Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid major league managers:
$4.2M— Terry Francona, Indians
$4M— Joe Maddon, Angels
$3.6M— Joe Girardi, Phillies
$2.5M— Bob Melvin, A’s/Dave Martinez, Nationals
$2.4M— Don Mattingly, Marlins
$1.5M— Bud Black, Rockies/Craig Counsell, Brewers

Quote of the Day
“When you deal with the things up there (New England), it’s a little bit strenuous and nobody likes it in the locker room. That’s to be honest — nobody. Nobody likes it!”
Former NFL DB Darrelle Revis, who won a Super Bowl in his one year with the Patriots

Saturday’s quiz
In 1976, the ABA folded, and four teams were absorbed into the NBA. Which four?

Friday’s quiz
Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady in 1995, as a catcher.

Thursday’s quiz
Wayne Gretzky finished his NHL career with the New York Rangers.

*******************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

13) Arizona Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury tested positive for COVID, will miss Sunday’s game in Cleveland.

Cardinals also traded a 5th-round pick and a cornerback to Philly for TE Zach Ertz, who caught a TD pass for the Eagles Thursday night. Ertz isn’t eligible to play for Arizona Sunday.

12) Houston 5, Boston 4:
— Jose Altuve hit his 20th career postseason home run.
— Kike Hernandez has 13 hits in his last four games.
— Both teams used eight pitchers.
— Astros lead series, 1-0.

11) Boston’s JD Martinez has knocked in 100+ runs four times in his career; he knocked in 99 runs this year, hitting a league-high 42 doubles. Very good hitter.

Back in 2013, Martinez played for an Astros team that went 51-111; they were terrible. Houston released him in spring training the next year, flat out released him, and he went to Detroit, where his career began to blossom.

How does a team that loses 111 games release a hitter who winds up being this good? Houston wound up making the playoffs two years later, beginning their great run, but they also had Kike Hernandez in 2014, and traded him to Miami, not getting much in return.

10) Dodgers don’t have home field edge in the NLCS, but they’re still -190 to win the series, the biggest favorite in an LCS without the home field advantage since the ’86 Mets were -175 over Houston in 1986. Mets won in six games that year.

9) 42.7% of runs scored in the major leagues this season came via a home run, so basically, out of every seven runs that scored, three came via a home run.

8) Clemson 17, Syracuse 14:
— With 0:40 left, Syracuse tried a 47-yard FG, instead of going for it on 4th-and-1.
— Clemson is 4-2; they’ve scored only 14.8 ppg in five I-A games.

7) Oregon 24, California 17:
— Ducks outscored Cal 14-0 over last 12:00 of game.
— Oregon outgained Cal 459-409; Cal was +2 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Cal is 11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

6) Kentucky Wildcats are 8-3-1 ATS last dozen times they were a double digit underdog, like they are tomorrow between the hedges at Georgia.

5) Aaron Rodgers became Green Bay’s starting QB in 2008; since then, Chicago Bears have started 16 different starting quarterbacks. Rodgers has missed 18 starts in 13+ seasons as the #1 guy in Green Bay.

4) Thursday night in Los Angeles, Kings’ Anze Kopitar scored three goals, had two assists in the Kings’ 6-2 win over Las Vegas.

Kopitar’s five points are tied for second in any players’ season opener (since 1966); back in 1990, Kevin Stevens had six points in the Pittsburgh Penguins’ season opener.

3) San Diego State 19, San Jose State 13, OT
— Neither team scored a touchdown in regulation.
— Spartans outgained San Diego State, 340-240.
— San Jose threw an awful INT in the end zone in the 2nd OT.
— This game ended at 2:29am here in the east.

2) Zion Williamson has a foot injury, will miss the start of the New Orleans Pelicans’ season. This is Williamson’s third year in the NBA; he played 89 of a possible 144 games (61.8%) in his first two seasons. Pelicans need him to play more; he’s scored 25.7 ppg when he’s been in there.

1) Miami Dolphins’ QB Tua Tagovailoa will start for Miami Sunday, in their game against the Jaguars in London; Tagovailoa (ribs) hasn’t played since Week 2.

Most teams that play in London have their bye week the next week, but the Dolphins go home and play the Falcons next week, against a Falcons team that has this week off after playing in London last week.
 

