Cnotes college football 2022-2023 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Championship

Nevada @ New Mexico State
Nevada
— 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 3 starts at Oklahoma State
— 30-18 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— were +16 in turnovers LY, but were only 8-5.
— Since 2019, they’re 3-2 ATS as a road favorite
— Since 2016, Nevada is 9-15 ATS out of conference.
— 45 players from last year have departed.

New Mexico State
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line; new coach, new QBs
— 8-30 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— last four years, they’re 1-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— new coach Kill is 25-19 ATS as an underdog.
— have been to one bowl since 1960 (2017 Arizona Bowl)

— Nevada (-30) beat Aggies 55-28 last year.
— Aggies threw for 425 yards, but were sacked six times.

Northwestern vs Nebraska (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Northwestern
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 110 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Under Fitzgerald: 37-21 as an underdog away from home.
— 35-25 ATS in last 60 conference games.
— 12-20 SU last three years

Nebraska
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 78 starts return on offensive line; junior QB started 10 games at Texas
— Last five years, they’re 19-37 SU.
— last three years, they’re 10-15-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Under Frost, they’re 8-15 ATS when favored.
— Nebraska’s last bowl was in 2016

— Nebraska (-11) hammered Wildcats 56-7 last year.
— Cornhuskers ran ball for 427 yards, outgained NWern 657-293
— Northwestern won three of last five series games.

Connecticut @ Utah State
Connecticut
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 38 starts back on offensive line; new coach/new QB
— This is Jim Mora Jr’s first game as coach at UConn
— Since 2018, Huskies are 5-11 ATS as a road underdog
— Last six years, UConn is 10-50 SU; they didn’t play in 2020.
— UConn hasn’t been to a bowl since 2015

Utah State
— Visit Alabama next week; look-ahead?
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 29 starts
— 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Coach Anderson is 25-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— Aggies are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
— played in a bowl four of last five years
— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

Wyoming @ Illinois
Wyoming
— Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Wyoming has 66 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wyoming has no experience at QB; two QB’s transferred out
— Last four years, Wyoming is 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 7-3 ATS out of conference.
— Coach Bohl is 30-25 ATS as an underdog.
— Wyoming went to a bowl four of last six years.

Illinois
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last five years, they’re 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 39-79 SU
— In his career, Bielema is 33-30 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last bowl win was in 2011; last bowl was 2019. .

— These teams have never met before.

Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
Charlotte
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 46 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 35 starts
— Have one winning season out of nine as a I-A team
— Under Healy, they’re 4-8 ATS as a road dog.
— Last year, they gave up 49 ppg in losing their last three games.
— lost their only bowl game 31-9 in 2019.

Florida Atlantic
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 21 starts
— 10-11 SU in two years since Lane Kiffin left.
— Under Taggart is 3-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Owls are 5-9 ATS in C-USA games.
— FAU played in bowls three of last five years.

— FAU won last two meetings, 45-27/38-9.
— Underdogs covered three of last four series games.

North Texas @ Texas- El Paso
North Texas
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 106 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 12 starts
— Last three years, they’re 14-21 SU
— Last four years, UNT is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Littrell, they’re 19-29 ATS in C-USA games
— played in bowl game five of last six years

Texas- El Paso
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 19 starts
— 7-6 LY, their second winning season in last 10 years
— Last two years, they’re 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Dimel is 10-14 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last year was their first bowl game since 2014.

— North Texas won last five series games (last two, 45-43/20-17)
— Mean Green won last two visits here, 27-24/45-43

Vanderbilt @ Hawai’i
Vanderbilt:
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line; they have 2 soph QBs who both played some LY.
— 5-28 SU the last three years.
— Last eight years, Vandy is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Vandy is 2-6 ATS out of conference.
— Last played in a bowl in 2018; last bowl win, 2013.

— 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 110 starts back on offensive line; unsure who QB is
— Since 2019, Hawai’i is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog
— Last four years, they’re 8-11 ATS out of conference.
— won three of last four bowls (underdogs 4-0 SU)
— New coach is Hawai’i alum Chang, a former Rainbow QB

— These teams have never met.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1

 

[Udog]

Pat Fitzgerald is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in the first month of the season (Coach of NORTHWESTERN)

UTAH ST is 40-22 Under (15.8 Units) when the total is 56.5-63 since 1992.

ILLINOIS are 69-99 ATS (-39.9 Units) in the first half of the season since 1992.

FLA ATLANTIC is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games as an favorite of 3.5-10 since 1992.

UTEP is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in the first month of the season since 1992.

NEW MEXICO ST is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) in home games when the total is 49.5-56 since 1992.

