Cnotes 2019 nfl season's best bets- opinions-news-trends thru the superbowl !

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 2
September 10, 2019
By Bruce Marshall


THURSDAY, SEPT. 12


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Bucs 3-6-4 as road dog past two years; Arians just 2-7 in that role his last two years with Cards (2016-17). Bucs “under” 12-5 run and 5 of last 6 “under” in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.ds.


SUNDAY, SEPT. 15


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Colts thumped Titans in both LY. Colts have won SU 6 of last 7 in Nashville. Tech edge-slight to Colts, based on series trends.home.
Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on series trends.home.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
LA CHARGERS at DETROIT (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Outside of LA ( not counting loss at Rams LY) and as visitor (also not counting London game LY), Bolts were 7-0 SU and vs. line in reg season LY! They’re 11-2-2 vs. line as visitor outside of LA in reg season since moving in 2017. Lions 4-11 as home dog since 2015 (2-3 for Patricia LY).
Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BUFFALO at NY GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Eli 1-6-1 vs. line at home last season. If G-Men chalk note 0-3-1 spread mark in role at MetLife since 2017. Bills “under” 8-2 last ten away.
Tech Edge: "Under” and Bills, based on “totals” and team trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens now 5-1-1 vs. line last 7 reg season games. Harbaugh has won and covered last 3 home openers. Cards 6-10-1 as road dog past three seasons.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends..


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pats have had trouble in Miami, losing outright and failing to cover of last 6 at Hard Rock. Belichick was 11-4 as visiting chalk reg season 2016-17 before sagging to 3-5 in role LY. Belichick “under” 15-6 last 21 in reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Dolphins, based on “totals” and series trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DALLAS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dak is 5-1 vs. line against Skins. Dallas 0-1 as road chalk LY but was 4-1-1 previous season. Dallas “under” 10-2 last 12 away reg season. Note Jay Gruden covered 5 of first 6 as dog LY before the QB injuries began to mount.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Cowboys, based on “totals” and series trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans won and covered both meetings LY, also “under” both of those. Houston now on 8-2-1 spread run reg season, Jags only 1-4-1 as away dog LY.
Tech Edge: Texans, based on team trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SEATTLE at PITTSBURGH (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pete Carroll 4-1-1 as dog LY, Russell Wilson 18-7-3 vs. line as dog with Seahawks, who were also “over” 8 of last 9 LY. Tomlin only 6-9 as Heinz Field chalk past two seasons. Steel “over” 10-3 last 13 at home.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy 1-5 vs. line last six at home LY, "under" 7-4-2 last 13.
Tech Edge: 49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Zimmer 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 vs. line against Pack past two seasons. Vikes “under” 14-5-1 since late 2017 and “under” 3 of last 4 vs. GB.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Vikings, based on “totals” and team trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Chiefs had long dominated vs. line in Oakland though didn’t cover last two years. Prior, KC 11-3 vs. line preceding 14 at Oakland. Chiefs 11-0 vs. line first two weeks of season since 2017. Into last Monday, Raiders “under” 20-11-1 since 2017.trends.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at LA RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Brees 3-0 as dog LY, Saints 20-8-1 as dog since 2014. Rams 4-8 vs. line last 12 reg season LY.
Tech Edge: Saints, based on team trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CHICAGO at DENVER (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Denver “under” last 10, Bears "under" 8 in a row since mid-to-late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Eagles only 6-12 vs. line last 18 reg season games. Falcs however just 12-21 as home chalk since 2014 (if chalk here).
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles, if dog, based n extended trends.


MONDAY, SEPT. 16


NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CLEVELAND at NY JETS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Browns are 6-3 vs. line last nine away, Jets on 2-8-1 spread skid since late LY. Also no covers last six at home LY for Jets.
Tech Edge: Browns, based on team trends.

 

[CNOTES]

101TAMPA BAY -102 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 100-69 ATS (24.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.


261INDIANAPOLIS -262 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.


263LA CHARGERS -264 DETROIT
LA CHARGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.


265BUFFALO -266 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the 1rst half of the season in the last 3 seasons.


267ARIZONA -268 BALTIMORE
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.


269NEW ENGLAND -270 MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.


271DALLAS -272 WASHINGTON
DALLAS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.


273JACKSONVILLE -274 HOUSTON
JACKSONVILLE is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.


275SEATTLE -276 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.


277SAN FRANCISCO -278 CINCINNATI
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after a win by 14 or more pts. since 1992.


279MINNESOTA -280 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.


281KANSAS CITY -282 OAKLAND
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.


283NEW ORLEANS -284 LA RAMS
LA RAMS are 83-121 ATS (-50.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road since 1992.


285CHICAGO -286 DENVER
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) against the AFC West since 1992.


287PHILADELPHIA -288 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the last 2 seasons.


289CLEVELAND -290 NY JETS
NY JETS are 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games after a home loss since 1992.

 

[CNOTES]

This report may update as gamedays get closer....




NFL
Long Sheet


Week 2


Thursday, September 12


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TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/12/2019, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sunday, September 15


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INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at TENNESSEE (9 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) at DETROIT (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in dome games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY GIANTS (5 - 11) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 13) at BALTIMORE (10 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 203-146 ATS (+42.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 194-146 ATS (+33.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 75-102 ATS (-37.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (11 - 7) at WASHINGTON (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) at HOUSTON (11 - 6) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (10 - 7) vs. PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at CINCINNATI (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) at GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 193-139 ATS (+40.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) at LA RAMS (15 - 4) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 140-189 ATS (-67.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-103 ATS (-44.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (12 - 5) at DENVER (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) at ATLANTA (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 16


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CLEVELAND (7 - 8 - 1) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/16/2019, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NFL


Week 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, September 12


Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games at home
Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Carolina's last 19 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing on the road against Carolina




Sunday, September 15


Green Bay Packers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 2-2-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 6-11-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 2-6-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay




Houston Texans
Houston is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Jacksonville is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston


Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
Indianapolis is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee


Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati


Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
LA Chargers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit


Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Miami's last 22 games at home
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New England's last 13 games
New England is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
New England is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami


New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Giants
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing NY Giants


Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh


Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington


Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Kansas City is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland


Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Rams's last 24 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 17 of New Orleans's last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Rams


Denver Broncos
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver


Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta




Monday, September 16


New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
NY Jets is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games at home
NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
NY Jets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Cleveland's last 23 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing NY Jets

 

[CNOTES]

NFL Week 2


Buccaneers (0-1) @ Panthers (0-1)— Both teams lost in Week 1, lot of urgency here. Last winter, Tampa Bay dumped DT Gerald McCoy after eight years; this is their first meeting since. Carolina won nine of last 12 series games; Bucs lost five of last six visits to Charlotte, losing last two, 22-19/42-28. Bucs gave up two defensive TD’s in 31-17 home loss to SF last week; they turned ball over four times, scored only 10 points on four trips to red zone. Last two years, Tampa Bay is 3-6-4 as a road underdog; Arians was 11-11 as a road dog in Arizona. Panthers were -2 in turnovers in 30-27 loss LW; last three years, Carolina is 8-10 ATS when laying points at home. Bucs won three of last four road openers (over 4-1 last five).


Colts (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)— Tennessee crushed the Browns 43-13 LW, with a +3 turnover ratio, and an 11-yard edge in field position- their defense also scored nine points. Last three years, Titans are 8-5-2 as home favorites- they covered seven of last eight tries as a HF in AFC Seuth games. Indy won 18 of last 21 series games, winning 38-10/33-17 in LY’s meetings; Colts won six of last seven visits to Nashville. Tennessee lost four of last five home openers (under 5-2 last seven). Colts lost to the Chargers in OT last week despite being +2 in TO’s; Indy ran ball for 203 yards but gave up 8.2 yards/pass attempt and allowed TD plays of 28-55 yards. Under Reich, Colts are 4-2 as road underdogs.


Chargers (1-0) @ Lions (0-0-1)— Last week, Detroit blew a 24-6 lead with 11:30 left- they tied Arizona 27-27; Lions gave up 230 passing yards to rookie QB Murray, just in 4th quarter/OT. Last four years, Detroit is 4-11 as a home underdog- last five years, they’re 8-14 as a dog of 3 or fewer points. Chargers are banged up but won at home in OT LW, despite giving up 203 YR; LA is 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games on fake grass- under Lynn, they’re 4-2-1 as a road favorite. Bolts won seven of last eight series games, taking two of last three visits here. LA lost four of last five road openers but covered six of last seven; over is 8-4 in their last 12 RO’s. Detroit lost three of last four home openers; over is 7-2 in their last nine HO’s.


Bills (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— Buffalo is in Meadowlands for 2nd week in row; they nipped Jets 17-16 here LW, rallying back from down 16-0 with 4:00 left in 3rd quarter. Bills outgained Jets 370-223 LW, but NYJ defense scored first 8 points of the game. Last five years, Buffalo is 2-5-1 as a road favorite- they’re 20-17-2 ATS in last 39 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Giants lost 35-17 in Dallas LW, giving up 405 PY; Cowboys averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt. Big Blue is 4-8 ATS in last dozen tries as a home dog- they’re 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC foes, are 3-9-1 in last 13 games where spread was 3 or less. Giants lost six of last seven home openers (under 6-1). Giants won last three series games, by 17-3-14 points.


