Cnotes college football 2022-2023 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

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UNDER THE LIGHTS !

CONN at FIU07:00 PMCONN -5.5
U 46.5
+500 +500
AFA at USU07:00 PMAFA -11.0
U 54.0
+500 +500
UTEP at LT07:00 PMLT -2.5
U 52.0
+500 +500
USM at TROY07:00 PMUSM +6.5
O 44.0
+500 +500
WYO at UNM07:00 PMWYO -3.0
U 37.0
+500 +500
JMU at ARST07:00 PMJMU -11.5
O 56.0
+500 +500
APP at TXST07:00 PMAPP -19.0
O 55.0
+500 +500
BYU at ND07:30 PMND -4.0
O 51.0
+500 +500
IOWA at ILL07:30 PMIOWA +4.0
U 37.0
+500 +500
WSU at USC07:30 PMUSC -13.0
O 65.0
+500 +500
SOCAR at UK07:30 PMSOCAR +6.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
ARMY at WAKE07:30 PMARMY +16.5
U 65.5
+500 +500
KSU at ISU07:30 PMISU +1.0
U 45.0
+500 +500
CLEM at BC07:30 PMBC +20.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
TAM at ALA08:00 PMALA -24.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
CCU at ULM08:00 PMCCU -13.0
U 57.5
+500 +500
FSU at NCST08:00 PMFSU +3.0
O 50.0
+500 +500
ORE at ARIZ09:00 PMARIZ +13.5
O 70.5
+500 +500
FRES at BSU09:45 PMFRES +7.5
U 45.0
+500 +500
HAW at SDSU10:30 PMSDSU -23.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
ORST at STAN11:00 PMORST -4.5
U 56.0
 

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Armadillo Sports

— Alabama 24, Texas A&M 20

A&M was on Alabama’s 2-yard line when game ended.
Crimson Tide ran ball for 288 yards, threw for only 111.
Backup QB Milroe was 12-19/111 and 3 TD’s passing for Alabama.

— Pitt 45, Virginia Tech 29
Pitt RB Abanikanda ran ball 36 times for 320 yards, six TD’s.
He broke Tony Dorsett’s record of 308 yards in one game.

— Texas 49, Oklahoma 0
Sooners lost last three games: 41-34/55-24/49-0. Not good.

— Purdue 31, Maryland 29
Terps scored TD with 0:35 left, but failed on the tying 2-point play.
Purdue ran ball 34 times for a total of 13 yards.
Boilers turned ball over three times (-2) but converted 8-13 on 3rd down.

— TCU 38, Kansas 31
Kansas QB Daniels (shoulder) left in 2nd quarter.
Backup QB Bean threw for 262 yards, four TD’s.
TCU threw 24-yard TD pass with 1:24 left for the win.
Horned Frogs’ WR Johnston caught 14 passes for 206 yards.

— Upsets of the Week:
Texas State (+18.5) 36, Appalachian State 24
Arizona State (+13.5) 45, Washington 38
Ball State (+9.5) 17, Central Michigan 16
Miami OH (+5.5) 27, Kent State 24
Navy (+5.5) 53, Tulsa 21
South Carolina (+5) 24, Kentucky 14
North Carolina (+4) 27, Miami 24
Eastern Michigan (+4) 45, Western Michigan 23

— Georgia Tech 23, Duke 20 OT

Duke scored two TD’s in last 5:55 to force OT.
Tech outgained Blue Devils 412-278.

— Tennessee 40, LSU 13
Tigers fumbled away the opening kickoff; from there, it got worse.
Tennessee ran ball for 263 yards (5.4 yards/attempt)
Vols led 23-7 at halftime.

— Arizona State 45, Washington 38
Backup QB Bourguet threw for 182 yards, 3 TD’s off the bench.
ASU scored a defensive TD to take a 24-10 lead in 2nd quarter.