BET ON : Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAWAII) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game

Mike Neu is 21-11 Under in the first half of the season (Coach of BALL ST)

PURDUE is 6-0 Under (6 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 1

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Trend Report
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Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky
Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Austin Peay is 1-22 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Western Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Nebraska @ Northwestern
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 7 games
Nebraska is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Northwestern
Northwestern is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Idaho State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho State's last 6 games on the road
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

Wyoming @ Illinois
Wyoming
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Illinois
Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Illinois's last 10 games

Connecticut @ Utah State
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games on the road
Utah State
Utah State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Utah State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Duquesne @ Florida State
Duquesne
Duquesne is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Duquesne is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Florida A&M @ North Carolina
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Florida A&M is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
North Carolina
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games

North Texas @ Texas El Paso
North Texas
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
North Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games

Nevada @ New Mexico State
Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico State
Nevada is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico State's last 8 games when playing Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games

Vanderbilt @ Hawaii
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games on the road
Hawaii
Hawaii is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games


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[vinnyvegas]

Thx Udog

appreciate the great info.

 

[Udog]

You're welcome Vinny! Good luck today!

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 1

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 2

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Thursday’s games
Central Michigan @ Oklahoma State
Central Michigan
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 13 starts
— 20-13 SU last three years, after going 1-11 in ’18.
— Last 4 years, Central Michigan is 9-5 ATS out of conference.
— Under McElwain, Chippewas are 10-3 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2013, Chippewas are 20-9 ATS as a road underdog.

Oklahoma State
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 32 starts
— since 2018, they’re 12-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Coach Gundy is 77-51-5 ATS as a favorite.
— Since 2016, Cowboys are 18-4 ATS out of conference.

— When these teams last met six years ago, Chippewas (+20) upset Oklahoma State 30-27.
— Last ten years, Big X teams are 13-6 ATS against MAC opponents.

West Virginia @ Pittsburgh
West Virginia
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— have 107 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— QB is JT Daniels, who previously played at USC/Georgia.
— Last three years, WVU is 17-18 SU.
— Under Brown, they’re 6-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, WVU is 7-11 ATS out of conference.

Pittsburgh
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— have 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 26 games at USC; his OC in high school was Kurt Warner.
— Since 2014, they’re 15-23-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last four years, they’re 17-10-1 ATS as a favorite overall.
— Last three years, Pitt is 7-4 ATS out of conference.

— These regional rivals are meeting for first time since 2011.
— West Virginia won seven of last ten series games.
— Since 2013, ACC favorites are 9-3 ATS when playing a Big X team.

Ball State @ Tennessee
Ball State
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 57 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has no starts, has thrown 34 passes
— Last year’s QB, a 4-year starter, was in camp with Bengals this summer.
— Last three years, they’re 18-15 SU, with +23 turnover ratio.
— Last three years, Cardinals are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under coach Neu, Ball State is 12-8 ATS out of conference.

Tennessee:
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); sr QB has 11 starts
— Last two years, Vols are 6-4 ATS as a favorite
— In his career, Heupel is 12-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Tennessee is 7-11 ATS out of conference.
— were +3 in turnovers LY (were minus each of previous five seasons)

— These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
— Last three years, SEC teams are 6-4 ATS against MAC opponents.

Penn State @ Purdue
Penn State
— Penn State has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Penn State has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a senior QB, with 33 starts.
— Under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 12-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Penn State is 12-14-1 ATS in conference games.
— Nittany Lions are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games with single digit spread.

Purdue
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 15 starts
— Since 2018: 3-9 ATS as home favorite, 8-4 as home underdog.
— Last year was their second winning season in last decade.
— Last four years, Purdue is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Brohm, Boilers are 22-20 ATS in conference games.

— Penn State won last nine series games; last meeting was in 2019.
— PSU’s last four series wins were by an average score of 44-15.
— Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Purdue.

Louisiana Tech @ Missouri
Louisiana Tech
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 85 starts back on offensive line
— went 8-14 last two years, after going 10-3 in 2019
— New coach Cumbie was an OC at TCU, Texas Tech
— have new QB’s; two of them played for Cumbie at TCU, Texas Tech
— Since 2019, Tech is 3-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2014, they’re 23-13 ATS out of conference.

Missouri
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 83 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); senior QB started 27 games at Southern Miss
— Under Drinkwitz, they’re 2-7 ATS as a favorite, 1-5 at home.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 8-9 ATS as a favorite, 5-8 at home.

— Mizzou was 0-6 ATS as a favorite last year (6-7 SU)
— Last three years, Tigers are 6-13 ATS as a favorite.