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BUFFALO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 26-9 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

UCLA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) vs below avg teams (40-49%) since 1992.

MONTREAL is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 285-260 ATS (-1 Units) in road games after playing a road game since 1996.

COLUMBUS are 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 11-47 ATS (-40.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 34-45 ATS (-28.4 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) since 1996.

ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 12-5 ATS (6.5 Units) after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Saturday, October 16


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Trend Report
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Arizona @ Buffalo
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games

NY Islanders @ Florida
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida
NY Islanders is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games
Florida
Florida is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Florida is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Islanders

Dallas @ Boston
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

Seattle @ Columbus
Seattle
No trends to report
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Detroit
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Rangers @ Montreal
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Toronto
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games

Tampa Bay @ Washington
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Carolina @ Nashville
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Colorado is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

Winnipeg @ San Jose
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games at home

Calgary @ Edmonton
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Minnesota @ Los Angeles
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 16
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



ARI at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF -115
O 5.5
+500 +500


NYI at FLA 06:00 PM
NYI +110
O 5.5
+500 +500


CHI at PIT 07:00 PM
CHI +145
U 6.0
+500 +500


NYR at MON 07:00 PM
MON -110
U 6.0
+500 +500


DAL at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -165
O 5.5
+500 +500


VAN at DET 07:00 PM
O 5.5
+500


SEA at CLB 07:00 PM
O 5.5
+500


OTT at TOR 07:00 PM
OTT +210
+500


TB at WAS 07:00 PM
O 6.5
+500


CAR at NAS 08:00 PM
CAR -115
U 5.5
+500 +500


STL at COL 09:00 PM
STL +145
+500


WIN at SJ 10:00 PM
U 6.5
+500


CAL at EDM 10:00 PM
U 6.5
+500


MIN at LA 10:30 PM
O 5.5
+500
 

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............21-25-2...........45.65%.........- 27.75




BEST BETS:


10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%.............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............14-16-2...........46.66%...........- 10.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in rushing yards:
640— Derrick Henry, Tenn
523— Nick Chubb, Clev
452— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal
387— James Robinson, Jax
386— Joe Mixon, Cin
368— Alvin Kamara, NO

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know if I’m more excited that we found a way to win or that I didn’t get hit with the golf balls that they were throwing at me.”
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin, who did get hit with one golf ball

Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team did Lane Kiffin used to coach?

Saturday’s quiz
In 1976, the ABA folded, and four teams were absorbed into the NBA- Nets, Pacers, Spurs, Nuggets.

Friday’s quiz
Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady in 1995, as a catcher.

********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

13) Oklahoma State 32, Texas 24:
— Leading 17-3 in 2nd quarter, Texas threw an 85-yard pick-6 that turned game around.
— Oklahoma State scored last 19 points of the game.
— Cowboys ran ball for 220 yards, outgained Texas 398-317.
— Longhorns lost last two games, giving up 86 points.

12) Ole Miss 31, Tennessee 26:
— Ole Miss QB Corral threw for 231 yards, ran for 195 more.
— Ole Miss ran 101 plays, Volunteers ran 79. 101 plays is a lot of plays.
— Ole Miss converted 11-21 on third down.

— Rebels’ coach Kiffin coached Tennessee for one year, in 2009; he bolted after one year for USC. He is not well-liked in Knoxville.
— An imbecile in the crowd threw a golf ball at Kiffin from the stands, and hit him.
— Someone actually threw a plastic bottle of mustard on field; who has mustard at a game?

11) LSU 49, Florida 42:
— LSU blew 21-6 lead, scored winning TD with 3:30 left.
— Davis-Price carried ball 36 times for 287 yards, three TD’s.
— Florida played two QB’s, who both threw two INT’s.

10) Purdue 24, Iowa 7:
— 4th time in five years Boilermakers beat Iowa.
— Purdue outgained Hawkeyes 464-271.
— Boilers picked off four passes, were +3 in turnovers.

9) Washington State 34, Stanford 31:
— Stanford led 13-0 in first quarter.
— Coogs blew 27-16 lead in 4th quarter, scored winning TD with 1:30 left.

