Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/19/2021........15-6-1.........71.42%.........+42.00
10/18/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%............-3.15
10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............41-36-3...........53.74%.........+ 9.10




BEST BETS:


10/19/2021.........10-4-1...........66.60%..........+31.25
10/18/2021..........3-3-0............50.00%...........+2.88
10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%............+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%..............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............28-23-3...........54.90%..........+ 28.63


10/19/2021
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Andy Katz’s preseason top 6 in college basketball:
6) Purdue
5) Villanova
4) Kansas
3) Texas
2) Gonzaga
1) UCLA

Quote of the Day
“Sacramento has informed Marvin Bagley he is not in the opening night rotation, which is completely baffling. It’s clear they have no plans for him in the future, and yet, passed on potential deals at last year’s deadline and this summer based on ‘value.’ Instead, they chose to bring him back but not play him, a move completely contradictory to their ‘value’ argument.”
Begley’s agent, Jeff Schwartz

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Steph Curry play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jack Del Rio was coach of the Raiders, before Jon Gruden.

Monday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills lost 22-16 at Tennessee in a 1999 playoff game, on a 75-yard kick return with 0:03 left. Wade Phillips was coach of the Bills back then.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Dodgers 6, Braves 5:
— LA erupted for four runs in bottom of 8th inning.
— Cody Bellinger’s 3-run tater was the big hit.
— All three games, team won in its final at-bat.
— Braves lead series, 2-1.

12) Astros 9, Red Sox 2:
— Altuve tied it with HR in 8th, Astros scored seven runs in 9th.
— Houston’s bullpen threw 7.2 scoreless IP.
— So far in series, Astro starters have an 18.90 ERA. Not good.
— Series is tied 2-2.

11) Washington State fired football coach Nick Rolovich and four of his assistants because they refused to get the COVID vaccine; the state of Washington required full vaccinations by Monday for most state employees.

Rolovich was in his second season coaching the Coogs, who are 4-3 after winning their third game in a row last week, 34-31 over Stanford.

10) Chargers’ coach Brandon Staley is a defensive guru, but so far this season, on opponents’ first drive of the second half, they’ve scored five TD’s on six drives, so opposing offenses have obviously been making better halftime adjustments than the Chargers’ defensive coaches.

9) Padres’ star Fernando Tatis isn’t going to have shoulder surgery this winter, leaving open the possibility of more shoulder injuries next season. Fantasy baseball experts on the Interweb are saying this will lower his rating in drafts next spring.

8) Teams are 1-5 ATS this season, the week after playing Notre Dame; that one cover belongs to Cincinnati, which is trying to impress pollsters in order to make it into the national playoffs.

7) 76ers coach Doc Rivers threw Ben Simmons out of practice Tuesday after Simmons refused to participate in a defensive drill- the team then suspended Simmons for Wednesday’s season opener against the Pelicans.

Simmons wants to be traded, but who would trade for him? He is a difficult person who seems to be a bad teammate. His one year at LSU, his team didn’t even make the NCAA tournament, losing their last game 71-38, a horrendous tank job.

You have a player as talented as Simmons and you can’t make it into the tournament?

If I owned an NBA team, or coached one, wouldn’t want Simmons on my team.

6) Texas-San Antonio has great helmets; their Roadrunner logo is one of the country’s best.

5) You know you’re watching an old movie when there’s a scene at a gas station and gas is $1.21 a gallon. It is $3.38 a gallon around here now.

4) Atlanta Hawks signed Kevin Huerter to a 4-year, $65M contract extension, pretty good for a kid from Clifton Park, 15-20 minutes north of Armadillo World HQ.

3) Mets’ owner Steve Cohen is the richest owner in baseball, worth $14B. Carolina Panthers’ owner David Tepper is NFL’s wealthiest owner ($15.6B), but Steve Ballmer, who owns the NBA’s LA Clippers, is worth around $70B.

Must be nice.

2) New York City radio icon Howie Rose was saying on Twitter how he loves the NHL’s 3-on-3 overtime; wishes they would make the 3-on-3 10:00 instead of 5:00 and scrap shootouts, and just have tie games sometimes.

