Cnotes 2016 NCAA Basketball News-Trends-Picks !

[CNOTES]

BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time


8:00 pm 12/11/2016
(731) UC-SANTA BARBARA @(732) SAN DIEGO
Play ON UC-SANTA BARBARA in the first half in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games.
The record is 13 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)
BET NOW!


8:00 pm 12/11/2016
(731) UC-SANTA BARBARA @(732) SAN DIEGO
Play ON UC-SANTA BARBARA in the first half in Road games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!


6:00 pm 12/11/2016
(727) ST JOSEPHS @(728) DREXEL
Play ON ST JOSEPHS in the first half in Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.
The record is 17 Wins and 4 Losses since 1997 (+12.6 units)
BET NOW!


6:00 pm 12/11/2016
(725) ALABAMA @(726) OREGON
Play ON OREGON in the first half in Home games after scoring 80 points or more.
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!


6:00 pm 12/11/2016
(739) SAVANNAH ST @(740) OREGON ST
Play AGAINST OREGON ST in the first half in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses this season (-7.7 units)
BET NOW!


6:00 pm 12/11/2016
(739) SAVANNAH ST @(740) OREGON ST
Play AGAINST OREGON ST in the first half in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses this season (-7.7 units)
BET NOW!


5:00 pm 12/11/2016
(723) N ILLINOIS @(724) MINNESOTA
Play ON N ILLINOIS in the first half in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!


---------------------------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time Over


8:00 pm 12/11/2016
(731) UC-SANTA BARBARA @(732) SAN DIEGO
Play OVER UC-SANTA BARBARA on the first half total in All games in December games.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders for the last three seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!


5:00 pm 12/11/2016
(723) N ILLINOIS @(724) MINNESOTA
Play OVER N ILLINOIS on the first half total in Road games when playing with 7 or more days rest.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders since 1997 (+8 units)
BET NOW!


5:00 pm 12/11/2016
(721) TENNESSEE @(722) N CAROLINA
Play OVER TENNESSEE on the first half total in Road games against ACC opponents.
The record is 9 Overs and 0 Unders since 1997 (+9 units)
BET NOW!


------------------------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time Under


4:00 pm 12/11/2016
(717) FLORIDA @(718) FLORIDA ST
Play UNDER FLORIDA ST on the first half total in All games as a home favorite of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 5 Overs and 25 Unders since 1997 (+19.5 units)
BET NOW!


----------------------------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Under


6:00 pm 12/11/2016
(725) ALABAMA @(726) OREGON
Play UNDER OREGON on the total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 9 Overs and 23 Unders for the last two seasons (+13.1 units)
BET NOW!


12:00 pm 12/11/2016
(737) LONG ISLAND @(738) ST JOHNS
Play UNDER ST JOHNS on the total in All games after scoring 80 points or more.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

 

[CNOTES]

DAILY PLAYS RECORD:


12/01/2016 7-7-0 50.00% -350
12/02/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
12/03/2016 40-38-1 51.28% -900
12/04/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/05/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/06/2016 16-17-1 48.48% -1350
12/07/2016 22-19-0 53.66% +550
12/08/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
12/09/2016 2-1-0 66.67% +450
12/10/2016 43-39-3 52.44% +50


WLT Pct Units


ATS Picks 396-386-13 50.64% -14300


O/U Picks 72-70-2 50.70% -2500


DAILY BEST BETS:


12/10/16: 18 - 22 - 0


DEC- RECORD


ATS - 65 - 48 - 0 + 6100
TOTALS - 10 - 9 - 0 + 50


OCT-NOV BEST BET RECORD
ATS Picks 124 -113- 1 52.32 % - 150
O/U Picks 14 - 17 - 3 45.16% - 2336


NOVEMBERS BIG PLAYS GO 13 - 7


DECEMBERS BIG PLAYS - 19 - 16 - 1

 

[CNOTES]

Florida at Florida State
December 10, 2016


All is not well in Gator Nation. The Florida football team repeated as SEC East champion with an epic win at LSU, but the Gators have taken double-digit pimpslaps at FSU and vs. Alabama in the last two weeks.


Although it won’t eliminate the pain of those defeats, perhaps UF fans can take some solace and sleep a touch better if the Gators can go into Tallahassee and beat the Seminoles in college hoops Sunday afternoon.


