Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in home games off a road loss in the current season.

BOSTON is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

CHICAGO is 23-28 ATS (-7.8 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 6-0 Over (6 Units) in road games in March games in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 26

NHL

Sunday, March 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Carolina
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

Vancouver @ Chicago
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Vancouver is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Toronto @ Nashville
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
COL at ARI	03:00 PM	ARI +260 O 6.5	+500 +500
BOS at CAR	05:00 PM	BOS +100 O 6.0	+500 +500
VAN at CHI	06:00 PM	VAN -170 O 6.5	+500 +500
TOR at NAS	06:00 PM	TOR -180 O 6.5	+500 +500
STL at LA	10:30 PM	LA -225 O 6.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/26/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1900	Detail
03/25/2023	14-16-0	46.67%	-2670	Detail
03/24/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/23/2023	8-16-0	33.33%	-5300	Detail
03/22/2023	0-1-1	25.00%	-500	Detail
03/21/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-4950	Detail
03/20/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1425	Detail
03/19/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+600	Detail
03/18/2023	14-11-1	55.77%	+790	Detail
03/17/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+450	Detail
03/16/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-650	Detail
03/15/2023	6-2-0	75.00%	+1725	Detail
03/14/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-3150	Detail
03/13/2023	3-2-1	58.33%	+1050	Detail
03/12/2023	7-9-0	43.75%	-1975	Detail
03/11/2023	16-14-0	53.33%	+275	Detail
03/10/2023	4-0-0	100.00%	+3100	Detail
03/09/2023	7-15-0	31.82%	-5450	Detail
03/08/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+775	Detail
03/07/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+725	Detail
03/06/2023	3-9-0	25.00%	-4575	Detail
03/05/2023	4-5-1	45.00%	-450	Detail
03/04/2023	11-12-1	47.92%	-2200	Detail
03/03/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2275	Detail
03/02/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-2350	Detail
03/01/2023	6-4-2	58.33%	+1025	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Jets’ QB’s and their records during their 12-year playoff drought:
14-17— Mark Sanchez
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
13-25— Sam Darnold
12-18— Geno Smith
8-14— Zach Wilson
5-11— Josh McCown
2-5— Mike White
1-2— Michael Vick
1-6— Bryce Petty
1-8— Joe Flacco
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Greg McElroy, Trevor Siemian

Quote of the Day
“My best skill was that I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, what famous actor played Russian mobster Teddy KGB?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Random thoughts with the Final Four set

— 18 years ago, 11-seed George Mason (+8) upset #1-seed UConn 86-84 to get to an unlikely Final Four; coach of that team was Jim Larranaga. Then yesterday………

— Miami 88, Texas 81— Larranaga is back in the Final Four, in his 12th season at Miami; his Hurricanes tied for first place in the ACC this season, still only got a #5-seed.

Texas led 64-51 with 12:51 left in the game.
Miami’s Jordan Miller was 7-7 from floor, 11-11 on foul line.
Miami was 28-32 on foul line, Longhorns 11-15.

Larranaga is 73 years old; he was an assistant to Terry Holland at Virginia during the Ralph Sampson era in the early 80’s. This is the cherry on top of a freakin’ great career.

— Texas needs to do the right thing now and make interim coach Rodney Terry the full-time coach. Terry did a great job this year; I’m trying to remember why he left Fresno State for UTEP five years ago, after going 66-34 his last three years in Fresno.

Terry went 37-48 in three years at UTEP, then signed on to be Chris Beard’s assistant at Texas. When Beard got fired in November for off-court reasons, Terry took over and now he deserves to be the full-time coach. This is a no brainer.

— San Diego State 57, Creighton 56
Creighton shot 35.4% on the arc this year;; they were 2-17 in this game
Bluejays led 41-34 with 13:14 left to play.
Coming into this month, Mountain West teams were 0-8 in the last three NCAA Tournaments; now they have a team in the Final Four.

