Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, October 18

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Trend Report
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Vancouver @ Columbus
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games
Vancouver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver

Anaheim @ New Jersey
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Anaheim

Boston @ Ottawa
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home

San Jose @ NY Islanders
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home

Vegas @ Calgary
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Edmonton
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Edmonton
Edmonton is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Los Angeles @ Nashville
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Nashville is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Los Angeles


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[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 18

BOS at OTT	07:00 PM	OTT -116 U 6.5	+500 +500
ANA at NJ	07:00 PM	NJ -188 U 6.5	+500 +500
VAN at CLB	07:00 PM	CLB -102 O 6.5	+500 +500
PHI at TB	07:00 PM	PHI +259 U 6.0	+500 +500
SJ at NYI	07:30 PM	SJ +163 U 5.5	+500 +500
VEG at CAL	09:00 PM	CAL -146 O 6.5	+500 +500
BUF at EDM	09:00 PM	EDM -231 O 7.0	+500 +500
LA at NAS	09:30 PM	NAS -157 U 6.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................-3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..................57-48-0................54.28%................ ......- 2.35


BEST BETS

10/18/2022..................4-5-0.......................44.44%.....................+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.......................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.......................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.......................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0.......................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0.......................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................23-22-0.......................51.11%.................... .+8.75

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Teams ranked in top 25 of both college football/basketball:
— Alabama
— Illinois
— Kentucky
— Michigan
— North Carolina
— Oregon
— Tennessee
— Texas
— TCU
— UCLA

Quote of the Day
“I tell ya, I don’t get a break with nothing. I joined Gamblers Anonymous, they gave me two-to-one I don’t make it.”
Rodney Dangerfield

Wednesday’s quiz
What was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack?

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

Monday’s quiz
Oregon Ducks play their home games in Autzen Stadium.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Philadelphia 2, San Diego 0
Wheeler allowed one hit in seven IP
Harper, Schwarber homered for the Phillies.

— New York 5, Cleveland 1— Bronx wins series, 3-2, heads to Houston for the ALCS, which starts Wednesday night.

Disappointing but not surprising to see Will Little working the plate for Game 4 of the New York-Cleveland series. Since 2013, New York is 16-6 when Little is behind the plate.

Remember an A’s game in New York in 2017, when I was sitting at a bar having lunch during the game. Jed Lowrie/Bob Melvin both got tossed because Little was doing his thing, helping out the home team. It was Lowrie’s first career ejection. It wasn’t good for my blood pressure.

— Forgot to mention this last week, but AJ Pierzynski does a nice job as a TV analyst; he was a good MLB catcher. He offers opinions, and mostly just talks ball, which is a positive thing.

— Surprising stat: Last 10 years, Detroit Lions are 9-1 ATS in the game after their bye week.

— Celtics 126, 76ers 117
Tatum/Brown both scored 35 points.
Boston’s bench outscored Philly’s subs, 34-11

— Great to hear analyst Stan Van Gundy on this game; listening to him talk ball is like taking a master class in basketball. Always learn a lot from him.

— Golden State Warriors paid Jordan Poole $140M for four years, Andrew Wiggins $110M for four years as they solidify their future.

— NBA retired number 6 throughout the league, in honor of the great Bill Russell, who passed away this summer. Active players who wear number 6 now can still wear it, but no one else will be issued number 6.

Russell played 13 years in the NBA, won 11 titles; he missed the Finals once in 13 years.

— With NBA starting this week, we point out that Kentucky has 27 alums on NBA rosters at the start of the season, Duke has 25.

— Added Hulu to my TV last week, meaning unlimited CSI and M*A*S*H late at night for me, two of my all-time favorite TV shows.

— Big 14 hasn’t won a national title in college basketball since Michigan State in 2000.

— Odd fact: Justin Herbert threw 57 passes in the Chargers’ 19-16 win Monday night, but he didn’t throw a TD pass. It was the most passes ever thrown in an NFL game by a QB who didn’t throw a TD, and whose team won that game.

— Indianapolis Colts’ owner Jim Irsay spoke out Tuesday against Washington owner Daniel Snyder, calling for his removal as the Commanders’ owner.

NFL teams go for $3-4B each, so if Snyder has to sell, he’ll make a boatload of $$$, but rich people don’t like to be told when to come and go.

— In 2010, Joe Jacob bought the Golden State Warriors for $450M; this season, the Warriors’ payroll plus their payroll tax might be more than $450M.

— Reggie Miller was talking about the scuffle Golden State had in practice during training camp; Miller said stuff like that happens in the NBA, but it happens more on good teams than bad teams, because good teams have more accountability. Bad teams don’t care as much.

