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UFC 272:

1.0 Covington by DEC -105 / 0.1 Masvidal by KO/TKO Rd1 +1500 / 0.1 Masvidal by KO/TKO Rd2 +1800
1.0 Holland by KO/TKO +145
1.0 Spivac -175 / 0.3 by SUB +380
1.0 Mullarkey +140 / by KO/TKO +400
0.5 Xiaonan +250 / 0.15 by DEC +350
1.0 Negumereano +130 / 0.3 by SUB +1200
1.0 Moroz +170 / 0.3 by DEC +400 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +2600
0.5 Ulanbekov by SUB +340
1.0 Smith/Klein U 1.5 +125
1.0 Oleksiejczuk +175 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +440

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Some sprinkles…..

0.1 Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO Rd1 +1050
0.1 Nurmagomedov SUB Rd2 +850
0.1 Negumereano win in Rd3 +1800
0.1 Spivac win in Rd2 +600
0.1 Mitchell SUB Rd3 +1300

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Who is gonna be crowned Donald Trump fav fighter? More important than any belt.

Colby -125 DEC I like but I also don't mind Masvidal 10-1 decision to back it up. He's lost a lot of close ones in his career but he is incredibly tough to finish. Both these guys are really durable, I think it should go the distance.

easy money EROCK...glad you were on it

Colby wasting his time calling out Dustin IMO, he won't fight him. No one else to really call out though. Not like you want winner of Burns/Chimaev, he just wants $ fights or the belt at this point.

think he probably takes a break for a bit
 

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easy money EROCK...glad you were on it

Colby wasting his time calling out Dustin IMO, he won't fight him. No one else to really call out though. Not like you want winner of Burns/Chimaev, he just wants $ fights or the belt at this point.

think he probably takes a break for a bit
Agreed, not sure where he goes from here. I’m sure he doesn’t want anything to do with Chimaev, maybe Burns if he upsets Chimaev.

How about Mitchell, that was really impressive. I didn’t have a good read on him and was considering a bet on Barboza. One of my buddies whose pretty sharp in MMA talked me out of it, thankfully.
 

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Chimaev/Burns should've been a fight night 5 rounder, Burns lobbied for 5 too. Kinda lame UFC didn't give him that, they must like Chimaev chances better in 3.

Yeah, I should've been on Mitchell. Barboza has always struggled vs guys that can get to that threshold of grappling/wrestling quality. Call it the "Kevin Lee line"
 

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UFC Vegas 50:

1.0 Ankalaev ITD +115
1.0 Song by KO/TKO +105
1.0 Yusuff/Caceras FGD -130
1.0 Roberson -122 / 0.3 by SUB +1000
1.0 Pereira by KO/TKO -115
1.0 Fletcher +180 / 0.3 by SUB +650
1.0 Robertson -118 / 0.3 by SUB +235
1.0 Jones +135 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
0.5 Canetti +140 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +650
1.0 Nchukwi +170 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +380

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Some sprinkles:

0.1 Song KO/TKO Rd2 +550
0.1 Caceras win in Rd3 +2900
0.1 Roberson win in Rd3 +1400
0.1 Fletcher win in Rd3 +2100
0.1 Robertson SUB Rd2 +750
0.1 Brundage win in Rd3 +1700

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UFC London:

1.0 Aspinall -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +200
1.0 Allen -105 / 0.3 by DEC +190
0.5 Sato +400 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +900
1.0 Carolina +125 / 0.3 by DEC +210
1.0 Amirkhani +190 / 0.3 by DEC +375
0.5 Abdurakhimov +295 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +800
1.0 Craig +180 / 0.3 by SUB +450
1.0 Shore -105 / 0.3 by DEC +240 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1600
1.0 Reed +240 / 0.3 by DEC +380

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UFC Columbus:

1.0 Daukaus +380 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +550
1.0 Brown -105 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +175
1.0 Diakiese +135 / 0.3 by DEC +385
1.0 Batgerel -125 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +210
1.0 Fiorot by KO/TKO +240
1.0 Dvorak -120 / 0.3 by DEC +170

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Sprinkles:

All 0.1

Daukaus KO/TKO Rd1 +1500
Brown KO/TKO Rd3 +1700
Oleinik SUB Rd2 +1200
Rosa win in Rd3 +1200
Batgerel KO/TKO Rd1 +550
Khizirev KO/TKO Rd1 +500
Souza win in Rd3 +1900

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Hey I know this is way early but as you can tell I only really bet main events or co-mains, I just don’t really follow the lower tier guys enough and honestly I’ve always hated betting 3 round fights.