1) New Orleans Saints play Monday night in Seattle; it’ll be their sixth game this season, played in six different cities- they played a “home” game in Jacksonville in Week 1.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 149-148 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

ST LOUIS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 20







NHL

Wednesday, October 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Vegas
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



BOS at PHI 07:30 PM
BOS -130
U 5.5
+500 +500


STL at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -125
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/20/2021..........0-4-0...........0.00%.........-23.75
10/19/2021........15-6-1.........71.42%.........+42.00
10/18/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%............-3.15
10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............41-40-3...........50.61%.........-14.65




BEST BETS:


10/202021............0-2-0...........00.00%..........-11.00
10/19/2021.........10-4-1...........66.60%..........+31.25
10/18/2021..........3-3-0............50.00%...........+2.88
10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%............+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%..............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............28-25-3...........52.83%..........+ 17.63


10/20/2021
 

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ArmadilloSports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Over/under win totals for NBA teams:
54.5— Brooklyn Nets, Milwaukee Bucks
53.5— Utah Jazz
51.5— Phoenix Suns, LA Lakers
50.5— Philadelphia 76ers
49.5— Denver Nuggets
48.5— Golden State Warriors, Miami Heat

Quote of the Day
“At this point, I don’t care about that man. He does what he wants.”
76ers star Joel Embiid, talking about Ben Simmons

Thursday’s quiz
Which current major league manager was on deck when Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run?

Wednesday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

Tuesday’s quiz
Jack Del Rio was coach of the Raiders, before Jon Gruden.

*********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Case Keenum is going to start at QB for the Browns Thursday night when they host Denver. Baker Mayfield has a partially torn labrum in his left shoulder.

Keenum is in his 10th NFL season, on his sixth team; he has a 27-35 record as a starter- he was 11-3 for the ’17 Vikings. Still a mystery why they chose Kirk Cousins over Keenum, but they did.

Vikings are 28-25-1 since Keenum left Minnesota.

12) Braves 9, Dodgers 2:
— Rosario homered twice, knocked in four runs.
— Smyly gave Atlanta 3.2 IP as bulk pitcher.
— Braves lead series, 3-1.

11) Astros 9, Red Sox 1:
— Houston scored five runs in 6th to break open close game.
— Alvarez had three hits, knocked in three runs.
— Astros lead series, 3-2
— Dusty Baker now has 2,024 wins as a manager; he had 2,023 hits as a player.

10) This is how hitting has gotten more difficult in the modern era; in JD Martinez’ first 27 plate appearances in the playoffs this month, he faced 21 different pitchers. Hitting is easier if you see the same pitcher over and over; seeing a different guy every time up makes it tougher.

Example; in his career, Mickey Mantle faced these pitchers a lot:

— Billy Pierce, 198 AB’s
— Early Wynn, 161 AB’s
— Frank Lary, 138 AB’s.

In this modern era, Manny Machado has faced these pitchers a lot:
— CC Sabathia, 56 AB’s
— Chris Archer, 52 AB’s
— Jake Odorizzi, 48 AB’s

9) One of the TV networks has a camera in second base, which gives an interesting view of stolen bases, kind of like the camera in the end zone pylon in NFL games.

8) Earlier this week, saw Illinois football coach Bret Bielema go on a 1:36 rant, basically trashing his own team; I think his intent was to shred the job his predecessor Lovie Smith did in building the Illinois roster, but what he really did was throw his current players under the bus.

Bielema had a good run at Wisconsin, going 68-24, but then he had a disagreement with his AD and jumped to Arkansas, where he went 29-34. This is his first year at Illinois.

His AD at Wisconsin was the old football coach; maybe he should’ve stayed there.

7) Appalachian State 30, Coastal Carolina 27:
— App State kicked FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Coastal led 20-14 at halftime.
— App State had TD plays of 47-28-43 yards.

6) Purdue WR David Bell has enjoyed playing against Iowa:
2019- 13 catches, 197 yards, one TD
2020- 13 catches, 121 yards, 3 TD’s
2021- 11 catches, 240 yards, one TD

5) Seattle Seahawks signed QB Jacob Eason off waivers from the Colts, to give Seattle depth at QB, with Russell Wilson hurt.

Geno Smith is starting for Seattle now; his backups are Jake Luton, Danny Etling.

4) Good to hear Stan Van Gundy doing NBA games on TNT; he got a raw deal getting fired by the Pelicans, after only one season. Van Gundy isn’t funny like his brother Jeff, but he talks all ball— it is like listening to a basketball clinic- always learn stuff from him.

