CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 9


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UTAH (31 - 35) at ORLANDO (27 - 39) - 3/9/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (21 - 46) at DETROIT (15 - 51) - 3/9/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (15 - 50) at INDIANA (29 - 37) - 3/9/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 34-57 ATS (-28.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 40-67 ATS (-33.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-60 ATS (-35.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
INDIANA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (37 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (47 - 18) - 3/9/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 67-81 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 95-63 ATS (+25.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 140-95 ATS (+35.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-7 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-6 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
13 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (34 - 32) at MEMPHIS (38 - 26) - 3/9/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 89-65 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 71-52 ATS (+13.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MEMPHIS is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 10-6 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (39 - 28) at SACRAMENTO (38 - 26) - 3/9/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 76-108 ATS (-42.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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THURSDAY, MARCH 9​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
HOU at IND07:00 PMIND -9.5
O 236.0
+500 +500
UTA at ORL07:00 PMUTA +3.0
O 234.0
+500 +500
CHA at DET07:00 PMCHA -3.5
O 225.0
+500 +500
GS at MEM07:30 PMMEM +2.5
U 235.5
+500 +500
BK at MIL08:00 PMBK +12.0
O 232.5
+500 +500
NY at SAC10:00 PMSAC -2.5
O 238.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack

Teams with best eFG% in country
(eFG% is FG%, where 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made)
58.6%— Colgate
58.5%— Gonzaga
57%— Arizona
56.8%— Toledo
56.5%— Eastern Washington
56.4%— Marquette

Quote of the Day
“Success is the ability to move from failure to failure with an equal amount of enthusiasm.”
Winston Churchill

Friday’s quiz
Where did Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr play his college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
When Ichiro Suzuki played for the Seattle Mariners, he wore number 51.

Wednesday’s quiz
Saints’ QB Derek Carr played his college football at Fresno State.

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Friday’s Den: Wrapping up my favorite sports day of the year……..

Thursday of Champ Week is my favorite sports day of the year; 14 hours of watching basketball from all over the country, mixed in with some spring training baseball and a movie or two at the end. It has been a fun day.

Big East tournament
Marquette 72, St John’s 70 (OT)— In the last 20 years, no team has won the national title after losing their first conference tournament game. St John’s led this game by 14 late in first half, forced 19 Marquette turnovers, but Marquette survived, despite shooting 9-34 on the arc.

It is little odd that Marquette was #1 seed and had to play St John’s on its semi-home court in their first tournament game, but they’re the better team and they did what they had to do.

— Georgetown fired Patrick Ewing as coach, after he led the Hoyas for six years; Ewing is the best player in Georgetown history, but the next coach will be a significant upgrade.

This was similar to when Clyde Drexler coached Houston for two years from 1998-2000; it just didn’t work, even though Drexler was a great player at Houston.

— Final Four of the Big East is UConn, plus teams from Cincinnati, Omaha and Milwaukee; how will kids ever pass Geography classes in school if they think those cities are in the East?

ACC tournament
Virginia 68, North Carolina 59— Tar Heels are 20-13, 12-10 in ACC games; bracketologists on the Interweb are all saying that North Carolina will miss the NCAA’s, after being the preseason #1 team- they lost 72-69 in the national title game last season.

Clemson 80, NC State 54— Tigers with an emphatic statement that they belong in the Field of 68. Beating Virginia Friday night would remove all doubt.

Big X tournament
It will be fascinating next week to see how Big X teams do in the NCAA Tournament, after they beat up on each other all winter.

TCU 80, Kansas State 67— TCU is an older team; #65 in experience, #3 in continuity. When the brackets come out Sunday night, I’ll be looking to see what kind of a draw they get. With Mike Miles (22 points Thursday) back healthy, TCU is a dangerous team.

Iowa State 78, Baylor 72— Cyclones are 3-0 vs Baylor this season, 7-9 against the rest of the league. Baylor made 14-29 on the arc and still lost this game.

Mountain West tournament
San Jose State 81, Nevada 77 OT— Tim Miles deserves to get votes for National Coach of the Year; this was San Jose’s first win in a conference tournament since 2011— this is their best basketball season in 40 years.

As for Nevada, they’ve lost three games in a row and sit squarely on the bubble; they won’t be sleeping well the next couple nights.

Boise State 87, UNLV 76 OT— Boise led 48-26 late in first half, but UNLV tied game with a 3-pointer at the buzzer in regulation; quite a comeback, but Rebels got outscored 14-3 in overtime- they still haven’t made the semi-finals of this tournament since 2014, and it is played in their home arena. Last time UNLV won this tournament? 2008.