— These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
— Mizzou QB Abraham played against La Tech two years ago when he was at Southern Miss. Tech (+5) won 31-30; Abraham threw for 264 yards, three TD’s.
— Last two years, SEC teams are 6-4 ATS against teams from C-USA.

New Mexico State (0-1) @ Minnesota
New Mexico State
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line; new coach, new QBs
— Aggies (+8.5) lost 23-12 at home to Nevada LW.
— NM State outgained Nevada, 303-257, but was minus-5 in turnovers.
— freshman QB came off bench LW, threw for 143 yards in a half.
— 8-31 SU last 4+ years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— last two years, they’re 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— new coach Kill is 25-20 ATS as an underdog.

Minnesota
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
— since 2015, they’re 10-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— Gophers are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
— since 2017, they’re 9-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— Minnesota is 23-10 SU the last three years, 3-0 in bowls.

— NM State coach Kill coached Minnesota from 2011-15.
— Gophers (-21.5) beat NM State 48-10 in last meeting, in 2018.

 

[indiana]

U/Dog........always appreciate your daily solid info buddy......
thank you for the time and effort.....
BOL with all your action this season.......indy

 

[Udog]

You're welcome indy! Good luck this season!

Here's a little more....

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

FCS

 

[Udog]

Week 1 College Football Tech Trends
Bruce Marshall


Thursday, Sept. 1

West Virginia at Pittsburgh (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

First meeting since 2011.
West Virginia 2-7 vs. spread away in 2021
West Virginia 20-14 Under over last three seasons
Pitt 17-9 Over run
Pitt 7-1 last eight vs. line when facing non-ACC school in regular season

Tech Play: Over

Ball State at Tennessee (SECN, 7:00 p.m.)

Cardinals 4-9 vs. line last year.
Cardinals failed to cover last four vs. non-MAC schools.
Josh Heupel is 10-22 last 32 vs. line since 2019 at UCF.
Vols Over 10-3 last season

Tech Play: Over

Central Michigan at Oklahoma State (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)

McElwain is 22-11 vs. line since arriving at Chips in 2019, 11-6 as the underdog.
Cowboys 12-3 vs. spread last 15 on board but no covers last three as non-Big 12 host.
Cowboys Under 22-14 since 2019

Tech Play: CMU, Under

Penn State at Purdue (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)

PSU Under 16-8 last 24 games.
James Franklin is 9-5 vs. spread last 14 on Big Ten trail.
Purdue 16-9 vs. spread last two full season (Skip COVID 2020).
Brohm 12-5 vs. spread last 17 as underdog

Tech Play: Purdue

Louisiana Tech at Missouri (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

Sonny Cumbie's debut at LA Tech.
Road dog had been a good role (20-8-1 vs. line, 3-0 LY) for Bulldogs in Holtz era.
LA Tech Over 15-7 past two seasons.
Mizzou 4-12 vs. spread last 16 on board.
2-7 last nine at home vs. line, no covers last seven chalk

Tech Play: LA Tech, Over

New Mexico State at Minnesota (BTN, 9:00 p.m.)

Jerry Kill return game to Minnesota.
Aggies were 5-2 vs. spread as road team last year, all as underdogs.
No covers last four as non-Big Ten host for PJ Fleck since 2019.

Tech Play: New Mexico State


Friday, Sept. 2

Virginia Tech at Old Dominion (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)

Hokies 9-17 spread skid, 6-11 last 17 as favorite.
Hokies 2-10 last 12 vs. spread on road.
ODU late season surge last year, won and covered last five to go 8-4 spread mark.

Tech Play: Old Dominion

Western Michigan at Michigan State (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Broncos 4-1 vs. line non-MAC last season, but lost at Michigan and no covers last two vs. Big Ten.
Mel Tucker 9-4 vs. line last year but just 2-2 when laying double-digit points.

Tech Play: Western Michigan

Temple at Duke (ACCN, 7:30 p.m.)

Owls closed last season losing and failing to cover seven straight.
Duke lost eight SU and failed to cover last six.
Duke has covered four straight and 10 of last 11 at home vs. non-ACC schools.

Tech Play: Duke

Illinois at Indiana (FS1, 8:00 p.m.)

Bielema 4-0 vs. line on Big Ten trail, and 6-2 as underdog.
Illinois Under 9-3 and went under in Week Zero
Indiana 2-10 vs. spread in 2021 and didn't cover any of last five vs. FBS-level school in Bloomington.

Tech Play: Illinois, Under

TCU at Colorado (ESPN, 10:00 p.m.)

Dorrell covered last three games in Colorado.
Colorado 3-1 vs. spread as home underdog.
Colorado Under 9-5 last 14 games.
Frogs dropped last four vs. line when on road.
TCU 1-4 last five vs. spread as favorite vs. FBS-school.
Dykes SMU teams were 15-0 SU and 12-3 vs. line in first five games across last three years.