One offshore book opened FSU (9-1 straight up, 6-2 against the spread) as a 2.5-point home favorite.


Leonard Hamilton’s team is unbeaten in seven home games with a 4-1 spread record. The ‘Noles are off a 118-63 win over Nicholls St. as a 26-point home favorite. P.J. Savory led the way with a team-best 18 points on 6-of-14 shooting from 3-point range, while Xavier Rathan-Mayes produced 16 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and three steals in only 22 minutes of playing time. Dwayne Bacon added 16 points, five boards and four assists without a turnover.


FSU is ranked eighth in the nation in scoring, averaging 90.3 points per game. The ‘Noles are fourth in the country in field-goal percentage (52.4%). They defend well also, ranking 13th in defensive field-goal percentage (36.2%) and 25th at defending the 3-point line (28.0%).


Jonathan Isaac, a 6’10” freshman forward who was a five-star recruit, has missed three straight games with a hip injury. Isaac, who averaged 15.1 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.3 blocked shots, 1.1 assists and 1.1 steals per game in the team’s first seven contests, is listed as ‘questionable’ against UF. Also, junior forward Phil Cofer (4.3 PPG, 2.3 RPG) is ‘questionable’ due to a foot injury that’s forced him to miss the last two games.


Bacon is averaging a team-best 16.6 PPG. He’s making 50.4 percent of his shots from the field and 40.9 percent from 3-point range. Savoy is averaging 12.8 PPG despite playing an average of only 12 minutes per contest. He is knocking down 51.7 percent of his launches from downtown.


Rathan-Mayes (9.8 PPG) can be an explosive scorer but is distributing more this season with a 50/20 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Trent Forrest, a true freshman out of Chipley High School, the same program that produced half-brothers Amp Lee and Tony Davis, is averaging 7.3 points, 4.1 rebounds and has a 26/11 assists-to-turnovers ratio.


FSU has been a single-digit favorite three times, compiling a 1-2 spread record. The Seminoles’ only defeat was an 89-86 setback vs. Temple at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. They own quality wins over the likes of George Washington, Minnesota and Illinois.


Florida (7-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) is off an 84-74 loss to Duke as a seven-point underdog Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York City. Mike White’s second team at UF played well for the most part, but it gave up too many offensive rebounds that often resulted in wild scrambles, an extra Duke pass an open jumper for Luke Kennard, who hit 5-of-7 from 3-point land in a 29-point effort.


KeVaughn Allen wouldn’t let UF go away, though, scoring a team-best 21 points on 8-of-12 shooting from the field, including three buckets on five attempts from long distance. Kasey Hill contributed 13 points, seven rebounds and five assists, while Devin Robinson was also in double figures with 11 points. John Egbunu finished with nine points, 10 boards and a pair of blocked shots, but he was an abysmal 2-of-9 from the field.


UF still hasn’t played at home this year with the O-Dome’s $65 million renovation still in progress. The Gators are expected to play their first home game on Dec. 21 against Arkansas-Little Rock. They’ve played just one true road game, coasting to a 91-60 victory at North Florida in a non-lined affair.


This situation has led UF to play all across the Sunshine State to date, including games in Kissimmee, Lakeland, Orlando and Jacksonville. The Gators’ only other loss besides Duke came against Gonzaga (81-76). They have posted quality victories over Saint Bonaventure, Seton Hall and Miami, in addition to decent wins over mid-majors like Belmont, Mercer and Florida Gulf Coast.


Florida is 0-2 both SU and ATS in a pair of underdog spots.


Florida has plenty of size, depth and speed. The biggest improvement from this squad has been at the free-throw line. Atrocious shooting at the charity stripe has been the difference between the NIT and the NCAA Tournament in back-to-back campaigns. However, the Gators are making 75.1 percent from the line this year, which ranks 47th in the country.


Allen leads UF in scoring (13.3 PPG) and steals (1.6 SPG). Egbunu (9.1 PPG) averages team-highs in rebounds (7.8 RPG) and blocked shots (2.3 BPG). Robinson is scoring at a 11.7 PPG clip and is pulling down 5.4 RPG. Canyon Barry (11.4 PPG), a grad transfer from College of Charleston who is the youngest son of NBA Hall of Famer Rick Barry, brings plenty of scoring punch off the bench for the Gators’ second unit.


