Bluejays team. I think we may be getting a couple extra points so I’m nervously playing Prov.

737 NW + 12 - NW limping in having lost 6 of 7, but only 1 of those by double digits. Illinois has 5 tougher games on deck and I expect NW to keep this in-state rivalry game close enough.

763 Louis + 8 - I think we are getting extra points after Duke lost at Clemson. I will take my chances getting 8! Plus Duke injuries may help.

803 Nevada + 13 - Nev likes uptempo and SDSt loves D holding opponents to 27% from 3pt range. As of now I’m passing on this one.

819 BYU + 12 - This line has dropped even though their leading scorer is out (his replacement scored 21 going 8-8). BYU can score but as of now I’m passing as that 50 point beat down is fresh in my mind.

Good luck to all. Ton of games today!

 

[TimmyRules]

Jan 18 recap

UConn up 4 with 4:16 left then outscored 14-5 but easy cover.

Purdue was only down 3 with 3:52 but didn’t score remainder of game to lose the cover by 1. Glad I stayed away.

Hou scored the 1st point and never trailed, easy cover!

ISU leading scorer only had 13, ISU shot 36%. I’ve lost two in a row with them so will be tough to back them anytime soon.

Prov had 5 pt lead with 1:41 to go but didn’t score remainder of game, but we had enough points for the cover!

NW was down 9 with 3:50 remaining but fought tough against rival and kept it within the number.

Louisville dominated from the start, Duke made it a game tying at 66 but were outscored 13-7 to end the game.

Two games remaining but I have no action on either. Will update recap and record in the morning.

 

[TimmyRules]

Jan 18 recap

UConn up 4 with 4:16 left then outscored 14-5 but easy cover.

Purdue was only down 3 with 3:52 but didn’t score remainder of game to lose the cover by 1. Glad I stayed away.

Hou scored the 1st point and never trailed, easy cover!

ISU leading scorer only had 13, ISU shot 36%. I’ve lost two in a row with them so will be tough to back them anytime soon.

Prov had 5 pt lead with 1:41 to go but didn’t score remainder of game, but we had enough points for the cover!

NW was down 9 with 3:50 remaining but fought tough against rival and kept it within the number.

Louisville dominated from the start, Duke made it a game tying at 66 but were outscored 13-7 to end the game.

Nevada tied at 40 early 2H. 11 minutes later they finally score 7 but down 47-60 with 5 minutes left. Nevada missed layup and two jumpers last 27 seconds to prevent cover, but get a push.

BYU was down 53-64 with 8:27 left then outscored 28-16. Easy Zags cover. Glad I stayed away.

 

[TimmyRules]

Yesterday’s
Top 25 at home ATS 3-5-1
My fading plays 5-1

Jan 14-forward
Top 25 at home ATS 9-9-1
My fading plays 8-5

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

No top 25 teams in action today.

We can enjoy the two football games

 

[TimmyRules]

Per ESPN Top 25 scoreboard

12 WV - 9

2 Bay - 10



Back later with updated lines, rotation #’s and Plays

 

[TimmyRules]

875 Texas + 9 - Both coming into this one after a loss. WV was embarrassed at KSt and should be out for revenge as well as TX beat them at home last year. Neither team puts up a bunch of points and if TX can score 62 they should stay within double digits.

879 OU + 9x - OU has a little momentum after thumping TCU by 20 but it’s another story with Baylor. Line has dropped from 11 and I will take the chance Baylor doesn’t win by double digits, but does beat both OKlahoma teams b-t-b.

BOL today....several early games today on MLK day.