Cnotes 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

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RECAP
CARTER’S PICK-SIX HELPS RIDERS TOP STAMPS; CLINCH PLAYOFF SPOT



CALGARY — Duron Carter scored on a pick-six while the defence didn’t allow a touchdown, leading the Saskatchewan Roughriders to a 30-7 win over the Calgary Stampeders on Friday night.


Punt returner Christion Jones and short-yardage quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. also scored for the Riders, who improve to .500 and officially clinch a playoff spot with the win. The victory at Calgary’s McMahon Stadium ended the Stamps’ 17-game winning streak on home field, and was the Riders’ first over Calgary in four years.


But on a damp, rainy night with plenty of storylines, nothing could overshadow Carter’s first start on defence. The CFL’s fifth-leading receiver was tested at boundary corner and passed with flying colours, standing up against Calgary’s top receivers while scoring the game-sealing pick-six.


Brandon Bridge and Andrew Buckley both took snaps for the Riders and Stamps respectively, marking the first time since 1984 (Gerry Dattilio and Greg Vavra) that two Canadian quarterbacks played in the same game for Calgary and Montreal. Bridge, who took over for Kevin Glenn in the first quarter, threw for 129 yards on 9-of-18 passing with two interceptions.


With the win, the Riders move into a tie with the Edmonton Eskimos for third in the West, while the Stamps have their 11-game winning streak snapped. Bo Levi Mitchell, meanwhile, falls to 56-9-2 as a starter after going 14-of-27 for 136 yards and two interceptions, eventually making way for Buckley in the fourth.


Stampeders sophomore linebacker Alex Singleton also made history in the loss, recording seven tackles to move past Kevin Eiben for the most tackles by a Canadian in a single season (115).


Much like the first two meetings between these West Division rivals, Friday’s contest featured two hard-hitting defences that would allow very little.


Charleston Hughes stymied the Riders early with his sixth sack against the Green and White this year alone, marking Calgary’s 12th of the season against Saskatchewan.


After just two possessions and three passing attempts by Glenn, the Riders looked to spark their offence with a quarterback change. And there was an immediate spark from the Canadian pivot, with Bridge’s first pass going to Bakari Grant for a 23-yard pickup to get the Riders over midfield for the first time in the game. But the drive stalled at the 50, forcing punter Josh Bartel onto the field for the third time in the first 15 minutes.


Through first quarter, the two teams combined for only 115 net yards (67 for the Stamps), six first downs and a single point off a Rob Maver punt.


Suddenly, on the first play of the second quarter, the Riders flipped a switch and it was game on. With Maver punting on third-and-seven, Jones waited for an opening before sprinting 60 yards for the score, putting the Riders ahead 7-1 on the game’s first touchdown.


A quick two-and-out got the ball back in the hands of Bridge, who leaned on Chad Owens in his first game as a Rider to move the sticks twice and set up a 26-yard field goal by Tyler Crapigna. Crapigna’s 17th-straight successful attempt made it a nine-point game and a 10-1 Riders lead early in the second quarter.


The Riders had a chance to break the game wide open when Carter, looking to play the man in Messam, had his hands on a pass that would have resulted in a pick-six the other way.


After punting and getting the football back, the Stamps went to work and created some positive momentum late in the half. Not long after a Rene Paredes field goal cut the deficit to 10-4, Bridge’s second-down pass was intercepted by Brandon Smith, putting the ball right back in the Stamps’ possession.


But the Rider defence, as it had all throughout the first half, responded in a big way. Mitchell’s throw on second down was intercepted by a leaping Ed Gainey, whose ninth interception of the season left the Stamps empty-handed and preserved the Riders’ lead heading to halftime.


The Stampeders opened the second half with their sixth two-and-out of the game, already one shy of a season-high. Meanwhile, after a long, efficient drive deep into Calgary territory, Crapigna’s 18th straight successful field goal restored the Riders’ nine-point lead midway through the quarter.


The early field goal was only the start of what would be the game’s biggest turning point, because on the very next offensive play, Kamar Jorden coughed up the football just before his knee hit the ground, setting the Riders up at the Stamps’ three-yard-line on Jovon Johnson‘s return.


While the Stamps’ defence fought tooth and nail, holding Cameron Marshall to a pair of one-yard runs, Adams Jr. came in and finished the drive on third-and-one, putting the Riders ahead 21-4 with the two-point conversion.


Another potential turning point came soon after. With the Riders already up three scores, Gainey appeared to have his second interception of the game on Mitchell, returning it all the way for what might have been the put-away touchdown. But the play was called back on a personal foul on the quarterback, giving the Stampeders the ball back and new life.


Paredes’ second field goal of the game cut the Stamps’ deficit to 21-7, making it a two-score game and keeping things within reach heading into the fourth quarter.


The game’s defining play came moments later, when Mitchell’s pass fell short while Carter cut off the route, setting up his blocks and running all the way back for the game-clinching touchdown.


While the Riders scored in all three ways — special teams, defence and offence — their defence was the backbone in the victory. In forcing Mitchell out of the game, the Riders allowed only 10 first downs and 168 yards of offence while forcing three turnovers.


They also held the Stampeders to a season-high eight two-and-outs.


The Riders return home to take on the Montreal Alouettes on Oct. 27, while the Stampeders get a long week before facing the Eskimos in a visit to Commonwealth Stadium on Oct. 28.
 

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PREVIEW
ARGOS, BOMBERS EYE PLAYOFF POSITIONING IN SATURDAY CLASH AT BMO



TORONTO — The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts have secured spots in the post-season, but both teams still have plenty to play for when they square off on Saturday afternoon at BMO Field.


A win for the Bombers would clinch their first home playoff date since 2011, while the Argos are still chasing the Ottawa REDBLACKS for top spot in the East and a bye to the division final.


The Bombers punched their ticket to the post-season last week with a 26-20 victory over the BC Lions. Winnipeg jumped out to an early two score lead and was able to hold off the hungry Leos until the final whistle.


It was the special teams and defence leading the way in the Winnipeg win. Kevin Fogg ran past an entire field of Lions’ defenders for an 88-yard punt return touchdown in the first quarter, while T.J. Heath added a pick-six with just under 10 minutes remaining to put the game further out of reach for the Lions.


