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Parlay: Teixeira/Prochazka U 2.5, Choi, Allen 0.5 to win 1.017

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UFC Austin:

1.0 Emmett +205 / 0.3 by DEC +550
1.0 Buckley +200 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +330
1.0 Ismagulov -155 / 0.3 by DEC +130
1.0 Marquez +165 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +460 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +14
1.0 Wells +105 / 0.3 by DEC +320
0.5 Oliveira +240 / 0.15 by DEC +350
1.0 Winn +230 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +650 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +2800
1.0 Daukaus -240 / 0.3 by SUB +300

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UFC Vegas 57:

1.0 Gamrot +250 / 0.3 by DEC +550
1.0 Rakhmonov ITD -135
1.0 Parisian +105 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +360
1.0 Vieira by SUB +180
1.0 Nchukwi -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +210 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1200
1.0 Paiva +135 / 0.3 by SUB +1000 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1700
1.0 Buys -110 / 0.3 by SUB +400
1.0 Kelleher +150 / 0.3 by SUB +500
0.5 Demopoulos +200 / 0.15 by SUB +800

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UFC 276:

1.0 Adesanya by KO/TKO +170 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd3 +1300
1.0 Holloway +175 / 0.3 by DEC +310 / 0.1 split/majority DEC +1100
1.0 Pereira +105 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +175
1.0 Lawler -115 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +380
1.0 Riddell +130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +300 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1400
1.0 Green +155 / 0.3 by DEC +350
1.0 Du Plessis -150 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +200
1.0 Hall +275 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +400

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UFC Vegas 58:

1.0 Dos Anjos +185 / 0.3 by DEC +430
0.5 Silve de Andrade +295
1.0 Vanderaa ITD +160
1.0 Zahabi +175 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Casey +150 / 0.3 by SUB +715
1.0 Gore -130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +300
1.0 Nzechukwu -135 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +265
1.0 Lawrence -120 / 0.3 by DEC +160

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UFC on ABC 3:

1.0 Rodriguez +165 / 0.3 by DEC +420
0.5 Waterson +260 / 0.15 by DEC +500
1.0 Li +145 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +380
1.0 Schnell +230 / 0.3 by SUB +800
1.0 Jourdain/Burgos U 2.5 -105 / 0.3 U 1.5 +165
1.0 Soriano by KO/TKO +160
1.0 Jung -110 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +310
1.0 Stoltzfus/Grant U 2.5 +100 / 0.3 U 1.5 +180
0.5 Penne +145 / 0.15 by DEC +280

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I got Ortega +200 for sub, think Yair and all those unorthodox movements leads to a slip up and Ortega sinks it in eventually, 5 rounds a long time for Yair not to overcommit and get caught once

Very good fight for a fight night card though
 

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I got Ortega +200 for sub, think Yair and all those unorthodox movements leads to a slip up and Ortega sinks it in eventually, 5 rounds a long time for Yair not to overcommit and get caught once

Very good fight for a fight night card though
I think Ortega via SUB is a good look, I could certainly see Yair slipping up and getting caught, Ortega’s chokes are some of the best in the biz.

I did think the line was a bit inflated, which I why took Yair, who should have huge advantage striking.

Really is a nice headliner for a fight night.
 

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UFC London:

1.0 Blaydes +125 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +300
1.0 Hermansson -105 / 0.3 by DEC +300
1.0 Krylov ITD +130
1.0 Oezdemir -140 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +155
1.0 Wood by DEC -130
1.0 Amirkhani +170 / 0.3 by SUB +380
1.0 Herbert by KO/TKO +100
1.0 Silva +210 / 0.3 by DEC +470

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Parlay: Herbert, Jones, Krylov, Pimblett 0.5 to win 1.353

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UFC 277:

1.0 Nunes ITD -120
1.0 Moreno/France FGD -140
1.0 Lewis +125 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +170
1.0 Pantoja -175 / 0.3 by SUB +420
1.0 Morono +140 / 0.3 by DEC +235
1.0 Garcia +185 / 0.3 by DEC +420
1.0 Negumereanu -115 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +400
1.0 Cosce/Mathetha U 1.5 +105

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Nunes ITD makes sense on paper, the slightest adjustment and she should be able to stop Pena. Especially since Pena for all her flaws will keep coming forward. But Nunes intangibles are a major question mark, she had no heart at all in the last fight, reminds me a lot of Silva vs Weidman or Penn vs Edgar when people thought the champ would just win the rematch.
 

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Nunes ITD makes sense on paper, the slightest adjustment and she should be able to stop Pena. Especially since Pena for all her flaws will keep coming forward. But Nunes intangibles are a major question mark, she had no heart at all in the last fight, reminds me a lot of Silva vs Weidman or Penn vs Edgar when people thought the champ would just win the rematch.
I’m not a big fan of Pena and I’d expect an even somewhat depreciated Nunes to roll through her. I do think the reign of Nunes as a dominant champion is over.

I’m thinking the money, fame, family, etc., did get to Nunes coupled with natural wear and tear from all the battles and aging are playing a role, but I expect her to be quite hungry for this one after the loss and Pena’s mouth.

Nunes next fight might be a solid opportunity to fade, but that remains to be seen.

Best of luck with your action tomorrow.
 

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Some sprinkles:

0.1 Nunes KO/TKO Rd1 +410
0.1 Pantoja SUB Rd2 +1300
0.1 Kim SUB +1300
0.1 Mathetha KO/TKO Rd1 +800

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UFC Vegas 59:

1.0 Santos/Hill O 2.5 +130
1.0 Luque -160 / 0.3 by DEC +260
1.0 Sakai +250 / 0.3 by DEC +550
1.0 Oleksiejczuk/Alvey U 1.5 +140
1.0 McKinney by KO/TKO +125
1.0 Sato +245 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +440
1.0 Quinlan by KO/TKO +120
0.5 Silva/Egger U 2.5 +200

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Some sprinkles…..

0.1 Luque wins in Rd3 +1000
0.1 Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO Rd1 +235
0.1 McKenna/Granger ends in split/majority +500

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