— Illinois 9, Iowa 6
Iowa has already lost games 10-7/9-6 this year; they beat a I-AA team 7-3.
Illinois is 5-1; they gave up 19 points in last three I-A games.
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%.................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%...................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%...................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%..................56.50

TOTALS.................99-112-4....................46.91%..............-121.00

*********************
BEST BETS

10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%...............-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%................-25.00

TOTALS................42-45-3....................48.27%.................-37.50


***********************************************

SEPT'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Totals..........192-193-4............49.87%...................-101.50
************************************************** *******
BEST BETS
Totals.............69-70-2...............49.64%..................-34.50
 

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WEEK 7

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NCAAF

Week 7


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Trend Report
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NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 7


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Wednesday night
Louisiana @ Marshall

Louisiana (2-3)
— Louisiana lost last three games, last two by 21-17/20-17 scores.
— ULL is 2-3 despite being +8 in turnovers.
— Cajuns’ only I-A win was 49-21 over Eastern Michigan.
— Cajuns have 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Louisiana has 25 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cajuns have used two QB’s, a soph/junior.
— Last four years, Louisiana is 8-3-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— ULL is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.

Marshall (3-2)
— This is Marshall’s first Sun Belt home game.
— Marshall lost its Sun Belt opener 16-7 at Troy State.
— Thundering Herd upset Notre Dame, then lost its next two games.
— Marshall’s other two wins are against I-AA teams.
— Thundering Herd has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Marshall has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— Thundering Herd has a junior QB with nine starts.
— Since 2016, Marshall is 8-23 ATS as a home favorite.

— Louisiana (-4) beat Marshall 36-21 in LY’s New Orleans Bowl.
— Ragin’ Cajuns ran for 220 yards, outgained Marshall 498-286
— It is teams’ only meeting in last 20 years.




Louisiana is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall
Louisiana is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games
Louisiana is 1-4 ATS in the past five Wednesday games
Marshall is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall
Marshall is 8-25 ATS in the past 33 home games
UNDER is 27-11-1 in the past 39 games for Louisiana
OVER is 4-1 in the past five road games
UNDER is 39-15-1 in the past 55 conference games for Louisiana
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for Marshall
UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven home games for Marshall
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 12​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ULL at MRSH07:30 PMMRSH -10.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
 

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Louisiana 23, Marshall 13:
Marshall led 7-3 at halftime.
Ragin’ Cajuns kicked FG’s of 33-42-52 yards.
Marshall was only 1-11 on third down.
Total yardage: 338-276, ULL
 

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Baylor is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 games overall
Baylor is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in the past five Thursday games
West Virginia is 10-3-1 ATS in the past 14 home games
West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in the past six Big 12 games
West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in the past five Thursday games
UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games for Baylor
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Baylor
Home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings


Temple is 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games overall
Temple is 0-6 ATS in the past six road games
Temple is 3-13 ATS in the past 16 AAC games
UCF is 7-18 ATS in the past 25 AAC games
UCF is 6-1 ATS in the past seven Thursday games
UNDER is 4-1 in Temple's past five games overall
UNDER is 4-1 in Temple's past five road games
UNDER is 4-0 in UCF's past four games overall
UNDER is 4-1 in UCF's past five home games
OVER is 5-2 in UCF's past five Thursday games
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings
OVER is 4-1 in the past five meetings
 

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 7


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Thursday night
Baylor @ West Virginia

Baylor (3-2)
— Baylor split first two Big X games, with totals of 55-61.
— Bears scored 42-31 points in I-A wins, 20-25 in losses.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— 119 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 2 starts
— Aranda is 1-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Aranda, Bears are 4-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— Baylor is 19-12 ATS in its last 31 conference games.

West Virginia (2-3)
— West Virginia allowed 38-55-38 points in its losses.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— have 107 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— QB is JT Daniels, who previously played at USC/Georgia (7 starts).
— Last 3+ years, WVU is 19-21 SU.
— Under Brown, they’re 3-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— WVU’s only I-A win was 33-10 at Virginia Tech.
— They scored 31-42-20 points in their three losses.

— West Virginia won four of last six series games.
— Baylor lost last five visits to Morgantown (2-3 ATS)
— Over is 6-4 in last ten meetings.

Temple @ Central Florida
Temple (2-3)
— Owls were held to 0-14-3 points in their losses.
— Temple’s one I-A win was 28-0 over UMass.
— 7 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on OL.
— Freshman QB is Kurt Warner’s son (56.4% completion %, 5 TD, 6 INT)
— Last 2+ years, Owls are 6-18 SU
— Temple is 0-6 ATS last six games as a road underdog.
— Last 1+ years, they’re 2-10 ATS as an underdog.
— Four of five Temple games stayed under the total.