Hill, the team’s starting senior point guard who was once a five-star recruit, is averaging 8.2 points, 4.1 assists, 2.89 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game. His back-up, junior Chris Chiozza (6.2 PPG, 27/12 assists-to-turnovers ratio) out of Memphis, is listed as ‘questionable’ with a thigh contusion. Where I come from, we call that injury a ‘Charley Horse’ and I took many of those way back when the same way Chiozza did against Duke. As a big man came and set a pick on Chiozza, the knee went right into the 5’8” PG’s thigh as he was sliding his feet defensively.


The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for FSU, 4-1 in its home outings. Meanwhile, UF has seen the ‘under’ go 4-3 overall.


When these schools met in Gainesville last year, FSU won a 73-71 decision as a 4.5-point road underdog. Bacon’s team-best 24 points paced the winners, while Allen had a game-high 32 points. The Seminoles have won back-to-back meetings and have covered in three straight.


Tip-off in Tally will take place at 4:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- The ‘under’ is 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between UF and FSU.


-- Going back to last season, the ‘over’ is 7-1 in UF’s last eight road contests.


-- FSU’s Isaac has scored in double figures in all seven games he’s played. He has a pair of double-doubles to his credit, including a 14-13 effort in a 75-67 win over Minnesota.


-- Villanova remained undefeated Saturday afternoon in Newark, N.J., by rallying to clip previously-unbeaten Notre Dame by a 74-66 count. The Wildcats were led by Josh Hart, who finished with 37 points, 11 rebounds, two steals and four assists compared to merely one turnover. They took the cash as five-point favorites after trailing for the first 30-plus minutes of the game. The Irish were led by Matt Farrell and Steve Vasturia, who scored 18 points apiece.


-- Sunday is big for the SEC. The league sure could use a UF victory at FSU and an Alabama win at Oregon. Those would be two huge non-conference wins that would help the entire conference immensely.


- -One offshore had the Ducks installed as 11.5-point home ‘chalk’ versus the Crimson Tide. This game will tip at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Flying Dutchmen (6-4) at Wildcats (8-1)
Date: December 11, 2016 3:00 PM EDT

LEXINGTON, Ky. -- No. 6 Kentucky (8-1) has played its final game at Rupp Arena for the 2016 calendar year and now begins a four-game road swing on Sunday against Hofstra at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y.


The game is part of a doubleheader in the Brooklyn Hoops Winter Festival. St. John's, featuring second-year coach Chris Mullins, faces LIU-Brooklyn in the second contest.


"When you talk about the storied programs in college basketball, Kentucky's certainly one of the first to come out of your mouth," Hofstra coach Joe Mihalich said. "Our kids, for the rest of their lives, can tell their children, their grandchildren that they played against Kentucky in the Barclays Center on national TV."


Last year, Hofstra enjoyed a 24-10 season that included an NIT berth. This year, the Pride is 6-4 as they work to replace leading scorers Juan'ya Green and Ameen Tanksley.


Several candidates are coming to the forefront. Freshman point guard Eli Pemberton leads Hofstra in scoring at 15.3 points per game and followed by senior guard Brian Bernardi at 14.1 and senior guard Deron Powers (12.5). But the biggest name to leap off the page is junior center Rokas Gustys, who leads the nation in rebounding at 13.8 per game.


"We have the pieces," Mihalich said. "We just got to get them clicking at the right time, like we were able to do last year."


Hofstra has won four of its last five games. The Pride defeated South Dakota, Medaille, Columbia and Florida Atlantic before falling to St. Bonaventure 81-75 on Tuesday.


Kentucky's only loss was 97-92 to UCLA last Saturday, snapping its 42-game win streak at Rupp Arena. The Wildcats have beaten the likes of Michigan State, Arizona State and Valparaiso 87-63 in its last outing Wednesday.


The Wildcats, who average 94.2 points per game, are led in scoring by three guards. Freshman Malik Monk averages 19.3 points, sophomore Isaiah Briscoe 16.3 and freshman De'Aaron Fox is at 15.1 Freshman forward Bam Adebayo comes in at 12.4 points and a team-best 8.1 rebounds per game.


For coach John Calipari, the Hofstra game is the start of building momentum toward conference play.