3) Indiana Pacers’ rookie Chris Duarte is the first rookie to start on Opening Night for Indiana since Jamaal Tinsley 20 years ago.

2) Average salary in the NBA is $7,361,409. Median salary is $3,113,160, meaning half the players make more than that, half the players make less than that.

There are seven NBA players making $40M+ this season.

1) Apparently, the guy who founded match.com lost his girlfriend when she met someone else on…….match.com. Go figure.
 

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NY ISLANDERS are 1-7 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-20 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 17-9 ATS (14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) since 1996.

OTTAWA
is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) after allowing 1 goal or less in 2 straight games since 1996.

NASHVILLE is 12-2 ATS (9.3 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 7-2 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, October 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Islanders @ Columbus
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home

Colorado @ Florida
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Colorado

Carolina @ Montreal
Carolina
Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina

Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

San Jose @ Ottawa
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose's last 13 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

Calgary @ Detroit
Calgary
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Rangers @ Nashville
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Rangers's last 20 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Nashville is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

Anaheim @ Winnipeg
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Chicago
Vancouver
Vancouver is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 12 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing Vancouver

Edmonton @ Arizona
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 21
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



CAR at MON 07:00 PM
CAR -115
+500


NYI at CLB 07:00 PM
NYI -140
O 5.5
+500 +500


SJ at OTT 07:00 PM
SJ -120
O 6.0
+500 +500


COL at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -120
+500


WAS at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ +110
U 6.0

+500 +500


CAL at DET 07:30 PM
DET +105
O 5.5
+500 +500


NYR at NAS 08:00 PM
NYR -110
O 5.5
+500 +500


ANA at WIN 08:00 PM
ANA +160
O 5.5

+500 +500


VAN at CHI 08:30 PM
VAN +115
O 6.5

+500 +500


EDM at ARI 10:00 PM
EDM -210
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/21/2021..........8-9-1.........47.22%...........-8.75
10/20/2021..........0-4-0...........0.00%.........-23.75
10/19/2021........15-6-1.........71.42%.........+42.00
10/18/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%............-3.15
10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............49-49-4...........50.00%.........-23.40




BEST BETS:


10/21/2021..........3-7-1............30.00%..........-21.75
10/202021............0-2-0...........00.00%..........-11.00
10/19/2021.........10-4-1...........66.60%..........+31.25
10/18/2021..........3-3-0............50.00%...........+2.88
10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%............+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%..............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............31-32-3...........49.20%............_ 4.12


10/21/2021
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
— Dodgers 11, Braves 2— Taylor hit three HR’s, Pollock hit two.
— Browns 17, Broncos 14— Johnson ran for 146 yards in his first start.
— SMU 55, Tulane 26— Mustangs are very quietly 7-0.
— FAU 38, Charlotte 9— Owls were losing 9-7 at halftime.
— Louisiana 28, Arkansas State 27— Cajuns outgained ASU, 546-413
— Warriors 115, Clippers 113— Curry scored 45 points, made 8-13 on arc.

Quote of the Day
“You don’t have to get ready if you stay ready, and I’ve been ready since I got here.”
Browns’ QB Case Keenum

Friday’s quiz
Steph Curry’s dad Dell is a TV analyst for which NBA team?

Thursday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was on deck when Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run.

Wednesday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

******************************

Friday’s Den: Knowledge on more of this week’s college football

Western Michigan @ Toledo:

— Last four years, WMU is 3-6-2 as a road favorite.
— Broncos upset Pitt 44-41 this year, then lost 45-20 to Ball State.

— Since 2013, Toledo is 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Three of their four losses this year were by 3 or fewer points.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Toledo scored 30+ points in last three series losses.
— WMU is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Toledo.

Texas State @ Georgia State:
— Last three years, Bobcats are 6-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Texas State’s last three games went over total.

— Since 2017, Georgia State is 4-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Five of their last six games went over.

— Texas State won last two meetings, 37-34/40-31.
— Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS last seven series games.

Ohio State @ Indiana:
— Last four games, Buckeyes scored 54.5 ppg.
— Under Day, Ohio State is 7-1-1 ATS as road favorites.

— Since 2016, Indiana is 5-11 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last two games, Hoosiers scored 0, 15 points.

— Ohio State won last 20 meetings, but is 2-8 ATS in last ten.
— Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Bloomington.