8) North Carolina 45, Miami 42:
— Tar Heels led 31-17 at the half.
— Miami completed only 20-45 passes.
— Miami, Florida State are both 2-4; what the hell is going on?

7) Upsets of the Week:
— UL-Monroe (+31) 31, Liberty 28
— LSU (+13) 49, Florida 42
— Purdue (+11.5) 24, Iowa 7:
— Central Michigan (+5) 26, Toledo 23 OT
— Auburn (+4.5) 38, Arkansas 23
— Minnesota (+4.5) 30, Nebraska 23
— Oklahoma State (+3.5) 32, Texas 24

6) Auburn 38, Arkansas 23:
— Auburn had TD plays of 39-71-23 yards.
— Tigers also scored a defensive TD.
— Hogs lost third game in row after 4-0 start, giving up 42.3 ppg.
— Arkansas outgained Auburn 460-427; they were 10-19 on 3rd down.

5) Tulsa 32, South Florida 31:
— USF led 24-10 with 1:30 left in third quarter.
— Tulsa scored game-winning TD with 0:42 left.
— Tulsa outgained Bulls, 535-268, overcame minus-2 turnover ratio.

4) Cincinnati 56, Central Florida 21:
— Bearcats are running up scores to try to impress pollsters.
— Ford had 176 yards rushing, four TD’s…..…in first half.

3) Buffalo 27, Ohio U 26:
— Buffalo kicked 26-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Bulls outscored Ohio 17-0 in fourth quarter.
— Ohio QB Rogers ran for 183 yards, including a 99-yard TD run.

2) Oklahoma 52, TCU 31:
— Sooner QB Williams threw for 295 yards, four TD’s in his first start.
— The old starter, Spencer Rattler, should be transferring any day now.

1) Red Sox 9, Astros 5:
— Boston is first team ever with two grand slams in a postseason game.
— Series heads to Boston, 1-1.

Braves 3, Dodgers 2:
— Austin Riley had walk-off single in 9th inning.
— Dodgers used 8 pitchers; none of them got more than five outs.
 

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DALLAS are 7-19 ATS (-11.4 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, October 17







NHL

Sunday, October 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Ottawa
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



DAL at OTT 05:00 PM
DAL -140
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............22-26-2...........45.83%.........- 29.75




BEST BETS:


10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%...........+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%.............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............15-16-2...........48.38%...........- 5.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for NFL Week 7:
— Denver @ Cleveland (-5)
— Cincinnati @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Carolina (-3) @ NJ Giants
— Washington @ Green Bay (-9.5)
— Kansas City (-4) @ Tennessee
— Atlanta @ Miami (even)

Quote of the Day
”It for sure brought us closer,. We needed a win bad this week. Sometimes when you get punched in the gut it’s hard to bounce back, but we were able to do it.”
Raiders’ QB Derek Carr

Monday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills lost 22-16 at Tennessee in a 1999 playoff game, on a 75-yard kick return with 0:03 left. Who was coach of the Bills back then?
Hint: He coached three different NFL teams full-time, three more in an interim role.

Sunday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin went 5-15 in 1+ years coaching the Raiders, in 2007-08.

Saturday’s quiz
In 1976, the ABA folded, and four teams were absorbed into the NBA- Nets, Pacers, Spurs, Nuggets.

*********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Minnesota 34, Carolina 28, OT:
— Minnesota drove 75 yards on nine plays for winning TD in OT.
— Vikings: 84 plays, 571 yards. Carolina: 68 plays, 306 yards.
— Dalvin Cook carried ball 29 times for 140 yards and a TD.
— Minnesota has been outscored 53-6 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Panthers scored 11 points in last 4:41 to force OT.
— Carolina lost last three games after 3-0 start, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Darnold completed only 17-41 passes (4.2 yards/attempt).
— Panthers blocked a punt for a touchdown.

Jacksonville 23, Miami 20:
— Wright made 53-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Rookie QB Lawrence threw for 319 yards, gets first NFL win.
— Jaguars trailed 13-3 late in first half.
— Jax’ville scored two TD’s, kicked two FG’s on last seven drives.

— Miami lost last five games, giving up 32.2 ppg.
— Tagovailoa threw for 329 yards, two TD’s.
— Waddle caught two passes for 70 yards, two TD’s.
— Dolphins have 24 plays of 20+ yards, they’ve given up 39.