Cardinals (0-0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Over last decade, teams that won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2, 0-5 when favored. Ravens ran ball for 265 yards LW, outgained Miami 643-200. Last four years, Baltimore is 10-15-1 as a home favorite. First road start for rookie QB Murray, who rallied Redbirds back from down 24-6 with 12:00 left in Week 1; he was 20-29/239 passing just in 4th quarter/OT vs Lions, after being 9-25/70 in dismal first three quarters. Arizona is 6-10-1 in last 17 games as a road dog. Ravens are 4-2 in last six series games, winning 26-23/30-27 in last two played here. Redbirds lost last three road openers, by 15-12-34 points; over is 4-2 in their last six RO’s. Ravens won last three home openers, allowing total of 20 points; under is 4-2 in their last six HO’s.


Patriots (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)— Miami coach Flores was a Patriot scout/assistant the last 15 years; since 2010, Belichick is 28-6 SU the first time he faces a head coach. New England lost five of last six visits here, losing 27-20/34-33 the last two years; Patriots crushed Steelers 33-3 LW, holding Pitt to 32 RY; Miami got crushed 59-10 by the Ravens, giving up 643 TY, 265 on ground. Patriots are 6-2 SU in last eight road openers (5-3 vs spread)- four of their last five RO’s went over. Last 10 years, NFL teams who lost by 28+ points in Week 1 are 7-3-1 ATS in Week 2; teams who won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2. Spread opened at 14.5, quickly jumped to 17.5. There is unrest in Miami locker room over direction their front office is taking. This game opened at NE -14.5, is up to 18.5/19 as I type this.


Cowboys (1-0) @ Redskins (0-1)— Dallas won seven of last nine series games, winning five of last six visits here; they scored 31+ points in last four series wins. Cowboys passed for 405 yards in their 35-17 win LW, averaging 12.7 yards/attempt; over last five years, they’re 12-5-1 as road favorites. Dallas is 14-7 ATS in their last 21 NFC East road tilts. Washington lost 32-27 in Philly LW after leading 20-7 at half; Redskins threw ball for 370 yards but ran it only 13 times for 28 yards- over last four years, Skins are 9-7 ATS as a home underdog. Cowboys lost last two road openers 42-17/16-8 (under 5-2 in last seven)- they’re 9-3 vs spread in last 12 RO’s. Washington lost last four and six of last seven home openers (under 3-1 last four).


Jaguars (0-1) @ Texans (0-1)— First NFL start for rookie QB Minshew, who was 22-25/275 passing in relief in his NFL debut LW. Jaguars are 14-17-1 ATS in last 32 games as a road dog- their new backup QB is former Tennessee Vols’ QB Dobbs. Short week for Texans after last-second loss in Superdome Monday nite; Houston gave up 502 yards, 354 thru air. Under O’Brien, Texans are 18-11-1 ass home favorites. Houston won eight of last 10 series games, beating Jags 20-7/20-3 LY; last four series games were all decided by 13+ points. Jaguars lost four of last five visits here. Jax won last two road openers after losing eight of previous nine- under is 10-5 in their last 15 RO’s. Texans lost three of last four home openers, despite being favored in all four.


Seahawks (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)— Pitt was outgained 465-308 in ugly 33-3 loss LW, but over last nine years, Steelers are 30-18-1 ATS coming off a loss- since 2013, they’re 21-17 as home favorites. Pitt is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games as a HF outside AFC North. Seahawks won 21-20 LW despite being outgained 429-233; over last five years, Seattle is 10-6-1 ATS as a RU. Seahawks allowed TD plays of 33-55 yards to Cincy LW. Seattle lost 12 of last 14 road openers (under 13-2-1); they’re 0-6-1 ATS in last seven RO’s as an underdog. Steelers won 14 of last 16 home openers (11-5 ATS)- under is 7-3 in their last 10. Pitt won three of last four meetings, blanking Seattle 21-0/24-0 in last two played here.


49ers (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)— 49ers picked off three passes LW, after picking off only two all of LY; they ran two of them back for TD’s in 31-17 win in Tampa, where yardage was 295-256, TB. SF is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Under Shanahan, 49ers are 9-8 ATS on road. Cincy threw for 395 yards in tough 21-20 loss in Seattle LW; they scored only six points in three trips to red zone. Bengals threw 51 passes, ran ball only 14 times. Niners are 11-4 vs Bengals, 2-0 in Super Bowls- they’re 4-2 in Cincy. Bengals won five of last seven home openers; under is 8-3 in their last 11 HO’s. Average total in last three series meetings, 30.7. This is second straight week east of Mississippi for 49ers.


Vikings (1-0) @ Packers (1-0)— Home side is 12-1-1 in last 14 series games, wth Vikings 5-1-1 in last seven; they’re 2-6-1 SU in last nine visits to Lambeau. Minnesota threw ball only 10 times in LW’s 28-12 home win over Atlanta- they ran ball for 172 yards, were +3 in TO’s and blocked a punt. Last three years, Vikings are 4-7 as road underdogs. Packers gained only 213 yards (47 on ground) in their 10-3 win in Chicago LW; over last five years, Green Bay is 20-12-2 as a HF. Last eight years, Pack is 13-7 ATS as a HF in NFC North games. Minnesota is 4-10-1 SU in last 15 road openers (5-8-2 vs spread); under is 6-3 in their last nine. Green Bay won its last six home openers (4-2 vs spread), with three of last four HO’s going under.


Chiefs (1-0) @ Raiders (1-0)— KC won eight of last nine series games, winning 40-33/35-3 in LY’s games; Chiefs won three of last four visits here, winning by 14-16-7 points. Chiefs threw for 378 yards in their 40-26 win at Jacksonville LW; they allowed 347 PY to rookie backup QB Minshew, who was making his NFL debut. KC is 16-9 ATS in its last 25 games as a RF. last two years, Chiefs are 14-6 ATS coming off a win. Short week for Oakland after their Monday night win; last two years, Raiders are 1-9 ATS coming off a win. Carr was 22-26/259 passing Monday; they converted 10-14 on 3rd down. Since 2012, Oakland is 13-19-1 as a home underdog. This is the Raiders’ last home game until Week 9 (November 3). You’re reading armadillosports.com


Saints (1-0) @ Rams (1-0)— Rams won NFC title game in OT in Superdome LY, after losing in NO during season; teams split last eight series games. Saints lost last three road series games, by 10-11-6 points. Short week for Saints after their last-second win Monday; they outgained Texans 510-414, giving up 180 YR, but Brees threw for 362 yards. NO is 14-7-1 in last 22 games as a RU. Rams converted 9-17 on 3rd down in their 30-27 win in Charlotte LW; 89 of Gurley’s 97 RY came in 2nd half. Under McVay, LA is 6-8 as a home favorite, 4-7 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Saints lost six of last eight road openers; over is 8-3 in their last 11. Rams won both home openers in McVay era, 46-9/34-0.


Bears (0-1) @ Broncos (0-1)— Denver coach Fangio was Chicago’s DC the last four years, which has to be an edge. Bears had four extra days to recover/prep for this; they played on Thursday LW, Denver played Monday, edge for Bears, one of two teams that didn’t score a TD LW- they outgained Packers 254-213 LW, but were 3-15 on 3rd down. Denver scored only 16 points (one TD, three FGs) on four trips to red zone. Chicago lost its last four road openers (1-3 ATS); under is 15-3 in their last 18 RO’s. Broncos are 27-3 SU in last 30 home openers, 6-7 ATS in last 13. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 HO’s. Denver won four of last six series games; two of last three meetings went to OT. Average total in last seven meetings is 32.7.


Eagles (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)— Philly won last three series games, winning 15-10/18-12 last two years; this is their first visit here since ’15. Eagles converted 11-17 on 3rd down in 32-27 win LW; they trailed 20-6 at the half. Philly’s TD plays of 51-53 yards both came on 3rd-and-10 passes. Last three years, Eagles are 5-9 ATS on artificial turf. Over last six years, Atlanta is 8-2 as a home underdog; they’re 9-7 SU at home the last two years. Falcons are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Atlanta was 2-8 on 3rd down, turned ball over three times (-3) in 28-12 loss at Minnesota. Eagles won eight of last ten road openers; over is 6-3-2 in their last 11. Atlanta won 13 of its last 15 home openers; four of last five went over.


Browns (0-1) @ Jets (0-1)— Browns lost 43-13 at home LW, Cleveland is 11-56 SU in its last 67 road games- they’re favored for only 6th time in last 50 games (1-4 ATS in first five). Last six years, Browns are 0-3 as a road favorite. Jets blew 16-0 lead, lost 17-16 at home to Bills LW even though their defense scored first 8 points of game. Gang Green is 17-8-2 ATS in its last 27 games as a home underdog. Jets lost 21-17 on Lake Erie LY, their first loss in last six series tilts; Browns lost last three visits here, by 6-11-21 points. Last three series games were all decided by 4 or fewer points. Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Cleveland lost last seven road openers (2-4-1 vs spread), with last three staying under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

AP Source: Texans release CB Aaron Colvin
September 10, 2019
By The Associated Press

HOUSTON (AP) The Houston Texans released cornerback Aaron Colvin after his struggles in the team's season-opening loss to New Orleans, a person familiar with the move tells The Associated Press.