 

[Udog]

FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season ove...

Jared Bednar is 22-25 ATS (-5.5 Units) off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more (Coach of COLORADO)

ST LOUIS are 23-10 ATS (12 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 19

NHL

Wednesday, October 19

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Florida
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

Winnipeg @ Colorado
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ Seattle
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


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[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 19

PHI at FLA	07:30 PM	PHI +303 O 6.5	+500 +500
WIN at COL	08:00 PM	WIN +193 U 6.5	+500 +500
STL at SEA	10:00 PM	STL -126 U 6.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..................60-51-0................54.05%................ ......+ 1.30


BEST BETS

10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................26-25-0..................50.98%.................... .+12.40

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Ind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,652— Tom Brady, TB
1,616— Joe Burrow, Cin

Quote of the Day
“I feel a lot more comfortable, a lot more confident. I was a little overwhelmed last year; it was my first time starting 15 games and it gets to you a little bit.”
Washington Commanders’ QB Taylor Heinicke

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, what state was President Bartlet from?

Wednesday’s quiz
Bushwood was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack.

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Quick Notes on NFC teams

Arizona Cardinals— On each team’s first drive of the game, Cardinals have been outscored 27-3. On their first drives, Arizona has run 30 plays for 122 yards, opponents 57 plays for 308 yards.

Atlanta Falcons— Falcons are only 11th NFL team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 against the spread. Falcons are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.

Carolina Panthers— Panthers have gone 3/out on 22 of 62 drives (35.5%); they’ve given up 24 plays of 20+ yards (-7). On 38 drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, they scored 29 points.

Chicago Bears— Bears have been outscored 84-39 in first half this season; on their first drive of 3rd quarter, Chicago has scored four TD’s, kicked a field goal (39 plays, 373 yards).

Dallas Cowboys— In their two losses, Cowboys lost field position by 12-17 yards; they’ve converted only 25-78 third down plays. Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

Detroit Lions— Lions have forced only nine 3/outs, tied for least in NBA (Seattle); under Campbell, Lions are 4-17-1 SU, 14-8 ATS. Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.

Green Bay Packers— Green Bay went under its team total in five of six games; they’ve converted only 8 of last 26 third down plays. Packers have forced 23 3/outs, T2 in league.

Los Angeles Rams— Rams allowed a defensive TD in their last three games; they’ve gone 3/out on 20 of 59 drives (33.9%). Rams allowed 47 points on 12 red zone drives (3.92).

Minnesota Vikings— Vikings have TD drives of 78-75-86 yards on their first possessions; they outscored opponents 21-10 on first drives. They’re 5-1, scoring 27.3 ppg in last four games.

New Jersey Giants— 5-1 Giants have trailed by 10+ points in three of five wins; they have only 13 plays of 20+ yards, three less than any other team. Giants have outscored foes 87-49 in second half of games.

New Orleans Saints— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points; they’ve been outscored 75-54 in first half. Saints have been outscored 31-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

Philadelphia Eagles— Last five games, on their first drive, opponents ran total of 18 plays for 41 yards. Eagles have forced 24 3/outs, gone 3/out only nine times themselves, best ratio in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses; they’ve forced 23 3/outs, gone 3/out only 12 times. SF has 25 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve allowed 13 (+12).

Seattle Seahawks— Seahawks on first drive of game: 47 plays, 357 yards, 27 points. Seahawks on first series of second half: 32 plays, 167 yards, no points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers— Opponents in first drive of game: 54 plays, 281 yards, 23 points. Opponents on first series of second half: 33 plays, 89 yards, 6 points.

Washington Commanders— They’ve gone 3/out 22 times on 65 drives (33.8%), allowed 29 plays of 20+ yards (minus-7). Last five games, Commanders have been outscored 77-20 in first half.

---

 

[Udog]

TORONTO is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 90-98 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

COLUMBUS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 9-5 ATS (3.5 Units) after 3 straight games with 8+ less shots on goal than opponents in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 98-85 ATS (4.5 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.