— Early lines for the Final Four games:
UConn -5 vs Miami
San Diego State -1.5 vs Florida Atlantic

— This is the first time ever the Final Four won’t have any #1, #2 or #3 seeds in it.

— Final Four teams have earned $8,330,000; the teams get half that amount, their leagues split the rest of the money. FAU gets $4,165,000; other ten teams in Conference USA get $416,500 apiece. Big payday for those schools, especially the mid-major teams.

This past season, Florida Atlantic’s entire operating budget for basketball was $1,627,839.

— Back in December, a gutsy gambler wagered $500 on Florida Atlantic to get to the Final Four, at 400-1 odds; dude cashed the ticket for $200,000 Saturday.

— VCU’s Mike Rhoades is expected to bolt for the Penn State job, at $3.5M a year; I’m really doubting if Penn State is a better basketball job than VCU. Penn State is obviously a football school; they had the most experienced team in the country this year. VCU is a basketball school, close to an East Coast version of Gonzaga.

— New Mexico State hired Sam Houston coach Jason Hooten this weekend; Aggies had an awful season, cancelling it after starting 2-10 in the WAC- there were numerous off-court issues with a first-year coach, but New Mexico State also has a winning tradition— they’ve been in eight of the last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

Hooten was at Sam Houston State for 13 years, going 26-8 this past season.

— In case you were wondering, Boise State has the most appearances in an NCAA Tournament without ever winning a game (0-9).

— Cincinnati Reds are paying 53-year old Ken Griffey Jr $3.59M this season, a deferred payment on a contract he signed in 2000. Only three Reds this season will earn more than Griffey.

— 49ers acquired kicker Zane Gonzalez from Carolina; their last kicker Robbie Gould is a free agent. Gonzalez was hurt last year, didn’t kick; he is 91-113 one field goals in a six-year career with the Browns, Cardinals and Panthers.

 

[Udog]

OTTAWA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents in the current season.

MONTREAL is 9-4 ATS (4.6 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current s...

SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games off a road win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

COLORADO is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.

ARIZONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 27

NHL

Monday, March 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal @ Buffalo
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games at home

Florida @ Ottawa
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home

New Jersey @ NY Islanders
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Jersey's last 19 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
New Jersey is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
NY Islanders is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games at home
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Colorado @ Anaheim
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Anaheim is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

Edmonton @ Arizona
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL Against the Spread Rankings

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 27​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MON at BUF	07:00 PM	MON +155 O 7.0	+500 +500
FLA at OTT	07:00 PM	FLA -150 U 7.0	+500 +500
NJ at NYI	07:30 PM	NJ -130 O 6.0	+500 +500
SEA at MIN	08:00 PM	MIN -115 O 6.0	+500 +500
COL at ANA	10:00 PM	ANA +230 U 6.5	+500 +500
EDM at ARI	10:00 PM	ARI +260 O 7.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/27/2023	4-4-4	50.00%	-125	Detail
03/26/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1900	Detail
03/25/2023	14-16-0	46.67%	-2670	Detail
03/24/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/23/2023	8-16-0	33.33%	-5300	Detail
03/22/2023	0-1-1	25.00%	-500	Detail
03/21/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-4950	Detail
03/20/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1425	Detail
03/19/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+600	Detail
03/18/2023	14-11-1	55.77%	+790	Detail
03/17/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+450	Detail
03/16/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-650	Detail
03/15/2023	6-2-0	75.00%	+1725	Detail
03/14/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-3150	Detail
03/13/2023	3-2-1	58.33%	+1050	Detail
03/12/2023	7-9-0	43.75%	-1975	Detail
03/11/2023	16-14-0	53.33%	+275	Detail
03/10/2023	4-0-0	100.00%	+3100	Detail
03/09/2023	7-15-0	31.82%	-5450	Detail
03/08/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+775	Detail
03/07/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+725	Detail
03/06/2023	3-9-0	25.00%	-4575	Detail
03/05/2023	4-5-1	45.00%	-450	Detail
03/04/2023	11-12-1	47.92%	-2200	Detail
03/03/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2275	Detail
03/02/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-2350	Detail
03/01/2023	6-4-2	58.33%	+1025	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2010-11, college hoop teams with the best winning %age:
.865 — Gonzaga
.811 — Kansas
.786 — Duke
.768 — Arizona
.762 — Kentucky
.761 — San Diego State