The person spoke on the condition of anonymity on Tuesday because the move had not yet been announced.


Colvin was in the second year of a four-year, $34 million contract that had $18 million guaranteed.


Colvin gave up two touchdowns in the second half of Monday night's 30-28 loss. The first came on a 9-yard score by Taysom Hill in the third quarter. He then got beat on a 14-yard TD reception by Tre'Quan Smith later in the period. Colvin was also on the coverage when Ted Ginn grabbed a 9-yard reception that set up the game-winning field goal.


The 27-year-old Colvin spent his first four years in Jacksonville before joining the Texans before last season. He appeared in 10 games with two starts for Houston last season and finished with 29 tackles and two fumble recoveries.

 

[CNOTES]

Jets acquire WR Thomas from Pats
September 10, 2019
By The Associated Press


NEW YORK (AP) The New York Jets are getting some roster help from the most unlikely of sources: Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots.


Adam Gase's squad acquired wide receiver Demaryius Thomas from the Patriots for a 2021 sixth-round draft pick on Tuesday, according to a person with direct knowledge of the deal.


The person spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because the teams had not yet announced the trade.


ESPN first reported the deal - the first trade between the AFC East rivals since Bill Belichick took over as the Patriots' coach in 2000. The last trade between the teams was actually when Belichick left the Jets for the Patriots, and New York got a first-round pick.


Thomas became expendable for the Patriots when they signed Antonio Brown over the weekend.


The 31-year-old Thomas gives the Jets' receiving group an immediate boost, joining Robby Anderson, Quincy Enunwa and Jamison Crowder. The move also comes a day after Gase made it clear he wasn't pleased with the receivers' overall performance in a 17-16 season-opening loss to Buffalo.


Crowder had 14 catches for 99 yards as Sam Darnold used him often for short-yardage plays, but Anderson (three catches for 23 yards) and Enunwa (one for minus-4) combined for just four receptions.


Thomas and Gase were together in Denver from 2010-14, when Gase was the wide receivers coach and later the Broncos' offensive coordinator. Thomas was also part of the Broncos' Super Bowl-winning team with Peyton Manning in February 2016.


Thomas has 688 receptions for 9,330 yards and 62 touchdowns. He played for the Broncos from 2010 until being traded to Houston last October for a seventh-round draft pick. He tore his Achilles late last season, was released by the Texans in February and signed with the Patriots in April.


Thomas also faced some legal issues in the offseason when he pleaded guilty in March to careless driving in a February crash in downtown Denver. As part of the plea deal, Thomas' attorneys said prosecutors dismissed a felony vehicular assault charge. Thomas was fined $300, ordered to complete 50 hours of community service and was placed on supervised probation for one year.


The receiver spent most of the summer on New England's physically unable to perform list while continuing to recover from his Achilles injury. Thomas was activated on Aug. 20 and had seven catches for 87 yards and two touchdowns in the preseason finale against the Giants.


But, he was inactive for the Patriots' first regular-season game of the season Sunday night against Pittsburgh with a hamstring issue. His role with New England was also uncertain because of Brown's arrival.


The move capped a busy day for the Jets, who also signed kicker Sam Ficken and waived Kaare Vedvik. The NFL also announced that second-year defensive lineman Nathan Shepherd was suspended six games for violating the league's policy on performance-enhancers.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack


Six more interesting pointspreads for this week’s college football:


— North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-3)


— Kansas State @ Mississippi State (-7.5)


— Maryland (-7) @ Temple


— Pittsburgh @ Penn State (-17)


— Eastern Michigan @ Illinois (-8)


— Akron @ Central Michigan (-3)


Quote of the Day
“That’s my priority. My agents just have to do their job.”
OF Marcell Ozuna, talking about re-signing with the Cardinals


Wednesday’s quiz
Which two prominent actors were the little kid’s chess mentors in the excellent movie Searching for Bobby Fischer?


Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland Raiders are only NFL team that shares their stadium with a major league baseball team; when the Raiders move to Las Vegas next year, there will be none.


Monday’s quiz
Matt Prater holds record for the longest field goal in NFL history, a 64-yarder in 2013.


************************


Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) ESPN football analyst Brian Griese is very good; Monday night he produced an old set of notes he had as a player, when his coach was Jon Gruden, back when he played for the Buccaneers in 2004-05, 08. Gruden would hand-write the notes and distribute them to players.


Griese said “…..I never felt more prepared as a player than when I played for Gruden” which is obviously high praise from a guy who spent 11 years playing QB in the NFL, and whose dad was also a really good QB in the NFL.


12) Virginia is -7 over Florida State in Charlottesville Saturday; since 1997, Seminoles are 11-2 SU vs Virginia, 8-5 vs spread— FSU was favored in all 13 games, eight times by 12+ points. 10 of their 11 wins over the Cavaliers were by 14+ points. Teams haven’t met since 2014.


11) Actor Matthew McConaughey is apparently the Texas Longhorns’ new Minister of Culture, which means that he is a prominent celebrity booster who helps pump people up when it comes to all things Texas Longhorn. People are impressed by celebrities.


From The Athletic: “McConaughey once thought he would be a college or pro athlete — he jokes he only gave up the dream about eight years ago — and he believes if he hadn’t found the acting thing, he might have become a coach. Now he has the chance to speak with, influence and encourage college kids.”


Four years ago McConaughey started teaching a course at Texas, Script to Screen, in which film students receive a script from a film he’s working on and follow through all of its edits and iterations until production. The Moody College of Communications named him a professor of practice last week.


10) Carolina RB Christian McCaffrey had 29 touches for 209 yards in the Panthers’ 30-27 loss to the Rams LW; great production if you have him in your fantasy league, but Carolina better find some other weapons, because 29 touches a week isn’t sustainable, especially in a week like this one, when the Panthers are playing on three days’ rest.


9) Sunday afternoon in Queens, the Phillies had Andrew Knapp at bat with two men on and the pitcher (reliever Mike Morin) due up next; the Mets walked Knapp intentionally to get to the pitcher’s spot, because they wanted Morin out of the game, either that or they didn’t think the Phillies would hit for him. This strategy had one glaring problem.


Bryce Harper wasn’t in the game yet, so they walked Knapp to pitch to pinch-hitter Harper, and strategy does not get much dumber than that; it is baseball malpractice. Harper walked to force in a run. Philly won the game 10-7.


8) Mets’ P Noah Syndergaard doesn’t want to throw to catcher Wilson Ramos; he pleaded his case to pitching strategist Jeremy Accardo, manager Mickey Callaway, and general manager Brodie Van Wagenen, then got annoyed when word of the private conversation became public.


7) Mets’ bullpen has a 7.62 ERA in 80.1 IP in Jacob deGrom’s starts this season.


In totally unrelated news, Milwaukee star OF Christian Yelich fouled a ball off his knee Tuesday night and fractured his kneecap; he is done for this season.


6) Cleveland Browns had 19 snaps on 1st-and-10 Sunday; on 15 of those 19 plays, they were penalized and wound up with 1st or 2nd down and more than 10 yards to go. Not good.


5) Kentucky QB Terry Wilson is out for the season after hurting his left knee last week.


4) Jets signed K Sam Ficken and cut K Kaare Vedvik, who has been traded twice, cut once in the last six weeks. Vedvik missed a PAT and a field goal in Sunday’s 17-16 loss to Buffalo.


Jets also acquired WR DeMaryius Thomas from New England for a 6th round draft pick.


3) Houston Texans released veteran CB Aaron Colvin, just over a year into a 4-year, $34M contract; he gets $7.5M this year- that was guaranteed.


2) If you live in the Albany area and like pro wrestling, you will be interested to know that Ric Flair is doing an appearance at Colonie Center Sunday, at a hobby shop that is upstairs by the food court. They’re expecting a big crowd; get there early.


1) Patriots at Dolphins opened at New England -14.5, but as I type this, it is up to -18.5 or -19. Takes lot of onions to back a Dolphin squad that lost 59-10 last week, while New England was killing the Steelers, but Patriots have lost SU in five of their last six visits to south Florida.


CG Technology got a $55,000 bet Tuesday on the Patriots (-18) to cover; if that person read this site, he/she would know that over the last decade, Week 2 teams who won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 vs spread in their Week 2 game. We’ll see what happens.

 

[Udog]

By: Josh Inglis


LACKLUSTER AT LAMBEAU

The Minnesota Vikings showed off their running game versus the Atlanta Falcons last week. The Vikes ran it early and often as they jumped out to a comfortable 21-point lead after 30 minutes and passed just 10 times while controlling the ball for roughly 50 percent of the game.

It seems Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer has a game plan with the lead: slow it down. In total, the Vikings had just 48 offensive plays and ran the ball successfully — 4.5 yards per carry — 38 times.

They will struggle to find that same success versus the Green Bay Packers in Wisconsin Sunday. The Pack’s defense allowed just 46 yards on 15 carries with a long of eight against the Chicago Bears on Thursday.