SAN JOSE is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 105-64 Under (34.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

NEW JERSEY is 16-43 ATS (-31.3 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 27-8 ATS (18.2 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 6-0 Under (6 Units) in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 25-53 ATS (-33.5 Units) against excellent starting goalies - saving >= 93% of shots against since 1996.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 20

 

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, October 20

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Trend Report
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Anaheim @ Boston
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Nashville @ Columbus
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games

Arizona @ Montreal
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

San Jose @ NY Rangers
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
NY Rangers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Washington @ Ottawa
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games

Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games

Dallas @ Toronto
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

New Jersey @ NY Islanders
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games at home
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Vancouver @ Minnesota
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vancouver's last 14 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

Carolina @ Edmonton
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina

Buffalo @ Calgary
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

Winnipeg @ Vegas
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20

LA at PIT	07:00 PM	PIT -181 O 6.5	+500 +500
SJ at NYR	07:00 PM	NYR -291 U 6.5	+500 +500
ANA at BOS	07:00 PM	BOS -204 U 6.5	+500 +500
ARI at MON	07:00 PM	ARI +144 U 6.5	+500 +500
NAS at CLB	07:00 PM	NAS -146 O 6.5	+500 +500
DAL at TOR	07:00 PM	TOR -156 U 6.5	+500 +500
WAS at OTT	07:00 PM	WAS +101 O 6.5	+500 +500
NJ at NYI	07:30 PM	NJ +134 U 6.0	+500 +500
VAN at MIN	08:00 PM	MIN -176 O 6.5	+500 +500
CAR at EDM	09:00 PM	EDM -111 U 6.5	+500 +500
BUF at CAL	09:30 PM	CAL -277 O 6.5	+500 +500
WIN at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -213 O 7.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25.00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..................76-58-3................56.71%................ ......+ 26.30


BEST BETS

10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.70
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................32-27-0..................54.23%.................... .+34.10

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
AP preseason top 6 in college basketball:
T5) Baylor
T5) Kansas
4) Kentucky
3) Houston
2) Gonzaga
1) North Carolina

Quote of the Day
“She usually kicks me if I say something I shouldn’t. I’ll feel a little tap, but I didn’t feel one today, so I guess that’s good.”
AJ Nola, father of Aaron/Austin Nola, talking about watching a playoff game with his wife, with one of his sons on each team

Friday’s quiz
Where did Andy Dalton play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, President Bartlet was from New Hampshire.

Wednesday’s quiz
Bushwood was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack.

****************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Carolina Panthers traded RB Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers; in return, they get:
2023 2nd round pick
2023 3rd round pick
2023 4th round pick
2024 5th round pick

I would advise against wagering on Carolina the rest of this season.

Cardinals 42, Saints 34
— Cardinals scored 22 points in 1:42 span of 2nd quarter, with two pick-6’s.
— Saints outgained Arizona, 494-326, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— In his first game this season, WR Hopkins was targeted 14 times, caught 10 passes for 103 yards.
— All the other Cardinals were targeted 15 times, caught 10 balls for 101 yards.

— Saints lost five of last six games; their turnover ratio is minus-11.
— New Orleans has been outscored 103-68 in first half.
— Saints have been outscored 46-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last four New Orleans games went over the total.

— Worst thing about the Amazon Prime NFL game is that it is tough to go back/forth between games on my TV, when one of the games is on Amazon— doesn’t switch back quick enough. Need two devices working, instead.

— Thursday was just 27th night ever with NFL, MLB, NBA and NHL all playing on same night. Someone on Twitter called it the Sports Equinox.

— Next year, NFL will have a game the Friday after Thanksgiving, a 3pm Friday game that will be shown on Amazon Prime. Good thing I’m already divorced; putting games on at 3:00 on a weekday afternoon would’ve caused a problem. (It’s a joke!!!, but there will be a Friday game)

— Dak Prescott is starting at QB for Dallas Sunday against the Lions. Cooper Rush goes back to one of the best jobs in America, getting paid $977,500 to be the backup QB, where no one ever hits you and no one ever boos you.

— Other night on TNT, Reggie Miller called Steph Curry “the greatest shooter ever” which pretty much ends that discussion, seeing how Miller is also in that discussion.

— Speaking of TNT, their Inside the NBA crew signed on for the next five years; it is a popular show, must make the network lot of $$$$.

— Philadelphia 76ers haven’t made the Eastern Conference Finals (NBA’s version of the Final 4) since 2001; that fact surprised me.

— Big rule improvement in the NBA: outlawing teams giving a foul to end a fast break. Those fouls took away lot of fast breaks, which are fun to watch— there were 1,700 take fouls in the NBA last year. The game will have a better flow now.

— I’ll say this again; an assist on a 3-point shot should count as 1.5 assists, passes that lead to made foul shots should also be credited, half an assist for every made free throw. Points are points, no matter how they’re scored.

— Houston 3, New York 2
Bregman hit a 3-run homer in third inning.
Astros won their first five playoff games, by total of seven runs.
Series heads to New York with Houston leading, 2-0.