Central Florida (4-1)
— UCF won last three games by 26-17-22 points.
— Knights’ only loss was 20-14 at home to Louisville.
— 9 starters back on offense; 8 on defense
— 132 starts back on OL
— junior QB started nine games at Ole Miss
— Last 2+ years, Knights are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Malzahn is 25-31-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, UCF is 6-10 ATS coming off a win.
— Last four UCF games stayed under the total.

— Central Florida won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Temple is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Orlando.
— Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
 

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 13

BAY at WVU07:00 PMBAY -3.0
O 54.5
+500 +500
TEM at UCF07:00 PMTEM +23.5
U 46.0
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/13/2022...............1-3-0....................25.00%.................-11.50
10/12/2022...............1-1-0....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%.................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%...................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%...................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%..................56.50

TOTALS.............101-116-4....................46.54%..............-133.00


*********************

BEST BETS
10/13/2022...............1-3-0...................25,00%..............-11.50
10/12/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-1-0...................50.00%...............-0.50
10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%...............-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%................-25.00

TOTALS................44-49-3..................47.31%.................-49.50


***********************************************

SEPT'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Totals..........192-193-4............49.87%...................-101.50
************************************************** *******
BEST BETS
Totals.............69-70-2...............49.64%..................-34.50
 

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Central Florida 70, Temple 13
This game was 14-13 with 6:00 left in first half.
UCF outgained Temple, 737-293- they converted 8-9 on third down.
Knights averaged 15.5 yards/pass attempt
Temple lost 70-13 and didn’t turn the ball over at all.

West Virginia 43, Baylor 40
WVU kicked a 22-yard FG with 0:33 left for the win.
Baylor led 24-17 at halftime.
West Virginia was 7-13 on 3rd down, Baylor 4-11
Baylor threw for 491 yards, turned ball over three times (minus-2)
 

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Week 7


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Friday night
Navy @ SMU

Navy (2-3)
— Middies ran for 455 yards in LW’s 53-21 win over Tulsa.
— They split two road games, both decided by three points.
— 5 starters back on offense; 6 on defense
— 31 starts back on OL; junior QB has 10 starts.
— Navy is 4-2 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.
— Last three games, Middies are +6 in turnovers (minus-5 in first 2 games).
— Navy is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Navy scored 23-53 points in its wins, 13 or less in losses.
— Middies also have a 14-7 loss to I-AA Delaware.

SMU (2-3)
— SMU lost last three games, giving up 34-42-41 points.
— SMU gave up 439-487-484 TY in those games.
— Mustangs threw for 363+ yards in all four I-A games.
— 6 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 74 starts back on OL; junior QB has 12 starts
— SMU is 11-4 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— SMU is 9-15 ATS in last 24 conference games.
— 4 SMU players will sit out the rest of season, then transfer.
— QB Mordecai transferred to SMU from Oklahoma.

— SMU won three of last four series games.
— Mustangs held Navy under 200 RY in last two meetings.
— Middies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to SMU.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Tex-San Antonio @ Florida International
Tex-San Antonio (4-2)
— UTSA gave up 35 ppg in its five I-A games.
— Last three games, UTSA scored 52-45-31 points.
— Roadrunners gave up 452+ yards in last five games.
— UTSA has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Roadrunners have 121 returning starts on offensive line.
— UTSA has senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Roadrunners are 23-9 SU under Traylor (26-46 from 2014-19).
— Under Traylor, UTSA is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Four of their five I-A games went over the total.

Florida International (2-3)
— FIU had I-A losses by 29-73-21 points- they lost 73-0 to WKU.
— Panthers’ only I-A win was 21-7 at New Mexico State.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 25 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 11 starts at Duke
— Should have 3 sophs, one freshman starting on OL
— New coach MacIntyre is 13-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, FIU is 0-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, they’re 2-17-1 ATS in conference games.
— FIU allowed 210+ rushing yards in three of four I-A games.

— These teams haven’t met since 2018, before Traylor was at UTSA.
— FIU won last two meetings, 45-7/14-7.
— Two of three meetings stayed under the total.