With both teams possibly looking to establish the run and manage the clock early in what could be a cold, wet day at Lambeau Field, take the first-half Under at 22.5


ON CROWDER NINE

Although Sam Darnold put up just 175 passing yards versus a solid Bills defense, he has found his new chain-moving target in Jamison Crowder. The first-year Jet played the third most snaps by a New York receiver but converted that into a league-high 17 targets, catching 14 of Darnold’s 28 completions.

The Jets will face off against the Cleveland Browns on Monday, as the Browns will want to play to their strengths in the passing game after getting embarrassed at home last week. We don’t expect Crowder to see another 17 targets but are willing to put our money on him hauling in a minimum of five or six balls playing primarily out of the slot and avoiding Browns DB Denzel Ward.

Take the Over on Crowder’s total receptions on any number below seven, depending where you play.


CAPITAL GAINS

Since the Amari Cooper trade last season, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is averaging 287.3 yards passing per game. He’s also coming off a four-hundred yard, four-TD performance over the New York Giants.

Facing the Cowboys this week is Washington Redskins QB Case Keenum, who’s also coming in hot, having made 30 completions for 380 yards last week. The Reskins may be forced to throw even more with the injury to starting running back Derrius Guice. Even with Guice, Washington rushed the ball on just 23 percent of its offensive snaps in the second-half collapse to the Philadelphia Eagles.

With the Cowboys getting chunks of yardage by using play-action or R.P.O on 46.6 percent of their offensive plays last week, expect another high-scoring affair in Washington. The Over is 6-1 in the last seven matchups between these classic rivals and after an opening of 44, the total sits at 46.5.

There’s still value here so feel comfortable taking the Over 46.5 in a game that may see 80 pass attempts.


NO JOSHING AROUND

Oakland Raiders rookie running back Josh Jacobs will head into his first matchup with divisional rivals Kansas City Chiefs on the heels of a 23-carry, 85-yard, one-TD performance.

Jacobs played 40 of 55 snaps in the Week 1 win over Denver Monday while fellow RB Jalen Richard received just one touch. Coach Jon Gruden and the Raiders are going to lean heavily on the former first-round pick.

Gruden told the media that he wants to see Jacobs get a similar workload in Week 2, meaning last week's performance was no outlier.

Game flow may be a problem for the Raiders' running attack versus MVP and the boys. It’s tough to run the ball that much when you’re down on the scoreboard and, according to the current spread (Kansas City -7.5), Oakland will be down on the scoreboard. But, we like the Jacobs’ anytime touchdown prop as opposed to the total yards Over/Under.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack


Props for tonight’s NFL game:


— Over/under passing yards for Jameis Winston: 275.5


— Will Mike Evans score a TD? Yes +$120, No -$140


— Over/under receiving yards for Chris Godwin: 59.5


— Over/under completions for Cam Newton: 22.5


— Over/under rushing yards for Christian McCaffrey: 80.5


— Over/under receiving yards for DJ Moore: 60.5


Quote of the Day
“The greatest Cowboy of them all has taken his last ride. It will never be the same again. We could never thank him enough for all that he did for our university. He gave us everything he had and all that he asked in return was that we play by the rules and dream big. He was living proof that anything is possible if you’re wearing orange. “
Oklahoma State AD Mike Holder, talking about billionaire booster T. Boone Pickens, who passed away Wednesday


Thursday’s quiz
What is the only division in the NFL where none of their teams lost last week?


Wednesday’s quiz
Ben Kingsley, Laurence Fishburne played the little kid’s chess mentors in the excellent movie Searching for Bobby Fischer.


Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland Raiders are only NFL team that shares their stadium with a major league baseball team; when the Raiders move to Las Vegas next year, there will be none.


**************************


Thursday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….


13) Current Washington State football coach Mike Leach became the Texas Tech coach back in 2000; on his Tech team that first year were 23 guys who later became either college or NFL coaches, eight have been I-A head coaches, another eight have been coordinators.


Very impressive coaching tree he has: Kliff Kingsbury, Dana Holgorsen, Sonny Dykes, Art Briles, Dave Aranda (LSU’s DC), Lincoln Riley.


12) A’s 5, Astros 3— 21-year old Jesus Luzardo made his MLB debut and threw three innings, allowing only a solo home run. Very impressive debut.


11) Every time I watch Marcus Semien play shortstop for the A’s, I’m reminded what a great infield coach Ron Washington is; his hard work helped make Semien the player he is today.


10) NFL teams that impressed me in losses last week: Panthers, Colts, Texans.


9) Purdue LB Markus Bailey, team’s top tackler last season, is out for the year (knee).


8) NFL injury stuff:
— Chargers’ TE Hunter Henry (broken leg) is out for the year.
— Raiders’ S Johnathan Abram (shoulder) is out for the year.


7) Two pitchers on the Pittsburgh Pirates got into a fight with each other before Monday night’s game; one of them hurt his hand and needed surgery on that hand. Not good.


Sometimes I lose sight of just how long the baseball season is; 162 games in 182 days, and if you’re having a cruddy year, tensions can run high.


6) This nugget from Ralph Michaels:


Last 25 times Oklahoma was a road favorite, that game went over the total 22 times.


5) There were 90 touchdowns scored in NFL’s Week 1, the most in an opening week of the NFL in the Super Bowl era.


4) United States lost to France 89-79 Wednesday, in quarterfinals of the 2019 FIBA World Cup in China, snapping a streak of 58 straight wins in international competition.


3) Dodgers clinched their 7th straight division title Tuesday, but they haven’t won a World Series since 1988, and until they do, lot of their fans won’t be happy.


2) Jorge Soler’s season over/under for home runs back in the spring was 14.5; he hit his 43rd homer Wednesday night.


1) RIP to T. Boone Pickens, 91, the billionaire who donated over $500M to Oklahoma State; their football stadium is named after him.

 

[CNOTES]

Best spot bets for NFL Week 2 odds: Texans tangle with a 'fruit salad' of situations
Jason Logan


In the fight against the big bad bookies, sports bettors have an arsenal of weapons at their disposal – some more effective than others.


One of the most popular methods of getting a leg up on the sportsbooks is situational handicapping: factoring in unique situations for the teams involved. Some of the more common situational plays – or spot bets – are “letdowns”, “lookaheads”, and “schedule” spots.


Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan combs through the Week 2 schedule and highlights the best opportunities for spot bettors to take advantage of the NFL odds.


LETDOWN SPOT: BUFFALO BILLS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+1.5, 43.5)


The Bills escaped MetLife Stadium with a Week 1 win over the New York Jets, thanks to a fourth-quarter surge that saw Buffalo outscore the host 14-0 in the final 15 minutes and come away with a 17-16 win as a 2.5-point road pup.


The Bills are back in East Rutherford again in Week 2 looking to avoid a letdown spot after such a thrilling come-from-behind victory. Buffalo fell in a similar spot last season, enjoying a come-from-behind road win at Atlanta in Week 4 then losing 20-16 at Cincinnati in Week 5.


This time, it’s the New York Giants, who are getting around two points at home from oddsmakers. While not a far trip from Orchard Park, this is the second straight road game for Buffalo, which looked bad for three quarters of football in Week 1. The Bills were down 16-3 entering the fourth quarter with just as many turnovers on the board.


The Giants got rolled by the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1, but that one-sided loss was on the defense. To the chagrin of some N.Y. fans (hoping to see more Daniel Jones), Eli Manning played well and Saquon Barkley did his thing. Buffalo doesn’t pose the same scoring threats as Dallas, and could fall victim to a classic letdown spot as road chalk Sunday.


LOOKAHEAD SPOT: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5, 43.5)


While we’re tagging this a lookahead spot, since the Texans travel to California to face the L.A. Chargers in Week 3, this Week 2 matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars is the fruit salad of spot bets. Let’s get the lookahead out of the way first…


Houston's in the driver’s seat in the AFC South (don’t tell Tennessee) with Andrew Luck gonzo and Nick Foles sidelined with a broken collarbone until November (at best). Next week’s trip to Los Angeles could go a long way in deciding the AFC pecking order, as the Texans could end up jockeying for home field in the postseason come December. Normally, I wouldn’t dub a divisional matchup as a game teams tend to look past but given the Jags’ quarterback situation, you can't blame Houston for peaking down the road.


Jacksonville appears to be going with rookie QB Gardner Minshew for the time being, and the former Washington State record-breaker and obvious student of Mike Leach (just soak in that “Captain Jack Sparrow” sideline look for a moment. Pirates, right?) was great in relief of Foles during the team’s loss to Kansas City Sunday. But, a rookie starter none the less.


Now for a sprinkling of situational seasonings. Houston is sandwiched in this lookahead spot by a slice of letdown, coming off a crushing defeat versus the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. And that game also puts the Texans in a schedule spot, with a short week to prepare for the Jaguars as well as giving Deshaun Watson less time to heal up from an obvious back injury suffered early in that Monday nighter.


The line opened Houston -9.5 and didn’t last long, with sharp play on the Jaguars trimming off a full point to the deadest of dead numbers: -8.5. According to our Covers Consensus, 67 percent of early bets are on the home side, which looks to be stuck in situational hell for Week 2.