Tech Play: TCU


Saturday, Sept. 3

NC State at ECU (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

Wolfpack 2-5 vs. spread last seven as visitor.
NCST only 2-2 vs. spread as road favorite last year.
ECU 9-4 spread uptick since 2020
ECU 4-1-1 vs. spread last six vs. FBS-schools in Greenville.
ECU 5-1 last six as underdog

Tech Play: ECU

UNC at Appalachian State (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

UNC 6-12 vs. line last 18 games.
UNC 1-6 vs. spread last seven on road.
UNC 1-4 vs. spread last five vs. non-ACC schools.
App State 8-6 vs. line last year.

Tech Play: App State

Buffalo at Maryland (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)

Bulls 3-8 vs. spread last 11 games.
Terps won and covered four of last five openers (only loss was 2020)
Locksley is 5-0 vs. spread at home vs. non-Big ten schools.

Tech Play: Maryland

Colorado State at Michigan (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

Rams no wins or covers last six games, but new coach Norvell in town.
Norvell 5-0 as dog with Nevada last year, 8-0 as underdog past two seasons with Nevada.
Michigan 11-3 vs. spread last year.
Michigan covered four straight vs. non-Big Ten at home

Tech Play: Colorado State

Rutgers at Boston College (ACCN, 12:00 p.m.)

Rutgers 8-2 vs. spread as visitor last two seasons.
BC only covered two of last 11 games.
BC Under 9-3 last year

Tech Play: Rutgers

Bowling Green at UCLA (Pac-12, 2:30 p.m.)

BG covered all four outside of MAC last year
BG 8-3 last year as underdog, 4-13 vs. spread previous two seasons though.
UCLA 8-4 vs. line last year and 3-1 laying double-digit points.
UCLA Over 12-7 last two season

Tech Play: Over

Oregon vs. Georgia (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

Ducks 6-13 spread skid and 2-4 last six as underdogs.
UGA 10-5 vs. line last year.
UGA Under 10-6 last 16 games

Tech Play: Georgia

UTEP vs. Oklahoma (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)

UTEP 4-2-1 vs. spread away from Sun Bowl.
OU 2-3-1 vs. line last six regular season vs. FBS non-Big 12 schools.
OU is on 14-9 Over run.

Tech Play: Over

Arizona at San Diego State (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

Jedd Fisch 6-6 spread mark and 3-3 vs. line on road.
Aztecs 1-5 ATS as home favorite (in Carson).

Tech Play: Arizona

Houston at UTSA (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)

Holgorsen only 3-5 vs. line vs. non-AAC BCS-level schools.
UTSA 14-4 as underdog since 2019

Tech Play: UTSA

Cincinnati at Arkansas (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

Fickell 3-4 vs. line away from Nippert last season.
Fickell 9-2 vs. spread last 11 vs. non-ACC schools
Fickell 5-2 vs. spread last seven as underdog.
Arkansas 8-0 vs. spread first four games last two season under Pittman.
Arkansas 8-4 vs. spread as host since 2020.
Arkansas 4-0 SU and vs. line vs. non-SEC schools.

Tech Play: Arkansas

Tulsa at Wyoming (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)

Tulsa won last four and covered last five.
Montgomery 4-2 vs. spread last five vs. FBS-level non-AAC schools.
Bohl 2-4 vs. spread at home last season.

Tech Play: Tulsa

Troy at Ole Miss (SECN, 4:00 p.m.)

Troy dropped seven of last nine vs. spread last year.
Kiffin 4-0 SU and vs. spread at home vs. non-SEC school in regular season
Kiffin 8-4 vs. number last 12 at home.
Rebels Under 11-3 last 14 games since 2020.

Tech Play: Ole Miss, Under

BYU at USF (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

Cougars 1-5 vs. line away from home last season.
BYU 3-7 ATS as chalk last year.
USF 3-17 SU but covered five of last season in Tampa.

Tech Play: USF

Texas State at Nevada (5:30 p.m.)

Nevada 18-7 vs. spread last 25 in regular season.
Nevada Over 10-4 run last 14.
Spavital now 16-10 vs. spread with TXST since 2020.

Tech Play: Nevada

Rice at USC (Pac-12, 6:00 p.m.)

Riley 6-6 as favorite against the spread, only 2-5 laying double-digits vs. FBS schools.
Riley 18-18 vs. spread since 2019.
USC 2-8 vs. spread last 10 at home.
Owls 3-9 vs. spread last year.
Owls 1-3 getting double-digit points.
Rice over 9-3 last season

Tech Play: Over

FAU at Ohio (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)

Taggart 16-6 Under run at FAU.
Ohio 3-9 SU and 5-7 vs. line and 2-4 vs. spread in Athens.
Ohio 11-17 vs. spread since 2019.
Ohio Under 8-4 run since 2021.