Quote of the Day
“It’s an ongoing process. I’m following it very closely, just like everybody else is here and looking forward to a resolution. I’m excited. Thinking about Lamar all the time. Thinking about him as our quarterback. We’re building our offense around that idea. I’m just looking forward to getting back to football and I’m confident that’s going to happen.”
Ravens’ coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Which baseball Hall of Famer once played point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: XFL trends, and other football stuff in March……..

— Opening Day of baseball season is Thursday, so of course the NFL owns the headlines today, because the NFL doesn’t have much of an offseason anymore.

— I’m told that quarterback is an important position in football; right now the Baltimore Ravens have a QB who wants a boatload of guaranteed $$$, the Ravens don’t want to guarantee a whole lot of that money and since the QB is acting as his own agent, things have gotten personal.

Lamar Jackson has a career W-L record of 45-16 in the regular season, which is really good; in the playoffs, he is 1-3, with Baltimore scoring 13.5 ppg in those games. Not so good.

Here’s the thing: Jackson didn’t play in the Ravens’ last six games last year, he didn’t play in their last four games the year before. Leg injuries for a running QB aren’t good. Ravens are 18-17 the last two years; expectations are higher than that.

One of the best abilities is availability/dependability; good QB’s make $35-$40M a year in the NFL, with the expectation that he is your leader, the face of your franchise. He is expected to play and play very well, not to mention being a leader.

Schedule comes out in a few weeks; would be a lot easier to sell those season tickets if your quarterback/leader isn’t at odds with the team.

So there is a standoff; this is bad for the NFL, bad for the Ravens, bad for Jackson.

Ravens can come out of this smelling like a rose if they trade Jackson for a couple of first round picks and then land another QB (Carson Wentz, Teddy Bridgewater, Matt Ryan???) to back up Tyler Huntley, who has a 3-6 record in nine NFL starts.

If the Ravens trade Jackson to the Colts, they could use the Colts’ draft pick they’ll get back to draft their QB of the future, which buys them time with their fans.

What happens if Jackson refuses to budge on his contract demands? Does he simply not play? How is this good for him? Who is advising him? Do you want to put your entire franchise in the hands of someone who may be being advised by sketchy people?

— NFL schedule comes out in a month or so; there is a lot of $$$ involved with which games are on in primetime. Would be nice to know who each team’s quarterback is going to be.

Indianapolis Colts, who used to call Baltimore home, visit the Ravens this season; if Jackson is traded to the Colts, guaranteed that is either a Monday night game or a Thursday Amazon game.

— Jets/Packers are still at odds over the Aaron Rodgers trade. Just let me know when they make a decision. This whole debacle has become exhausting.

Jets by the way, have nine home games this year (all AFC teams have 9, NFC teams 8) plus one of their “road” games is against the Giants in the stadium they share, so the Jets really only have seven road games this coming season.

If/when Rodgers becomes a Jet, Jets will gain 2-3 more primetime slots, you can bet on that.

— Detroit Lions’ over/under win total this season is 9.5, the highest it has been in the last 30 years.

Let me say right here that I think it is foolish to bet on season win totals before the schedules come out. As the great Bud Grant used to say, “Its not who you play, it is when you play them”

— Texas Longhorns did the right thing Monday and signed basketball coach Rodney Terry to a 5-year, $15.3M contract. Good for everyone; for once, sanity prevails.