"All we talked about was energy," Calipari said of this week's preparation. "I worked for two days just on our team."


Calipari is trying to build the urgency needed at this level on a team dominated by freshmen, including four in the starting lineup.


"If someone didn't play, I subbed them. You're out," Calipari said. "You're either playing like there's no tomorrow, and that doesn't mean foul and go nuts, it means you play with unbelievable energy or you're out. I'm playing somebody else."


To that end, Calipari changed up practice. Instead of starters going against backups, he pitted top guards Briscoe and Fox against one another.


"I put Isaiah opposite De'Aaron so they could go head-to-head, had two different teams and they competed like crazy," Calipari said. "If you practice that way, you'll play that way. If you're casual, you're casual in a shoot-around, you're going to play that way.


"That energy is how we have to come out every day, and it's hard," Calipari added. "But you know what? It is what it is and you're here. We're taking everybody's best shot so we got to disrupt, we got to be the aggressor, we got to attack the basket."


After Sunday's game in Brooklyn, Kentucky completes the road swing by facing North Carolina in Las Vegas on Dec. 17 and visiting Louisville on Dec. 21 before beginning Southeastern Conference play at Ole Miss on Dec. 29.


The Wildcats do not return to Rupp Arena until Jan. 3 against Texas A&M, marking 27 days away from home.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Volunteers (4-3) at Tar Heels (9-1)
Date: December 11, 2016 5:00 PM EDT

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. -- Moments of frustration seemed to be a sticking point with North Carolina since its last game, albeit a nine-point victory.


So the No. 7 Tar Heels have vowed to produce an upgrade against Tennessee on Sunday at the Smith Center.


"We definitely have to go back to the drawing board," forward Kennedy Meeks said. "We have to learn from it. We can't have too many bad film sessions throughout the year because that means we're not playing that great.


" ... That's the way the game goes sometimes. You have to just live with it and move on."


Tennessee (4-3) is playing its best so far with a three-game winning streak.


"We have to go in and know that Carolina is going to be on edge and we have to be ready to play right from the tip," Tennessee coach Rick Barnes said.


North Carolina (9-1) defeated Davidson, 83-74, but the margin was three points late in the game. The outcome seemed to stir regret from the Tar Heels by the way they performed.


"We've got to figure out some things," swingman Justin Jackson said.


The Tar Heels might have to do it again without junior point guard Joel Berry, who missed the Davidson game after suffering a sprained ankle last Sunday against Radford.


Berry's status is questionable for the Tennessee game.


That put Nate Britt, who had been a part-time starter on the wing, at starting point guard, although Seventh Woods and Stilman White were also used.


White scored on six free throws for a career high mark, logging 15 minutes for the senior's third-most court time in his career. His only longer playing time came in two NCAA Tournament games as a freshman in March 2012 when he was pressed into duty after Kendall Marshall was injured.


White took a two-year Mormon mission before returning to the Tar Heels.


"I told Stilman the other day he has done some nice things for us in practice," Tar Heels coach Roy Williams said. "He really has done a great job of running the scout team. I think he gave us a big lift."


Jackson's seven 3-pointers in the Davidson game picked up some of the perimeter scoring. Jackson has 22 baskets from 3-point range this season, while last season he didn't make is 22nd 3-pointer until the 28th game.


However, Barnes is concerned about what the Tar Heels might be able to do closer to the basket.


"We certainly don't have the size they have," Barnes said. "We've talked a lot about rebounding. ... You just have to be impressed that they play a very high-efficiency type of basketball."


Tennessee is coming off an encouraging game when it tied a school record with 16 made 3-point baskets against Presbyterian.


The Volunteers, who are facing a Top 10 opponent in a non-conference game for the first time since 2011, will be playing in their first true road game of the season.


"We have to go in there and stick to the scouting report," Tennessee guard Shembari Phillips said. "Teams like that, it's a real test."


North Carolina leads the series 8-1, although this will be the first meeting in Chapel Hill since 1948 in Woollen Gym. So the Volunteers have never played at the Smith Center.


"It's a cool experience, but it's also a great opportunity," Tennessee forward Lew Evans said.


Barnes, a North Carolina native, is considered a villain of sorts in Chapel Hill. While the Clemson coach, he had a well-publicized feud with then-Tar Heels coach Dean Smith in the mid-1990s.


