CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Monday, March 6


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BOSTON (45 - 20) at CLEVELAND (40 - 26) - 3/6/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 509-438 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (30 - 34) at DETROIT (15 - 49) - 3/6/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 63-81 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 47-62 ATS (-21.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 132-185 ATS (-71.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (41 - 22) at INDIANA (29 - 36) - 3/6/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (32 - 32) at MIAMI (34 - 31) - 3/6/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (32 - 33) at DENVER (45 - 19) - 3/6/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 171-213 ATS (-63.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
DENVER is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (31 - 33) at SACRAMENTO (37 - 26) - 3/6/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 42-56 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONDAY, MARCH 6​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
POR at DET07:00 PMPOR -5.5
U 229.5
+500 +500
PHI at IND07:00 PMIND +8.0
O 232.5
+500 +500
BOS at CLE07:00 PMBOS +7.5
U 218.0
+500 +500
ATL at MIA07:30 PMMIA -2.5
U 229.5
+500 +500
TOR at DEN09:00 PMDEN -6.0
U 229.0
+500 +500
NO at SAC10:00 PMSAC -5.5
U 237.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Division I basketball teams in the state of Indiana:
— Ball State
— Butler
— Evansville
— Indiana
— Indiana- Fort Wayne
— IUPUI
— Indiana State
— Notre Dame
— Purdue
— Valparaiso

Tweet of the Day
“Man Bronny definitely better than some of these cats I’ve been watching on league pass today”
Lebron James, referring to his son, who is a senior in high school

Tuesday’s quiz
In the excellent movie Molly’s Game, what famous actor plays Molly’s father?

Monday’s quiz
There are ten Division I college basketball teams in the state of Indiana.

Sunday’s quiz
In the old animated TV show The Jetsons, George’s daughter Judy went to Orbit High School.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Furman 88, Chattanooga 79— Paladins lost SoCon final last year in gut-wrenching fashion; they got revenge here, jumping out to a 30-11 lead and then holding on, making it into March Madness for the first time since 1980.

Louisiana 71, South Alabama 66— Watched lot of Sun Belt games on ESPN+ this winter; this league needs more national exposure- they play good ball. Ragin’ Cajuns are 26-7; they’re in the NCAA Tournament for first time since 2014.

Charleston 77, Towson 72— 30-3 Cougars are in the minority, a dominant mid-major that won its conference tournament this week. Charleston won its last nine games; they won this game by outscoring Towson 28-9 on the foul line.

NC-Wilmington 79, Hofstra 73 OT— Hofstra tied Charleston atop the CAA, but they lost here, after leading by 12 in first half.

Hofstra won the CAA tournament three years ago, but COVID cancelled the NCAA’s that year. Last time the Pride played in NCAA’s was 2001, when Jay Wright was their coach.

Northern Kentucky 75, Youngstown State 63— Top-seeded Penguins start five seniors, but they got whacked here; it was 40-25 at halftime. Northern Kentucky plays Cleveland State tonight for the Horizon title.

— New Orleans Saints signed QB Derek Carr to a 4-year, $150M deal; $37.5M a year.

— Seattle Seahawks re-signed their QB Geno Smith to a 3-year, $105M deal.

— From 2015-17, Kirk Cousins went 24-23-1 as Washington’s QB; since then, 12 different guys have played QB for the Redskins/Commanders- their combined record is 32-49-1.

— How do you evaluate QB’s? You read the stuff about the NFL Combine and how Florida QB Anthony Richardson impressed all the scouts with a strong vertical jump and broad jump, but does that really matter?

Florida was 6-7 last year; Richardson completed 53.8% of his passes. When evaluating a QB, I’d prefer game tapes over a workout.

— UCLA gave football coach Chip Kelly a contract extension thru 2027; he’ll make just over $6M a year. UCLA finished last season ranked #21, first time since 2014 they finished a season ranked in the top 25.

— I like the XFL’s kickoff rule; the two teams line up 10 yards apart, and no one can move until the receiver touches the ball. There have been some decent returns in the games I’ve watched.