Navy is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall
Navy is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games
Navy is 22-7 ATS in the past 29 AAC games
Navy is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 vs. losing teams
SMU is 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall
SMU is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 home games
SMU is 1-5 ATS in the past six AAC games
SMU is 0-4 ATS in the past four Friday games
UNDER is 9-4 in the past 13 games for Navy
UNDER is 5-1 in the past six road games for Navy
OVER is 4-1 in the past five AAC games for Navy
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for SMU
OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for SMU
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings
Home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings
OVER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings


UTSA is 14-5 ATS in the past 19 road games
UTSA is 4-1 ATS in the past five Friday games
FIU is 7-22 ATS in the past 29 games overall
FIU is 0-4 ATS in the past four home games
FIU is 7-19 ATS in the past 26 C-USA games
FIU is 0-4 ATS in the past four Friday games
OVER is 9-1 in the past 10 games overall for UTSA
OVER is 8-0 in the past eight road games for UTSA
OVER is 4-1 in the past five C-USA games for UTSA
OVER is 17-8 in the past 25 games overall for FIU
OVER is 33-16-2 in the past 51 C-USA games for FIU
OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 vs. winning teams for FIU
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

13 of Saturday’s best games
Minnesota @ Illinois

Minnesota (4-1)
— Minnesota split its two Big 14 games, losing 20-10 to Purdue
— Gophers won only road game, 34-7 at Michigan State.
— Last 3+ years, Gophers are 11-3-1 ATS in road games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
— In his career, Fleck is 13-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Gophers are 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games as a favorite overall.
— Minnesota is 27-11 SU the last 3+ years.
— Gophers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.

Illinois (5-1)
— Illinois won its last four games by combined score of 98-19.
— Indiana threw for 330 yards in 23-20 win over Illinois.
— Illini allowed 222 or fewer TY in its four I-A wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Illinois is 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Illinois is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 conference games.
— In his career, Bielema is 13-12 ATS as a home favorite.

— Minnesota is 8-3 in last eleven series games.
— Gophers are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Illinois.
— Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Auburn @ Ole Miss
Auburn (3-3)
— Auburn scored 17 or less points in its last four games (1-3).
— Auburn lost 41-12 at home to Penn State, 42-10 at Georgia.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 3 starts
— Tigers are on 4th offensive coordinator the last four years.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Auburn is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
— Auburn has a minus-9 turnover ratio this season.
— Under Harsin, Tigers are 2-6 ATS coming off a loss.

Ole Miss (6-0)
— Ole Miss won first two SEC games, 22-19/52-28.
— Rebels threw for 448 yards in LW’s 52-28 win at Vandy.
— Since 2018, Rebels are 10-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tulsa ran for 262 yards LW in Ole Miss’ 34-27 win.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 111 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 3 games at USC.
— Last three games, Ole Miss allowed 27-19-28 points.
— Rebels are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.

— Auburn won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Tigers covered their last four visits to Oxford.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

Penn State @ Michigan
Penn State (5-0)
— Penn State has road wins at Purdue (35-31), Auburn (41-12)
— Nittany Lions held last four foes to average of 10.8 ppg.
— Penn State has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Penn State has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a senior QB, with 33 starts.
— Last three years, Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Penn State is 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
— Penn State is allowing only 81.6 rushing yards/game.

Michigan (6-0)
— Michigan has conference wins by 7-13-21 points.
— Maryland (397) is only team that gained more than 281 yards vs PSU
— Wolverines also beat three stiffs, all by 40+ points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Wolverines are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games as a single digit favorite.
— Michigan is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games.
— Michigan is 14-12-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Penn State is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Ann Arbor.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Iowa State @ Texas
Iowa State (3-1)
— Iowa State lost last three games, by 1-3-7 points.
— In their last two games, Cyclones scored 11-9 points.
— Cyclones split two road games, 10-7 at Iowa, 11-14 at Kansas.
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— Last three games, ISU ran ball for only 56.7 yards/game.
— Under Campbell, they’re 10-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Campbell, they’re 20-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Under Campbell, Cyclones are 32-24-2 ATS in conference games.

Texas (4-2)
— Last four games, Longhorns scored 41-34-38-49 points.
— Texas lost 20-19 at home to Alabama, 37-34 at Texas Tech.
— Under Sarkisian, they’re 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 72 starts back on offensive line.
— Redshirt freshman QB Evers is a transfer from Ohio State.
— went 32-18 SU with Herman as HC; are 9-9 SU with Sarkisian.
— Texas crushed rival Oklahoma 49-0 LW (yardage 585-195)

— Iowa State won last three series games.
— Cyclones are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Austin.
— Last seven series games stayed under the total.