Indianapolis 31, Houston 3:
— Texans lost last five games, giving up 30.2 ppg.
— Houston is 0-3 on road, outscored 102-24.
— Last three games, Houston converted 15-46 on third down.
— First-time head coaches are 17-23 ATS this season.

— Taylor ran football for 145 yards, two TD’s.
— Wentz averaged 9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— indy has 11 takeaways in last five games (+7)
— Colts won eight of last ten series games.

Green Bay 24, Chicago 14:
— Green Bay won last four games, scoring 29.3 ppg.
— Only 8 of Packers’ 57 plays came on third down.
— Last 2+ years, Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in NFC North road tilts.
— Last four games, Packers have 26 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 10.

— Chicago drove 80 yards for a TD on their first drive.
— Rest of game: 7 drives, 49 plays, 279 yards, 7 points.
— Bears averaged only 4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers won five in row, 10 of last 11 series games

Kansas City 31, Washington 13:
— Chiefs converted 11-17 third down plays.
— KC started four drives in Washington territory.
— Mahomes threw for 397 yards, two TD’s.
— Chiefs have scored 23 TD’s on 54 drives this season.

— Washington allowed 33.2 ppg in last five games.
— KC outgained Washington, 571-306.
— Washington opponents have converted 52-89 on 3rd down (58.4%).
— Washington scored 30-34 points in wins, 22 or less in losses.

Baltimore 34, LA Chargers 6:
— LA’s first three drives: 15 plays, 39 yards, three punts.
— Chargers missed PAT after their only TD.
— Bolts ran ball only 12 times, for 26 yards.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 200.3 rushing yards/game.

— First two drives: 20 plays, 164 yards, two TD’s.
— Ravens converted 6-11 3rd down plays, Chargers 3-12.
— Neither team averaged 5.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Baltimore won last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.

Cincinnati 34, Detroit 11:
— Bengals in 2nd half: 32 plays, 272 yards, 3 TD’s and a FG.
— Cincy outgained Detroit, 398-228.
— Cincy outscored last four opponents 66-30 in 2nd half.
— Bengals have had a TD play of 31+ yards in all six games.

— Lions’ first 8 drives: 36 plays, 71 yards, 5 first downs, zero points.
— Lions ran ball 18 times for only 36 yards.
— Detroit gave up at least 7.3 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Last four games, Lions were outscored 47-6 in first half.

LA Rams 38, NY Giants 11:
— Rams gained 193 yards, just in second quarter.
— Cooper Kupp caught 9 balls for 130 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Rams had TD drives of 12-14 yards.
— Under McVay, LA is 15-11 ATS as a road favorite.

— Rams had 17-yard edge in average field position.
— Big Blue is 0-3 at home, losing by 14-3-27 points.
— Giants have been outscored 58-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 4-16 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.

Arizona 37, Cleveland 14:
— Cardinals in first half: 5 drives, 40 plays, 203 yards, 2 TD, 3 FG’s.
— Arizona won its first six games, scoring 32.0 ppg.
— Cardinals have 22 TD’s on 61 drives this season.
— Cardinals are 4-0 on road, scoring 35.8 ppg.

— Arizona had a 13-yard edge in field position.
— Browns ran ball for only 73 yards, were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 4-8-1 ATS last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Las Vegas 34, Denver 24:
— Carr threw for 341 yards, averaged 11.7 yards/attempt.
— Raiders gained 426 yards for game, 8.2 yards/play.
— Las Vegas had 13-yard edge in field position.
— Raiders are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs.

— Denver lost last three games, scoring 16.7 ppg.
— Raiders won five of last six series games.
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 16-62 third down plays.
— Two of Broncos’ three wins were against a rookie QB.

Dallas 35, New England 29, OT
— Dallas is 6-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
— Cowboys ran 82 plays for 567 yards; Patriots 50 for 335 yards.
— Last five Dallas drives: 41 plays, 312 yards, 2 TDs, 2 FGs, a missed FG.
— Over is 5-1 in Cowboys’ games this season.