SCHEDULE SPOT: CHICAGO BEARS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+2.5, 40.5)


There are a couple different ways to look at this potential schedule spot:


1. The Bears have had a mini bye due to playing last Thursday, giving Mitch Trubisky and the offense more time to right the ship after scoring only three points in the opener versus Green Bay. So, with that said, Chicago’s offense benefits from the schedule in Week 2.


But…


2. Denver is the worst place to play early in the season, specifically in the Broncos’ home openers. Since 2000, Denver is an incredible 18-1 SU in home openers and has gone 11-4-4 ATS in those Mile High debuts (73 percent).


I’ll admit, most betting trends are about as useful as “rubber lips on a woodpecker” (thanks to my Newfie mother-in-law for that one), but this trend does have a narrative behind it. Empower Field at Mile High is located at 5,280 feet above sea level, which means the air is thinner than Trubisky’s mustache.


NFL teams, regardless of all the pre-camps, summer camps, training camps, preseason and whatever else they’ve got going, are still not in game shape until they play actual games (ask anyone who’s ever played competitive sports and they’ll tell you there’s no substitution for actual games). And with Denver's season opener usually falling in the first three weeks of action, opponents are left sucking wind when they visit the Broncos.


Chicago head coach Matt Nagy likes to run a quicker pace, with the Bears totaling 65 plays in Thursday’s loss despite having the football for less than 29 minutes. The oxygen-light atmosphere in Denver could be a big speed bump for Da Bears, which is why this total is creeping down from 41.5 to 40.5 as of Wednesday.

 

[CNOTES]

TNF - Buccaneers at Panthers
Kevin Rogers


LAST WEEK


The Buccaneers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) lost their first season opener since 2015 in last Sunday’s 31-17 home defeat to the 49ers as one-point favorites. Neither team scored an offensive touchdown in the first half as San Francisco kicked two field goals and Tampa Bay returned an interception for a score midway through the second quarter for a 7-6 halftime lead.


Tampa Bay never led again as San Francisco scored 25 second half points, including a pair of pick-sixes thrown by Buccaneers’ quarterback Jameis Winston. The lone Bucs offensive touchdown came on a Winston scoring connection with wide receiver Chris Godwin from 10 yards out, as the former Penn State standout led Tampa Bay with 53 yards receiving. Ronald Jones III produced 75 yards on the ground, but Winston’s three interceptions proved to be the difference as Tampa Bay fell to 1-4 ATS since last season as a home favorite.


The Panthers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) started last season with an impressive 6-2 record, but lost the next seven games before falling shy of the playoffs at 7-9. Carolina dropped to 1-8 in its past nine regular season games, including four consecutive home defeats following Sunday’s 30-27 setback to the Rams. Los Angeles jumped out to an early 13-0 lead before Carolina rallied back to cut the deficit to 23-20 on Christian McCaffrey’s two-yard touchdown run in the opening minutes of the fourth quarter.


Cam Newton failed to throw a touchdown pass in his first regular season action since Week 15 last season, as the Panthers’ quarterback racked up 239 yards, while getting intercepted once. McCaffrey stood out by rushing for 128 yards and two scores, while hauling in 10 receptions for 81 yards. Carolina had its five-game home opener winning streak snapped, as the Panthers dropped their first game of the season at Bank of America Stadium since a 12-7 defeat to Seattle in 2013.


SERIES HISTORY


From 2009-17, this series ended in a sweep with Carolina grabbing both meetings in 2009, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2017, while the Bucs claimed both matchups in 2010 and 2012, while edging the Panthers by a combined four points in a 2016 sweep. Last season ended that trend of sweeps as the home team captured each game.


Carolina outlasted Tampa Bay in Charlotte, 42-28 in Week 9 as six-point favorites, while sailing OVER the total of 55 ½. The Panthers jumped out to a 35-7 second quarter lead, highlighted by two short McCaffrey touchdowns before the Bucs came back to climb with seven points with three consecutive touchdowns. Newton connected with Curtis Samuel for the final touchdown to mark the fifth home win over Tampa Bay in the last six tries.


Winston sat out the first matchup with Carolina, but suited up in the second meeting at Raymond James Stadium in early December. Tampa Bay’s defense intercepted Newton four times, while Winston threw a pair of touchdowns in a 24-17 triumph as 3 ½-point underdogs. Following the high-scoring affair the first time around, the Buccaneers limited the Panthers to only one first half touchdown. Newton finished with 300 yards passing and two touchdowns, but the four picks did Carolina in, while the game easily stayed UNDER the total of 52.


The UNDER has cashed in five of the last six meetings, while three of the past five matchups in Charlotte have been decided by three points or less.


ARIANS IN JUDGMENT


Bruce Arians is coaching his first road game since 2017 with Arizona. The Buccaneers’ head coach owns a 3-7 record in his past 10 away contests in the role of an underdog dating back to 2015. Those three victories came at one of the hardest stadiums to win at in Seattle, while not covering once in any of the losses. In three games with Arizona at Bank of America Stadium (including two playoff games), Arians has lost each time by double-digits.


WEEK 2 ‘DOG SUCCESS


The first Thursday game in Week 2 is normally tough on both teams as they play with only three days of rest following the opener. Since 2015, the underdog has won outright four straight times in the Week 2 Thursday night affair, including three road victories by the Broncos (at Kansas City, 2015), Jets (at Buffalo, 2016), Texans (at Cincinnati, 2017) and Bengals (vs. Baltimore, 2018). Tampa Bay is the largest underdog in this situation as the biggest ‘dog was Houston, who was getting 5 ½ in a 13-9 triumph at Cincinnati.


HANDICAPPER’S CORNER


NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on this NFC South, starting with Tampa Bay’s defensive performance in Week 1, “While the mistakes of the Buccaneers’ offense grabbed the headlines, the Tampa Bay defense that had many of the worst numbers in the league last season did a good job against San Francisco. The 49ers had only 256 total yards and gained only 4.3 yards per play with Jimmy Garoppolo held to 6.1 yards per pass attempt. San Francisco was held to 3.1 yards per rush as the Buccaneers had better overall numbers in the game save for the 4-2 turnover deficit.”


With both teams losing at home to NFC foes in Week 1, Nelson points out the importance of this game, “While plenty of teams have recovered from 0-2 starts, this game will feel like an early season elimination game for a pair of teams coming off losing seasons but with some support to be risers this season in the NFC picture. These teams will meet again in London in Week 6 as Tampa Bay doesn’t get a home meeting in this series for a rare division game overseas.”


“The urgency may be greater for the Buccaneers in the schedule as well as while a winnable game with the Giants is up next in Week 3, Tampa Bay plays last season’s NFC Championship participants on the road in Weeks 4 and 5. Carolina is on the road the next two weeks with Arizona and Houston before a home game with Jacksonville for a more manageable early season path,” Nelson notes.


PLAYER PROPS


Total Gross Passing Yards – Jameis Winston (TB)
Over 275 ½ (-110)
Under 275 ½ (-110)


Total Touchdown Passes – Jameis Winston (TB)
Over 1 ½ (-110)
Under 1 ½ (-110)


Will Mike Evans (TB) score a Touchdown?
Yes +120
No -140


Total Receiving Yards – Chris Godwin (TB)
Over 59 ½ (-110)
Under 59 ½ (-110)


Total Completions – Cam Newton (CAR)
Over 22 ½ (-110)
Under 22 ½ (-110)


Total Touchdown Passes – Cam Newton (CAR)
Over 1 ½ (-160)
Under 1 ½ (+140)


Will Cam Newton (CAR) throw an Interception?
Yes -140
No +120


Total Rushing Yards – Christian McCaffrey (CAR)
Over 80 ½ (-110)
Under 80 ½ (-110)


Total Receiving Yards – D.J. Moore (CAR)
Over 60 ½ (-110)
Under 60 ½ (-110)


LINE MOVEMENT
The Panthers opened as 6 ½-point home favorites with a total of 50 at the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas on Sunday night. The side number has stayed the same, but the total has dipped to 49. There is no threat of rain in the forecast in Charlotte on Thursday night, while temperatures are expected to be in the high 80’s at kickoff.

 

[CNOTES]

By: Josh Inglis


RINGING THE BELL


Heading into Week 1, there were questions on Le’Veon Bell’s workload after not being tackled since January of 2018. Bell didn’t explode on the stat sheet but for a per-touch basis, he was dominant. The 27-year-old led all running backs in avoided tackles on the ground with nine — three more than the next back — while getting 23 touches and a score. With his workload set to increase, look for the New York Jets to lean on him heavily at home versus the Cleveland Browns.


The Browns gave up some big yards to Tennessee Titans RBs last week allowing Derrick Henry to rip off a 75-yard catch and run and while managing 84 yards on 19 carries. Look for the Jets to use a lot of screens to offset that dominant Browns pass-rush, playing right into Bell’s strength.


We are hitting the Over total rushing and receiving yards on anything under 125 yards.