Tech Play: Under, FAU

Army at Coastal Carolina (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

Army SU win in five of six season openers.
Monken 6-1 last seven as underdog.
Coastal 6-8 last 14 vs. spread - dropped last three vs. spread at home.

Tech Play: Army

Utah at Florida (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Utes dropped last five vs. spread in regular season vs. non-Pac-12 school.
Utes 2-4 vs. spread as visitor
Florida 4-14-1 last 19 vs. spread.
Napier 34-5 SU last three years at Louisiana.
Napier 7-2 last nine as underdog.

Tech Play: Florida

Liberty at Southern Miss (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

Freeze only 2-4 vs. spread on road last year.
Flames 2-5 vs. line last seven as regular season favorite.
USM covered last three after going 1-8 first nine games last season.
USM 20-8 Under run.

Tech Play: Under

UMass at Tulane (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

Green Wave is 2-2 vs. line as favorite.
Frits 7-3 vs. spread last 10 at home.
UMass 3-12-1 vs. points as road team

Tech Play: Tulane

Miami-Ohio at Kentucky (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

Miami is 2-13 vs. spread last 15 regular season games vs. non-MAC schools.
Miami 10-5 vs. points last 15 as underdog.
Stoops 8-3 vs. points last 11 at home.
UK 6-1 vs. spread last seven vs. non-SEC schools at home.

Tech Play: Kentucky

Georgia State at South Carolina (ESPN+, 7:30 p.m.)

Ga State covered seven of last eight games, including five straight away from Atlanta.
Ga State 5-2 vs. spread last seven against non-Sun Belt schools.
Ga State 7-4 last 11 as underdog.
Beamer 4-3 vs. spread as home team.

Tech Play: Georgia State

Notre Dame at Ohio State (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

Notre Dame covered nine of last 10 in regular season.
Irish 7-4 as underdogs and 2-1 as double-digit dog.
Ryan Day only 11-13 vs. spread last 24 on board, 5-6 last 11 vs. spread at home.

Tech Play: Notre Dame

Memphis at Mississippi State (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m.)

Tigers 0-8-1 under Silverfield vs. spread as road team.
Memphis 8-15-1 vs. spread overall under Silverfield.
Tigers Under 13-7 since 2020.
Miss State Under 14-10 with Leach.

Tech Play: Mississippi State, Under

Utah State at Alabama (SECN, 7:30 p.m.)

Utah State 10-4 vs. spread last year, missed cover vs. UConn in Week Zero.
Utah State 6-2 as underdog vs. spread last season.
Anderson teams now 9-2 as dogs since 2020.
Saban 10-17-1 vs. line hosting non-SEC schools at home.
Saban 10-3 vs. spread last 13 at home overall.

Tech Play: Utah State

SMU at North Texas (CBSSN, 7:30 p.m.)

Mustangs won and covered last three and six of last seven vs. No. Texas.
SMU 10-2 vs. line across first four games in 2019-2021 and 9-2 vs. spread in regular season vs. non-AAC schools
SMU 0-5 vs. spread away from home last season.
No. Texas six game win and cover streak in regular season.
Littrell covered five of last six as underdog.

Tech Play: North Texas

Louisville at Syracuse (ACCN, 8:00 p.m.)

Louisville outscored Cuse 127-37 last three seasons.
Cardinals 3-1 vs. line as straight visitor last season.
Satterfield is 10-5 as favorite since 2019.
Babers is 6-3 last nine as underdog.

Tech Play: Louisville

UL-Monroe vs. Texas (LHN, 8:00 p.m.)

Bowden only 2-4 vs. spread away from Monroe.
ULM 5-3 vs. line when getting double-digit points.
ULM Under last four games.
Sark lost six of seven SU and vs. spread overall.
Horns 4-2 vs. spread at home last season.

Tech Play: UL-Monroe

Boise State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)

Broncs 5-1 vs. line on road last year.
Broncs 3-0 last year vs. spread as underdog.
Broncs 3-1 vs. line against non-Mountain West schools.
Broncs 11-2 Under run since 2020.
Oreg. State 6-0 vs. spread at home last year.

Tech Play: Under

Kent State at Washington (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)

Kent State no covers last four games vs. non-MAC and FBS school last season.
Kent State 1-8 vs. spread last nine on road.
DeBoer 8-5 vs. line last season.
Huskies 3-9 vs. spread at home last season.
Huskies 3-9 Under run last season.