Utah State 91, New Mexico 76— Aggies are red-hot, winning their last six games, scoring 91-86-91 points in their last three games. They deserve to make the NCAA’s, but losses to SMU and Weber State may out their status in a gray area.

SEC tournament
Arkansas 76, Auburn 73— Two teams with good records but both have been struggling lately; Arkansas blew a 15-point second half lead, but freshman Nick Smith went 1-on-1 and hit the winning hoop in the last few seconds, giving the Razorbacks their 20th win of the season.

Auburn is 4-9 in its last 13 games, after a 16-3 start; they’re a prime candidate to get beat in the first round of the NCAA’s.

C-USA Tournament
North Texas 74, Louisiana Tech 46— Mean Green plays slowest-tempo games of anyone in the country; they’ve also won 11 of their last 12 games. Their game with UAB this afternoon is one to watch; the winner will probably play Florida Atlantic in the C-USA final Saturday.

The team that wins the C-USA tournament will be a live underdog in its first round game in the NCAA’s next week.

Big 14 tournament
Ohio State 73, Iowa 69— Not often does a 13-seed beat the 5-seed; Buckeyes suffered thru a 1-14 stretch of misery, but now have won four of their last five games, upsetting Iowa here. Lot of bubble teams are rooting for Ohio State to get beat, so they don’t pull off a small miracle, win this tournament and steal a bid from a bubble team.

Pac-12 tournament
Arizona State 77, USC 72— Sun Devils are a bubble team that is 6-3 in its last nine games; they play rival Arizona for third time Friday night. Will be a fun game to watch.

— Cal fired coach Mark Fox after a 3-26 season; they lost their last 16 games. Not even sure how good a job this is now, if the Pac-12 dissolves with teams bolting to greener pa$ture$, does Cal go to the Mountain West?

— Stanford kept coach Jerod Haase for next year after a 14-19 season; they went 9-7 in their last 16 games.

Big West tournament
This league is ranked as high as it has been since 2016; the teams are evenly matched and I enjoy watching them play late at night on ESPN+.

Cal-Fullerton 62, Hawaii’i 60 OT— Defending champ Titans have won seven games in a row, the last two in overtime; their game with Cal-Irvine Friday is must-see TV in my house. The other semi-final is Riverside-Santa Barbara; the four best teams made it to the semi-finals.
 

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Chauncey Billups is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days (Coach of PORTLAND)

ATLANTA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) after allowing 135 points or more since 1996.

MIAMI is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 79-53 Over (20.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 7-0 Over (7 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.




NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 10


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PORTLAND (31 - 35) at PHILADELPHIA (43 - 22) - 3/10/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 64-82 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (33 - 33) at WASHINGTON (31 - 35) - 3/10/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 64-80 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (46 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 49) - 3/10/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 623-540 ATS (+29.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 218-176 ATS (+24.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 207-165 ATS (+25.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 110-75 ATS (+27.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 446-380 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 347-288 ATS (+30.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 207-162 ATS (+28.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (42 - 26) at MIAMI (35 - 32) - 3/10/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-63 ATS (-26.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (37 - 29) at MINNESOTA (34 - 33) - 3/10/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 95-65 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (32 - 35) at LA LAKERS (32 - 34) - 3/10/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 172-214 ATS (-63.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 170-214 ATS (-65.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 664-757 ATS (-168.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 199-251 ATS (-77.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Friday, March 10


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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Portland @ Philadelphia
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

Cleveland @ Miami
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Brooklyn @ Minnesota
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Denver

Toronto @ LA Lakers
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games


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NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 10


VncDcOx.png
 

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FRIDAY, MARCH 10​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at WAS07:00 PMWAS +1.5
O 238.0
+500 +500
POR at PHI07:00 PMPOR +9.0
O 232.5
+500 +500
BK at MIN08:00 PMMIN -4.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
CLE at MIA08:00 PMCLE +2.0
O 212.5
+500 +500
DEN at SA08:00 PMSA +12.5
O 236.0
+500 +500
TOR at LAL10:30 PMLAL +2.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Teams who get the highest %age of their points on 3-point shots:
44.6%— Chattanooga (18-17, 7-11)
43.8%— Penn State (21-12, 10-10)
42.2%— Lafayette (11-23, 7-11)
41.1%— North Florida (14-17, 9-9)
41%— San Francisco (20-14, 7-9)
41%— Liberty (26-8, 15-3)

Quote of the Day
“Very few players play for only one team, and obviously Brett (Favre) had a great career, Aaron had a great career here, and regardless of what happens, Aaron will be in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, he’ll be in our Hall of Fame and we’ll bring him back and retire his number. But this is just one of the things that you go through as a team. Again, we want to try to achieve something that’s good for both Aaron and us.”
Green Bay Packers president Mark Murphy, talking about Aaron Rodgers

Saturday’s quiz
Which NBA team drafted Kobe Bryant?

Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

Thursday’s quiz
When Ichiro Suzuki played for the Seattle Mariners, he wore number 51.

*****************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy night of basketball……..

WAC tournament
Southern Utah 89, Utah Valley 88— Thunderbirds trailed by 23 with 15:42 left in game; they scored 37 points in last 10:00, and now advance to play Grand Canyon is finals of WAC tourney tonight. Grand Canyon knocked off #1-seed Sam Houston State 78-75 Friday, making 16 of 30 shots on the arc.

MAAC tournament
Marist 69, Saint Peter’s 57— Red Foxes came into MAAC tournament on a 3-10 skid, but they’ve won three games this week, giving up only 55.3 ppg. Marist hasn’t been to the NCAA’s since 1987; they play #1-seed Iona today- they’ll be a big underdog.

C-USA tournament
UAB 76, North Texas 69— Blazers jumped out to a 22-2 lead, coasted home; they play #1-seed Florida Atlantic Saturday. 30-3 FAU is likely in the NCAA’s no matter what, but they’ll sleep better Saturday night if they beat the Blazers.

I’m not kidding about that; when I was the student manager of our basketball team in college, one year we were right on the bubble to get into the Division III tournament; waiting for that phone call was a very long Sunday (we got in thankfully).

MAC tournament
Toledo 82, Ohio U 75— Last three years, Toledo is 48-9 in MAC regular season games, but they haven’t won the MAC tournament since 1980, which was also the first year the MAC had a conference tournament. This is a good team that could give a higher seed fits next week, but first they have to beat Kent State in the MAC final Saturday.

Mountain West tournament
Utah State 72, Boise State 62— Aggies started this week as a bubble team; they trailed this game 36-28 at halftime, but they outscored Boise 44-26 in second half, and word now on the Interweb is that Utah State will make the NCAA’s- their game with San Diego State Saturday can’t hurt their resume any.

SEC tournament
Vanderbilt 80, Kentucky 73— On February 1st, Vandy was 10-12; they lost a game to Alabama by 57 points (101-44). Since that loss, the Commodores are 10-1; there are mixed opinions as to whether Vandy will get in the tournament or not. They play Texas A&M today; win that game, and there will be very little doubt they’re getting in.

Missouri 79, Tennessee 71— Vols are 5-7 in their last 12 games; their point guard is out for the year. Will be interesting to see where they’ll be seeded; they’re struggling right now.

Big East tournament
Marquette 70, UConn 78— Rough day for the Hurley family; Danny Hurley’s team lost this game, Bobby Hurley’s Arizona State squad lost in the Pac-12 tournament.

Marquette has won eight games in a row, the last three by 2-2-2 points. They started five sophomores Saturday; their subs were three freshmen and another soph. If Shaka Smart can keep all those kids from bolting elsewhere, Marquette will be even better next season.

Big West tournament
Cal-Fullerton 83, Cal-Irvine 80— Titans made 10-17 on arc, knock off #1-seed Anteaters in a terrific game to watch. 70 possessions, lot of pace with good shooting. Fullerton has won the Big West tournament twice in last four years; they play UCSB Saturday. Big West’s level of play has improved a lot this season.

Big 14 tournament
— I have trouble listening to broadcasts on the Big 14 Network; their announcers are such shills. Some guy was touting Ohio State as “the 14th best team in country since February 1st”. WTF???

Ohio State went thru a 1-14 skid this season; they’ve rallied to win three games this week in the conference tournament, but when you’re touting a 16-18 team for postseason play, its time to stop talking, You lose your credibility.

Penn State 67, Northwestern 65 OT— Wildcats had two players bolt their program last spring, one to Duke, one to North Carolina. What were the odds that Northwestern would make the NCAA’s this season, while North Carolina wouldn’t? Go figure.

AAC tournament
Houston 60, East Carolina 46— This is the last time Jim Nantz will announce the Final Four; he is a Houston alum, the Cougars will be a #1-seed and the Final Four is in Houston. Anyone out there think they won’t make the Final Four?

Elsewhere in the world………
— Chicago Bears traded the #1 pick in next month’s draft to Carolina; in exchange, they get:
Carolina’s 1st round pick this year (#9 pick)
Carolina’s 2nd round pick (pick #61)
Carolina’s 1st round pick in 2024
Carolina’s 2nd round pick in 2025
WR DJ Moore

Seeing how Chicago already has a young QB (Justin Fields) and how a lot of pundits don’t think this year’s crop of college QB’s is that good, consensus was that the Bears won this trade.