— North Carolina’s leading scorer Caleb Love is in the transfer portal, will bolt Chapel Hill after UNC went 20-13 this season, turning down a chance to play in the NIT. When you see a team choose to end their season like that, you can assume they had internal issues, and Love’s going into the transfer portal seems to confirm that.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, six weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (3-3)
Last five games stayed under the total.
All three wins were by 6 or less points.
Allowed 15 or fewer points in three of last four games.
0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (6-0)
Won/covered all six games.
Five of those six games went over the total.
Last four games, Defenders scored 32.8 ppg.

Houston Renegades (4-2)
Lost last two games, after a 4-0 start.
3-0 SU/ATS at home, winning by 21-9-9 points.
Favorite covered five of their six games.

Las Vegas Vipers (1-5)
Only win was 35-32 over 0-6 Orlando.
Vipers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
Last four games, Las Vegas allowed 30.8 ppg.
Three of their last four games went over total.

Orlando Guardians (0-6)
Orlando beat spread in three of last four games.
Five of their six games went over total.
Guardians are giving up 29.7 ppg.

St Louis Battlehawks (4-2)
Both their losses are to 6-0 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins
Battlehawks covered both times they were favored.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-4)
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in five of six games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last three games: 22.3.

Seattle Sea Dragons (4-2)
Seattle won its last four games, after an 0-2 start.
Their three road games all went over the total.
Last three games, they allowed only 13 ppg.

 

[Udog]

COLUMBUS are 15-12 ATS (1.8 Units) after allowing 6 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 42-27 ATS (12.3 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) on Tuesday nights in the current season.

DALLAS are 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) on the road when the total is 5.5 in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road wins in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 15-50 ATS (-40 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nashville @ Boston
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Nashville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Columbus @ NY Rangers
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Montreal @ Philadelphia
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Detroit
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Vancouver @ St. Louis
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Los Angeles @ Calgary
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games at home

Edmonton @ Vegas
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Vegas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Winnipeg @ San Jose
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 28​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PIT at DET	07:00 PM	PIT -185 O 6.5	+500 +500
CLB at NYR	07:00 PM	CLB +325 O 6.5	+500 +500
NAS at BOS	07:00 PM	NAS +275 O 6.0	+500 +500
MON at PHI	07:00 PM	PHI -170 O 6.5	+500 +500
TB at CAR	07:00 PM	TB +120 O 6.0	+500 +500
VAN at STL	08:00 PM	STL -105 U 6.5	+500 +500
DAL at CHI	08:30 PM	CHI +245 O 5.5	+500 +500
LA at CAL	09:00 PM	LA +115 U 6.0	+500 +500
EDM at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -105 O 7.0	+500 +500
WIN at SJ	10:30 PM	SJ +170 O 6.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/28/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-425	Detail
03/27/2023	4-4-4	50.00%	-125	Detail
03/26/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1900	Detail
03/25/2023	14-16-0	46.67%	-2670	Detail
03/24/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/23/2023	8-16-0	33.33%	-5300	Detail
03/22/2023	0-1-1	25.00%	-500	Detail
03/21/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-4950	Detail
03/20/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1425	Detail
03/19/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+600	Detail
03/18/2023	14-11-1	55.77%	+790	Detail
03/17/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+450	Detail
03/16/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-650	Detail
03/15/2023	6-2-0	75.00%	+1725	Detail
03/14/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-3150	Detail
03/13/2023	3-2-1	58.33%	+1050	Detail
03/12/2023	7-9-0	43.75%	-1975	Detail
03/11/2023	16-14-0	53.33%	+275	Detail
03/10/2023	4-0-0	100.00%	+3100	Detail
03/09/2023	7-15-0	31.82%	-5450	Detail
03/08/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+775	Detail
03/07/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+725	Detail
03/06/2023	3-9-0	25.00%	-4575	Detail
03/05/2023	4-5-1	45.00%	-450	Detail
03/04/2023	11-12-1	47.92%	-2200	Detail
03/03/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2275	Detail
03/02/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-2350	Detail
03/01/2023	6-4-2	58.33%	+1025	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Jordan Lawlar, SS
3) Druw Jones, OF
4) Brandon Pfaadt, P
5) Deyvison de los Santos, 3B
6) Ryne Nelson, P

Quote of the Day
“People have gotten used to going from Sunday afternoon to Sunday night; that doesn’t mean that they like it. This year, we could be flexed to Monday night, which I think is really inconsiderate to our ticket holders. To flex a game back to Thursday night, to me, is just abusive. I am adamantly opposed to it. Fortunately, it didn’t get enough votes today, but it will probably be revisited in May.”
New Jersey Giants’ owner John Mara

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; who did he start his major league career with?