Tech Play: Under, Washington

Western Kentucky at Hawaii (11:59 p.m.)

Hawaii 0-4 vs. spread against non-Mountain West schools.
WKY 7-4 vs. spread on road last year.

Tech Play: Western Kentucky


Sunday, Sept. 4

FSU vs. LSU (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

Kelly is 9-3 vs. line in regular season.
Norvell 3-4 vs. spread last seven on road.
FSU Under 8-4 last season

Tech Play: Under, LSU


Monday, Sept. 5

Clemson vs. Georgia Tech (ESPN, 8:00 p.m.)

Collins 11-22-1 vs. line.
GA Tech 6-11 last 17 as underdog.
Dabo won last six SU and covered last five.
Dabo won and covered last three away from Clemson.
Clemson outscored GA Tech 125-21 in last two meetings.

Tech Play: Clemson

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, September 1

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Friday games
Western Michigan @ Michigan State
Western Michigan
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; new QB this year
— one of their QB’s was a walk-on at Alabama LY
— since 2017, they’re 4-9 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, they’re 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Broncos are 7-3 ATS out of conference.

Michigan State
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 14 starts
— QB Thorne threw for 3,233 yards LY, with 27 TD’s/10 INTs.
— 11-2 SU LY (16-17 SU previous three years)
— Under Tucker, they’re 3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Spartans were 4-0 ATS out of conference LY.

— Michigan State won last eight series games (5-3 ATS)
— Last meeting was in 2019, a 51-17 (-15.5) Spartan win.
— Last two years, Big 14 teams are 17-4 ATS when playing a MAC team.

Virginia Tech @ Old Dominion
Virginia Tech
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 23 games at Marshall
— Last four years, they’re 25-25 SU, which is why there is a new coach.
— Since 2016, Hokies are 5-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Tech is 2-9 ATS outside the ACC.
— New coach Pry spent last six years as DC at Penn State.

Old Dominion
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 70 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 10 starts
— Old Dominion was 5-1 ATS at home last year.
— Monarchs sat out the 2020 season.
— Since 2014, ODU is 10-19 ATS out of conference.
— HC Rahne was also at Penn State (OC in 2018-19)

— Home side won all three series games.
— Hokies lost 49-35 here in 2018, as a 27-point favorite.
— ODU is 2-1 SU/ATS in the three meetings.
— Since 2016, ACC teams are 20-12 ATS vs C-USA opponents.

Temple @ Duke
Temple
— 7 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on OL; soph QB has 8 starts, one of them at Georgia.
— last two years, Owls are 4-15 SU
— Temple was 1-9 ATS as an underdog LY.
— Last two years, they’re 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— New coach Drayton was RB’s coach at Texas 2017-21; this is his first stint as a HC.

Duke
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 124 starts back on offensive line; 4th year in row they’ll have new QB
— New coach was defensive coordinator at Texas A&M
— Last three years, they’re 10-19 SU, with minus-27 turnover ratio.
— Last three years, they’re 5-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over last decade, Duke is 32-11 ATS out of conference.
— New coach Elko was DC at Texas A&M the last four years.

— Duke (+3.5) waxed Temple 56-27 in Independence Bowl four years ago.
— That is only meeting between these teams the last 25 years.
— Since 2016, ACC teams are 15-12 ATS vs AAC opponents.

Illinois (1-0) @ Indiana
Illinois
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last three years, they’re 9-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 10+ years, they’re 40-79 SU
— Illini covered seven of nine conference games LY.
— Last week, Illinois drilled Wyoming 38-6, running ball for 260 yards.

Indiana
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 61 starts return on offensive line; QB had 20 starts at Missouri
— Hoosiers were 2-10 LY, after going 14-7 in 2019-20.
— Under Allen, Indiana is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Favorite is 22-6 ATS in Hoosiers’ last 28 home games.
— Under Allen, Indiana is 36-46 ATS in conference games.

— These teams haven’t met since 2017.
— Indiana won last three meetings, all by 10+ points.
— Illini is 3-6 ATS in last nine visits here.

TCU @ Colorado
TCU
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 29 starts
— New coach Dykes is 71-63 SU, coaching three different schools.
— Last five years, TCU is 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Dykes is 9-15-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Horned Frogs are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games out of conference.

Colorado
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 49 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Last five years, they’re 23-31 SU
— In his career, Dorrell is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Colorado is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— This is only 3rd time since 2009 that Buffs are opening at home.