Winnipeg’s top receiver Darvin Adams left the game against BC with an upper body injury in the first quarter and did not return. Bombers head coach Mike O’Shea said that Adams will not be available for “a number of weeks,” but says there is a chance he will return sometime before the end of the year.


“I don’t want everyone to count him out,” O’Shea told BlueBombers.com. “I know he’s going to work hard and I know given his past history, he’s always become available earlier than expected.”


The Bombers suffered another devastating blow last week as defensive back Moe Leggett tore his Achilles tendon and will miss the remainder of the season.


Winnipeg will have some familiar faces back in the lineup for Week 18. Veteran receiver Weston Dressler will suit up for the first time since exiting the Bomber’s Week 14 win with an upper body injury. Dressler has been nagged by injury trouble all season and also missed four more games earlier in the year.


Ian Wild will also make his way back into the lineup on Saturday. The linebacker has not seen any on field action since exiting with an upper body injury back in Week 3 and will look to ease his way back into the lineup.


Former NFL receiver Chris Givens will also make his CFL debut in Toronto after spending a month on the practice roster. Givens is expected to see time at slotback and on kick returns in place of Ryan Lankford.


The Toronto Argonauts enter Saturday’s contest just one point behind the East-leading REDBLACKS with a game in hand.


Ottawa leapfrogged the Boatmen for top spot in the East after Toronto fell 30-27 to the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 17. Toronto scored the go-ahead touchdown with just over three minutes remaining in the game, but the Esks thwarted the Argos’ comeback efforts by scoring a major with just under a minute to go for the win.


S.J. Green led all receivers with 159 yards and a touchdown on 13 catches while quarterback Ricky Ray completed 32 of 42 passes for 362 yards with one touchdown and an interception.


Green received Shaw Top Performer honours for the fourth time this season.


First-year running back James Wilder Jr. has been cleared to play and will be back in action on Saturday after missing last week’s contest against the Esks. Wilder was placed on the one game injured list after leaving the Argos’ Week 16 contest against the Saskatchewan Roughriders.


While the Argos find themselves in a good position and are within striking distance of the REDBLACKS, their momentum heading into the playoffs has slowed down after dropping their past two games.


Green knows that now is the time for his team to step up.


“We’ve come a long way this season,” Green told Argonauts.ca. “We beat ourselves up a lot… we’ve lost games we shouldn’t have lost. We’re at a point in the season now where those mistakes are magnified and mistakes can’t happen because they’re going to cost us games, cost us playoff positioning. We have to be locked in.”


The Argos’ secondary gets a boost for Saturday’s contest, with veteran corner Akwasi Owusu-Ansah back in the lineup to play boundary corner. That moves rookie Alden Darby Jr. over the field corner and Mitchell White over to halfback.


While Shawn Lemon returned to practice this week, the Argos will have to wait at least another week to get their talented pass rusher back on the D-line. Lemon has been on the six-game injured list since Labour Day back in Week 11.


The Bombers have won their last three games against the Argos. Their most recent victory over the Double Blue was back in Week 3. Andrew Harris had two rushing touchdowns in the Bombers’ 33-25 win at Investors Group Field. Winnipeg jumped out to an early lead after Ryan Lankford ran for a 105-yard touchdown on the opening kickoff.


By The Numbers


5 – Receptions needed by S.J. Green to reach 100 for the season. Only three players in Argos history have made 100-plus catches in one season; Derrell Mitchel, Michael Clemons (twice), and Terry Greer.


8 – Interceptions thrown this season by the Bombers, the lowest in the league.


28 – Games in a row that Matt Nichols has started at quarterback for the Bombers. The last quarterback to start a game for the Bombers other than Nichols was Drew Willy back on July 21, 2016.


129 – Yards needed by Armanti Edwards to reach the 1,000 mark. Edwards would join fellow teammate S.J. Green, who has already surpassed the milestone mark this season. The last time that the Argos had two 1,000 yard receivers in the same year was 2005.


The Skinny:

All eyes will be on Andrew Harris against the Argos, and during the Bombers’ last three games of the season, as the running back has a chance to become the first players in CFL history to reach 1,000 rushing and receiving yards in the same season.


Harris must average 61.3 receiving yards per game and 43 rushing yards per game in his last three contests to achieve the incredible feat. The 30-year-old also only needs six more catches to become the fifth player in Bombers history to reach 100 catches in one season.


Even though the Bombers have secured a playoff spot, O’Shea said earlier this week that he has not yet thought about resting players to prepare of the post-season.


How much closer will Harris get to the historic milestone on Saturday?


Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. ET and can be followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker and seen on TSN.
 

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CFL Record Since July 19th
Date w-l-t % units record


10/21/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
10/20/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
10/18/2017 4-1-0 80.00% +15.00
10/17/2017 8-7-0 53.33% +3.25
10/14/2017 2-1-1 66.67% +4.50
10/13/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/07/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
10/06/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/30/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/29/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
09/23/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -16.00
09/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/15/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017...... 2-0-0....... 100.00%.. +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


totals..........77 - 49 - 2.......61.11%.....+ 113.75
 

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RECAP
BANKS’ BIG DAY LEADS TICATS TO VICTORY AGAINST ALS



MONTREAL — The Hamilton Tiger-Cats scored 40-straight points on the road to hand the Montreal Alouettes a 43-16 loss on Sunday. While the Ticats have been eliminated from playoff contention, the team took big steps towards finishing the season on a positive note.


Brandon Banks created big plays all game long for the Ticats, leading his team in receiving and dominating in the return game with 240 all-purpose yards. The dynamic weapon scored two touchdowns over 60 yards, contributing a 65-yard punt return score and a 65-yard touchdown catch.


Banks finished the game with six catches for 129 yards, his fourth-straight game with over 100 yards receiving.


Jeremiah Masoli further solidified his place as Hamilton’s starting quarterback for the rest of the season, finishing with 320 passing yards and two touchdown throws.


Kicker Kenny Allen remained perfect for Hamilton in his second CFL game, making all five field goal attempts.


