Exbookie playoff thread...let's talk

[ACE-ACE]

$2000.00 Take #109 New Orleans (-3.5) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 14)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
It is very telling that the Saints are favored in this game. That tells me that they are at least a touchdown better than the 49ers after you figure for the three-points for home field advantage. The Saints have outscored their opponents by 13 points on the season and they are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. New Orleans has covered the spread in nine straight games and they have been the best team in football. San Francisco has had a great year but they did not play a very tough schedule. Alex Smith has had a good year but I do not think he will be able to outscore Drew Brees if this one becomes a shootout. The Saints are 13-3 ATS overall and they are 21-7-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six playoff games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games.

 

[bodyforlife]

Who Dat Gonna beat Dem Niners!

 

[Sharingan]

Fack!!!

 

[ACE-ACE]

$400.00*10-Point Sweetheart Teaser: #113 Houston (+17.5) and Denver-New England 'Under' 60.0 and Houston-Baltimore 'Under' 46.0
This play is a 10-point sweetheart teaser. I am teasing the three games 10 points apiece.

$800.00*Take First Half 'Under' 25.5 Denver at New England (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 14)
I think that the New England defense is looking forward to the challenge of trying to stop Tim Tebow this week. For the past two weeks the Patriots defense has been listening to everyone tell them that they are not good enough to win a Super Bowl and that they are the weak link on this team. I expect them to have a strong outing to start. But this game could turn into a blowout in the second half or the Patriots defense could start to wane. So I am playing the first half in this game because I think the Patriots will start strong. The Patriots offense has taken a while to get going in their past two games. They didn't score against Miami in the first half and they only had 14 points in the first half against Buffalo. I like this one to be low scoring into halftime and I think that this is a solid line to play.

 

[Sharingan]

Lol. Under with Tom Brady ?

 

[Olds24]

Came to the forum today looking to see what ace picked. I was surprised to see saints large. I thought for sure hed be on the niners. Nothing even remotely pointed saints. Cmon ace. You r better than this. I imagine hes on texans as hes been all year.

 

[ACE-ACE]

$800.00 Take #113 Houston (+7.5) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 15
The Texans have been tough all season long. They are also a team that the NFL 411 System has really loved this year. The Texans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games against the AFC and they have revenge for a loss here earlier in the year. This Baltimore team has had a hard time scoring points lately. They will have an even harder time scoring against one of the top defenses in football. Baltimore has not scored over 24 points since Nov. 20. If that is the case in this game then I think having a full touchdown head start is very good value. I think this will be a low scoring game and I think it is one that Houston can win. I will take the points here

best to all

Ace

 

[ACE-ACE]

$2000.00 Take First Half #116 Green Bay (-4.5) over New York (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 15)
AND
$800.00 Take #116 Green Bay (-7.5) over New York (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 15)
I love this situation and this is one of the biggest plays I have made all year. I think that Green Bay is going to win this game in a blowout from start to finish. Right now the public is piling on the Giants. They played Green Bay close in the first game. But now they are on the road at Lambeau Field. And they have had two weeks to prepare for this Giants team. The Packers are 21-1 in their last 22 games overall and they are the defending Super Bowl champions. I do not think that they are going to lose this game and I think that their offense is going to be able to put up a lot of points against this Giants secondary. That is exactly what they did last year when they beat the Giants 45-17 on this field. Even though the Packers are the champions and they have been facing big lines all season long they are still 6-3 ATS in their last nine games. Green Bay is 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 home games and 17-7 ATS as a favorite. The Packers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall and this is another situation where they will show why they are the best team in football. Green Bay dominates this one from start to finish.

 

[Olds24]

Wow. Tough day Ace.

 

[Sharingan]

I think its going to get worst from now on. I'm officially off the wagon @_@

 

[CollegePlayer]

I hope Duke Snyder has a large bankroll. Most of us who have wagered over the last several decades or so, do so because we believe in our own abilities. Pursuant to the predictions results made by mathematical experts, who serve as academicians and statisticians and teach at our best universities and are tracked online, their ATS results continue to hover around the 50% mark (see the Prediction Tracker). Their scientific models force SU and ATS picks on every single game played. Yet, Duke places his faith in touts like Ace and QOH. Yeah right, they are smarter than the Harvard graduates. I know one of these touts is illiterate and the other one said she started out as a manipulator of rich men (you get my drift as to what she did). It is amazing to me that so many in these forums believe someone else will enrich them over the long term, especially those who have absolutely no statistical training whatsoever. I love America, but I'm not going to blindly follow these touts like Duke does

 

[THawk+]

Ya, Ace not doing this year... Just a bad year all around.... Next year should be better..........

 

[DukeSnider]

Yes, i do subscribe to and follow Ace's picks but not as blindly as you suggest.I also subscribe to a consensus group which offers a variety of opinions and picks and allows me to be eclectic in making my bets.
I am also a lifetime NYG fan and refused to bet against them today....go Jints !
Somewhere along the way I must have[unintentionally] offended you.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Wow. Tough day Ace.

it was....but no one weekend should kill the season

on to the next week

 

[ACE-ACE]

any record that dont lose money in the long run I will take....

week one was -$5k.....week 3 was -2K...week 8 down -$1600...week 19 down $4k
it will happen during 19 weeks...still 8 great week 5 bad week 6 break even weeks


Investment plays 19-17 + $2780.00
Action plays 38-35-2 +$1215.00
Total 57-52-2 +$3995.00


3 game to go

Ace

 

[nonamedude]

Ace is up 4 dimes this year and morons are complaining? LOL, no need to defend your record Ace, you're a WINNER!

 

[dast]

Ace is up 4 dimes this year and morons are complaining? LOL, no need to defend your record Ace, you're a WINNER!

really? 4 dimes with 75k BR? who else here has that kind of a starting br?
the average person here prolly doesnt have 5 k. There here are the lines, he gets better then everybody else + the fee for his picks...still up?
Yes, HE is.
But what about the rest? + 100$ in 5 moths? u call this a winner? sure, but not if u are as good as ACE,right?
I wish u people would be more realistic and just say it as it is and the fact is,this season he didnot do as good as he was expected

 

[ACE-ACE]

he didnot do as good as he was expected

that s it...I did not do as good as expected!!

that's 2% for 5 months...the goal next week is to get to 4%

but as the queen of heart told me this week

"But unless we just absolutley smash the books every week , we are losers"

still want to win the season..and if its only $100 up so be it...at some point the record going to 15 winning year out of 18 years mean more than the money at this point


best to you

Ace

 

[dast]

that s it...I did not do as good as expected!!

that's 2% for 5 months...the goal next week is to get to 4%

but as the queen of heart told me this week

"But unless we just absolutley smash the books every week , we are losers"

still want to win the season..and if its only $100 up so be it...at some point the record going to 15 winning year out of 18 years mean more than the money at this point


best to you

Ace

I am just talking about people to be more realistic. Cause as u can see if u do good or bad, the same people always have the same opinion about how u did.
And winning 15 out of 18 is nice and maybe more important than the money, but FOR U!
I am sorry but i am in this for the money, and i believe so is the rest of them. If u r not, then i dont know why even bother with placing real money on this and why not just putting some picks on paper and see how u do.

 

[Inv1ctus]

ACE to you maybe it does make difference to win a season or not, but if you're up 100$ or down just 100$ you still made a TON of MONEY with your subscriptions and all. All other people are making or loosing money via your picks. But at least you realise yourself if you had a bad season and you don't deny it. Like some of your fans here, like nonamedude who posted above.