ALLEN AIRS IT OUT


Last week we hit our Josh Allen Over 219 passing yards as the Buffalo Bills came out throwing versus the Jets. Allen was playing quite loose as he turned the ball over four times, but the Bills look committed into turning him into a passer.


Up next for the 2-point-road-favorite Bills are the New York Giants who allowed 400-plus yards in the air last week versus Dallas. The Giants secondary gave up a pair of 100-yard receivers and let Michael Gallop go for 158 yards.


We like both these offenses as Saquon Barkley and, to a lesser degree, Devin Singletary can bust big plays with any touch. However, Allen’s turnovers and the Bills defense scare me on the Over 43.5. So we are going back-to-back with Allen’s passing yard total and grabbing the Over 216 yards.




THE BIG BEN THEORY


After scoring just three points in New England, look for Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to bounce back versus the Seattle Seahawks who are fresh off allowing 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton. The Hawks have allowed an average of 28 points over their last four road games (1-3 SU) and are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS on the road in September over their last nine.


The Steelers’ team total sits at 26.5 which we feel is a little high so we will be taking the Steelers -4. The Steelers to need to rebound after an ugly loss and beat an average road team travelling from west to east for a 1 pm game.




CHRISTIAN THE PANTHER


If bettors thought they could get an easy line on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing, receiving or total yards, guess again. With the soft Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense on deck for Sunday, CMC’s rushing and receiving yardage total sits at 139.5 — a number he has hit five times in his last 17 games.


We understand if you can’t pull the trigger with better value plays out there in your quest for some Thursday night action. How about the anytime score prop? That’s out of the question for most as it sits a ridiculous -277. We are zeroing in on the first TD of the game prop where McCaffrey is a much more reasonable +350.


If CMC is expected to rack up yards and score, as the lines predict, then we are going to put our money on him being the first to cross the goalline. There is a good chance he could lead his team in targets and carries, just as he did in Week 1. Take CMC to score the first TD at +350 and enjoy the bounty.




SHADY GAGA


With the news of Kansas City Chiefs Tyreke Hill hitting the shelf for 4-6 weeks, most will be looking at Sammy Watkins to fill that role. That’s great news for us as we don’t mind looking for scraps at the table if there is value.


LeSean McCoy, outplayed fellow RB Damien Williams on the ground versus the Jaguars and we are expecting the former Bill to cut into Williams' passing work this week against the Oakland Raiders. McCoy is still learning his pass protection but with another week under his belt, the back who averaged nearly four receptions under Reid as an Eagle will be more involved.


McCoy already has a major role on this team and it will only grow as he familiarizes himself with the playbook. We are taking the Over on a reception total of anything under 3.5. If you can’t find that market, we fully support the Over on 41 rushing yards as well.

 

[CNOTES]

Best spot bets for NFL Week 2 odds: Texans tangle with a 'fruit salad' of situations
Jason Logan


In the fight against the big bad bookies, sports bettors have an arsenal of weapons at their disposal – some more effective than others.


One of the most popular methods of getting a leg up on the sportsbooks is situational handicapping: factoring in unique situations for the teams involved. Some of the more common situational plays – or spot bets – are “letdowns”, “lookaheads”, and “schedule” spots.


Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan combs through the Week 2 schedule and highlights the best opportunities for spot bettors to take advantage of the NFL odds.


LETDOWN SPOT: BUFFALO BILLS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+1.5, 43.5)


The Bills escaped MetLife Stadium with a Week 1 win over the New York Jets, thanks to a fourth-quarter surge that saw Buffalo outscore the host 14-0 in the final 15 minutes and come away with a 17-16 win as a 2.5-point road pup.


The Bills are back in East Rutherford again in Week 2 looking to avoid a letdown spot after such a thrilling come-from-behind victory. Buffalo fell in a similar spot last season, enjoying a come-from-behind road win at Atlanta in Week 4 then losing 20-16 at Cincinnati in Week 5.


This time, it’s the New York Giants, who are getting around two points at home from oddsmakers. While not a far trip from Orchard Park, this is the second straight road game for Buffalo, which looked bad for three quarters of football in Week 1. The Bills were down 16-3 entering the fourth quarter with just as many turnovers on the board.


The Giants got rolled by the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1, but that one-sided loss was on the defense. To the chagrin of some N.Y. fans (hoping to see more Daniel Jones), Eli Manning played well and Saquon Barkley did his thing. Buffalo doesn’t pose the same scoring threats as Dallas, and could fall victim to a classic letdown spot as road chalk Sunday.


LOOKAHEAD SPOT: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5, 43.5)


While we’re tagging this a lookahead spot, since the Texans travel to California to face the L.A. Chargers in Week 3, this Week 2 matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars is the fruit salad of spot bets. Let’s get the lookahead out of the way first…


Houston's in the driver’s seat in the AFC South (don’t tell Tennessee) with Andrew Luck gonzo and Nick Foles sidelined with a broken collarbone until November (at best). Next week’s trip to Los Angeles could go a long way in deciding the AFC pecking order, as the Texans could end up jockeying for home field in the postseason come December. Normally, I wouldn’t dub a divisional matchup as a game teams tend to look past but given the Jags’ quarterback situation, you can't blame Houston for peaking down the road.


Jacksonville appears to be going with rookie QB Gardner Minshew for the time being, and the former Washington State record-breaker and obvious student of Mike Leach (just soak in that “Captain Jack Sparrow” sideline look for a moment. Pirates, right?) was great in relief of Foles during the team’s loss to Kansas City Sunday. But, a rookie starter none the less.


Now for a sprinkling of situational seasonings. Houston is sandwiched in this lookahead spot by a slice of letdown, coming off a crushing defeat versus the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. And that game also puts the Texans in a schedule spot, with a short week to prepare for the Jaguars as well as giving Deshaun Watson less time to heal up from an obvious back injury suffered early in that Monday nighter.


The line opened Houston -9.5 and didn’t last long, with sharp play on the Jaguars trimming off a full point to the deadest of dead numbers: -8.5. According to our Covers Consensus, 67 percent of early bets are on the home side, which looks to be stuck in situational hell for Week 2.


SCHEDULE SPOT: CHICAGO BEARS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+2.5, 40.5)


There are a couple different ways to look at this potential schedule spot:


1. The Bears have had a mini bye due to playing last Thursday, giving Mitch Trubisky and the offense more time to right the ship after scoring only three points in the opener versus Green Bay. So, with that said, Chicago’s offense benefits from the schedule in Week 2.


But…


2. Denver is the worst place to play early in the season, specifically in the Broncos’ home openers. Since 2000, Denver is an incredible 18-1 SU in home openers and has gone 11-4-4 ATS in those Mile High debuts (73 percent).


I’ll admit, most betting trends are about as useful as “rubber lips on a woodpecker” (thanks to my Newfie mother-in-law for that one), but this trend does have a narrative behind it. Empower Field at Mile High is located at 5,280 feet above sea level, which means the air is thinner than Trubisky’s mustache.


NFL teams, regardless of all the pre-camps, summer camps, training camps, preseason and whatever else they’ve got going, are still not in game shape until they play actual games (ask anyone who’s ever played competitive sports and they’ll tell you there’s no substitution for actual games). And with Denver's season opener usually falling in the first three weeks of action, opponents are left sucking wind when they visit the Broncos.


Chicago head coach Matt Nagy likes to run a quicker pace, with the Bears totaling 65 plays in Thursday’s loss despite having the football for less than 29 minutes. The oxygen-light atmosphere in Denver could be a big speed bump for Da Bears, which is why this total is creeping down from 41.5 to 40.5 as of Wednesday.

 

[CNOTES]

101TAMPA BAY -102 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 100-69 ATS (24.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.




*******************************




NFL
Long Sheet


Week 2


Thursday, September 12


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/12/2019, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




******************************




NFL


Week 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, September 12


Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games at home
Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Carolina's last 19 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing on the road against Carolina




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NFL
Dunkel


Week 2




Thursday, September 12


Tampa Bay @ Carolina


Game 101-102
September 12, 2019 @ 8:20 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
126.311
Carolina
126.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
Even
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 7
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+7); Under




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NFL Week 2
Armadillo Write up


Buccaneers (0-1) @ Panthers (0-1)— Both teams lost in Week 1, lot of urgency here. Last winter, Tampa Bay dumped DT Gerald McCoy after eight years; this is their first meeting since. Carolina won nine of last 12 series games; Bucs lost five of last six visits to Charlotte, losing last two, 22-19/42-28. Bucs gave up two defensive TD’s in 31-17 home loss to SF last week; they turned ball over four times, scored only 10 points on four trips to red zone. Last two years, Tampa Bay is 3-6-4 as a road underdog; Arians was 11-11 as a road dog in Arizona. Panthers were -2 in turnovers in 30-27 loss LW; last three years, Carolina is 8-10 ATS when laying points at home. Bucs won three of last four road openers (over 4-1 last five).




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Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall


Thursday, Sept. 12


TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Bucs 3-6-4 as road dog past two years; Arians just 2-7 in that role his last two years with Cards (2016-17). Bucs “under” 12-5 run and 5 of last 6 “under” in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.ds.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TB at CAR 08:20 PM


TB +7.0


O 49.5

 

[CNOTES]

Bucs use goal-line stand to beat Panthers 20-14
September 12, 2019
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CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) Jameis Winston threw for 208 yards and a touchdown, Tampa Bay held Cam Newton in check and came up with a late goal-line stand and the Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 20-14 early Friday to give coach Bruce Arians his first victory with the team.