Things did not start out on a positive note for the Als on offence, as Darian Durant was intercepted on just the team’s second drive of the game. Ticats defensive back Don Unamba got his hands on the ball to secure his second pick of the season, returning it 11 yards into Montreal territory.


The Ticats capitalized on the turnover and favourable field position, taking the early lead with a 15-yard chip shot field goal from kicker Kenny Allen.


Durant got the Als’ offence going on the following drive, however, and the veteran quarterback bounced back from his earlier interception by leading a 5-play, 80-yard drive to grab the lead.


Durant hooked up with receiver Samuel Giguère for a 17-yard gain before finding Ernest Jackson open in the middle of the end zone for the 15-yard touchdown strike. The score was Jackson’s sixth touchdown catch of the season.


Hamilton responded on offence after Banks took a short catch and turned it into a 22-yard gain. Masoli then found receiver Shamawd Chambers on a 12-yard pass to set up a 48-yard Allen field goal, bringing the Ticats within a point.


The Ticats’ defence forced a Montreal punt on their next drive after linebacker Simoni Lawrence brought Durant down for an 11-yard sack. Banks used his elite speed to return the punt 31 yards, and a 19-yard run from Masoli put Allen in range to add a 45-yard field goal, giving Hamilton their first lead of the game.


The Als’ offence continued to have difficulties moving the ball against Hamilton’s tough defence, and another quick two-and-out led to a game-changing play for the Ticats. Banks once again showed how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands, returning the Boris Bede punt for an incredible 65-yard touchdown to help give Hamilton the 16-7 lead.


The return touchdown was the 11th of Banks’ CFL career, and it was the first return touchdown of the season for the Ticats. Banks also led the Ticats in receiving in the first half, logging three catches for 49 yards.


While Hamilton jumped ahead in the opening half, it was their defence and special teams that made the difference. The Ticats’ offence was forced to settle for their fourth field goal of the half after another drive stalled, but in just his second career CFL game, kicker Kenny Allen remained perfect on every attempt.


Allen knocked through a 28-yard field goal to give Hamilton the 19-7 lead with three minutes left in the third quarter.


Banks even found a way to impact the game when the ball was not in his hands, as a foot race down the right side of the field drew a crucial pass interference penalty. The 48-yard penalty on Als defensive back Tevaughn Campbell set the Ticats’ offence up just inside Montreal’s 15-yard line.


Masoli wasted no time converting the penalty into points for Hamilton, finding receiver Mike Jones near the right side the end zone for the 14-yard touchdown pass. Jones was initially ruled out of bounds, but upon further review it was determined that the receiver somehow managed to get his knee down in bounds with possession.


The impressive touchdown catch was the very first of Jones’ CFL career, giving Hamilton the 26-7 lead heading into half-time.


Montreal elected to make a change at quarterback after the offence failed to gain a single first down in the second quarter, and Matthew Shiltz took over for Durant after the half.


The young quarterback did not fare much better early on, as Shiltz was picked off in the end zone while attempting to find receiver T.J. Graham deep down the field. Defensive back Cariel Brooks picked off the pass for his first interception of the season.


Banks continued his big performance on Hamilton’s next drive, beating Tevaughn Campbell deep down the right sideline for a highlight-reel 65-yard touchdown catch. Banks reeled in the pass over his shoulder against the taller defender before taking it an extra 17 yards into the end zone. The score was Banks’ fourth touchdown catch over 50 yards this season, and it capped off a three-play, 85-yard drive to extend the Ticats’ lead.


Hamilton extended their lead once again at the start of the fourth quarter when Allen made his fifth-straight kick of the game, a 35-yard field goal that put the Ticats on top 36-7.


The Ticats’ defence continued to frustrate the Als in the second half, and Hamilton would put together another long scoring drive after getting the ball back on offence.


Masoli led a six-play, 84-yard drive to set up a four-yard touchdown run from Alex Green, his fourth score of the season. The convert kick from Allen put Hamilton on top 43-7, making it 40-straight points for the Ticats after surrendering the early touchdown.


The Als got on the board for the first time since the opening quarter after Shiltz orchestrated a 79-yard scoring drive, with the quarterback using his arm and legs to bring Montreal’s offence into scoring territory. Running back Tyrell Sutton finished off the drive with a one-yard touchdown run, and Shiltz completed the two-point convert to Jackson to bring the score to 43-15.


Montreal added another point to their total on the following play when Hamilton conceded the single after Bede’s kickoff went into the end zone, but it was much too late.


Week 19 will see the the Alouettes travel to Regina to take on the Roughriders on Friday night, while the Ticats will face the Ottawa REDBLACKS on the road.
 

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WEST DIVISION
RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV



1 Calgary y 16 13 2 1 27 498 297 7-1-0 6-1-1 7-1-0


2 Winnipeg x 16 11 5 0 22 504 451 6-2-0 5-3-0 5-3-0


3 Edmonton x 16 10 6 0 20 453 462 5-3-0 5-3-0


4 Saskatchewan x 16 9 7 0 18 460 390 4-3-0 5-4-0 4-5-0


5 BC 16 6 10 0 12 420 434 3-5-0 3-5-0 2-7-0




EAST DIVISION
RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV



1 Toronto x 17 8 9 0 16 442 443 6-3-0 2-6-0 6-2-0

2 Ottawa x 17 7 9 1 15 454 416 2-5-1 5-4-0 4-3-0

3 Hamilton 16 5 11 0 10 374 504 1-7-0 4-4-0 3-3-0


4 Montreal 16 3 13 0 6 302 510 3-6-0 0-7-0 1-6-0




y - Clinched Division
x - Clinched Playoff Berth
c - Clinched Crossover
 

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CFL Record Since July 19th
Date w-l-t % units record


10/22/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/21/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
10/20/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
10/18/2017 4-1-0 80.00% +15.00
10/17/2017 8-7-0 53.33% +3.25
10/14/2017 2-1-1 66.67% +4.50
10/13/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/07/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
10/06/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/30/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/29/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
09/23/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -16.00
09/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/15/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017...... 2-0-0....... 100.00%.. +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


totals..........78 - 50 - 2.......60.93%.....+ 113.25
 

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 18
October 23, 2017


League Betting Notes



-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 18
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 18
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 18
-- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 18
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 18



Analysis



It was another banner week for road teams in the Canadian Football League, as it was a clean sweep for the away teams against the number at 4-0 ATS. Only Toronto (8-9) protected their home field, edging Winnipeg (11-5) by a 29-28 count. However, the Blue Bombers were able to hang on for their fifth cover across the past six games, and ninth cover over the past 11.