— These teams have never met.
— Last four years, Big X teams are 10-3 ATS against Pac-12 opponents.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, September 3

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Saturday games
Rutgers @ Boston College
Rutgers
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 20 starts; another QB is freshman who threw 5 passes LY.
— Last two years: Rutgers is 6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Schiano is 25-17-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Last two years, they’re +8 in turnovers (previous two years, they were minus-27)
— Since 2017, Scarlet Knights are 8-5 ATS out of conference.

Boston College
— BC has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 29 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Last six years, they’re 38-35 SU
— In two years under Hafley, they’re 3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— New OC McNulty was tight ends coach at Notre Dame last two years.
— Last five years, they’re 8-11 ATS in non-conference games.

— Boston College won last nine series games (7-2 ATS).
— Teams have met only once since 2004.
— Last five years, Big 14 teams are 16-10 ATS when playing an ACC opponent.

North Carolina @ Appalachian State
North Carolina (1-0)
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; redshirt freshman QB threw 19 passes LY, 37 more LW.
— Lost last nine times they scored less than 34 points.
— Last two years, they’re 1-5 ATS as road favorites.
— Last three years, UNC is 12-13 ATS as a favorite overall.
— Last week, UNC outlasted an undermanned I-AA team 56-24, running for 314 yards.

Appalachian State
— App State has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— ASU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has senior QB with 14 starts- he threw for 3,337 yards, 27 TD’s LY.
— Last seven years, ASU is 73-19 SU.
— Last five years, App State is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last two years, App State is 3-6 ATS out of conference.

— App State (+2.5) upset Tar Heels 34-31 in Chapel Hill in 2019, teams’ only meeting in last 25 years.
— Last four years, Sun Belt teams are 5-2 ATS against ACC opponents.

Oregon vs Georgia (@ Atlanta)
Oregon
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 34 starts at Auburn
— Last three years, Ducks are 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Lanning is Ducks’ 4th coach in seven years; they’re 35-13 SU last four years
— Last four years, Oregon is 4-8-1 ATS out of conference.
— Ducks are 5-4 ATS in last nine games vs SEC opponents.

Georgia
— 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— Oregon coach Lanning was Georgia’s DC last year.
— 62 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— Smart is 17-6 ATS as a favorite away from home.
— Since 2017, Dawgs are 13-8 ATS out of conference.
— Georgia is 5-5 ATS last ten games vs Pac-12 foes (last one was 2010)

— Since 2015, Pac-12 teams are 10-3 ATS vs SEC opponents.
— These teams have met only once, in 1977.
— With game in Atlanta, Dawgs figure to have most of crowd support.

Cincinnati @ Arkansas
Cincinnati
— 8 starters back on offense; 5 on defense
— 107 starts back on OL
— junior QB started 11 games at Eastern Michigan LY; he was backup here in ’19/’20.
— Last four years, Bearcats are 49-7 SU
— Last four years, they’re 8-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Fickell is 14-6 ATS as an underdog
— Last four years, Cincy is 12-6 ATS out of conference.

Arkansas:
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 15 starts
— Since 2015, they’re 11-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— Pittman is 3-3-1 ATS as a favorite.
— LY, Razorbacks were 4-1 ATS out of conference.
— +11 in turnovers last two years; previous five years, were minus-13

— These teams haven’t met in last 25 years.
— Last two years, AAC teams are 5-3-1 ATS vs SEC opponents.

Houston @ Texas-San Antonio
Houston
— 7 starters back on offense; 6 on defense
— 65 starts back on OL; senior QB has 31 starts
— Houston went 12-2 LY; in 2019-20, they were 7-13.
— Last six years, they’re 9-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Holgorsen, they’re 6-5 ATS out of conference.
— In his career, Holgorsen is 13-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.

Tex-San Antonio
— UTSA has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Roadrunners have 121 returning starts on offensive line.
— UTSA has senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Roadrunners are 19-7 SU under Traylor (26-46 from 2014-19).
— Under Traylor, UTSA is 8-2 ATS as an underdog.
— UTSA is +20 in turnovers the last two years.

— These teams haven’t met since 2014.
— Last three years, AAC teams are 14-5 ATS vs C-USA opponents.

Arizona @ San Diego State
Arizona
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 57 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 15 starts at Washington State
— Since 2015, 7-20 Arizona is ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, they’re minus-26 in turnovers, going 1-16 SU.
— Since 2014, they’re 8-16 ATS out of conference.
— Since 2015, Arizona is 20-32 ATS overall as an underdog.

San Diego State
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 16 starts at Virginia Tech
— won 10+ games five of last seven seasons
— Last five years, they’re 8-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Hoke is 46-35-1 ATS at home, 32-25-1 as a HF.
— Aztecs start playing in brand-new Snap Dragon Stadium this year.