— Yoenis Cespedes is still playing baseball; he is playing in the Dominican Winter League, and may be looking at making a comeback in the big leagues next spring.

— Don’t always judge strategy by results; a coach/manager can make the right move, and it might not work. Coaches play percentages; sometimes nothing they would try will work, other times, there are no bad options.

— Appalachian State 42, Georgia State 17
Georgia State led 14-0 after first quarter.
App State outscored them 35-3 in second half.
App State ran ball for 404 yards, outgained Georgia State 466-301.

— Virginia 16, Georgia Tech 9
Tech’s only TD came on a pick-6 (they missed the PAT)
Virginia led 13-9 at halftime.
Cavaliers outgained Tech, 410-201
Yellow Jackets were 6-21 on third down, Virginia 2-14.

— Troy 10, South Alabama 6
Troy scored only TD of game on first play of 2nd quarter.
Troy converted 1-12 on third down, South Alabama 4-13
Jaguars ran ball 21 times for 31 yards.
Total yardage: Troy 266, South Alabama 244

— There is a great writer named Joe Posnanski who has written a few books that are all good; he really is an excellent sportswriter. He also has an e-mail thing where you get knowledge from him every day, and it is free.

Mr Posnanski posted this great nugget this week: in 1952, a guy named Don Lenhardt batted three times with the bases loaded. He was a utility player who had an ordinary career, but in those three AB’s that year with the bases loaded……..

First time with bases loaded, he hit an inside-the-park home run.

Second time with bases loaded, he hit a walk-off grand slam.

The day after his walk-off grand slam, Lenhardt got traded from Boston to Detroit.

Less than a week later, in this third AB with bases loaded, he hit a home run against the Red Sox, the team that had just traded him.

For the season, Lenhardt hit .239 with 11 HR’s, but he was perfect with the bases loaded.

 

[Udog]

FLORIDA is 17-0 ATS (17 Units) in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 221-209 ATS (-8.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games since 1996.

SEATTLE is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Friday, October 21

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Florida is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Seattle @ Colorado
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 21

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 21

TB at FLA	07:30 PM	FLA -109 O 6.5	+500 +500
DET at CHI	08:30 PM	DET -114 U 6.5	+500 +500
SEA at COL	09:00 PM	SEA +203 U 7.0

 

[CNOTES]

OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/21/2022................2-4-0...................33.33%.....................- 7.00
10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25 00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..................78-62-2................55.71%................ ......+ 19.30


BEST BETS

10/21/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%.....................+ 4.15
10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.70
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................34-29-0..................53.96%.................... .+38.25

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Iind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,667— Kyler Murray, Ariz
1,652— Tom Brady, TB

Quote of the Day
“If you think you can or think you can’t, you’re right.”
Tony Hoffman

Saturday’s quiz
David Ortiz became famous playing for the Red Sox, but he played for a different team for the first six years of his career. Which team?

Friday’s quiz
Andy Dalton played his college football at TCU.

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, President Bartlet was from New Hampshire.

****************************

Saturday’s Den: Some stories, other stuff on a fall Saturday

— Today (Saturday) is the 50th anniversary of my best day ever as a sports fan.

October 22, 1972, a Sunday. I was 12 years old.

Game 7 of the World Series started at 1pm (imagine that now?); A’s beat the Reds when Pete Rose flied to left fielder Joe Rudi to end the game, giving Oakland its first of three straight World Series titles. I was very excited that day.

I became an A’s fan in 1965, after getting a set of baseball cards from my grandparents. One of the cards was a Kansas City A’s rookie card, with four prospects on it. One of the prospects had no minor league record; they misspelt his name on the back of the card.

Went to my dad, showed him the card and told him, “This is my favorite player” He gave me an odd look (that happened a lot when I was a kid) but I was now an A’s fan- they were a bad team back then, but things gradually got better, once they moved to Oakland in 1968.

What are the odds that the player with no minor league record would become a Hall of Famer?

Jim (Catfish) Hunter threw a perfect game in 1968, made six All-Star Games pitching for the A’s, and was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1987. He was the winning pitcher in Game 7 of the ’72 Series, getting eight outs while pitching with one day of rest.

As if winning the World Series wasn’t enough……..

The 4:00 NFL game on local TV was supposed to be Broncos-Raiders, but luckily for me, they showed the Bengals-Rams game instead.

Rams led 10-0 at halftime, blew the lead, but David Ray kicked a field goal at the end, giving the Rams a 15-12 win, and giving me a very excellent day.

Fifty years ago; time flies when you’re having fun.