The Argos reclaimed first place in the East Division by a half-game over idle Ottawa (7-9-1). Toronto will have Week 19 off before traveling to meet the BC Lions (6-10) on Nov. 4 in the final weekend of the regular season. The 'over' hit for the Argos this past weekend, and the total has gone over in five of the past six for the division leaders.


Calgary (13-2-1) suffered its first loss since July 14, falling 30-7 at McMahon Stadium against Saskatchewan (9-7). Even more shocking, QB Bo Levi Mitchell struggled with just 14 completions on 27 attempts for 136 yards and two interceptions, perhaps his shoulder hurting more than he initially let on. Similarly in 2014, the Stamps lost at home to the Blue Bombers of Winnipeg late in the season, and that served as a wake-up call for the eventual Grey Cup champs that season. Will history repeat itself?


Team Betting Notes


-- Hamilton (5-11) hammered Montreal (3-13) to likely help them avoid the basement in the East Division for the season. The Tiger-Cats might be a dismal 1-7 at Tim Horton's Field this season, but they're an impressive 4-4 SU on the road. After going 0-3 ATS in their first three forays from home the Ti-Cats have covered five in a row on the road. They have a quick turnaround before meeting the RedBlacks on Friday in Canada's capital city. They won 26-22 in Ottawa back on Sept. 9.


-- The 30-7 win for the Roughriders was their fourth straight win away from home, and they're 3-1 ATS during the span. Unfortunately for Saskatchewan they will be home for their final two regular season outings.


-- BC started out 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS through the first five games, but they have been in freefall ever since. The Lions have dropped five in a row, going 0-5 ATS during the span, and they're 2-9 SU over the past 11 while failing to cover eight of their past nine. They'll meet Winnipeg on Saturday on the road. They just lost to the Bombers on their field by a 26-20 score back on Oct. 14, and they're 0-2 ATS in two previous meetings this season.


-- Edmonton (10-6) continued its up and down season. After starting out 7-0 SU, the Eskimos dropped six in a row before recovering to win three in a row. The 'over' has also hit during each of the wins for the Esks. They'll battle for Alberta next Saturday looking to avenge a pair of losses Sept. 4-9 in a home-and-home with the Stamps.
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
October 24, 2017



This past weekend’s CFL betting action started with Saskatchewan stunning Calgary 30-7 on Friday night as a 10-point road underdog to end the Stampeders straight-up 11-game winning streak. The Roughriders’ upset also sealed up the final berth for this season’s playoffs.


Saturday’s action started with Toronto sneaking past Winnipeg 29-28 as a three-point favorite at home. Later that day, Edmonton topped British Columbia 35-29 in overtime as a slight one-point road underdog. Week 18 in the CFL came to a close on Sunday with Hamilton running all over Montreal 43-16 as a three-point road favorite.

Friday, Oct. 27


Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (7-9-1 SU, 12-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -7
Total: 53.5


Game Overview

Hamilton is playing for pride in this one with just five straight-up wins on the year, but it also has some momentum coming into this game with a SU 5-3 record over its last eight games while going 6-2 against the spread. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 320 yards and two scores in Sunday’s lopsided win against Montreal and he added another 28 yards on the ground running the ball four times.


The RedBlacks are still battling Toronto for the East Division title heading into the final two weeks of the season. They have won three out of their last five games SU while going 4-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in road wins against BC and Saskatchewan in Ottawa’s last two games after staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in 12 of its previous 13 games. Heading into last week’s bye, it had lost four of its last five home games SU.


Betting Trends


-- The road team in this East Division tilt has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS including both games played earlier this season. The total stayed UNDER the closing line in both of those games after going OVER in the previous four meetings.


Montreal Alouettes (3-13 SU, 4-12 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -16.5
Total: 52


Game Overview



Montreal has been riding out the string for quite so time now in what has turned into a nine-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Things have gotten increasingly more lopsided as this losing grew in numbers and going back to a 32-4 loss to Ottawa on Aug. 31, the Alouettes have been outscored by an average margin of 18 points a game. They have scored a grand total of 103 points in those seven losses.


The Roughriders are flying high right now as one of just two CFL teams to post a SU victory against the league’s top team this season. Saskatchewan clinched that final playoff spot with last Friday’s big win and it still has its sights set on moving up the standings in the West with a pair of wins and some help. Wide receiver Duron Carter lined up at cornerback on defense in that game and he returned a Bo Levi Mitchell interception for a score.


Betting Trends


-- Montreal has won the last three meetings SU including a tight 17-16 victory this season back in Week 1 as a seven-point home favorite. The Alouettes also hold a 7-3 edge ATS in the last 10 games with the total staying UNDER in six of the last nine meetings.


Saturday, Oct. 28


British Columbia Lions (6-10 SU, 5-10-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-5 SU, 12-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -5.5
Total: 55.5


Game Overview



With BC officially eliminated from postseason contention, you have to question just how motivated the Lions will be on Saturday in the midst of a five-game losing streak both SU and ATS. They have remained competitive during this slide with four losses by six points or less. Jeremiah Johnson led the team in rushing with 32 yards on nine carries in last week’s loss to Edmonton and he also caught six passes for 44 yards.


The Blue Bombers are still trying to lock up home field advantage in the West for the opening round of the playoffs in light of last week’s loss. Weston Dressler had a big day catching the ball in that losing cause with eight catches for 129 yards and a touchdown. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols completed 75.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 268 yards to raise his season total to 4,442 as the third leading passer in the CFL.

Betting Trends



-- The home team in this West Division matchup is 6-1 SU in the last seven games with Winnipeg going a perfect 7-0 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.