Chris Godwin had eight catches for 121 yards and a touchdown, Peyton Barber ran for 82 yards and a score and the Bucs won despite converting only 2 of 12 first downs in the game that was delayed 25 minutes in first quarter because of lightning in the area.


Newton finished with 324 yards passing, but was held without a touchdown for the second straight game. He also fumbled again.


Newton couldn't get the Panthers (0-2) into the end zone on the final drive despite numerous breaks. On fourth down play from the 2, the Bucs stopped Christian McCaffrey after he took a snap out of the wildcat formation to take over on downs.


The Buccaneers (1-1) got plenty of pressure on Newton with three sacks coming from Shaquil Barrett. They also held McCaffrey to 53 total yards from scrimmage after he racked up 209 yards and two touchdowns in the season opener against the Los Angeles Rams.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, September 15, 2019


Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Arizona Cardinals Baltimore Ravens
1:00 PM San Francisco 49ers Cincinnati Bengals
1:00 PM Los Angeles Chargers Detroit Lions
1:00 PM Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers
1:00 PM Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans
1:00 PM New England Patriots Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM Buffalo Bills New York Giants
1:00 PM Seattle Seahawks Pittsburgh Steelers
1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans
1:00 PM Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins
4:05 PM Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders
4:25 PM Chicago Bears Denver Broncos
4:25 PM New Orleans Saints Los Angeles Rams
8:20 PM Philadelphia Eagles Atlanta Falcons


Monday, September 16, 2019


Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Cleveland Browns New York Jets




*********************************




NFL SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS




DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


09/12/2019.......1-1-0......50.00%.........-0.50
09/09/2019.......3-1-0......75.00%........+9.50
09/08/2019.....16-10-0.....61.54%........+25.00
09/05/2019..... 1-1-0....... 50.00%....... -0.50




Totals..............21-13-0.... 61.76%....... +33.50




*****************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


09/12/2019.............1 - 0............+5.00...............0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
09/09/2019.............1 - 1.............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00............+9.50
09/08/2019.............6 - 5............+2.50...............8 - 3..............+23.50...........+26.00
09/05/2019.............0 - 1.............-5.50...............1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50




Totals......................8 - 7............+1.50.............11 - 4 ..............+33.00.............+34.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack


Props for Thursday night’s NFL game:


— Over/under passing yards for Jameis Winston: 275.5-


— Will Mike Evans score a TD? Yes +$120, No -$140-


— Over/under receiving yards for Chris Godwin: 59.5-


— Over/under completions for Cam Newton: 22.5-


— Over/under rushing yards for Christian McCaffrey: 80.5-


— Over/under receiving yards for DJ Moore: 60.5-


Quote of the Day
“I don’t think there’s any excuse for how we’re playing. Certainly this time of year, every team has its challenges. We’re just not getting it done. Honestly, we’ve been essentially a .500 team for months now. Even when we were pretty healthy and guys had fewer obstacles and were not coming off injuries and things like that, we didn’t do what we needed to do to separate.”
Theo Epstein, talking about the 2019 Cubs


Friday’s quiz
Who played QB for Tampa Bay when they won their only Super Bowl title?


Thursday’s quiz
NFC West is the only division in the NFL where none of their teams lost last week.


Wednesday’s quiz
Ben Kingsley, Laurence Fishburne played the little kid’s chess mentors in the excellent movie Searching for Bobby Fischer.


***********************


Friday’s List of 13: Writeup on extra college football games……


13) Ohio St has won at least 18 games in a row vs Indiana, but Hoosiers covered seven of last eight games vs OSU. Buckeyes covered six of last eight visits to Bloomington. Last three years, OSU is 6-8 ATS as a road favorite. Indiana is 3-7 in its last ten games as a home underdog.


12) Maryland ran for 354 yards in its 63-20 win over Syracuse LW. Temple’s only game was an easy win over a -AA team. Over last decade, Terps are 5-4 as a road favorite. Temple covered six of last seven tries as a home dog. Last four years, AAC teams are 10-6 ATS when facing a Big 14 opponent.


11) Pittsburgh split its first two games, both at home; they’re 14-6 ATS in last 20 games as a road dog. Penn State hammered Pitt 51-6/33-14 last two years; under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 18-11-1 as a home favorite. Last six years, Big 14 teams are 19-13-1 in their last 33 games vs ACC teams.


10) Florida Atlantic gave up 93 points, 549 YR in losing first two games to top 25 teams, by 24-34 points. Last 5 years, Owls are 3-8-1 as road favorites. Ball State lost 34-24 to Indiana; Cardinals are 4-9 in last 13 games as a home dog. Last 4+ years, MAC teams are 16-9-1 ATS when playing a C-USA team.


9) Akron lost seven of last eight games with Central Michigan; favorites covered four of last five series games. Zips lost last three visits to CMU, by 21-27-3 points. Zips are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games where spread was 3 or less. Central Michigan is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 games where spread was 3 or less.


8) Alabama won its first two games by combined score of 104-13; last four years, Crimson Tide is 10-4 ATS when laying points on road. South Carolina was outgained 483-270 in its 24-20 loss to UNC; freshman QB Hilinski makes his 2nd college start here. These teams haven’t met since ’10.


7) Colorado State (+13.5) upset Arkansas 34-27 LY, throwing for 389 yards; under Bobo, Rams are 7-4 ATS as road dogs. Arkansas lost 31-17 at Ole Miss LW, giving up 237 YR. Hogs are 7-9 in last 16 games as a HF. Last 4+ years, MAC teams are 8-6 ATS when playing an SEC opponent.


6) North Texas gave up 503 yards in its 49-27 loss at SMU LW; Mean Green is 9-18 in last 27 games as a road dog. California upset Washington 20-19 in Seattle LW; under Wilcox, they’re 1-4-1 as a home favorite. Last seven years, Pac-12 teams are 7-4 ATS when playing a C-USA opponent.


5) Southern Miss (-10.5) was upset 37-31 at home by Troy in last meeting in ’16. USM is 13-9 ATS in its last 22 games as a road dog. Troy beat up on a I-AA team in its only game; they’re 14-7 ATS in last 21 non-conference games. Last 2+ years, Sun Belt teams are 8-3 ATS when facing a C-USA team.


4) Ohio won four of last five games with Marshall; teams last met in ’15. Bobcats lost 20-10 at Pitt LY, outgained 481-212; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as a road dog. Marshall lost 14-7 LW in Boise; they were outgained 437-172. Herd is 4-9 in last 13 games s a HF. Last 4+ years, MAC teams are 16-9-1 ATS when playing a C-USA team.


3) Duke got smoked 42-3 by Alabama in its opener; they beat a I-AA team LW. Blue Devils are 6-3-1 in last 10 games as a RF. Middle Tennessee was outgained 453-301 in its 40-21 loss at Michigan; Blue Raiders are 5-3 in last eight games as a home dog. Last 4+ years, ACC squads are 12-6 ATS when facing a C-USA team.


2) Clemson won five of last six games with Syracuse, but split last two, which were decided by total of 7 points. Tigers lost 27-24 (-23) in last visit here in ’17. Clemson is 6-3-1 in its last 10 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a home dog; they got whacked 63-20 by Maryland LW, giving up 354 YR.


1) Northern Illinois (+11.5) upset Nebraska 21-17 two years ago, despite being outgained, 384-213. Huskies are 12-5 in last 17 games as a road dog. Nebraska covered twice in its last nine games as a home favorite. Last 2+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-10 ATS when playing a MAC team.

 

[CNOTES]

Saints at Rams in rematch of NFC title game
September 13, 2019
By The Associated Press


Throw that flag. For those who have short memories - very short - the last time the Rams and Saints met was in the NFC championship game in the Big Easy and an officiating non-call made all the difference.


Throw that flag.


For those who have short memories - very short - the previous time the Rams and Saints met was in the NFC championship game in the Big Easy. New Orleans was victimized by a blatant officiating non-call that led to a rules change allowing pass interference to be part of the video review system.


The echoes of ''We was robbed!'' still reverberate in the Superdome.


So the Saints won't need any extra motivation when they visit Los Angeles in a stellar early season matchup. Even if they are trying to downplay the unforgettably painful memories.


''Still haven't, never will. When you say forgotten about, you have to find a way to compartmentalize it to where you can move on in a positive way, so I found a way to do that,'' Drew Brees said. ''But as far as just the events, you live and learn and sometimes things don't go your way, and you've got to find a way to come out better on the other side.''


Saints coach Sean Payton stressed these teams are not the same.


''It feels like it was a long time ago,'' he said of the NFC title match. ''It's part of our game. These are two different teams now, a lot of roster moves from last year to this year. We're playing each other early in the season, so it doesn't feel like that many games ago relative to the distance between when we played. You're looking at two different teams.''


Both teams opened with tight victories, New Orleans rallying to beat Houston in the final seconds on Wil Lutz's 58-yard field goal, the Rams winning at Carolina.