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB

********************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

NIT semifinals
— North Texas 56, Wisconsin 54
Wisconsin didn’t score in last 9:08 of this game.
Badgers led 41-29 at half; they scored 13 points in 2nd half.
Two guards on North Texas played all 40:00 (61 possessions, slow pace)

— UAB 88, Utah Valley 86 OT
UAB won despite its best player shooting 5-23 from the floor.
Ty Brewer scored 30 points, had 12 rebounds, five steals.

— Conference USA is now 17-1 in postseason games this month; Charlotte won the CBI, FAU is in the Final Four, and the NIT final is two C-USA teams. 17-1 is freakin’ impressive.

— NIT Final Four has traditionally been in Madison Square Garden, but this year it is in the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas and next year, it is at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indiana, where they shot the finale scenes in Hoosiers.

— College coaching stuff:
Penn State hired VCU coach Mike Rhoades
VCU then hired Utah State coach Ryan Odom

— Happy 79th birthday this week to Rick Barry, one of the best basketball players of all-time; he was Larry Bird before Larry Bird. Famous for shooting free throws underhanded, Barry led the Warriors to the 1975 NBA title. He also has five sons who all played pro basketball.

Had Barry played during the ESPN era, he would get a lot more credit for how great he was.

— Baseball’s new rules this season are giving umpires a lot of discretion, especially where the pitch clock is concerned. Hopefully at the end of close games, they’ll let players decide the outcomes. We’ll see what happens.

By the way, after last season, 12 umpires retired, which seems like an awful lot for one season, so in a year when umpires have more discretion, there will be 12 new umpires.

— Cleveland Guardians signed 2B Andres Gimenez a 7-year, $106.5M contract extension; 24-year old Gimenez hit .297 last year, with 17 home runs.

— Cleveland P Tristan McKenzie is out 6-8 weeks with a strained back.

— Cubs signed 2B Nico Hoerner to a 3-year, $35M contract extension; Hoerner hit ,281 last year with 60 runs scored, 55 RBI.

— Where do various major league teams get their top prospects from? My book came in the mail Tuesday, which lists each team’s top 30 prospects.

18 of the Astros’ top 30 prospects played college baseball, more than any team; Cardinals/Giants have 16 college players in their top 30.

Reds, Mets, Red Sox have only six college players in their top 30 prospects.

Rangers have 13 high school players in their top 30, Red Sox 10, Pirates 9. Bronx has only one high school player in their top 30; Dodgers have only three.

Bronx (15), Mets (14), White Sox/Toronto (13 each) have the most international players in their top 30; Orioles/Rays have only four each.

Cincinnati acquired 11 of its top 30 prospects via trade; A’s/Rays acquired 10. White Sox are only team in major leagues whose top 30 prospects are all home grown.

— Atlanta Falcons named Desmond Ridder their starting QB for the coming season, probably so people will stop asking them about Lamar Jackson. Ridder split four games as Atlanta’s starting QB during his rookie season last year.

— Was watching the XFL game Monday night when I was reminded of something from 40 years ago, the night I was part of the chain gang at a semi-pro football game here in Albany.

Metro Mallers played at Bleecker Stadium in Albany for a long time; it was pretty good football, a fun night out. I went to the game but didn’t feel like paying to get in; saw a friend of mine’s dad who worked for the Mallers, asked him to get me in for free.