Calgary Stampeders (13-2-1 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (10-6 SU, 6-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4
Total: 54


Game Overview



With the pressure of keeping that extended SU winning streak alive gone following that Week 18 loss, Calgary can begin the process of preparing for a Grey Cup title run as the top seed in the CFL. Looking back at last season’s run to the top spot in the regular season; the Stampeders saw their SU 14-game winning streak also come to an end in a Week 20 loss to Montreal.


Edmonton needs a win in this game to keep its chances of hosting a playoff game alive. Going back to a Week 16 victory against Montreal on the road, the Eskimos have piled up an average of 35.7 points over their last three games. Mike Reilly added 397 more passing yards to his league-high 5,252 yards in last week’s win and Adarius Bowman caught nine passes for 136 yards and a score to lead all receivers.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary won both games SU this season to extend its SU winning streak in this series to five games. The Stampeders have the slight 3-2 edge ATS with the total going OVER in four of those five games.
 

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Long Sheet


Week 19



Friday, October 27


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAMILTON (5 - 11) at OTTAWA (7 - 9 - 1) - 10/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (3 - 13) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 7) - 10/27/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 10) at WINNIPEG (11 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (13 - 2 - 1) at EDMONTON (10 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------






CFL


Week 19



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, October 27


HAMILTON @ OTTAWA
Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton


MONTREAL @ SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 14 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games at home




Saturday, October 28


BRITISH COLUMBIA @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of British Columbia's last 23 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


CALGARY @ EDMONTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Calgary
 

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Dunkel

Week 19

Friday, October 27

Hamilton @ Ottawa

Game 601-602
October 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
116.386
Ottawa
116.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
Even
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+7); Under

Montreal @ Saskatchewan

Game 603-604
October 27, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
101.393
Saskatchewan
115.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 16 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+16 1/2); Under


Saturday, October 28

BC Lions @ Winnipeg

Game 605-606
October 28, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
108.829
Winnipeg
116.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 8
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 5 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-5 1/2); Under

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 607-608
October 28, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
119.329
Edmonton
113.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 6
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-3 1/2); Under




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 19

Hamilton (5-11) @ Ottawa (7-9-1)— Hamilton is 5-3 in its last eight games (6-2 vs spread) after an 0-8 start; Ti-Cats covered their last five road games. Ottawa is 6-3 in its last nine games, but they lost four of last five at home, are 2-4 as home favorites. Ottawa won five of last seven series games; road team won last four series games. TiCats won last two visits here, 39-36ot/26-22- over is 4-2 in last six series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven Ottawa games, 3-1 in last four Hamilton games.

Montreal (3-13) @ Saskatchewan (9-7)— Montreal is in tank, losing last nine games (0-9 vs spread); they’re 2-5 as a road underdog. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Saskatchewan won three of last four games, beating Calgary LW; Riders are 3-2 as a home favorites this season. Alouettes won last three series games; they beat Riders 17-16 (-7) in season opener this summer. under is 10-5 in last 15 series games. Under is 5-1 in last six Saskatchewan games, 1-5 in Montreal’s last six games.

BC Lions (6-10) @ Winnipeg (11-5)— Home side won six of last seven series games; Blue Bombers won five of those seven games- Lions lost last three visits to Manitoba, by 8-2-6 points. Over is 5-1 in last six series games. BC lost five games in row and 9 of last 11; they’re 1-4 as road underdogs this year, losing last five road games, by 11-33-7-14-6 points. Winnipeg won five of last six games; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11- they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Under is 6-3-1 in Lions’ last 10 games, 4-1 in last five Bomber games.

Calgary (13-2-1) @ Edmonton (10-6)— Stampeders won last four series games; they won last two visits here, 34-28/25-22. Four of last five series games went over total. Calgary had its 11-game win streak snapped at home by the Riders LW; Stampeders are 4-4 as a road favorite this year- they won last five road games SU. Eskimos won their last three games after an 0-6 skid; they lost three of their last four home games. Over is 7-2 in last nine Edmonton games, 3-6 in last nine Calgary games
 

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CFL Record Since July 19th
Date w-l-t % units record


10/22/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/21/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
10/20/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
10/18/2017 4-1-0 80.00% +15.00
10/17/2017 8-7-0 53.33% +3.25
10/14/2017 2-1-1 66.67% +4.50
10/13/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/07/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
10/06/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/30/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/29/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
09/23/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -16.00
09/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/15/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017...... 2-0-0....... 100.00%.. +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


totals..........78 - 50 - 2.......60.93%.....+ 113.25





************************


FRIDAY, OCTOBER 27
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



HAM at OTT 07:00 PM
HAM +6.5 *****
O 53.5 *****



MTL at SSK 09:30 PM
MTL +16.5
O 51.0 *****




SATURDAY, OCTOBER 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



BC at WPG 04:00 PM
WPG -6.5 *****
O 55.0


CGY at EDM 07:00 PM
EDM +3.0 *****
U 54.0
 

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CFL Record Since July 19th
Date w-l-t % units record

10/28/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/27/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
10/22/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/21/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
10/20/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
10/18/2017 4-1-0 80.00% +15.00
10/17/2017 8-7-0 53.33% +3.25
10/14/2017 2-1-1 66.67% +4.50
10/13/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/07/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
10/06/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/30/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/29/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
09/23/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -16.00
09/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/15/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017...... 2-0-0....... 100.00%.. +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........83 - 53 - 2.......61.02%.....+ 121.75
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 20
David Schwab


Heading into this final week of the CFL regular season, Ottawa took a big step towards claiming its second-straight East Division title last Friday with a 41-36 victory against Hamilton as a 6 ½-point home favorite. In Friday’s other CFL action, Saskatchewan ran all over Montreal 37-12, but it just missed covering against the spread as a huge 16.5-point home favorite.


Saturday’s slate started off with British Columbia getting past Winnipeg 36-27 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton made it a 4-0 clean sweep for the underdogs ATS in Week 19 by pulling off a stunning 29-20 outright upset over Calgary as a three-point dog at home.


Friday, Nov. 3


Montreal Alouettes (3-14 SU, 4-13 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-12 SU, 9-8 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -12.5
Total: 53


Game Overview


Montreal has to be relieved to see this nightmare of a season finally come to an end. After starting out 2-2 both straight-up and against the spread, the Alouettes have only managed to win one more game over the past 15 weeks. The last time they covered a spread was in that early August victory against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.