— Passing leaders, thru three weeks of the USFL:
855 yards— Ben DiNucci, Seattle
723— Brandon Silvers, Houston
636— AJ McCarron, St Louis
436— Jack Coan, San Antonio
434— Paxton Lynch, Orlando

— There is a casino in downtown Las Vegas, the El Cortez; they posted on Twitter that they went through 3,250 pairs of dice last year.

— Couple days ago, Mets are playing and other team has men on 1st/2nd with no one out in the first inning. #3 hitter hits an infield pop-up to the shortstop; umpire calls the infield fly rule, so the batter is automatically out.

Francisco Lindor lets the ball drop, seeing if any of the runners will screw it up and run. No one did; don’t think I’ve seen that happen before.

— Red Sox IF Justin Turner got hit in the face with a pitch Monday, got 16 stitches but no bones were broken.

— Only five major league pitchers threw 200+ innings last year.

By way of contrast, Hall of Fame pitcher Sandy Koufax retired when he was 30; his last two years in the majors, he threw 335, then 323 innings. Times have changed.

These days, teams are paying big-time pitchers a boatload of $$$ under long-term contracts; they can’t have them retiring when they’re 30.

— Cubs no-hit San Diego in a spring training game Friday, the first no-hitter in a spring training game since 2017.

— I’m thinking that this spring/summer, I’ll be making a list of teams that get ravaged by the transfer portal, then consider picking against those teams all of next season. Teams fire their coach, the better players bolt for greener pastures and the new coach is left to scramble for a new roster, which is tough to do.

Think of Illinois State losing Antonio Reeves, who played four years for the Redbirds, but then bolted to Kentucky when coach Dan Muller got fired. Illinois State went 11-21 this season with a new coach. Reeves is averaging 14.2 ppg for Kentucky this season— Illinois State would’ve won a lot more than 11 games had Reeves stayed with the Redbirds.

— Austin Peay fired coach Nate James after they went 21-39 in two seasons; James had been an assistant coach at Duke for 13 years before that. Austin Peay moved from the OVC to the Atlantic Sun this season, and finished last.

— Former LA Laker Michael Cooper is coaching high school ball now; his Culver City team is playing in the Regional Division III championship game Tuesday night. Culver City has never made it this far in the state playoffs before.

— Alabama freshman Brandon Miller is the first player since the Lakers’ Anthony Davis (in 2012) to win SEC Freshman of the Year and also be SEC Player of the Year.
 

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ORLANDO is 21-7 Under (13.3 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 25-7 Over (17.3 Units) after allowing 130 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 64-86 ATS (-30.6 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 38-19 Over (17.1 Units) in road games when the total is 22-229.5 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Dunkel

Tuesday, March 7


Nu66dfq.png
 

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Tuesday, March 7


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MILWAUKEE (46 - 18) at ORLANDO (27 - 38) - 3/7/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 9-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (30 - 34) at DETROIT (15 - 50) - 3/7/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 63-79 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 82-111 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (42 - 22) at MINNESOTA (34 - 32) - 3/7/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (20 - 46) at NEW YORK (39 - 27) - 3/7/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
NEW YORK is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (34 - 31) at OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 34) - 3/7/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (36 - 28) at HOUSTON (15 - 49) - 3/7/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 66-81 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 50-65 ATS (-21.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 34-57 ATS (-28.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (31 - 34) at DALLAS (33 - 32) - 3/7/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 11-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-7 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (38 - 25) at LA LAKERS (31 - 34) - 3/7/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 169-214 ATS (-66.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 663-757 ATS (-169.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Tuesday, March 7


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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 12 games

Washington @ Detroit
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Washington

Charlotte @ New York
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Golden State @ Oklahoma City
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

Brooklyn @ Houston
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Houston
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

Utah @ Dallas
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

Memphis @ LA Lakers
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis's last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games


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TUESDAY, MARCH 7​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at DET07:00 PMWAS -8.0
O 223.5
+500 +500
MIL at ORL07:00 PMORL +7.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
PHI at MIN07:30 PMPHI +2.0
U 229.5
+500 +500
CHA at NY07:30 PMNY -10.0
O 226.0
+500 +500
GS at OKC08:00 PMGS -4.5
U 242.5
+500 +500
BK at HOU08:00 PMBK -6.0
O 231.0
+500 +500
UTA at DAL08:30 PMUTA +9.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
MEM at LAL10:00 PMMEM +1.0
U 225.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Most experienced college hoop teams:
— Penn State (19-12, 10-10)
— Fort Wayne (17-15, 9-11)
— Notre Dame (11-21, 3-17)
— Virginia (23-6, 15-5)
— UAB (23-8, 14-6)
— Texas (23-8, 12-6)