Buffalo @ Akron:
— Buffalo is 2-4 vs I-A teams; both wins were by one point.
— Since 2019, Bulls are 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Since 2014, Akron is 2-18 ATS as home underdogs.
— Since 2018, Zips are 0-11 ATS as home underdogs.

— Buffalo won last three series games by a combined 101-13.
— Bulls are 4-4-1 ATS in last nine trips to Akron.

llinois @ Penn State:
— Since 2017, Illinois is 9-11 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five Illinois games stayed under the total.

— Since 2012, Penn State is 31-21 ATS as home favorites.
— Since 2017, Nittany Lions are 3-17 ATS coming off a loss.

— Penn State won last three meetings, by average of 53-15.
— Illinois is 6-3 ATS last nine trips to Happy Valley (0-2 last two)

Georgia Tech @ Virginia:
— Since 2014, Tech is 12-7-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Yellow Jackets are 2-6 ATS last eight games coming off a win.

— Virginia won last three games, scoring 38 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS last eight games as home favorites.
— Last four Virginia games stayed under the total.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Underdogs are 5-1-1 ATS last seven meetings played here.

Boston College @ Louisville:
— Since 2014, BC is 17-6-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Eagles are 13-7 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last two games, BC scored 13-7 points.

— Louisville allowed 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
— Last three years, Cardinals are 6-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Louisville lost last two games by total of four points.

— BC won three of last four series games (loss was 41-39).
— Eagles covered their last three visits to Louisville.

Northwestern @ Michigan:
— Since 2015, Wildcats are 15-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Northwestern allowed 200+ rushing yards in its losses.

— Michigan is averaging 246.5 rushing yards/game.
— Wolverines are 5-1 ATS this season.
— Since 2017, Michigan is 11-7 ATS as home favorites.

— Michigan won last six series games (3-3 ATS)
— Wildcats are 4-3 ATS last seven trips to the Big House.

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan:
— Last three years, Huskies are 8-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— NIU has posted upsets this year, as underdogs of 19-13 points.

— Chippewas’ I-A wins are by 4-3-3 points.
— CMU’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Chippewas are 4-1 ATS last five games as home favorites.

— Central Michigan won six of last seven series games.
— Huskies are 1-6 ATS last seven visits to CMU.

Kent State @ Ohio U:
— Last two games, Kent gave up 38-64 points.
— Last four years, Golden Flashes are 2-0 ATS as road favorites.

— Ohio lost last two games, 30-27/27-26.
— Bobcats are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home dog.
— Ohio’s last four games stayed under the total.

— Ohio won last six series games.
— Bobcats ran for 200+ yards in four of last five meetings.

Wake Forest @ Army:
— Deacons are 6-0; their last two wins were both by a FG.
— Since 2014, Wake is 2-7 ATS as road favorites.
— Wake had last week off; extra time to prep for option.

— Last two games, Army scored 16-14 points.
— Since 2014, Cadets are 4-5 ATS as home underdogs.

— These teams haven’t met since 2016.

Temple @ South Florida:
— Owls are 3-3; their losses are by 47-25-49 points.
— Temple is 7-7 ATS as road dogs since coach Ruhle left town.

— USF is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 39 ppg.
— Since 2018, Bulls are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— This is first time this season South Florida is favored.

— Temple won last three series games (39-37 LY)
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS last seven series games.

East Carolina @ Houston:
— Four of ECU’s last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— Under coach Houston, ECU is 7-4 ATS as road underdog.

— Since 2017, Cougars are 10-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Houston’s last four games went over the total.

— Cougars won six of last nine series games.
— ECU is 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Houston.
 

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SAN JOSE is 191-159 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

BOSTON is 243-188 ATS (36.2 Units) at home when the total is 5.5 since 1996.