Hamilton’s second-half spurt with a SU 5-4 record in its last nine games gives some hope for next season after a 0-8 start put an early end to this year’s title hopes. The Tiger-Cats have gone a profitable 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with the total going OVER in four of the last five contests. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 438 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s loss to Ottawa.


Betting Trends


-- The road team in this East Division rivalry has won five of the last six meetings SU while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. The total went OVER in the last two matchups after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-6 SU, 12-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-3-1 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53.5


Game Overview


Back-to-back losses to Toronto on the road and BC at home have created a three-team log-jam in the West for the second seed in the playoffs. Winnipeg does have the tie-breaker against the other two teams, but it still needs to win this game to lockup home field for the opening round. Injuries will make that task all the more harder, especially if quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris remain out of the lineup after going down in last week’s loss to the Lions.


It is hard to know what is going on with the CFL’s top team following Calgary’s recent losses to Saskatchewan at home and to Edmonton on the road. This snapped a record-103 games where the Stampeders were able two avoid posting two losses in a row. They have only managed to score a combined 27 points in those two defeats against a season scoring average of 30.5 points per game.


Betting Trends


-- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU including a 29-10 victory on July 17 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Stampeders also have a 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Winnipeg with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of the last eight games in this West Division clash.


Saturday, Nov. 4


Edmonton Eskimos (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskachewan -5.5
Total: 54.5


Game Overview


It has been a wild ride for the Eskimos to this point in a season that started with a SU seven-game winning streak followed by six losses in a row. With last week’s upset against Calgary, they have now won their last four games SU while going 3-1 ATS. Mike Reilly has been near or at the top of the list in passing all season long with a CFL-high 5,536 yards and he has also led the way in touchdown passes with 30.


The Roughriders will try and end the season with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after beating Calgary on the road before last week’s win at home against Montreal. Saskatchewan has actually won four of its last five games SU with a 3-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of its last seven games.


Betting Trends


-- Saskatchewan has covered ATS in the last four meetings with the series tied 2-2 SU. The Roughriders took the total OVER 53 ½ points on their own earlier this season with a 54-31 victory against the Eskimos as 5 ½-point road underdogs.


Toronto Argonauts (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-10 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1
Total: 52


Game Overview


Toronto is coming off a bye last week and with a win in this regular season finale it would lay claim to the East Division title and a first-round bye in the postseason. The Argonauts are 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games behind an offense that has averaged 31.7 points during this same span. Ricky Ray is second in the CFL in passing yards (5,205) and tied for fourth in touchdown throws (25).


The Lions are relegated to playing the role of spoiler after posting just their second SU win in their last 10 games following Saturday’s upset against Winnipeg. It was also just the second that BC covered the spread during this extended slide. Jonathon Jennings torched the Blue Bombers’ defensive secondary in that game with 408 yards passing and four touchdowns while completing 30 of his 40 passing attempts.


Betting Trends


-- The road team is a perfect 7-0 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this inter-division tilt. BC drew first blood this season with a 28-15 victory on June 30 as a two-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in that win and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings.
 

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CFL
Dunkel


Week 20



Friday, November 3

Montreal @ Hamilton


Game 651-652
November 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
100.309
Hamilton
111.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 14
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+14); Under


Winnipeg @ Calgary



Game 653-654
November 3, 2017 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.668
Calgary
116.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+10 1/2); Under





Saturday, November 4

Edmonton @ Saskatchewan


Game 655-656
November 4, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
119.893
Saskatchewan
117.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+4); Over


Toronto @ BC Lions



Game 657-658
November 4, 2017 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
111.525
BC Lions
115.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 4
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+1); Over









CFL
Long Sheet


Week 20



Friday, November 3


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTREAL (3 - 14) at HAMILTON (5 - 12) - 11/3/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MONTREAL is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (11 - 6) at CALGARY (13 - 3 - 1) - 11/3/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, November 4


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (11 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 7) - 11/4/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (8 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 10) - 11/4/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 20



Montreal (3-14) @ Hamilton (5-12)— Season mercifully ends for Alouettes here; they lost their last ten games (0-10 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread as a road underdog this year. Hamilton (-3.5) won first meeting 43-16 at home two weeks ago; they’re 4-1 in last five games against Montreal. Five of last seven games stayed under. Ti-Cats are 3-4 in last seven games; they covered seven of last nine. Hamilton is 1-1 vs spread as a favorite this season. Over is 5-2 in last seven Montreal games, 4-1 in Hamilton’s last five.


Winnipeg (11-6) @ Calgary (13-3-1)— Stampeders lost last two games, as they sleepwalk until playoffs start; they won 29-10 at Winnipeg (-3.5) in first meeting way back on July 7. Calgary is 17-1 in its last 18 games vs Winnipeg, winning last seven- under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Blue Bombers lost their last 14 visits to Calgary (4-8-2 vs spread). Winnipeg lost three of last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog this season. Calgary is 6-2 as a home favorite this year. Under is 5-2 in Stampeders’ last seven games. Winnipeg needs win here to clinch 2nd in West.


Edmonton (11-6) @ Saskatchewan (10-7)— Roughriders (+6) pounded Eskimos 54-31 in first meeting August 25, just their 3rd win in last 11 series games- game was 40-7 after the third quarter, Edmonton turned ball over five times. Teams split their last six games played in Regina. Edmonton won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 3-3 as a road underdog- over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Saskatchewan won four of last five games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a home favorite. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.


Toronto (8-9) @ BCLions (7-10)— Toronto needs win here to win Eastern title. Arognauts won four of last six games; they had a bye last week. Lions (+1) won 28-15 in Toronto back in Week 2— visiting team won last seven series games; Argonauts won their last three visits here, by 17-3-11 points. Last four series games stayed under the total. Lions snapped 5-game skid LW with win at Winnipeg; they lost their last three home games. Over is 5-1 in last six Toronto games, 3-1 in Lions’ last four games.