Kansas @ Oklahoma
Kansas (5-1)
— Kansas lost 38-31 to TCU LW, their first loss this year.
— Jayhawks gave up 446+ yards in four of five I-A games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 89 starts back on offensive line; both returning QB’s have 9 starts
— Kansas is 5-1 SU; last 10 years, they were 18-99 SU
— Since 2018, they’re 13-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Leipold is 10-14-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Kansas QB Daniels hurt his shoulder LW (check status)
— Backup QB Bean was 16-24/262 passing, with 4 TD’s vs TCU.

Oklahoma (3-2)
— QB Gabriel was knocked silly two weeks ago; check status.
— Oklahoma lost last three games, 41-34/55-24/49-0.
— Sooners gave up 275-361-296 rushing yards in those games.
— Oklahoma was shut out LW for first time since 1998.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 25 starts at UCF
— Oklahoma is 8-7 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Since 2018, Sooners are 4-4 ATS coming off a loss.

— Oklahoma won its last 17 games with Kansas.
— This is first time since 2009 that they’re a single digit favorite vs KU.
— Jayhawks are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Norman.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Alabama @ Tennessee
Alabama (6-0)
— Check status of injured QB Young; he sat out LW.
— Backup QB Milroe has run for 246 yards, thrown for 262.
— Alabama won its road games, 20-19 at Texas, 49-26 at Arkansas.
— Alabama held five of six opponents under 80 yards rushing.
— Crimson Tide outgained Texas A&M 399-323 in LW’s 24-20 win.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 15 starts
— Since 2017, they’re 11-12 ATS as road favorites.
— Alabama is 12-10 ATS last 22 conference games.

Tennessee (5-0)
— Tennessee won its first five games, scoring 46.8 ppg.
— Vols have thrown ball for 340.4 yards/game so far.
— Vols’ best wins: 34-27 at Pitt, 38-31 over Florida, 40-13 at LSU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); senior QB has 11 starts
— Vols are 1-5 ATS six games as a home underdog.
— In his career, Heupel is 2-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Tennessee ran ball for 227-263 yards in first two SEC games.

— Alabama won its last 15 games with Tennessee (11-4 ATS)
— Crimson Tide is 9-1 ATS in last ten visits to Knoxville.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

NC State @ Syracuse
NC State (5-1)
— State beat Florida State 19-17 LW; they were down 17-3 at half.
— Wolfpack lost 30-20 at Clemson, won 21-10 at East Carolina.
— 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 20 starts
— Wolfpack is 20-8 SU last 2+ years
— Under Doeren, they’re 8-15-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Doeren is 29-25 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wolfpack were outgained 387-307 in the Florida State game LW.

Syracuse (5-0)
— Syracuse has close wins over Purdue (32-29), Virginia (22-20).
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Orange gave up 424 passing yards in the Purdue win.
— QB Shrader has thrown 10 TD passes with one INT so far.
— Orange has a +5 turnover margin.
— Syracuse is 12-8 ATS in last 20 ACC games.
— Since 2018, they’re 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— NC State won seven of last eight series games.
— Wolfpack is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Carrier Dome.
— Three of last four series games went over total.

Arkansas @ BYU
Arkansas (3-3)
— Arkansas lost last three games, giving up 49-40 points in last two.
— They lost first true road game LW, 40-17 at Mississippi State.
— Hogs gave up 555-568 TY the last couple weeks.
— Arkansas scored 31-44 points in its I-A wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last ten years, they’re 0-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in last six non-conference games.
— Last four games, Arkansas is minus-6 in turnovers.
— Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 6-6 ATS coming off a loss.

BYU (4-2)
— BYU is 4-0 when they score 26+ points, 0-2 if they score less.
— Cougars lost 41-20 at Oregon, 28-20 to Notre Dame (@ Las Vegas)
— Cougars allowed 20+ points in all six games TY.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— BYU has 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU has junior QB with 10 starts.
— BYU is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as an underdog (0-2 TY).
— Overall, Sitake is 15-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
— BYU is 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.

— These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.