Quote of the Day
“We will continue to negotiate in good faith with Lamar, and we are hopeful that we can strike a long-term deal that is fair to both Lamar and the Ravens. Our ultimate goal is to build a championship team with Lamar Jackson leading the way for many years to come.”
Ravens’ GM Eric DeCosta

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Saints’ QB Derek Carr play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the excellent movie Molly’s Game, Kevin Costner plays Molly’s father.

Monday’s quiz
There are ten Division I college basketball teams in the state of Indiana.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week, late-night musings……..

It is 3:45am; I just finished writing the blog for today, then I hit the wrong button and deleted the whole damn thing. All of it. Not my finest hour. Let’s try again.

— So far, this has been a very strange Champ Week; the 15/16 seeds in the NCAA Tournament are going to be worse than usual.

— Big West tournament
Cal Poly 88, Long Beach State 68— Cal Poly had lost 18 games in a row; they went 1-18 in the Big West, Long Beach went 11-9, but the Mustangs made 11-22 on the arc in this game and won easily. Midway thru the second half, the TV analyst on ESPN+ said that the Long Beach players looked disinterested. Losses like this get coaches fired.

— Big Sky tournament
Northern Arizona 83, Montana 71— Lumberjacks started the season 7-21, but have now won five of their last six games, scoring 81+ points in their last five games. NAU is the #9-seed in a bad league, but they play #2-seed Montana State for the Big Sky title Wednesday night.

Montana State 60, Weber State 58, 2OT— This was a rock fight; 118 points in 50:00. In the last 20:00 of this game, a total of only 34 points were scored. Weber State’s best player shot 5-24 from the floor. Montana State’s two best guys played 49-44 minutes, now have to play again tonight for the conference championship.

— Atlantic 15 tourney
St Joe’s 72, Loyola Chi 67– Their last five years in the MVC, Loyola went 124-44, 69-21 in league games, but their administration got greedy and moved up to the A-15, where they went 10-21 this season, 4-14 in their new league. No bueno.

I’ve been saying this a lot; big fish, small pond. Winning is fun, losing sucks. Gonzaga wins a lot because they’ve stayed in the WCC, a small pond.

— CAA tourney
Charleston 63, NC-Wilmington 58— Cougars have now won ten games in a row; they’re 31-3 and played five sophomores, four seniors in this game. An odd combination. UNCW led this game by 8 with 6:13 left in this game; it looked like another top seed was going down, but Charleston survived and now advances to March for first time since 2018, second time since 1999.

Charleston has good depth, they defend well; they’ll be a tough out next week.

— Horizon tourney
Northern Kentucky 63, Cleveland State 61— Norse are in NCAA’s for first time since 2019; they force turnovers 23.2% of time (#14). Their opponents’ average possession is 19.3 seconds, the longest possessions in the country. Northern Kentucky beat Cincinnati in November; they won’t be in awe of whoever they play next week.

— Northeast tourney
Merrimack 67, Fairleigh Dickinson 66
Good news for Merrimack: They’re the NEC champs.
Bad news for Merrimack: They’re not eligible to play in the NCAA’s. This is only their 4th year in Division I, so Fairleigh Dickinson goes to the NCAA’s, even though they lost this game.

— Southland tourney
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 80, McNeese State 63
Northwestern State 74, New Orleans 70


Finally, a league where the tournament final is #1-seed vs #2-seed. Northwestern State is 22-10 despite being the #348 team on defensive boards. Corpus Christi is 22-10 despite being having the #262 eFG% defense.

I think the winner avoids going to Dayton for a play-in game, because of all the other upsets.

— Summit tournament
Oral Roberts 92, North Dakota State 58— Oral Roberts has won 27 of its last 28 games; they’re experience team #26, continuity team #28, and will be a popular Cinderella pick when the brackets come out.