DALLAS are 10-28 ATS (-21.5 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 35-24 ATS (8.6 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 22







NHL

Friday, October 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Jose @ Toronto
San Jose
San Jose is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Jose's last 11 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose

Boston @ Buffalo
Boston
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Buffalo
Boston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games at home

Los Angeles @ Dallas
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Edmonton @ Vegas
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
104,226
Tokens
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 22
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



SJ at TOR 06:00 PM
SJ +200
U 6.0

+500 +500


BOS at BUF 07:00 PM
BOS -210
U 5.5
+500 +500


LA at DAL 08:30 PM
U 5.5
+500


EDM at VEG 10:00 PM
EDM +110
U 6.5

+500 +500
 

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Messages
104,226
Tokens
NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/22/2021..........5-2-0.........71.43%........+19.50
10/21/2021..........8-9-1.........47.22%...........-8.75
10/20/2021..........0-4-0...........0.00%.........-23.75
10/19/2021........15-6-1.........71.42%.........+42.00
10/18/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%............-3.15
10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............54-51-4...........51.42%.........-3.90




BEST BETS:


10/22/2021..........4-2-0...........66.66%..........+14.50
10/21/2021..........3-7-1............30.00%..........-21.75
10/202021............0-2-0...........00.00%..........-11.00
10/19/2021.........10-4-1...........66.60%..........+31.25
10/18/2021..........3-3-0............50.00%...........+2.88
10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%............+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%..............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............35-34-3...........50.72%..........+ 10.38


10/22/2021
 

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Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,769
Tokens
Saturday’s 6-pack:
— MTSU 44, UConn 13— UConn is 0-7 vs I-A teams.
— UCF 24, Memphis 7— UCF had 80 passing yards, 104 penalty yards.
— Nets 114, 76ers 109— Brooklyn closed game on a 16-1 run.
— Knicks 121, Magic 96— New York was up 30 at the half.
— Wizards 135, Pacers 134, OT— Indiana is 0-2, with two 1-point losses.
— Suns 115, Lakers 105— Phoenix was up 27 after third quarter.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t really get into rumors — Tua is our quarterback. We’re happy with the quarterback, our quarterback situation. I’ll leave it at that, which I’ve said multiple times.”
Dolphins coach Brian Flores

Saturday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the #1 pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; what QB was the #2 pick?

Friday’s quiz
Steph Curry’s dad Dell is a TV analyst for the Charlotte Hornets.

Thursday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was on deck when Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind and our first set of NHL trends…….

13) Astros 5, Red Sox 0:
— Houston wins ALCS, 4-2
— Yordan Alvarez went 4-4, scored twice.
— Luis Garcia allowed one hit in 5.2 IP.

12) July 30 of this year, Braves traded Pablo Sandoval to Cleveland for Eddie Rosario, who was hurt at the time. Weird trade; Rosario was hurt (he didn’t play for Atlanta until August 28), and the Indians immediately cut Sandoval. At the time, it seemed like a nothing trade.

Except that Rosario is 18-38 for Atlanta in the playoffs this month, batting leadoff since they lost Jorge Soler to COVID. He is a huge reason why the Braves lead the NLCS, 3-2.

11) There have been only five games in NFL history with no punts:
1992— Bills 34, 49ers 31
2003— Colts 38, Chiefs 31 (playoffs)
2014— Saints 44, Packers 23
2014— Packers 38, Bears 17
2021— Chiefs 42, Eagles 30

10) In the 5+ years since Peyton Manning retired, Denver Broncos have started 10 different quarterbacks, and it doesn’t look like they’ve found their guy yet. Ironic that a team run by John Elway can’t find a franchise QB.

9) Braves’ OF Joc Pederson is in his 8th major league season; must be quite a thrill for his dad to watch him play. Stu Pederson played in eight games for the Dodgers in 1985, getting five AB’s in his month in the major leagues- he scored a run and had an RBI, but never got a hit.

8) Cleveland Browns became the Baltimore Ravens in 1996; in 1999, the new Browns came into being. Baker Mayfield is the 30th QB to start for the Browns in 22+ seasons. Obviously, Case Keenum became starting QB #31 Thursday night.

7) Want to win a bar bet? Only one player EVER has hit for the cycle in a postseason game:

Brock Holt, in Game 3 of the 2018 ALDS, for Boston.

6) Las Vegas Raiders play home games on a grass field at Allegiant Stadium; the grass is wheeled outside the domed stadium afterwards, so it can get lot of sun.

When UNLV plays football at Allegiant Stadium, they play on an artificial turf field that is on the floor of the stadium- the grass field stays outside.

5) Wednesday night in New York, Jayson Tatum of the Celtics went 7-30 from the floor in a double OT loss to the Knicks. At some point, when you’re on your way to shooting 7 for 30, you have to stop taking off-balance jumpers and either drive the ball to the hoop or pass the damn thing.