— NE held Cowboys to 17 points on five red zone drives.
— Patriots’ two wins are both over rookie QB’s.
— Speaking of which, rookie QB’s are 8-18 ATS this season.
— Belichick’s career record without Brady: 64-76 SU

Pittsburgh 23, Seattle 20, OT
— Seahawks in first half: 20 plays, 56 yards, 5 punts, no points.
— Seahawks’ first two drives in 2nd half: 16 plays, 135 yards, two TD’s.
— Seattle has 29 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 22.
— Last three games, opponents converted 9-38 on third down.

— TJ Watt forced fumble in OT that set up game-winning FG.
— Pittsburgh led this game 14-0 at halftime.
— Last five weeks, Steelers were outscored 70-36 in second half.
— Steelers scored 17-10-17 points in losses, 23-27-23 in wins.

Braves 5, Dodgers 4:
— Rosario’s 4th hit of game walked it off in 9th inning.
— Dodgers had only 4 hits against 8 different pitchers.
— Braves lead series, 2-0.
 

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NY RANGERS are 25-15 ATS (15.6 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 88-104 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

ANAHEIM is 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 14-17 ATS (-15.4 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.




NHL

Monday, October 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ Philadelphia
Seattle
No trends to report
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

NY Rangers @ Toronto
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Anaheim @ Calgary
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim

St. Louis @ Arizona
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Arizona
Arizona is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, OCTOBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



NYR at TOR 07:00 PM
NYR +167
O 6.0

+500 +500


SEA at PHI 07:00 PM
SEA +110
O 5.5

+500 +500


ANA at CAL 09:30 PM
CAL -210
U 5.5
+500 +500


STL at ARI 10:00 PM
STL -170
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: DOGS AND TOTALS ONLY!


Date W-L-T % Units Record


10/18/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%............-3.15
10/17/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
10/16/2021........7-13-0..........35.00%..........-32.75
10/15/2021..........4-2-0..........66.66%........+10.75
10/14/2021..........5-7-0...........41.66%.........-13.50
10/13/2021..........5-3-2...........62.50%..........+7.75


TOTALS.............26-30-2...........46.42%.........- 32.90




BEST BETS:


10/18/2021..........3-3-0............50.00%..........+2.88
10/17/2021..........1-0-0..........100.00%...........+5.00
10/162021...........4-5-0...........44.44%.............-4.25
10/15/2021..........3-2-0...........60.00%............+5.75
10/14/2021..........5-8-0...........38.46%............-17.00
10/13/2021..........2-1-2...........66.66%............+ 5.00


TOTAL...............18-19-2...........48.64%...........- 2.62
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for college football week 7:
— Boston College @ Louisville (-6)
— Clemson @ Pittsburgh (-3.5)
— Maryland @ Minnesota (-5)
— NC State (-3) @ Miami
— Utah (-3) @ Oregon State
— Oregon @ UCLA (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“This is the guy I knew in Philadelphia. He can be a big-play machine. What I’ve been more impressed with, I know he can make those plays, but I like the way he’s taking care of the football. I like the way he’s handling the game, getting us in and out of the right run checks, just being in control out there and trusting his guys to make the big plays and making good decisions and being accurate with the ball, especially down the field, which he’s been off the charts.”
Colts’ coach Frank Reich, talking about QB Carson Wentz

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Raiders, before Jon Gruden?

Monday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills lost 22-16 at Tennessee in a 1999 playoff game, on a 75-yard kick return with 0:03 left. Wade Phillips was coach of the Bills back then.

Sunday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin went 5-15 in 1+ years coaching the Raiders, in 2007-08.

**********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Titans 34, Bills 31:
— Allen got stopped on 4th down on 3-yard line in last minute.
— Bills were 7-13 on third down, Titans 4-10.
— Allen threw for 353 yards; three WR’s had 88+ receiving yards.

— Titans’ first 3 drives: 12 plays, 29 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Titans’ next 6 drives: 39 plays, 322 yards, 34 points.
— Henry ran ball for 143 yards, had 76-yard TD run.

12) Red Sox 12, Astros 3:
— Boston scored 6 runs in 2nd inning, 3 more in 3rd.
— Schwarber hit a grand slam.
— Red Sox lead series, 2-1.
— Boston led this game 9-0 in 3rd inning, they led Game 2 8-0 in 2nd inning. Not good for TV ratings.