— This is the 7th time since 1990 that a team traded up for the #1 pick:
2016— Rams traded up for QB Jared Goff
2001— Falcons traded up for QB Michael Vick
1997— Rams traded up for OT Orlando Pace, a Hall of Famer
1995— Bengals traded up for RB Ki-Jana Carter
1991— Cowboys traded up for DT Russell Maryland
1990— Colts traded up for QB Jeff George

— Sad news in baseball; former big league OF Jesus Alou passed away at age 80. One of three brothers who all played in the major leagues— they once started a game in the same outfield for the Giants, in 1963 against the Pirates.

Later on, all three brothers played for the A’s, at one time or another. Jesus Alou helped the A’s win World Series in 1973 and 1974.

On July 10, 1964, Jesus Alou went 6-6 in a game against the Cubs; reader Glen points out that he got the six hits against six different pitchers, which couldn’t have happened very many times.

RIP, sir.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 46-27 ATS (16.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-3 Under (9.7 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games when revenging a loss in the current season.

HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. division opponents in the current season.
 

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NBA

Saturday, March 11


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Trend Report
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New York @ LA Clippers
New York
New York is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New York is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New York
LA Clippers is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing New York

Utah @ Charlotte
Utah
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games

Miami @ Orlando
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Miami

Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Boston
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Dallas @ Memphis
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Houston
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 13 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

Milwaukee @ Golden State
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Sacramento @ Phoenix
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Long Sheet

Saturday, March 11


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NEW YORK (39 - 29) at LA CLIPPERS (35 - 33) - 3/11/2023, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 284-228 ATS (+33.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 121-156 ATS (-50.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 283-337 ATS (-87.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (32 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (22 - 46) - 3/11/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 241-291 ATS (-79.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (36 - 32) at ORLANDO (27 - 40) - 3/11/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 180-141 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (30 - 37) at DETROIT (15 - 52) - 3/11/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (46 - 21) at ATLANTA (34 - 33) - 3/11/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 91-76 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 220-178 ATS (+24.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 69-85 ATS (-24.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (34 - 33) at MEMPHIS (39 - 26) - 3/11/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
MEMPHIS is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MEMPHIS is 229-171 ATS (+40.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 505-420 ATS (+43.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 610-513 ATS (+45.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 290-234 ATS (+32.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 651-555 ATS (+40.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (30 - 36) at HOUSTON (15 - 51) - 3/11/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 39-67 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-60 ATS (-34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (31 - 35) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 34) - 3/11/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 59-42 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (48 - 18) at GOLDEN STATE (34 - 33) - 3/11/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 337-398 ATS (-100.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 119-168 ATS (-65.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (39 - 26) at PHOENIX (37 - 29) - 3/11/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 87-72 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,263
Tokens

SATURDAY, MARCH 11​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at LAC04:00 PMNY +5.0
O 227.5
+500 +500
IND at DET07:00 PMIND -5.5
U 229.0
+500 +500
MIA at ORL07:00 PMORL +2.5
O 220.0
+500 +500
UTA at CHA07:00 PMUTA -2.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
BOS at ATL07:30 PMBOS -5.0
O 235.5
+500 +500
DAL at MEM08:00 PMMEM -5.5
U 224.0
+500 +500
CHI at HOU08:00 PMHOU +7.5
O 224.0
+500 +500
OKC at NO08:30 PMNO -2.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
MIL at GS08:30 PMGS -1.0
U 240.5
+500 +500
SAC at PHO09:00 PMSAC +3.0
O 241.0
+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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Tokens
Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the fastest tempo (shortest possessions on offense)
14.9 seconds— Marshall (24-8)
15.0— Long Beach State (17-16)
15.1— Cornell (17-11)
15.2— Alabama (28-5)
15.2— Portland State (12-19)
15.3— St John’s (18-15)

Quote of the Day
“How do you know when you run out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; what famous musician played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows?

Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.

Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.


************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Brackets come out at 6:00 tonight; all the speculation ends and we can handicap the actual matchups. Champ Week has been fun, but it is time to move on to the main event.

— There were five conference tournaments in Las Vegas this week; must be tough living in a place where there are legitimately fun things to do every day.

Marquette 65, Xavier 51— Surprisingly easy win for Marquette, which has won 14 of its last 15 games. This was Marquette’s conference tournament title since 1997, when they won the C-USA tournament.