However, Barnes said Smith is one of the coaches he studied and admired as he entered the coaching profession. He said the chance to bring his team to the Smith Center is a good situation.


"I have nothing but great respect for (North Carolina's) program," he said.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Crimson Tide (4-3) at Ducks (7-2)
Date: December 11, 2016 6:00 PM EDT

EUGENE, Ore. -- With finals finished, Oregon can focus on basketball for the next month.


The 24th-ranked Ducks (7-2) are back on the court for the first time in eight days when they host Alabama (4-3) Sunday at 3 p.m. Oregon won its fifth straight game with a 128-59 win over Savannah State on Dec. 3 before taking finals week off from games.


"The next three or four weeks are really important for this team," coach Dana Altman said. "We have to get so much better in so many areas. We only have four games before conference play. Alabama is up next and then we have one day before Montana and then UNLV in Portland before we come back and play Fresno State. We will give them four days off for Christmas and then it is conference time."


Oregon's sense of urgency is ramped up by the fact it opens Pac-12 play against No. 2 UCLA on Dec. 28.


"With as many guys as we have back, we shouldn't be making the mistakes we make," Altman said. "Defensively and offensively, we're making mistakes that veteran teams probably should not make."


Oregon returned four starters from last year, when it went 31-7 and reached the Elite Eight, but its best player has been slowed early in the season following foot surgery in July. Six-foot-seven all-conference junior forward Dillon Brooks missed the first three games of the season and is averaging 18.2 minutes per game off the bench in his first six games back.


"It is all up to coach," Brooks said. "He keeps on saving it and saving it, but he's going to let the beast loose soon."


Brooks is averaging 13.7 points in limited time and Altman indicated he will return to the starting line-up soon.


"I'm almost 100 percent, just trying to get in shape a bit more," Brooks said. "I feel good and my teammates keep pushing me to go harder and push harder, so it goes great."


Oregon is coming off a blowout win over Savannah State, when it set single-game school records for points in a game as well as field goals (54) and assists (36).


Sophomore guard Tyler Dorsey scored a career-high 29 points against the Tigers and now leads the Ducks with 13.8 points per game. Senior center Chris Boucher is averaging 13.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 3.0 blocked shots.


Alabama (4-3) has also had more than a week off since losing 77-68 at Texas.


Six-foot-eight freshman Braxton Key leads the Tide with 10.4 points per game while freshman guard Dazon Ingram averages 10.3 points and 4.4 assists.


Alabama will be without junior guard Nick King, who is averaging 3.3 points and 2.9 rebounds. King started two games, but has an unknown illness that caused him to lose 10 pounds.


"He hasn't been able to sleep and eat," Alabama coach Avery Johnson said. "It's not something that's normal."

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Anteaters (5-5) at Gaels (6-1)
Date: December 11, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

No. 12 Saint Mary's will be a top-25 team for at least one more game, as the Gaels host UC Irvine (5-5) in an 8 p.m. ET game Sunday in Moraga, Calif.


Whether the Gaels remain ranked might depend on how they respond to Thursday's 15-point home loss to Texas-Arlington.


"If you get beat, then you have to bounce back," Saint Mary's coach Randy Bennett said after the 65-51 loss to Texas-Arlington.


Before that game, Arlington coach Scott Cross said the Gaels "are nearly unbeatable at home."


Well, the Mavericks showed they are beatable at McKeon Pavilion, where the Gaels had won 23 of their last 24 games before being dominated by Arlington.


The Gaels (6-1) were limited to 31.4 percent shooting after coming into the game shooting 53.2 percent, third in the country. Saint Mary's averaged only nine turnovers in its first six games, but had 10 in the first half against Arlington.


"We just ... I don't know," Bennett said. "I can't put my finger on it. I thought we got outplayed in every phase."


Was it the five-day layoff after their road victory over Stanford? Was it the loss of focus because St. Mary's had final exams this week? Is Saint Mary's susceptible to teams with quickness, as it seemed Thursday? Is Saint Mary's simply not as good as its ranking suggested?


"Turnovers and rebounding is what bothered me most ... and defense," Bennett said.


Guard Emmett Naar, who averaged 7.7 assists through six games this season and was the Gaels' leading scorer when he was an all-conference selection last season, was limited to two points and one assist while committing three turnovers against Arlington.