11) Lets compare Hall of Fame qualifications of two former NFL coaches:
— coach A: 161-111 regular season, 13-11 in playoffs, 1-2 in Super Bowls
— coach B: 149-90-1 regular season, 21-12 in playoffs, 1-1 in Super Bowls

Coach A led two teams to a Super Bowl. Coach B coached one team.
Coach B is in the Hall of Fame, Coach A isn’t, but should be.

Any idea who they are? Answer is further down in this space.

10) FOX announcer Joe Buck is a busy man these days; he could conceivably call nine games in ten days, between NFL and baseball playoff games. Not sure why they don’t slide someone else into his football duties. Nine games in ten days seems like a bit much.

9) NFL trends:
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 8-18 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 17-23 ATS this season.

8) When college football teams have alums who become NFL stars, they promote it. Louisville is going to retire Lamar Jackson’s number 8; the only Louisville player who has had his number retired is Johnny Unitas.

7) Texas-El Paso’s football is 6-1 and bowl eligible, after going a combined 5-39 the previous five seasons. Quite a turnaround for the Miners. Hopefully they don’t put them in the Sun Bowl on their home field; put them in a bowl somewhere fun, let the kids travel.

6) Ed Orgeron is out as LSU’s football coach, less than two years after he won the national title with the Bayou Bengals. Oregon is expected to get a $17M buyout, pretty good bank for walking out the door. There were non-football issues involved, but bottom line is, 9-8 the last two years doesn’t butter the biscuit.

5) Why did the Cardinals trade for Zach Ertz? Last time Arizona had a tight end who had 100+ receiving yards in a game was way back in 1989, when Robert Awalt had 105 yards in a 24-20 win over Dallas.

Since 2013, every other NFL team has had a 100+-yard receiving game from a tight end.

4) Louisiana-Monroe (+33) upset Liberty 31-28 Saturday; it was the biggest upset in a I-A game since 2012. Warhawks are 3-3 under 1st-year coach Terry Bowden, after going 0-10 last year- their losses this season are by 35-54-34 points, but 3-3 is still way better than 0-10.

3) Houston Texans lost last five games, giving up 30.2 ppg; they’re 0-3 on road, outscored 102-24. They need to trade Deshaun Watson before the November 2 trade deadline- they’ll get lot of draft choices back for him, which is what the need, good ballplayers.

2) Red Sox OF Kike Hernandez is 18-36 in playoffs this month with five homers, quite a run he is on. Earlier this summer, when Corey Seager was hurt, I added Hernandez to my fantasy team to take Seager’s place at shortstop. He was active on my team one week, went 4-22. Not good.

Could have used that 18-36 back then, ya know?

Coach A up above is Mike Holmgren; Coach B is Bill Cowher.

1) NBA season starts Tuesday night with two games; basketball season is underway, with college hoop right behind it next month. Much better weeknight entertainment.
 

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DALLAS are 10-25 ATS (-17.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the la...

COLORADO is 19-2 ATS (16.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT
is 132-167 ATS (-51.7 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

NASHVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 0-7 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last two seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, October 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vancouver @ Buffalo
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Vancouver

San Jose @ Montreal
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Montreal's last 17 games when playing San Jose

Seattle @ New Jersey
Seattle
No trends to report
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Pittsburgh
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Florida

Colorado @ Washington
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado

Columbus @ Detroit
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Columbus's last 16 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Islanders @ Chicago
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 14 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Winnipeg @ Minnesota

Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Los Angeles @ Nashville
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Anaheim @ Edmonton
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



DAL at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -130
U 5.5
+500 +500


SJ at MON 07:00 PM
MON -155
O 6.0
+500 +500


COL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +100
O 6.0

+500 +500


VAN at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +145
O 6.0

+500 +500


FLA at TB 07:00 PM
FLA -105
U 6.0
+500 +500


SEA at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -155
U 6.0
+500 +500


CLB at DET 07:30 PM
DET -130
O 5.5
+500 +500


LA at NAS 08:00 PM
LA +120
U 5.5

+500 +500


NYI at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI +100
U 5.5

+500 +500


WIN at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -150
O 5.5
+500 +500


ANA at EDM 09:00 PM
EDM -280
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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