He smiled and said “I’ve got just the job for you”

I’m 22-23 years old, just out of college; lot of the guys on the Mallers played ball at UAlbany— my work study job in college was doing stats for football/basketball games, so when I went out on the field for a measurement in the first quarter, Donnie Hyde, who was a really good linebacker, looked at me and said “What the hell are you doing here?”

I laughed and said “Just like college; you’re playing and I’m watching”

The other team had uniforms just like the Cowboys; I’m standing on their sidelines with the chains, and during the third quarter of a close game, I’m standing next to their head coach.

He has his play chart in his left hand, and is sending plays in via messenger; then I realized he has a freakin’ can of beer in his right hand- the guy is drinking Pabst Blue Ribbon while he is coaching the game, calling plays.

That was the epitome of semi-pro football; guys playing because they loved to play, just having fun on a Saturday night. Think I did OK with the chains too; no one complained.

 

[Udog]

FLORIDA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 3-9 ATS (-6.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 12-15 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 29

NHL

Wednesday, March 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida @ Toronto
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Minnesota @ Colorado
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 29​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FLA at TOR	07:30 PM	FLA +135 O 7.0	+500 +500
NYI at WAS	07:30 PM	NYI -115 O 5.5	+500 +500
MIN at COL	10:00 PM	COL -160 O 6.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/29/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-225	Detail
03/28/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-425	Detail
03/27/2023	4-4-4	50.00%	-125	Detail
03/26/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1900	Detail
03/25/2023	14-16-0	46.67%	-2670	Detail
03/24/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/23/2023	8-16-0	33.33%	-5300	Detail
03/22/2023	0-1-1	25.00%	-500	Detail
03/21/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-4950	Detail
03/20/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1425	Detail
03/19/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+600	Detail
03/18/2023	14-11-1	55.77%	+790	Detail
03/17/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+450	Detail
03/16/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-650	Detail
03/15/2023	6-2-0	75.00%	+1725	Detail
03/14/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-3150	Detail
03/13/2023	3-2-1	58.33%	+1050	Detail
03/12/2023	7-9-0	43.75%	-1975	Detail
03/11/2023	16-14-0	53.33%	+275	Detail
03/10/2023	4-0-0	100.00%	+3100	Detail
03/09/2023	7-15-0	31.82%	-5450	Detail
03/08/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+775	Detail
03/07/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+725	Detail
03/06/2023	3-9-0	25.00%	-4575	Detail
03/05/2023	4-5-1	45.00%	-450	Detail
03/04/2023	11-12-1	47.92%	-2200	Detail
03/03/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2275	Detail
03/02/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-2350	Detail
03/01/2023	6-4-2	58.33%	+1025	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Atlanta Braves:
1) AJ Smith-Shawver, P
2) Owen Murphy, P
3) Jared Shuster, P
4) JR Ritchie, P
5) Royber Salinas, P
6) Darius Vines, P

Quote of the Day
“Why did they call me a game manager? Why did I win 15 straight games in the NFL? I learned how not to lose.”
Former NFL QB/current UAB football coach Trent Dilfer

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time the national championship game in college basketball didn’t have a #1-seed playing in it?

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; he started his major league career with the Mets.

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.

****************************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!

Baseball season starts today, one of the best days of the year.

— Rule changes are going to help the game:
Pitch clock chopped 36:00 off of spring training games. Pace of pace should be a lot better this season. Most of the younger players have already played with a pitch clock in the minors; don’t think we’ll notice the pitch clock much, once the season gets rolling.

Banning the shift will help lefty pull hitters be more productive.

Stricter rules on pickoff throws to first base should promote base stealing, especially since the bases are a little bigger. Bases are slightly closer to each other now.

I would recommend betting the over on stolen base props this season.

— New schedule in the big leagues this year; every team plays every other team this year, which means that starts like Trout/Ohtani/Soto, over the course of two years, will play in every big league ballpark. Division rivals will play each other only 13 games this season.

Batters are going to see the same pitchers fewer times, which figures to hurt offense some.