Center Jock Landale leads the Gaels in scoring at 18.9 points while hitting 70.1 percent of his shots.


The Gaels hope to regain their confidence against UC Irvine. The Anteaters had not played a home game since Nov. 19 before beating Division III Pomona Pitzer 80-53 on Friday, and Sunday's game will begin another stretch of five straight road games for Irvine.


The Anteaters lost to Arizona in Tucson by 18 points on Tuesday, and their most recent win over a Division I team came on Nov. 30, when they won at Santa Clara 58-55.


"I'm excited to win a close game in a road environment and with a young team," Irvine head coach Russell Turner said after beating the Broncos.


Winning a close game was critical because two weeks earlier the Anteaters let a 13-point, second-half lead get away in an overtime loss to Cal, which was ranked 25th at the time.


"I'm proud of our guys, but to be what I think we can be, we will have to finish better than that," Turner said after that loss.


The Anteaters missed a chance for their first win against a top-25 team in 11 years. Irvine will have another chance against a ranked team on Sunday.


Arlington was 0-28 against top-25 teams before its convincing victory on Thursday.


Irvine uses depth to try to outlast opponents, with 10 players averaging more than 10 minutes a game and only one averaging more than 23. The one player who gets more court time is Jaron Martin, the team's leading scorer at 13.4 points per game.


The Anteaters have been without their best player, guard Luke Nelson, all season. A first-team All-Big West Conference selection last season, Nelson is out indefinitely because of a hamstring injury.


On Nov. 29, Turner told the Orange County Register that Nelson was close to returning.


"It's a tough deal because he's got a hamstring issue, which is difficult to define," Turner said. "I feel like he is close to playing. But until he is 100 percent, I'm going to be cautious with that, and that's because the conference race and the conference tournament specifically are so much more vital than the games that we're playing now."


It is uncertain whether Nelson will make his season debut Sunday.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 11

New Orleans @ Northwestern

Game 741-742
December 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
52.384
Northwestern
66.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 14
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 20
135
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+20); Under

Savannah St @ Oregon State

Game 739-740
December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Savannah St
37.902
Oregon State
48.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon State
by 11
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon State
by 17 1/2
162 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Savannah St
(+17 1/2); Over

LIU-Brooklyn @ St John's

Game 737-738
December 11, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
39.299
St John's
59.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St John's
by 20 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St John's
by 15
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St John's
(-15); Over

UC-Irvine @ St Mary's

Game 735-736
December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UC-Irvine
49.417
St Mary's
72.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 23
111
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 18
120
Dunkel Pick:
St Mary's
(-18); Under

Pepperdine @ USC

Game 733-734
December 11, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pepperdine
52.700
USC
68.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 15 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 19
151
Dunkel Pick:
Pepperdine
(+19); Over

Santa Barbara @ San Diego

Game 731-732
December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
54.620
San Diego
46.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Barbara
by 8
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(+1 1/2); Under

Nevada @ Washington

Game 729-730
December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
63.461
Washington
63.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
Even
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4
166
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(+4); Over

St Joseph's @ Drexel

Game 727-728
December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Joseph's
55.127
Drexel
56.025
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drexel
by 1
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Joseph's
by 5 1/2
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+5 1/2); Under

Alabama @ Oregon

Game 725-726
December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
65.205
Oregon
70.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 5 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 11 1/2
130
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(+11 1/2); Over

Northern Illinois @ Minnesota

Game 723-724
December 11, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
55.823
Minnesota
62.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 15 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+15 1/2); Under

Tennessee @ North Carolina

Game 721-722
December 11, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
67.935
North Carolina
78.393
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 10 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 18 1/2
159
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+18 1/2); Under

Western Kentucky @ Indiana State

Game 719-720
December 11, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
52.408
Indiana State
56.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana State
by 4
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana State
by 8 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+8 1/2); Over

Florida @ Florida State

Game 717-718
December 11, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
74.466
Florida State
71.520
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 3
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 3 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+3 1/2); Over

Hofstra @ Kentucky

Game 715-716
December 11, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hofstra
57.727
Kentucky
75.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 17 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 24
166
Dunkel Pick:
Hofstra
(+24); Under