Texas 76, Kansas 56— Longhorns allowed 54.3 ppg in their three wins this weekend. This game had two interim coaches leading the teams, with Rodney Terry taking over for the fired Chris Beard, while Norm Roberts is replacing Kansas coach Bill Self, who has been ill.

Cal-Santa Barbara 72, Cal-Fullerton 62— Gauchos get to the NCAA’s for second time in three years; before that, they hadn’t been there since 2011.

I was on the UCSB campus a long time ago, 1990 if I remember right. They should have no trouble recruiting ballplayers; what a beautiful area. More than half the cars in the parking lot had a surfboard on the roof. Had I gone to school there, would’ve taken me about a month to flunk out. Who wants to study when you can go for a walk on the beach?

San Diego State 62, Utah State 57— Aggies led 26-15 early on, but San Diego State wins this tournament for third time in last six years. Bracketology says Utah State is in the Field of 68, but they’ll be tossing and turning tonight, waiting for tomorrow’s verdict.

ESPN”s bracket guy has Arizona State in; the CBS bracket guy has the Sun Devils out; CBS has Utah State going to Dayton for a play-in game. ESPN has the Aggies ranked higher than that.

Arizona 61, UCLA 59— UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014; Arizona won it for fourth time in last six tries. Bruins are banged up; how much does the Selection Committee weigh their injuries into the seedings?

— Purdue guard David Jenkins should write a book about his experience playing college ball; he’s played all over the place:

2017-19— South Dakota State
2020-21— UNLV
2021-22— Utah
2022-23— Purdue

— New Mexico star Jaelen House is the grandson of former UCLA star Henry Bibby, who also played nine years in the NBA.

— Unfortunately, this time of year schools fire coaches who didn’t win as much as people hoped:
Buffalo fired Jim Whitesell (45-27 in MAC games in four years)
Georgia Tech fired Josh Pastner (11-29 in ACC games the last two years)
South Florida fired Brian Gregory (32-72 in AAC games)
Wichita State fired Isaac Brown (48-34 in three years).

Wichita fired Gregg Marshall three years ago, because Marshall hurt people’s feelings— he also went 331-121 with the Shockers, 233-53 his last eight years, with a Final Four in 2013.

Missouri gave hoop coach Dennis Gates a $1.5M/year raise, extended his contract thru 2029; Tigers are 24-9 in Gates’ first season in Columbia.

You fire a guy who was 331-121, you understand why they fired a guy who was 48-34.

— St John’s hasn’t played in the semi-finals of the Big East tournament since 2014, even though they play the tournament in Madison Square Garden, the Red Storm’s second home.

— Bronx baseball team put P Carlos Rodon on the IL with a strained forearm; Rodon signed a six-year, $162M contract this past winter.

— Teams that won the first four World Baseball Classics:
Japan, Japan, Dominican Republic, United States

— Arizona Diamondbacks gave OF Corbin Carroll an 8-year, $111M contract; Carroll has played in only 32 big league games, hitting .260 with 4 homers as a 21-year old last year.

— Washington Nationals signed C Keibert Ruiz to an 8-year, $50M contract; Ruiz hit .251 with seven homers last season, in his first season as a starter.

— Houston Texans were fined $175K, lost a 5th-round draft pick this year because of a salary cap reporting violation involving Deshaun Watson back in 2020.

Texans also signed WR Robert Woods to a 2-year contract, a smart move. Woods caught 53 passes for 527 yards with AFC South rival Tennessee last year.

— Minnesota Vikings cut WR Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons; Thielen caught 534 passes for 12.5 yards/catch in nine years for Minnesota, 55 of them for touchdowns.

— San Francisco QB Brock Purdy finally had his elbow operation this week; they said it was a six-month rehab for his elbow, so he figures to miss the start of the regular season.

— Random stat: Golden State Warriors are 4-13 as a road favorite this season.

— Remember to turn your clocks ahead an hour!!!
 

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HOUSTON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 14-3 Under (10.7 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

PORTLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season.
 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, March 12


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BROOKLYN (38 - 29) at DENVER (46 - 21) - 3/12/2023, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
DENVER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (42 - 27) at CHARLOTTE (22 - 47) - 3/12/2023, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (31 - 36) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 22) - 3/12/2023, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (31 - 36) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 35) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 65-82 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 35) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 49) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 624-540 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 219-176 ATS (+25.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 111-75 ATS (+28.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 447-380 ATS (+29.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (39 - 30) at LA LAKERS (33 - 34) - 3/12/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 123-100 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 284-229 ATS (+32.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 171-214 ATS (-64.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, March 12


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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Denver
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

Cleveland @ Charlotte
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

New York @ LA Lakers
New York
New York is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
New York is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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