Next big card the 3 biggest fights are all -400 or more so that’s kinda whatever but shouldn’t Oliveria be way more than -160 vs Gaethje?

Gaethje is pretty limited, I know he’s a fan fav but him getting another title shot this fast just shows how dead 155 has become lately. Besides Islam not much young blood. I’ve never seen Gaethje as champ material and if he does that belt I don’t expect him to be for very long.
 

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Hey I know this is way early but as you can tell I only really bet main events or co-mains, I just don’t really follow the lower tier guys enough and honestly I’ve always hated betting 3 round fights.

Next big card the 3 biggest fights are all -400 or more so that’s kinda whatever but shouldn’t Oliveria be way more than -160 vs Gaethje?

Gaethje is pretty limited, I know he’s a fan fav but him getting another title shot this fast just shows how dead 155 has become lately. Besides Islam not much young blood. I’ve never seen Gaethje as champ material and if he does that belt I don’t expect him to be for very long.
You’re spot on with the LW division, really pulled a 180 from a couple of years ago. Islam is the cream of the crop and should have the belt soon and will likely hold it for a bit.

There’s a couple guys that intrigue me in, Fiziev, Gamrot and Topuria. I also have my eye on a couple deeper prospects I’d expect to see in the UFC soon in, Rebecki and De Souza, but who knows.

I’m not as high on Oliveira as most. It’s an impressive run he’s on, but the competition hasn’t been the greatest IMO. Guida, Giagos, Miller, Teymur, Lentz, Gordon, Lee, Ferguson, Chandler and Poirier. Ten wins in a row is incredible, but many of those guys simply aren’t that good and/or washed. Plus, he gets hit flush way too much for my liking. He was in trouble in several of those fights.

I agree with your assessment of Gaethje, but he does have a ton of power. If Oliveira takes a few clean shots like he tends to do, Gaethje will knock him out. If Oliveira gets him on the ground though he’ll look like -500.
 

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UFC 273:

1.0 Volkanovski ITD +175 / 0.1 win in Rd4 +1400 / 0.1 win in Rd5 +2000
1.0 Sterling +400 / 0.3 by SUB +1000
1.0 Chimaev by KO/TKO +125
0.5 Weeks +310 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +750
1.0 Ladd +160 / 0.3 by DEC +260
0.5 Fremd +170 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +285

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Sprinkles:

0.1 Sterling SUB Rd4 +6600
0.1 Dern SUB Rd3 +1100
0.1 Pichel wins in Rd3 +1500
0.1 Malott wins in Rd3 +1000
0.1 Ladd wins in Rd3 +2900
0.1 Fremd KO/TKO Rd1 +650
0.1 Oleinik SUB Rd1 +400

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Degen parlays:

DEC Special: Volkanovski DEC, Arce DEC, Ladd DEC 0.1 to win 1.687
SUB Special: Dern SUB, Malott SUB, Oleinik SUB 0.1 to win 4.565
KO Special: Volkanovski KO, Chimaev KO, Garry KO 0.1 to win 1.435

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Adding…..

1.0 O 3.5 fights end in KO/TKO -145
0.5 O 2.5 fights end in SUB -110

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Nice call on Volk specifically, itd at 180 was a joke when he’s better than zombie everywhere

Recency bias of all his decisions screwed that line up, those are often the best MMA bets
 

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UFC Vegas 51:

1.0 Muhammad +160 / 0.3 by DEC +270
1.0 Omargadzhiev -115 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +550
1.0 Fiahlo +155 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +340
1.0 Sabatini by SUB +175
1.0 Garcia +115 / 0.3 by DEC +200
1.0 Leavitt +125 / 0.3 by SUB +380
1.0 Croom +165 / 0.3 by DEC +305

Continued success.
 

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Sprinkles…..

0.1 Croom SUB Rd3 +4000
0.1 Leavitt SUB Rd2 +1200
0.1 Jenkins KO/TKO Rd3 +3200
0.1 Garcia KO/TKO Rd3 +2900
0.1 Buday KO/TKO Rd2 +700
0.1 Sabatini SUB Rd2 +650
0.1 Muhammad SUB Rd4 +6600
0.1 Muhammad SUB Rd5 +10000

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UFC Vegas 52:

1.0 Andrade/Lemos O 2.5 -140
1.0 Jourdain -108 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +380
1.0 Wright/Barriault U 1.5 +130
1.0 Else +200 / 0.3 by SUB +800

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