CFL


Week 20



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, November 3


MONTREAL @ HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


WINNIPEG @ CALGARY
Winnipeg is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Winnipeg's last 15 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home




Saturday, November 4


EDMONTON @ SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton


TORONTO @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Toronto
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MTL at HAM 07:00 PM
HAM -13.5 *****
O 51.0 *****


WPG at CGY 09:30 PM
CGY -10.0
O 51.5 *****




SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


EDM at SSK 07:00 PM
SSK -3.5 *****
O 53.5 *****


TOR at BC 10:00 PM
BC +1.0
U 52.5 *****
 

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CFL November Record: All Picks Based On 5 Units

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/04/2017 0-0-0 0.00% +0 Detail
11/03/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/04/2017 0-0-0 0.00% +0
11/03/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

Best Bets:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

..............................ATS............................Units.......................O/U..............................Units

11/03/2017.............0 - 1..........................- 5.00.......................0 - 1.............................-5.00
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 20
David Schwab


Heading into this final week of the CFL regular season, Ottawa took a big step towards claiming its second-straight East Division title last Friday with a 41-36 victory against Hamilton as a 6 ½-point home favorite. In Friday’s other CFL action, Saskatchewan ran all over Montreal 37-12, but it just missed covering against the spread as a huge 16.5-point home favorite.


Saturday’s slate started off with British Columbia getting past Winnipeg 36-27 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton made it a 4-0 clean sweep for the underdogs ATS in Week 19 by pulling off a stunning 29-20 outright upset over Calgary as a three-point dog at home.


Friday, Nov. 3


Montreal Alouettes (3-14 SU, 4-13 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-12 SU, 9-8 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -12.5
Total: 53


Game Overview


Montreal has to be relieved to see this nightmare of a season finally come to an end. After starting out 2-2 both straight-up and against the spread, the Alouettes have only managed to win one more game over the past 15 weeks. The last time they covered a spread was in that early August victory against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.


Hamilton’s second-half spurt with a SU 5-4 record in its last nine games gives some hope for next season after a 0-8 start put an early end to this year’s title hopes. The Tiger-Cats have gone a profitable 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with the total going OVER in four of the last five contests. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 438 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s loss to Ottawa.


Betting Trends


-- The road team in this East Division rivalry has won five of the last six meetings SU while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. The total went OVER in the last two matchups after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-6 SU, 12-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-3-1 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53.5


Game Overview


Back-to-back losses to Toronto on the road and BC at home have created a three-team log-jam in the West for the second seed in the playoffs. Winnipeg does have the tie-breaker against the other two teams, but it still needs to win this game to lockup home field for the opening round. Injuries will make that task all the more harder, especially if quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris remain out of the lineup after going down in last week’s loss to the Lions.


It is hard to know what is going on with the CFL’s top team following Calgary’s recent losses to Saskatchewan at home and to Edmonton on the road. This snapped a record-103 games where the Stampeders were able two avoid posting two losses in a row. They have only managed to score a combined 27 points in those two defeats against a season scoring average of 30.5 points per game.


Betting Trends


-- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU including a 29-10 victory on July 17 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Stampeders also have a 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Winnipeg with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of the last eight games in this West Division clash.


Saturday, Nov. 4


Edmonton Eskimos (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskachewan -5.5
Total: 54.5


Game Overview


It has been a wild ride for the Eskimos to this point in a season that started with a SU seven-game winning streak followed by six losses in a row. With last week’s upset against Calgary, they have now won their last four games SU while going 3-1 ATS. Mike Reilly has been near or at the top of the list in passing all season long with a CFL-high 5,536 yards and he has also led the way in touchdown passes with 30.


The Roughriders will try and end the season with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after beating Calgary on the road before last week’s win at home against Montreal. Saskatchewan has actually won four of its last five games SU with a 3-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of its last seven games.


Betting Trends


-- Saskatchewan has covered ATS in the last four meetings with the series tied 2-2 SU. The Roughriders took the total OVER 53 ½ points on their own earlier this season with a 54-31 victory against the Eskimos as 5 ½-point road underdogs.


Toronto Argonauts (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-10 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1
Total: 52


Game Overview


Toronto is coming off a bye last week and with a win in this regular season finale it would lay claim to the East Division title and a first-round bye in the postseason. The Argonauts are 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games behind an offense that has averaged 31.7 points during this same span. Ricky Ray is second in the CFL in passing yards (5,205) and tied for fourth in touchdown throws (25).


The Lions are relegated to playing the role of spoiler after posting just their second SU win in their last 10 games following Saturday’s upset against Winnipeg. It was also just the second that BC covered the spread during this extended slide. Jonathon Jennings torched the Blue Bombers’ defensive secondary in that game with 408 yards passing and four touchdowns while completing 30 of his 40 passing attempts.


Betting Trends


-- The road team is a perfect 7-0 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this inter-division tilt. BC drew first blood this season with a 28-15 victory on June 30 as a two-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in that win and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings.
 

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CFL
Dunkel


Week 20



Friday, November 3

Montreal @ Hamilton


Game 651-652
November 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
100.309
Hamilton
111.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 14
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+14); Under


Winnipeg @ Calgary



Game 653-654
November 3, 2017 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.668
Calgary
116.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+10 1/2); Under





Saturday, November 4

Edmonton @ Saskatchewan


Game 655-656
November 4, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
119.893
Saskatchewan
117.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+4); Over


Toronto @ BC Lions



Game 657-658
November 4, 2017 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
111.525
BC Lions
115.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 4
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+1); Over









CFL
Long Sheet


Week 20



Friday, November 3


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTREAL (3 - 14) at HAMILTON (5 - 12) - 11/3/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MONTREAL is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (11 - 6) at CALGARY (13 - 3 - 1) - 11/3/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, November 4


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (11 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 7) - 11/4/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (8 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 10) - 11/4/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 20



Montreal (3-14) @ Hamilton (5-12)— Season mercifully ends for Alouettes here; they lost their last ten games (0-10 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread as a road underdog this year. Hamilton (-3.5) won first meeting 43-16 at home two weeks ago; they’re 4-1 in last five games against Montreal. Five of last seven games stayed under. Ti-Cats are 3-4 in last seven games; they covered seven of last nine. Hamilton is 1-1 vs spread as a favorite this season. Over is 5-2 in last seven Montreal games, 4-1 in Hamilton’s last five.


