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UFC Vegas 70:

1.0 Krylov ITD +100
1.0 Allen +190 / 0.3 by DEC +500
1.0 Sakai -115 / 0.3 by DEC +310
1.0 Gonzalez +195 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +330
1.0 Leavitt -105 / 0.3 by SUB +310
1.0 Osbourne +150 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +380
1.0 Solecki by SUB +130
1.0 Alves +165 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +650

Continued success.
 

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Some sprinkles……

All 0.1

Krylov SUB Rd3 +2400
Allen win in Rd3 +2000
Mallott KO Rd2 +1000
Leavitt SUB Rd2 +850

Continued success.
 

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Sprinkles!

great call on the Allen +2000
I’ll take it my friend.

Allen is a bit underrated IMO and Muniz potentially a bit overrated. Muniz is good no doubt, but line seemed a bit inflated. Allen’s fightIQ was in question when he first came up, but he was pretty young and new, he seems to be learning from those mistakes and I suspect I’m going to be on him quite a bit, especially as a dog against certain ranked guys, he will steal a scalp or two as a decent dog and be a profitable play on type.

Big one next week, the return of Jones, should be wild.
 

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UFC 285:

1.0 Gane +155 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +550
1.0 Shevchenko ITD -135
0.5 Neal +400 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +850
1.0 Turner +185 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +460
1.0 Nickal SUB Rd1 +105
1.0 T Jones by KO/TKO +325
1.0 Ribas -120 / 0.3 by DEC +160
1.0 Marquez +125 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +410
1.0 Martinez +240 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +650

Continued success.
 

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O no your on Gane
Don’t get me wrong, Jones very well may win this and he could look -500 doing it. Just too many question marks for Jones, the long layoff, looking like shit in his last three fights, the move to HW, his age, his out of the ring nonsense. I’ll take a stab on Gane at the price.

I do think Gane has significant advantage on the feet, he’ll be the faster man, the more technical striker, the more diverse attack, more power and better at range and for the first time in possibly forever Jones won’t be the significantly bigger man. I feel like this is being over looked a bit.

Gane does have suspect TD defense and I’m pretty sure his get up game is lacking. If Jones takes him down early in the fight and early in the round, Gane might be fucked and you see an early vintage Jones GNP session. I’m just not sure Jones is going to go that route, in like his last five fights he fancied himself a striker and barely attempted to get fights to the ground. Maybe he changes that at HW, but if he doesn’t, he’s in trouble here. I also think if this drags on Jones will gas, which is why I’m thinking Gane KO in Rd 4 or 5.

Best of luck with your action.
 

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Some sprinkles:

0.5 O 5.5 KO/TKO for event +175

0.1 Gane KO/TKO Rd5 +4500
0.1 Gane KO/TKO Rd4 +3500
0.1 Shevchenko KO/TKO Rd2 +1000
0.2 Garry by SUB +750
0.1 Saimann win in Rd3 +1100
0.1 Basharat win in Rd3 +1200

I know I bet Martinez, but if that fight makes it to Rd3, Saimann is super live to finish, Martinez will likely gas bad and Saimann is all volume and pace and has cardio for days. Saimann is very hittable, he was getting tagged a good bit in his last several fights, that might fly on the regional scene, but could be very dangerous at this level. Martinez can bang and if Saimann takes a few. it could be lights out early.
 

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Don’t get me wrong, Jones very well may win this and he could look -500 doing it. Just too many question marks for Jones, the long layoff, looking like shit in his last three fights, the move to HW, his age, his out of the ring nonsense. I’ll take a stab on Gane at the price.

I do think Gane has significant advantage on the feet, he’ll be the faster man, the more technical striker, the more diverse attack, more power and better at range and for the first time in possibly forever Jones won’t be the significantly bigger man. I feel like this is being over looked a bit.

Gane does have suspect TD defense and I’m pretty sure his get up game is lacking. If Jones takes him down early in the fight and early in the round, Gane might be fucked and you see an early vintage Jones GNP session. I’m just not sure Jones is going to go that route, in like his last five fights he fancied himself a striker and barely attempted to get fights to the ground. Maybe he changes that at HW, but if he doesn’t, he’s in trouble here. I also think if this drags on Jones will gas, which is why I’m thinking Gane KO in Rd 4 or 5.

Best of luck with your action.
Always appreciate your insight. Bol Erock!
 

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Don’t get me wrong, Jones very well may win this and he could look -500 doing it. Just too many question marks for Jones, the long layoff, looking like shit in his last three fights, the move to HW, his age, his out of the ring nonsense. I’ll take a stab on Gane at the price.

I do think Gane has significant advantage on the feet, he’ll be the faster man, the more technical striker, the more diverse attack, more power and better at range and for the first time in possibly forever Jones won’t be the significantly bigger man. I feel like this is being over looked a bit.

Gane does have suspect TD defense and I’m pretty sure his get up game is lacking. If Jones takes him down early in the fight and early in the round, Gane might be fucked and you see an early vintage Jones GNP session. I’m just not sure Jones is going to go that route, in like his last five fights he fancied himself a striker and barely attempted to get fights to the ground. Maybe he changes that at HW, but if he doesn’t, he’s in trouble here. I also think if this drags on Jones will gas, which is why I’m thinking Gane KO in Rd 4 or 5.

Best of luck with your action.

100% agree.....On Gane +150, I'll take the chance a guy that hasn't used his wrestling well in like 7 years won't use his wrestling well in this fight. And it isn't like he didn't try in some of those fights either. Gane is a superior striker, Gane is the best big man striker the sport has ever seen. Which ain't exactly saying a ton but still....

If Gane does lose, he's gonna look bad I'm sure but that's just the nature of HW clash of styles
 

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God these HWs suck for a fat old Jones to just come in and do that

he looked like he didnt even train
 

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UFC Vegas 71:

1.0 Dvalishvili +225 / 0.3 by DEC +330
1.0 Volkov +130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +330
1.0 Krylov ITD -110
1.0 Petrino +100 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +190
1.0 Dumas ITD -120
1.0 Gravely +125 / 0.3 by DEC +260
1.0 Nam +165 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +370
0.5 Harris by KO/TKO +280

Continued success.
 

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Some sprinkles:

All 0.1

Dvalishvili win in Rd5 +4500
Krylov SUB Rd3 +2900
Nurmagomedov SUB Rd2 +1700
Bautista SUB Rd2 +800
Harris KO/TKO Rd2 +1150

Continued success.
 

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Bol Erock!
Got smoked in the prelims, nailed the main card. Maybe I don’t know the lesser/new guys as much as I think. I’m on a pretty good run of getting killed on prelims and doing really well on mains.

London next week should be insane.
 

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I didn't even pay attention I was busy with hoops
Was Merab really +225?
Im am kicking myself
 

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I didn't even pay attention I was busy with hoops
Was Merab really +225?
Im am kicking myself
I couldn’t believe it, I believe he was as high as +245 at some shops the day of, but I didn’t have access to those numbers. I talked myself out of unloading, because I thought maybe they know something I don’t, type of thing.
 

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