While it's far too early to call this a game for NFC supremacy, the Saints and Rams should be among the conference elite.


''I think our players, our coaches know the level of urgency that's going to be needed for us to be at our best in order to give ourselves a chance to compete and hopefully come out of this thing 2-0,'' Rams coach Sean McVay said.


The second week began Thursday night with Tampa Bay's victory over North Carolina in a game that ended early Friday after being delayed 25 minutes in the first quarter because of lightning.


Jameis Winston threw for 208 yards and a touchdown and Tampa Bay held Cam Newton in check and came up with a late goal-line stand to give coach Bruce Arians his first victory with the team.


Tampa Bay improved to 1-1, and Carolina dropped to 0-2.


Seattle (1-0) at Pittsburgh (0-1)


A pair of retooling clubs that, for one week at least, looked as if they were headed in opposite directions.


The Seahawks struggled to beat Cincinnati, but showed the elements of being a contender, particularly their fortitude in coming back. Seattle is 2-7 in Pittsburgh, outscored 45-0 in the past two trips - in 2007 and 2011.


It's difficult to believe the Steelers won't rebound from their abysmal performance in Foxborough. Maybe they need a bit of that fortitude Seattle displayed.


''I like to think everything just flew off and everything was wrong so we can say `That's not going to happen again,''' defensive tackle Cam Heyward said. ''But we did some things right. Not every play was minus, but I'm going to treat it like every play was.''


Indianapolis (0-1) at Tennessee (1-0)


Both teams were far more impressive in their openers than predicted. The Colts took the Chargers to overtime, while the Titans manhandled the Browns in Cleveland.


Andrew Luck held a mastery over Tennessee, and Indy has won 13 of the past 15 meetings. Of course, Luck is retired, and the only two Titans wins in that span came with current quarterback Jacoby Brissett behind center. Watch for Marlon Mack, who had a career-high 174 yards rushing at LA and leads the league.


The Titans are retiring Nos. 27 and 9 for Eddie George and the late Steve McNair at halftime, the first 9 and 27 retired by any NFL team.

San Francisco (1-0) at Cincinnati (0-1)


Two more clubs that had solid debuts beyond expectations. San Francisco used two pick-6s to beat Tampa Bay, and the Bengals gave Seattle all it could handle before a one-point road loss.


The 49ers have the highest winning percentage vs. Cincinnati of any NFL team, and last opened a season with two road wins in 1989. They worked out at Youngstown State to avoid a second straight cross-country flight.


Bengals QB Andy Dalton had career highs with 35 completions and 418 yards passing, his first 400-yard game. Eight receivers caught passes, led by John Ross, who had careers highs with seven catches, 158 yards and two TDs. But running back Joe Mixon hurt his left ankle.


Kansas City (1-0) at Oakland (1-0)


One of the great rivalries in sports, dating back to the AFL days. KC leads the series 65-53-2 and has won eight of the past nine.


But the Chiefs will be without injured star wideout Tyreek Hill, though Sammy Watkins was spectacular against Jacksonville with nine catches for 198 yards and three touchdowns.


The Raiders had an offensive standout in their win over Denver, too. First-round draft pick Josh Jacobs ran 23 times for 85 yards and two touchdowns, also caught a 28-yard pass that set up a touchdown.


''This man wasn't really the feature back at Alabama. He's not drawing from a lot of experience,'' coach Jon Gruden said. ''I'm anxious to see how he feels ... after 24 touches because we'd like to get him 24 more next week.''


Dallas (1-0) at Washington (0-1)


Another terrific and historic rivalry that has taken on a one-side air: Dallas has won seven of nine.


Washington got off to a nice start in Philly, then phlopped in the second half. It also lost its top running back, Darrius Guice, to a right knee injury, meaning Adrian Peterson - a healthy scratch last weekend - figures to get some action.


No such worries for the Cowboys now that Zeke Elliott is in the fold. He should be in better form on Sunday, too. And the Dallas passing game ranks first in the league after toying with the Giants.


Cleveland (0-1) at New York Jets (0-1), Monday night


Long, long ago, in a galaxy far, far away ...


Well, it actually was 1970 and the Jets had Joe Namath and a recent Super Bowl crown, while the Browns were one of the league's elite franchises with an enviable history.


Now? Gang Green hasn't been back to the big game since and blew a 16-0 lead at home to Buffalo last week. Those Browns of yesteryear now reside in Baltimore as the Ravens, and this group has made the postseason once in its reincarnation in Cleveland.


Still, the NFL wanted a redux of the first ''Monday Night Football'' telecast, so here we are, with a pair of clubs that basically faltered in their openers.


New England (1-0) at Miami (0-1)


Shield your eyes.


The Patriots have had issues in South Florida, losing five of their past six visits. Considering how rarely Tom Brady loses anywhere, that's striking.


There's a catch this year: Miami has its sights on the first overall draft pick, not on-field achievements; did somebody mention tanking? The Dolphins were humiliated by Baltimore 59-10 in the opener.


Meanwhile, Brady and Co. picked apart Pittsburgh last Sunday night, an ominous sign for the rest of the AFC, because the Steelers supposedly are a contender in the conference.


Arizona (0-0-1) at Baltimore (1-0)


Lamar Jackson, Heisman Trophy owner (2016), meet Kyler Murray, who took that award last season.


Both exciting and versatile QBs had impressive debuts. Jackson had a career day in only his eighth pro start, completing 17 of 20 passes for five touchdowns. Yes, it was against Miami, but those numbers stand out against anybody.


Murray rallied the Cardinals from a 24-6 deficit in the fourth quarter vs. Detroit, overcoming some early mistakes to produce tons of clutch plays.


''Once you kind of get in that rhythm, we're going quick, everything kind of just opened up,'' Murray said. ''We just got into a rhythm and we started playing better.''


Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) at Detroit (0-0-1)

The Chargers and Lions both worked overtime last week. At least LA got the win over Indianapolis.


Austin Ekeler had the winning, 7-yard TD run and finished with a career-high 154 yards from scrimmage. Ekeler became first non-drafted player to have more than 150 scrimmage yards, two receiving and a rushing TD in the same game in 43 years.


Detroit has lost seven of the past eight in the series. Its best hope Sunday might be T.J. Hockenson who had 131 yards receiving, breaking the record for a tight end in his NFL debut set 59 years ago by Monty Stickles.


Philadelphia (1-0) at Atlanta (0-1)


DeSean Jackson's return to Philly couldn't have gone much better. He made eight receptions for 154 yards and a pair of 50-plus-yard TD catches in sparking the Eagles' rally from a 17-0 hole vs. the Redskins.


''DeSean will tell you he's got practice speed and he's got game speed,'' coach Doug Pederson said. ''Practice speed is around 16 miles per hour and game speed is up to 22. He's a gamer. He's dynamic, he's electric, and he loves when the lights come on. That speed is real, and we saw it Sunday.''


What's real with the Falcons is hard to tell after an ugly loss at Minnesota, losing first-round pick guard Chris Lindstrom (broken foot).


Minnesota (1-0) at Green Bay (1-0)


Twenty-two of the past 33 regular-season meetings have been decided by seven points or fewer, including both games last season.


Aaron Rodgers has seven career games with a passer rating of 130-plus against Minnesota, the most by a quarterback against one team in NFL history. But this one very much could be decided by the defenses.


Green Bay's was staunch in its win at Chicago, with five sacks and lots of physicality. The Vikings has two picks, four sacks, and kept Matt Ryan and the Falcons off balance in an easy win.


Chicago (0-1) at Denver (0-1)


Vic Fangio designed the stingy and aggressive defense the Bears used last season to win the NFC North. He's now, at age 61, at last a head coach, and his Broncos D, aside from linebacker Josey Jewell's career-best 14 tackles, was anything but dominant at Oakland.


Chicago's defense once more was very strong, this time with Chuck Pagano as the coordinator. Edge rusher Khalil Mack had 10 sacks, three forced fumbles, 14 tackles for loss in eight career games against Denver while with Oakland. Mack had a career-best five sacks at Denver in with Oakland.


Jacksonville (0-1) at Houston (0-1)


If there's one team that should be encouraged by an opening loss, it's the Texans. Yes, their prevent defense prevented victory at New Orleans, but it was Drew Brees, after all, performing magic on the other side.


Most encouraging for Houston was the spectacular combination of Deshaun Watson throwing to DeAndre Hopkins, and expect to see plenty more of that Sunday. Star edge rusher J.J. Watt didn't play much of a role against the Saints, so expect to see him do so this time.


Pity the Jags, who felt they cured their longstanding QB troubles by signing Nick Foles, only to lose him early in falling to Kansas City. Just as bad, the ballyhooed D was hooey.


Buffalo (1-0) at New York Giants (0-1)


Despite the names, the Jets and Giants are New Jersey teams. The Bills are the only real representative of New York state, and they woke up in the fourth quarter at the Meadowlands last Sunday to down the Jets. They return in a rare bit of scheduling to play the Giants while thinking of a Big Apple sweep.


The Giants need to upgrade the pass defense that was torn apart by Dallas and ranks dead last. Yes, worse than Miami.