Winnipeg (11-6) @ Calgary (13-3-1)— Stampeders lost last two games, as they sleepwalk until playoffs start; they won 29-10 at Winnipeg (-3.5) in first meeting way back on July 7. Calgary is 17-1 in its last 18 games vs Winnipeg, winning last seven- under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Blue Bombers lost their last 14 visits to Calgary (4-8-2 vs spread). Winnipeg lost three of last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog this season. Calgary is 6-2 as a home favorite this year. Under is 5-2 in Stampeders’ last seven games. Winnipeg needs win here to clinch 2nd in West.


Edmonton (11-6) @ Saskatchewan (10-7)— Roughriders (+6) pounded Eskimos 54-31 in first meeting August 25, just their 3rd win in last 11 series games- game was 40-7 after the third quarter, Edmonton turned ball over five times. Teams split their last six games played in Regina. Edmonton won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 3-3 as a road underdog- over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Saskatchewan won four of last five games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a home favorite. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.


Toronto (8-9) @ BCLions (7-10)— Toronto needs win here to win Eastern title. Arognauts won four of last six games; they had a bye last week. Lions (+1) won 28-15 in Toronto back in Week 2— visiting team won last seven series games; Argonauts won their last three visits here, by 17-3-11 points. Last four series games stayed under the total. Lions snapped 5-game skid LW with win at Winnipeg; they lost their last three home games. Over is 5-1 in last six Toronto games, 3-1 in Lions’ last four games.








CFL


Week 20



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, November 3


MONTREAL @ HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


WINNIPEG @ CALGARY
Winnipeg is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Winnipeg's last 15 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home




Saturday, November 4


EDMONTON @ SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton


TORONTO @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Toronto
 

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CFL Record Since July 19th
Date w-l-t % units record


11/04/2017 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
11/03/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/28/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/27/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
10/22/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/21/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
10/20/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
10/18/2017 4-1-0 80.00% +15.00
10/17/2017 8-7-0 53.33% +3.25
10/14/2017 2-1-1 66.67% +4.50
10/13/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
10/07/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
10/06/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/30/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/29/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% – 0.50
09/23/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -16.00
09/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/15/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017…… 2-0-0……. 100.00%.. +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


totals……….84– 60 – 2…….58.33%…..+ 88.25
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Semis
David Schwab


Hamilton failed to qualify for this year’s CFL Grey Cup Playoffs, but it ended its season on a high note with Friday’s 33-0 shutout of Montreal as a heavy 15-point home favorite. Later that night, Winnipeg sealed the No. 2 spot in the West Division by beating Calgary 23-5 as a 7 ½-point underdog on the road.


Saturday’s betting action starting with Edmonton grinding out an 11-7 win on the road against Saskatchewan as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. Toronto locked up the East Division title with a 40-13 romp over British Columbia as a slight two-point road favorite.


Sunday, Nov. 12


East Division Semifinals (ESPN2, 1:00 p.m. ET)


Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (8-9-1 SU, 12-6 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 51


Game Overview


The Roughriders finished the regular season on a straight-up 4-2 run while going 3-3 against the spread. They went 5-4 ATS this year on the road and the total stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last four road games. Over the course of its final five games, Saskatchewan was able to post at least 27 points in four of those games to end the season scoring average to 28.3 points per game.


Kevin Glenn led the ‘Riders offense at quarterback with 4,038 passing yards and 25 passing touchdowns. His top target in the passing game was Duron Carter with 73 receptions for 1,043 yards. Cameron Marshall was the team’s leading rusher with 543 yards on 101 carries, but he remains questionable for Sunday with a bad knee. Saskatchewan’s defense was second in the CFL in points allowed (23.9).


Ottawa finished its regular season on a SU three-game winning streak and it covered the spread in three of its last four games. The total went OVER the closing line in those last three games after staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in its previous eight contests. The RedBlacks posted a 2-4 record ATS in their last six home games.


The big question heading into this inter-division matchup is the health of quarterback Trevor Harris, who left his last start with a hand injury. He was fourth on the list in passing yards this season with 4,679 and tied for the lead in touchdown throws with 30. If for some reason he cannot go, look for William Powell to get the call.


Betting Trends


-- Ottawa has a 5-2 edge ATS in its last seven games against Saskatchewan with the total going OVER the closing betting line in four of the last five meetings. The road team won each of the two matchups this season SU with the RedBlacks covering the spread both times. Both games were decided by a single point.


West Division Semifinals (ESPNNews, 4:30 p.m. ET)


Edmonton Eskimos (12-6 SU, 8-10 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (12-6 SU, 13-5 ATS)

Point-spread: PICK
Total: 56


Game Overview


Following Edmonton this season was a crazy ride with a SU seven-game run to start the year followed by a six-game slide. The Eskimos were able to regain that winning form with a SU five-game winning streak to close out the year. While they were not one of the best betting teams in the CFL this year, they did close things out with a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games. The total went OVER in 10 of their last 14 games.


Led by the CFL’s most prolific passer in Mike Reilly, Edmonton averaged 28.4 PPG. This was the third-highest scoring average in the league. Reilly threw for 5,830 yards and 30 touchdowns this season with Brandon Zylstra hauling in 100 receptions for 1,687 yards as the CFL top receiver in that category as well.


The Blue Bombers’ upset victory against Calgary in Week 20 was just their third SU win in the last five games following a run of eight victories in their previous nine contests. They still managed to post a 6-2 record ATS in their final eight games with the total staying UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Winnipeg was 5-3 ATS this season when closing as a favorite.


This is another team that knew how to put points on the board this season with an average of 30.8 PPG that was tops in the CFL. Matt Nichols had the fifth-most passing yards with 4,472 and he was tied for second in passing touchdowns with 28. Winnipeg also had one of the best ground games in the league led by Andrew Harris’s CFL-high 1,035 rushing yards.


Betting Trends


-- The road team has won five of the last six meetings SU with Winnipeg holding a 4-2 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last 10 games between the two. As far as this season’s series, the Blue Bombers won both meetings SU and ATS.
 

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