Oral Roberts starts four seniors and a junior; a very mature team. ORU made the Sweet 16 two years ago; can they do it again?

— WAC tournament
There were four WAC games Tuesday; underdogs covered all four games.

— WCC tournament
Gonzaga 77, Saint Mary’s 51— Gonzaga beats the Gaels in the finals of the WCC tournament for the fourth year in a row. Mark Few has coached Gonzaga for 24 years; he’s coached in the WCC finals all 24 years, which is pretty amazing.

Everyone has been saying the Zags aren’t as good this year, but you look and there they are, with the #1 eFG% in the whole damn country.

Like I said before, big fish, small pond is a lot of fun.

— From 2012-14, when Rick Pitino was coaching Louisville, they won three consecutive conference tournaments, two in the Big East, one in their only year in the AAC.

Then Louisville moved to the ACC; since then, the Cardinals are 3-7 in conference tournament games- they went 4-28 this year, which is an amazing downfall for a proud program.

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 9-7 ATS in first round NCAA Tournament games; those spreads are going to be a little higher than usual this time around.

— Baltimore Ravens placed the non-exclusive franchise tag on QB Lamar Jackson; he will make $32M next season, unless Jackson signs with another team in free agency. Should he sign an offer sheet from another organization, Baltimore will have five days to match it- if they match it, Jackson stays in Baltimore.

If they don’t match the offer, the Ravens will get two first round draft picks in exchange.

— New Jersey Giants gave QB Daniel Jones a 4-year, $160M deal; Jones better buy coach Brian Daboll a new Ferrari every year for the rest of his life. This time last year, Jones was headed to the scrap heap; thanks to Daboll’s coaching, Jones is now really, really rich.
 

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ATLANTA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games as a favorite in the current season.

MIAMI is 8-0 Under (8 Units) off a close home win by 3 points or less in the current season.

Chauncey Billups is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days (Coach of PORTLAND)

DALLAS are 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 38-17 Over (19.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) playing with 2 days rest in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, March 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Portland @ Boston
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Miami
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Dallas @ New Orleans
Dallas
Dallas is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

Chicago @ Denver
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Toronto @ LA Clippers
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Toronto


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (32 - 33) at WASHINGTON (31 - 34) - 3/8/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 68-84 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-80 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (41 - 26) at MIAMI (35 - 31) - 3/8/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (31 - 34) at BOSTON (45 - 21) - 3/8/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 90-76 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (34 - 32) at NEW ORLEANS (31 - 34) - 3/8/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 610-512 ATS (+46.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 290-233 ATS (+33.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (31 - 34) at PHOENIX (36 - 29) - 3/8/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 86-72 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 92-68 ATS (+17.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 111-84 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (29 - 36) at DENVER (46 - 19) - 3/8/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (32 - 34) at LA CLIPPERS (34 - 33) - 3/8/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
TORONTO is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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Tokens

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 8​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at WAS07:00 PMATL -4.0
O 235.5
+500 +500
CLE at MIA07:30 PMCLE -2.0
O 215.0
+500 +500
POR at BOS07:30 PMBOS -10.0
U 230.0
+500 +500
DAL at NO07:30 PMNO +1.5
O 234.0
+500 +500
OKC at PHO09:00 PMPHO -13.5
O 233.5
+500 +500
CHI at DEN09:00 PMDEN -9.0
O 225.5
+500 +500
TOR at LAC10:00 PMLAC -2.5
U 230.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Best teams in country at offensive rebounding:
39%— UConn (24-7, 13-7)
38.5%— Purdue (26-5, 15-5)
38.3%— Kentucky (21-10, 12-6)
37.8%— Houston (29-2, 17-1)
37.1%— Tennessee (22-9, 11-7)
36.9%— UAB (23-8, 14-6)

Quote of the Day
“Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn’t end.”
Coughlin’s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Thursday’s quiz
When Ichiro Suzuki played for the Seattle Mariners, what number did he wear?

Wednesday’s quiz
Saints’ QB Derek Carr played his college football at Fresno State.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the excellent movie Molly’s Game, Kevin Costner plays Molly’s father.