Oklahoma State @ TCU
Oklahoma State (5-0)
— OSU won first two Big X games, scoring 36-41 points.
— Cowboys scored 42.3 ppg in its I-A wins.
— OSU won its only road game, 36-25 at Baylor.
— OSU gave up 546 TY to Central Michigan, 457 at Baylor, 527 to Texas Tech.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 32 starts
— State is 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
— OSU is 19-9-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
— Since 2019, Cowboys are 18-11-1 ATS in Big X games.

TCU (5-0)
— TCU scored 38-42-55-38 points in its I-A wins.
— TCU gained 560 yards/game in its two Big X wins.
— Horned Frogs are 6-20-2 ATS last 28 games as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 29 starts
— New coach Dykes is 21-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Dykes is 76-63 SU; this is his 4th HC job.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.

— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Cowboys are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

LSU @ Florida
LSU (4-2)
— LSU lost 40-13 to Tennessee LW, ending their 4-game win streak.
— LSU was outgained 438-270, 502-355 in its last two games.
— Tigers gave up 17 or fewer points in all four wins.
— LSU won its only true road game, 21-17 at Auburn.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line; QB started 29 games at Arizona State
— Since 2017, LSU is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kelly is 19-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— LSU is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.

Florida (2-1)
— Gators lost 26-16 @ Kentucky; both their wins were by 3 points.
— LW, Florida scored TD with 5:05 left to pull out 31-28 win over USF.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 1 start
— Gators are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
— Since 2016, Florida is 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— At Louisiana, Napier was 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Their next true road game isn’t until November 5th.

— LSU won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Tigers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
— Last four series games went over the total.

Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Mississippi State (4-1)
— Bulldogs won last three games, scoring 45-42-40 points.
— Miss State’s only loss was 31-16 at LSU- Tigers ran for 206 yards.
— LSU held them to 214 PY; they threw for 320+ yards in their wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 82 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 19 starts
— Under Leach, they’re 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Leach, Miss State is 11-10 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Leach, Bulldogs are 21-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Bulldogs’ last three games went over the total.

Kentucky (4-2)
— QB Levis didn’t play last week; check status
— Kentucky lost last two games, 22-19/24-14.
— Average total in their three SEC games is 40.3 ppg.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 45 starts back on offensive line; junior QB 13 starts
— Since 2019, they’re 4-0 ATS as home underdogs
— Last 4+ years, they’re 13-6-1 ATS as an underdog overall.
— Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in last four games coming off a loss.
— Under is 4-1 in Kentucky games this season.

— Home side won last seven meetings.
— Mississippi State won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Bulldogs are lost last three visits to Kentucky (0-3 ATS)
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Clemson @ Florida State
Clemson (6-0)
— Clemson won first four ACC games, scoring 38.3 ppg.
— Tigers have road wins at Wake Forest (51-45), Boston College (31-3).
— Clemson held 3 of 4 ACC opponents under 280 TY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last 10+ years, they’re 127-17 SU
— Since 2017, they’re 16-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Tigers are 10-13 ATS in ACC games.
— Three of last four Clemson games went over the total.

Florida State (4-2)
— Seminoles beat LSU/Louisville by a combined 5 points.
— FSU lost last two games, 31-21/19-17.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Last 4+ years, they’re 23-29 SU, but 4-2 this year.
— Under Norvell, they’re 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 2+ years, they’re 3-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— Since 2017. FSU is 18-24-2 ATS in ACC games.
— Seminoles are 0-2 vs I-A foes if they allow gain less than 450 yards.

— Clemson won last six series games, covered last four.
— Tigers are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Tallahassee.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.

USC @ Utah
USC (6-0)
— Trojans scored 30+ points in five of their six wins.
— USC already has a +14 turnover margin.
— USC has road wins: 41-28 at Stanford, 17-14 at Oregon State.
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 7 games at Oklahoma
— Since 2015, Trojans are 15-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2017, USC is 14-23 ATS in games coming off a win.
— In his career, Riley is 7-12-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— USC is 4-9 ATS in last thirteen conference games.
— Under is 3-1 in Trojans’ last four games.

Utah (4-2)
— Utes lost 42-32 at UCLA LW, giving up 502 TY
— Utes are 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Utah’s other loss was 26-23 (-2.5) at Florida.
— Utah is +7 in turnovers this season.
— Utes have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 12 games
— Utah is 18-8 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
— All three of Utah’s I-A wins were by 21+ points.
— Since 2016, Utah is 37-19 ATS in Pac-12 games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— USC covered once in last five visits to Utah.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.
 

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