Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 7 NFL games
— Saints @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Browns @ Baltimore (-6)
— Buccaneers (-10) @ Carolina
— Falcons @ Cincinnati (-6)
— Lions @ Dallas (-7)
— Giants @ Jacksonville (-3)
Quote of the Day
“Anybody that is great at anything, does it for their own approval.”
Gil Grissom, CSI
Monday’s quiz
Which college football team plays their home games in Autzen Stadium?
Sunday’s quiz
In the movie My Cousin Vinny, Fred Gwynne played the judge in the big trial; he is best known for playing Herman Munster in The Munsters TV show.
Saturday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..
Bills 24, Chiefs 20
— Bills drove 76 yards for game-winning TD with 1:04 left.
— Buffalo scored TD in last 2:00 of each half.
— Bills survived two empty trips to the red zone.
— All six Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS last 11 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last three weeks, Chiefs gave up 28 ppg.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— In his career, Mahomes is now 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Bills averaged 7.8 yards/pass attempt, Chiefs 7.4.
— Chiefs are 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Bengals 30, Saints 26
— Burrow hit Chase with 60-yard TD pass with 1:57 left for the win.
— Chase caught seven passes for 132 yards, two TD’s.
— First four drives: 23 plays, 103 yards, 7 points.
— Last four drives: 31 plays, 250 yards, 23 points.
— Last three games, Bengals converted 25-49 on 3rd down.
— Cincy is 13-6 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Five trips to red zone: one TD, four field goals.
— Saints led 23-14 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Saints lost 4 of last 5 games; they gave up 38-32-30 points last 3 weeks.
— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Since 2020, New Orleans is 2-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Giants 24, Ravens 20
— Up 20-17, Jackson threw horrendous INT in his own territory with 2:50 left.
— Ravens in red zone: three drives, one TD, two FG’s.
— Giants in red zone: four drives, three TD’s, one FG.
— Ravens led by 10+ points in all three of their losses.
— Ravens are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
— Giants are 5-1; they trailed by 10+ in three of the five wins.
— Giants outscored opponents 87-49 in second half of games.
— Ravens outgained Big Blue, 406-238 in this game.
— Giants had huge 22-yard advantage in field position.
— Last three games, Big Blue converted 19-39 on third down.
Jets 27, Packers 10
— Jets blocked punt for TD that made score 17-3.
— Jets ran ball for 179 yards (5.4 yards/carry).
— Jets are 3-0 on road, scoring 31-24-27 points.
— Jets won/covered four of their last five games.
— AFC East teams are now 9-2 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Packers lost last two games, outscored 41-9 in second half.
— Green Bay converted only 4-16 third down plays.
— Packers averaged only 4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers went under their team total in five of six games.
— Green Bay has only three takeaways (minus-5 in turnovers)
Falcons 28, 49ers 14
— Falcons are only 11th team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 ATS.
— Atlanta converted 9-14 on third down, 49ers 3-8.
— Atlanta ran for 168 yards; they scored 3 TD’s on 3 red zone drives.
— Falcons outscored last five foes 68-34 in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Falcons are 14-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— Game was 14-14; 49ers didn’t score on their last six drives.
— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses.
— 49ers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Since 2018, 49ers are 8-10 ATS as a road favorite. 1-3 TY.
— NFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.
Patriots 38, Browns 15
— Patriots had TD drives of 40-19-8 yards, short drives.
— New England averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots outscored last two opponents 41-9 in second half.
— New England gave up 20-37-27 points in losses; 14-0-15 points in wins.
— AFC East teams are 12-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Browns turned ball over four times, lost field position by 13 yards,
— Cleveland converted 4-15 third down plays, Patriots 7-14.
— Five of six Cleveland games went over the total.
— Cleveland is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Browns are 9-15-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Colts 34, Jaguars 27
— Ryan threw 32-yard TD pass with 0:17 left for the win.
— Colts’ first four drives: 29 plays, 145 yards, one field goal
— Colts’ last five drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 4 TD’s, one FG.
— Indy is 3-2-1, despite being outscored 115-58 in quarters 1-3.
— Jaguars lost last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS)
— Colts converted 10 of their 15 third down plays.
— Jaguars ran ball for 243 yards, but were outgained 434-379,
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 9-21-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jacksonville is 10-20-1 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
— Home side won last nine series games.
Vikings 24, Dolphins 16
— Vikings won despite going 3/out on 10 of their 14 drives.
— Minnesota was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 15 yards,
— Vikings won last four weeks, scoring 28-28-29-24 points.
— Last three games, Jefferson caught 28 passes for 408 yards.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11 ATS against AFC opponents.
— Dolphins outgained Minnesota 458-234, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Bridgewater came off bench, was 23-34/329 passing, with 2 TD’s/2 INTs.
— Miami lost last three games, outscored 91-48— 48-19 in 2nd half.
— Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers (1-9)
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of six games TY.
Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18
— Down 20-12, Bucs scored TD with 4:38 left, failed on tying 2-point play.
— Four drives in red zone, Tampa scored one TD, kicked three FG’s.
— Bucs’ only touchdown came on their last drive of game.
— Last four opponents converted 31-61 third down plays.
— Five of six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— QB Trubisky came off bench, was 9-12/144 passing, with a TD.
— Steelers converted 7-15 third down plays, Tampa Bay 4-14.
— Steelers have no turnovers in their two wins, nine in four losses.
— Last 4+ years, Steelers are 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Claypool caught seven passes for 96 yards and a TD.
Rams 24, Panthers 10
— Panthers have now lost 25 games in a row when they allow 17+ points.
— Carolina’s only TD was a pick-6 late in 1st half- they led 10-7 at halftime.
— Panthers in second half: 19 plays, 86 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Backup QB Walker was KO’d, 3rd-stringer Eason was 3-5/59 passing.
— Rams in 1st half: 24 plays, 98 yards, 7 points and a pick-6.
— Rams in 2nd half: 33 plays, 230 yards, 15 first downs, 17 points.
— LA picked off pass in 4th quarter, their first takeaway in four games.
— Matthew Stafford threw a pick-6 for third game in a row.
— Rams outgained Carolina 360-203, converted 6-12 on third down.
Seahawks 19, Cardinals 9
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by defense late in 3rd quarter.
— Arizona drove 76 yards on first drive, kicked FG; offense didn’t score again.
— Arizona’s last five opponents went under their team total.
— Cardinals have been outscored 89-29 in first half this year.
— Arizona is 0-4 when it scores less than 26 points.
— Seahawks kicked field goals on four of first seven drives.
— Seattle converted 4-14 on third down, Arizona 4-16.
— Lot of sacks; Seahawks had six, Arizona five.
— Last four Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Arizona-Seattle games.
Eagles 26, Cowboys 17
— Philly won its first six games, scoring 26.8 ppg (4-2 ATS).
— Eagles outscored first six opponents 126-48 in first half.
— Eagles were +3 in turnovers, had 17-yard edge in field position.
— Eagles covered their last six games as a home favorite.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— First five Dallas drives: 18 plays, 52 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Down 20-0 in 2nd quarter, Cowboys got within 20-17, but didn’t score again.
— Rush completed only 18-38 passes, with three INT’s.
— Cowboys have converted only 25-78 third down plays.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.
New York 4, Cleveland 2
— Harrison Bader hit a 2-run homer for New York.
— Cole got 21 outs on 110 pitches, allowed two runs.
— Decisive Game 5 is Monday night in the Bronx.