*****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

ACC tournament

Wake Forest 77, Syracuse 74— Daivien Williamson drilled a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left and Wake Forest advanced to play Miami in Thursday’s quarterfinals. Syracuse made 10-17 on the arc; they led by 12 early on, but after the game, Jim Boeheim stepped down as coach, ending his 47-year career coaching at Syracuse.

Syracuse immediately replaced Boeheim with assistant/former player Adrian Autry.

Big X tournament
West Virginia 78, Texas Tech 62— Mountaineers won for fourth time in five games; after the game, Texas Tech fired coach Mark Adams, who had previously been suspended for comments he made to a player last week. They said he stepped down too, which is doubtful.

Big East tournament
Villanova 80, Georgetown 48— In six years under Patrick Ewing (the best player in Hoyas’ history), Georgetown is 75-109, 28-81 in conference play. It is inconceivable that they would let Ewing coach again next season, but they haven’t fired him……yet.

Big Sky tournament
Montana State 85, Northern Arizona 78— Bobcats won 2nd straight Big Sky title; they’ve won 17 of their last 19 games. Montana State was 31-39 on foul line; they also caught a break in that they got to play the #9-seed in the final.

Big 14 tournament
Minnesota 78, Nebraska 75— #14-seed Gophers upset the #11-seed, typical of this week; Minnesota had lost 13 of its last 14 games, now they get to lose to Maryland Thursday.

C-USA tournament
Western Kentucky 73, Texas-El Paso 67— Miners jumped out to a 22-6 lead, but they were 4-10 on foul line, WKU was 20-30.

Rice 72, Texas-San Antonio 71— Owls limped into this tournament on a 2-9 skid, but they shot 66% inside arc, and hung out to win after blowing a 12-point first half lead.

Southland tournament
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 75, Northwestern State 71— Demons raced out to a 26-10 lead, but Corpus Christi shot 63% inside the arc, put four guys in double figures and won Southland title for second year in a row. Islanders are 46-22 in two years under Steve Lutz; will he have a shot at the Texas Tech job?

MAAC tournament
Saint Peter’s 70, Rider 62— Rider beat the Peacocks twice this season, by 13-21 points, but when it really counted, Saint Peter’s posted the upset. Rider was 11-3 in MAAC at one point, but wound up losing five of their last seven games.

Mountain West tournament
UNLV 78, Air Force 70 OT— Host Rebels haven’t won this tournament since 2008; game was 57-all after regulation, but UNLV scored 21 points in overtime and advances to play Boise State Thursday. Senior G Harkless scored 35 points; they need more balanced scoring.

Patriot League
Colgate 79, Lafayette 61— Red Raiders are in NCAA’s for 4th time in five years; they’re shooting 40.9% on the arc (#1), 57.1% inside arc (#7)- they have the best eFG% in country, will be a tough out in the first round of the NCAA’s. They’re an experienced team with continuity #17; they can win a game next week.

— Michigan Wolverines lost two of their last three games, putting them on the wrong side of the bubble. All three of those games went to overtime; Michigan is 4-12 this year in games decided by 7 or less points, or in overtime.

— UCLA’s 2nd-leading scorer Jaylen Clark has an achilles injury, is out for the year; Bruins are #278 in bench minutes- their roster just got a lot thinner.

— Some of the teams in the World Baseball Classic played major league teams Wednesday; you would think MLB TV would show those games, but they showed none of them. Do the people who run Major League Baseball care about promoting their game?

Jose Altuve played for Venezuela against the Astros Wednesday; he went 1-4.

Dominican Republic has quite a lineup; Astros’ SS Jeremy Pena batted 9th against the Braves in a 9-0 Dominican win (not many Atlanta regulars played).

It is depressing to type this, but the A’s lost 3-2 to the Colombian National Team.

Oy.
 

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Messages
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ORLANDO is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

DETROIT is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or less in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in the current season.

NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.





NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 9


N5JRH8x.png





NBA

Thursday, March 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah @ Orlando
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 13 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Utah

Houston @ Indiana
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 14 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Charlotte @ Detroit
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games

Golden State @ Memphis
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

New York @ Sacramento
New York
New York is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
New York is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against New York


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