— Back in the early 80’s, I coached JV high school baseball for a year; talk about someone being in over his head, that was me. Things didn’t go well in terms of wins/losses, but the kids had fun, and a lot of us have remained friends over the years.

I found out just this week, 38 years later, that the father of one of those guys had played minor league baseball, three years in the Pirates’ organization. Wish I had known back then; would have picked his brain about the experience.

One of his coaches in the minors was Danny Murtaugh, who later won two World Series managing Pittsburgh. One of his teammates in spring training was Mario Cuomo, who later became governor of New York.

Spent some time this week picking my friend Dave’s brain about this; his dad is 97 years old now. I didn’t know him well; he never said a word to me (other than hello) during the season when I coached his son, even though he probably cringed when he watched our team play.

He played three years in the minors, then had to make a life decision. This was 1952; there was no big money in baseball yet, and he was about to get married. He did well in the minors, with a .298 batting average— he led the league in triples one year, but he was about to get married and the Pirates were going to send him to play minor league ball in Hollywood the next year- the Dodgers hadn’t moved to Los Angeles yet.

While pondering his decision, he wrote a letter to Pirates GM Branch Rickey, who responded with a 3.5-page letter, a hugely thoughtful thing to do. Obviously, it was a much different world in 1952; no Internet, hell no cable TV. Branch Rickey had never seen my friend’s dad play, so he could only give general advice based on scouts’ reports.

My friend has this letter; he texted me a copy of it last night. That Branch Rickey took the time to write a 3.5-page, single-spaced letter to someone he had never seen play is remarkable.

My friend’s dad is also in the Ithaca College Hall of Fame, along with Gorilla Monsoon, the pro wrestler. He retired from baseball after three years, went into the insurance business and did very well in it. In today’s world, where players get to the majors a lot faster and the money is a lot bigger, his choice might have been different.

That is what makes life interesting, the choices we have/make.

— I’d be remiss if I didn’t tell this one story from that season coaching those guys.

We were winning one game by a decent amount, and Dave was pitching. He had a good arm but he was struggling with his curveball, so he was just throwing fastballs, the other team was hitting long fly balls (the field had no fence) and our outfielders were catching them.

But he calls me out to the mound in the 4th inning; I go out there— we hadn’t won a game in a while and I say to him “What could possibly be the problem?” He hands me the ball, says “I never want to pitch again the rest of my life” and walked off the mound.

Seriously, he didn’t want to pitch anymore. We laugh about it now; but I needed to sub in someone to get the last 10 or 11 outs in this game- there weren’t a lot of choices. We held on to win the game, but it says a lot that 38 years later, I have a pretty vivid memory of it.

— One more story for today: guy I know went to the Cleveland-New York playoff game earlier this week, the game that got rained out. They drove down from Albany, 150 miles or so, and got there just before the scheduled first pitch, but there was a rain delay.

Weren’t lot of parking spots available; they tried this one lot where apparently the buses parked, but it was full— the lady running things hinted that she could find them a spot if they threw her a few extra bucks.

So a parking lot that cost $55 to park in wound up costing them $85, to watch a game that was never played. Oy.

— I’m watching the Magic-Hawks’ NBA game as I write this; they’re showing clips of Dejounte Murray and Trae Young riding camels during their recent trip to Abu Dhabi. There is no way on God’s green earth I would ever ride a camel; too damn tall.

— Texas Rangers hired future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy as their manager; brilliant move. Bochy won three World Series managing the Giants, also got San Diego to a World Series.

— Phillies 4, Padres 2
Schwarber hit a home run in first inning.
Phillies’ bullpen threw four scoreless innings.
Philadelphia leads series, 2-1.

— Tulsa 27, Tulane 16
Temple led 10-0 after first quarter.
Deneric Prince had an 84-yard TD run early in 4th quarter to put Tulsa ahead 24-10.
Temple was 4-18 on third down, Tulsa 2-11.
Total yardage: Tulsa 454, Temple 280

— Western Kentucky 20, UAB 17
UAB led 17-7 with 2:00 left in first half.
Hilltoppers had 11 penalties for 86 yards, UAB 4 for 22.
Blazers turned ball over four times (minus-3)

---

 

[Udog]

NEW JERSEY is 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games since 1996.

EDMONTON is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 114-111 ATS (-8.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

NY ISLANDERS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 284-208 ATS (55.2 Units) off a road loss since 1996.

WINNIPEG is 70-53 ATS (11.7 Units) off a road loss by 2 goals or more since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 28-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 16-5 Over (10.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 10-8 ATS (1.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.