Tatum only took five foul shots the whole game (he played 44:39) so he wasn’t doing a whole lot of driving. Just because you’re the best player doesn’t mean you always to take the key shots.

4) Speaking of the Knicks, they should wear the same uniforms they wore back when they won NBA titles in 1970 and ’73- the Walt Frazier/Willis Reed era. Uniforms they wore in the season opener looked like they were from the 50’s- not good.

3) AAC poached six teams away from Conference USA, giving the AAC team 14 teams when all the dust settles in couple of years. Not sure it makes the league better just makes it lot more attractive to TV networks that need programming.

School like Texas-El Paso is totally screwed right now; read on Twitter where they’re 800 miles away from their closest remaining C-USA rival. Miners need to hook up with the Mountain West or the Sun Belt, just so they have some affordable travel. Mountain West would be preferable.

I’m going to post NHL/NBA trends/stats every so often in this space; it is still way early in the season, but here’s what we’ve got so far. (stats are thru Thursday’s games)
— Teams on 2nd night of a back/back are 2-7 this season.
— Home teams are 5-5 in overtime, 2-2 in shootouts.

— Anaheim— Lost 3 of last 4 games.
— Arizona is 0-4, giving up 5+ goals three times.
— Chicago is 0-5; over is 2-0-1 in their road games; under is 2-0 at home.
— Colorado lost last three games, outscored 15-7.

— Columbus is 3-0 at home, with two of those wins in OT.
— Under is 4-0 in Dallas games (all on road).
— Last three Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Edmonton won its first four games, scoring 18 goals.

— Florida is 4-0, giving up three goals in last three games.
—Minnesota is 3-0, with all three wins by one goal.
— Montreal is 0-5, scoring total of 4 goals (under 4-1).
— Nashville lost 3 of first 4 games- their last three games stayed under.

— Islanders lost three of first four games, all on road.
— Rangers won last three games; their last four games stayed under.
— All four Ottawa games stayed under the total.
— All three Philly games went over the total.

— Over is 3-1 in Penguin games.
— St Louis won its first three games, all on road.
— San Jose won its first three games.
— Seattle lost four of first five games, all on road (over 3-1-1).

— Tampa Bay is 2-0 at home, 0-2 on road.
— All four Toronto games stayed under the total.
— Washington won three of first four games.
— Last three Winnipeg games went over the total.
 

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Messages
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NY RANGERS are 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (19.5 Units) in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

CLEMSON is 25-9 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games as an underdog of 3.5-10 since 1992.

CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 89-104 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

JOHN HYNES is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season (Coach of Nashville.)

BUFFALO is 6-29 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3 .seasons.

DETROIT is 4-26 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 3-10 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season.

NY ISLANDERS are 15-3 ATS (11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Messages
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NHL

Saturday, October 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Ottawa
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Calgary @ Washington
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 13 games on the road
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Anaheim @ Minnesota
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Nashville @ Winnipeg
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Carolina @ Columbus
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Columbus is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Carolina

Detroit @ Montreal
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit

Buffalo @ New Jersey
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Florida @ Philadelphia
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Florida's last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Pittsburgh
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

Colorado @ Tampa Bay
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Colorado

Los Angeles @ St. Louis
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

NY Islanders @ Arizona
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Vancouver @ Seattle
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 10 games on the road
Vancouver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,226
Tokens
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



NYR at OTT 01:00 PM
NYR -150
U 5.5
+500 +500


CAL at WAS 01:00 PM
CAL +130
O 6.0

+500 +500


ANA at MIN 06:00 PM
MIN -250
U 5.5
+500 +500


TOR at PIT 07:00 PM
TOR -130
O 6.5
+500 +500


DET at MON 07:00 PM
MON -155
U 5.5
+500 +500


CAR at CLB 07:00 PM
CAR -150
U 5.5
+500 +500


NAS at WIN 07:00 PM
WIN -125
O 6.0
+500 +500


COL at TB 07:00 PM
TB -115
U 6.0
+500 +500


BUF at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -175
U 6.5
+500 +500


FLA at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI +120
U 6.5
+500 +500


LA at STL 08:00 PM
STL -170
U 5.5
+500 +500


NYI at ARI 09:00 PM
ARI +160
U 5.5
+500 +500


VAN at SEA 10:00 PM
VAN +105
O 6.0

+500 +500
 

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