Coochie vs The Bookie MLB Play of the Day

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Guardians vs Tigers
Under 8.5 (-110)

TIGERS UNDERS —— the cash cow I just can’t get away from.

The Tigers are really a tailor-made “Under” team when you take a second to think about it —- their bats can’t score, the starters have been solid but not amazing, and the bullpen has been absolutely lights-out while trailing in most games.

Detroit’s stellar stable of barn arms has kept opposition teams from plating runs with the best of them all season long, and they have maintained that level of dominance recently as they rank 7th in ERA and 4th in FIP in the last two weeks. So while the guy taking the bump from the jump for the Tigers is their 26th-ranked prospect who's been fast-tracked to the Majors —- and feels almost a certainty to be hit around, the pen should mitigate the damage if it does come.

And on the otherside is Plesac, who has allowed 1 run or less in all three of his recent starts, and in his last 18 innings, he has allowed 2 runs on 11 hits. Both runs were solo home runs which is a weakness of Plesac’s, but if that’s all the damage he’s allowing, he’ll be just fine against the Tigers.

LIMBO LIMBO LIMBO UNDER THIS TOTAL.

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Handicapper
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May be a good play. Tribe is hitting .194 last 10 games. Tigers remain one of the lowest scoring averages all of MLB.
GL today
 
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May be a good play. Tribe is hitting .194 last 10 games. Tigers remain one of the lowest scoring averages all of MLB.
GL today
Two runs through 4 have it on pace to be alright ---- Tigers starter keeping them quiet then the pen should manage alright ---- a man can hope anyways. Hope you are enjoying the 4th of July!
 
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DON'T LET ME GET HOT.

1's an accident.
2's a coincidence.
3's a trend.

Let's get up to 3 here today!

Rockies vs Dodgers​

Over 8.5 -110

Just too many dangerous bats on both sides of this total to see it sitting at 8.5 —— whether it’s Mookie, Turner, Freeman, or whoever for the Dodgers, those guys can flat out tear the cover off the ball. The same must be said about a few of the Rockies bats —- CJ Cron is making baseball disappear into the night sky, while Charlie Blackmon remains an RBI machine. Feels like this number is a full run on the light side.

The Dodgers have the best team OPS in the league, they’ve scored the 2nd-most runs, and they look set to be the 2nd team in the Bigs to surpass 400 runs on the season —— not looking good for one German Marquez who’ll be charged with slowing them down. Last time out Marquez actually faced LA, and he gave up 5 runs in just 3.1 innings in that loss. The real issue isn’t giving up the runs, although you’d like it not to be 5, the issue is Marquez isn’t giving the Rockies enough length to hide their woeful bullpen.

The Rockies’ 4.74 bullpen ERA is the 2nd-worst in the league, and with Marquez in line for a rocking, don’t be surprised then if the Dodgers cover this total themselves.


 
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Twins vs WhiteSox
Twins ML (-105)

In the season finale of this one Lance Lynn gets the ball for the WhiteSox in hopes of stemming the bleeding for a WhiteSox team that seemed poised to pounce entering this series with the Twins —- but it’s not been the case. The Twins have won the first two games of the series, and look to complete the sweep here today.

But frankly, the Twinkies have owned the WhiteSox this season —-Just mashing anything that comes their way.

Minnesota smacked five dingers over the wall against the White Sox on Tuesday night, and they’ve scored six-plus runs against them in the last four consecutive head-to-head games. Moreover, the boys from Minnesota have a 123-team wRC+ against RHP on the road over the past couple of weeks, so it ain’t just the WhiteSox that can’t stop Minnesota from plating runs.

So will the Twinkies be able to stop the Sox from scoring? My answer to this one is obviously yes with me on the Twins —- because Joe Ryan’s been solid as fuck this season for the Twinkies. The right-hander is 6-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.05 WHIP —- and his numbers actually improve when he’s away from Minnesota —- rocking a 2.67 ERA and a 3.56 FIP when not in the cities of a thousand lakes.
So expect the WhiteSox home struggles to continue —- Tony’s GOTTA GO.

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We get back to the wins today ---- back to back POD loses ain't what we do this for. Trust me once more and you'll not regret it...

Tigers vs WhiteSox
Under 8 -105

RIDE IT TILL THE WHEELS COME OFF. Tigers Unders are hitting at an absurd 62% of the time this year.

Because The Tigers enter as the league’s worst team in runs per game and are the only team in the league averaging fewer than three runs per game on the road at 2.6.

This is not good news for the bats in Detroit with The White Sox turning to Dylan Cease, who leads qualifying starters in the American League with 13.1 strikeouts per nine innings and has a 2.54 ERA overall, which has dropped significantly as he has allowed just one earned run in his last seven starts.
Beau Brieske will counter for the Detroit Tigers, who have been relatively average with a 4.54 ERA with three walks per nine innings and is backed up by a bullpen that is third in the league in bullpen ERA.

The White Sox offense has also had issues hitting right-handed pitching, posting a .285 batting average with a home run in 3.5% of their at-bats compared to a .247 average and a home run every 1.8% of at-bats against right-handers.

DO NOT FIX WHAT IS NOT BROKEN.

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