You look back at the old days and hitters faced the same pitchers a ton of times, which helps the hitters. Nowadays, teams don’t like pitchers to face the same hitter three times in a game.

— What will Aaron Judge do for an encore this season? Last year, he hit 62 home runs, had a 1.111 OPS, 111 walks, 133 runs, 131 RBI. Tough act to follow.

— This is Shohei Ohtani’s walk year; what are the Angels going to do with him? Angels are paying him $30M this year, he makes another $40M in endorsements— he will break the bank next winter, but with what team?

Do the Angels trade him this summer? If so, what do they get for him? Halos’ over/under win total is 81.5, but if they trade Ohtani this summer, what happens then?

— Which brings us to the cruddy, cheap teams like the A’s, Pirates; their win totals are really low. Would Pittsburgh trade Bryan Reynolds? Pirates have some good young players, but if they don’t sign Reynolds to a contract extension and trade him away, what happens then?

Last three years, Pirates are 142-242, losing 101-100 games the last two years. Their win total for this year is 67.5, so they’re expected to be slightly better this season.

As for the A’s, their win total is 59.5, so 60-102 would net them the over, which is depressing on several levels. Oakland’s owners are cheap bastards; the franchise made a $29M profit last year despite fielding a God-awful team that went 60-102.

A’s did add some starting pitching this year with Fujinami/Muller; I’ve been an A’s fan since 1965 when I was five years old, so I have this stubborn optimistic streak inside me that says they could be way better than 60-102 this year, but they were over .500 every year form 2018-21, then went in the ashcan last year. Going to be tough to lose less than 90 games this season, but 72-90 would be a pretty big improvement.

Meanwhile, the A’s off-field drama continues; will they move to Las Vegas? Portland? Doubtful that Oakland builds them a new stadium. If I was in Las Vegas, I’d make the cheap bastards put it in writing that they’re going to spend $$$ on payroll if they move to the desert.

— Right now, the Mets’ payroll for this season is $357,083,333; there are 13 major league teams with a payroll of $200M+, but no other team is close to the Mets’ payroll.

Mets have two Hall of Fame pitchers in Scherzer/Verlander, but they’re 38/40 years old. NL East is a tough division; team that finished third in the NL East last year won the NL pennant. Mets lost closer Diaz for the season; who takes his place as the closer?

— Red Sox won the World Series in 2018, then missed the playoffs three of the last four years, finishing last in the AL East last year, 21 games behind; their current payroll is $194,695,000, their over/under for wins this year is 77.5.

— Bruce Bochy will be a Hall of Fame manager, having won three titles with the Giants; now he is managing the Texas Rangers, who signed Jacob deGrom this winter, and have a payroll at a hefty $221,544,827. Semien/Seager/deGrom make a combined $91.5M, just the three of them. Rangers’ over/under win total is 81.5.

— Dodgers won the NL West nine of the last ten years, but it looks like San Diego has a better team this season. Padres haven’t won the NL West since 2006, when their manager was Bruce Bochy; their payroll this year is $248,981,645.

Peter Seidler is the Padres’ owner; he is the grandson of Walter O’Malley, the guy who moved the Dodgers from Brooklyn to Los Angeles in the 50’s.

Unclear why the Dodgers let Trea Turner walk; are they putting $$$ aside to go all-in with the Ohtani sweepstakes next winter?

— Astros won their second World Series last year; they’ve been in four of last six World Series, but then they fired their general manager? Why?????

Altuve broke his thumb in the World Baseball Classic, is out until June; they lost Verlander. Could this be a year that Texas/Seattle challenges them in the AL West?

Last two years, Mariners went 67-41 in one-run games; is that sustainable?

— Six months of baseball starts today; enjoy it, everyone.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a division game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 15-13 ATS (0.7 Units) after allowing 6 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 7-12 ATS (-6.2 Units) in home games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 sea...

FLORIDA is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days in the current season.

DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 31-18 Over (11.2 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 12-55 ATS (-48.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 30