— Aztecs (+1.5) waxed Arizona 38-14 LY, teams’ first meeting since 2001.
— Total yardage in that game: 454-230.
— Last 3 years, Mountain West teams are 18-12 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

Texas State @ Nevada
Texas State
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line.
— Junior QB started 27 games at Arkansas State.
— Last seven years, they’re 19-65 SU.
— since 2019, they’re 7-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last five years, they’re 8-12 ATS out of conference
— Texas State has never played in a bowl game.

Nevada
— 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 3 starts at Oklahoma State
— 30-18 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— were +16 in turnovers LY, but were only 8-5.
— Since 2017, they’re 11-8 as a home favorite.
— 45 players from last year have departed.
— This year looks like a rebuilding year for Nevada.

— These teams haven’t met since 2012.
— Since 2015, Mountain West teams are 11-5-1 ATS vs Sun Belt opponents.

Utah @ Florida
Utah
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 12 games
— LY, Utah was 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Utes are 24-9 SU.
— Last four years, they’re 3-8-1 ATS out of conference.
— Last nine years, Utah is 7-1-1 ATS in its first road game of a season.

Florida:
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 1 start
— Last four years, Gators are 3-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Florida is 2-8-1 ATS out of conference.
— Gators are 4-2 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
— Napier was 11-3-1 ATS as an underdog at Louisiana.

— Since 2015, Pac-12 teams are 10-3 ATS vs SEC opponents.
— These teams haven’t met since 1977.

Army @ Coastal Carolina
Army
— Army has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Army has only 47 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cadets use multiple QB’s; they’re all inexperienced.
— Last four years, Army is 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Army is 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS vs Sun Balt opponents.
— Since 2011, Army is 4-7 ATS in their road opener.

Coastal Carolina
— Chanticleers have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— Coastal has 54 returning starts on offensive line.
— Coastal’s soph QB has 22 career starts.
— Last two years, Chanticleers went 22-3 SU.
— Under Chadwell, Coastal is 7-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last four years, Chanticleers are 11-6 ATS in non-conference games.

— These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.

Liberty @ Southern Mississippi
Liberty
— Liberty has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Liberty has 104 returning starts on offensive line.
— Flames’ new QB started 39 games at Baylor.
— Under Freeze, Liberty is 26-11 SU.
— Under Freeze, Flames 4-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since moving up to FBS, Liberty is 9-7 ATS on the road.

Southern Miss
— Southern Miss has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Eagles have 71 returning starts on offensive line.
— Last two years, Southern Miss was 6-16 SU
— Last year, Golden Eagles were 2-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, USM is 3-7 ATS out of conference.
— Southern Miss used 10 different QB’s last year. Ten.
— Their top two QB’s from last year are back.

— Liberty (-13) won only meeting, 56-35 at home two years ago.

Notre Dame @ Ohio State
Notre Dame
— Notre Dame 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Notre Dame has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame has soph QB; this is his first start.
— Since 2015, Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— Last five years, Notre Dame in its road opener.
— This is Freeman’s first game as a HC; his DC was LB coach for the AFC champion Bengals last season- he also was a HC for 10 years, at Temple/Miami.

Ohio State
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 45 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Day is 20-10-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 10 years, Ohio State is 117-13 SU.
— Last five years, Ohio State is 8-10 ATS out of conference.
— Buckeyes are 3-6 ATS in last nine home openers.

— These teams haven’t met since 2015.

Louisville @ Syracuse
Louisville
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 116 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 38 starts
— since 2014, they’re 12-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— were +2 in turnovers LY (from 2018-20, were minus
25)
— LY, Cardinals (-3) hammered Syracuse 41-3 at home.
— In his career, favorites are 26-15-2 ATS in Satterfield’s road games.

Syracuse
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Last three years, they’re 11-24 SU (one winning season last eight years)
— Last four years, they’re 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last two years, they’re 11-7 ATS in ACC games.
— were minus-6 in turnovers LY (+25 from 2018-20)

— Louisville won seven of last eight series games.
— Cardinals are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Syracuse.

Boise State @ Oregon State
Boise State
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 25 starts
— 7-5 SU last year, after going 88-26 the previous nine years.
— Since 2017, they’re 7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2014, Boise is 19-15 ATS out of conference.
— Broncos are 4-6 ATS in last ten games with spread less than 7.

Oregon State:
— 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 76 starts back on offensive line; junior QB 15 starts
— Last year was Beavers’ first bowl since 2013.
— Smith is 6-1 ATS as home favorite.
— Last four years, OSU is 6-4 ATS out of conference.
— Pundits claim that this is Smith’s best team at Oregon State.

— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— Last 3 years, Mountain West teams are 18-12 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, September 3