Delaware @ Yale

Game 713-714
December 11, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware
44.454
Yale
63.733
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 19 1/2
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 11
126 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Yale
(-11); Under

Ole Miss @ Virginia Tech

Game 711-712
December 11, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ole Miss
56.294
Virginia Tech
75.052
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 20
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 10 1/2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-10 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (6 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (7 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
OLE MISS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE (5 - 3) at YALE (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOFSTRA (6 - 4) vs. KENTUCKY (8 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (7 - 2) at FLORIDA ST (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (3 - 5) at INDIANA ST (5 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (4 - 3) at N CAROLINA (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 279-230 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 162-127 ATS (+22.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 124-84 ATS (+31.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (4 - 4) at MINNESOTA (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (4 - 3) at OREGON (7 - 2) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in December games since 1997.
ALABAMA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST JOSEPHS (3 - 4) at DREXEL (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOSEPHS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
DREXEL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 1-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (7 - 2) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-SANTA BARBARA (1 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PEPPERDINE (4 - 5) at USC (8 - 0) - 12/11/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-IRVINE (5 - 5) at ST MARYS-CA (6 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 2-0 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG ISLAND (6 - 3) vs. ST JOHNS (5 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 1-0 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAVANNAH ST (2 - 8) at OREGON ST (3 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (4 - 3) at NORTHWESTERN (6 - 2) - 12/11/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 11

First true road game for Ole Miss squad that split its last four games after a 4-0 start; Rebels are #70 experience team playing #75 pace- they’re shooting 39.3% on arc (#41) but teams are shooting 43.3% against them (#344). Ole Miss hasn’t played in 8 days. Virginia Tech is 7-1 vs schedule #289; Hokies are 2-1 in top 10 games, losing to Texas A&M by 3 on a neutral floor, beating Nebraska/Michigan, both away from home. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; MAC road underdogs are 14-15.

Yale is 4-4 vs schedule #54, with only two home games (wins by 8-4) in there; Bulldogs split pair of games vs teams outside top 200, losing at Bryant, winning at Sacred Heart. Yale is thin because of injuries; they’re playing pace #301. Delaware is 5-3 vs schedule #312 with two non-D-I wins; Blue Hens lost by 6 at LaSalle in their only top 200 game this season. Teams have shot only 24.8% on arc vs Delaware, best 3-point defense in country. Ivy League home favorites are 3-6 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 11-7.

Kentucky’s five wins vs teams outside top 100 have been by 23-24-24-31-35 points; this game is in Brooklyn, Wildcats head to Las Vegas next to play North Carolina Saturday. Kentucky is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#16); they’re 5th-least experienced team playing pace #10 in country. Hofstra is close to home; they’re 6-4 vs schedule #279- they lost to St Bonaventure by 6 at home, in only top 100 game so far. None of their losses are by more than 14 points, until today. SEC home favorites are 21-19 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 11-7.

Florida State beat Florida the last two years by a hoop each time, after losing five in row before that. Seminoles are 9-1 vs schedule #284; their bench has played #4 minutes in country. FSU is 3-1 in top 100 games, losing to Temple by 3 on neutral floor- they’ve beaten Illinois/Minnesota/Iona for top 100 wins. Gators are 2-2 in top 50 games, losing to Gonzaga by 5, Duke by 10 on neutral floors. Florida won by 31 at North Florida in only true road game this season. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

Indiana State was outscored 23-4 on foul line in 75-62 loss at Western Kentucky LY; Sycamores are 5-4 vs schedule #48 this year, upsetting Butler at home Wednesday on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday- home crowd rushed the floor. Sycamores won their last three games, last two by one point each. Hilltoppers lost last four games; they’re 0-4 on road, all against teams ranked #116 or worse; best team WKU has beaten is #232 Jacksonville State. WKU is 0-5 vs top 200 teams. MVC home favorites are 16-7 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 20-18.

Rick Barnes is from Hickory, NC, coached in ACC for Clemson; he knows what he is up against in Chapel Hill today. His young Volunteers are 4-3 vs schedule #137- his bench is playing #11 minutes, so lot of young guys getting experience. Vols’ losses are by 13-12-4 points, with Wisconsin/Oregon in there so Tennessee has talent. North Carolina is 9-1, beating Davidson by 9 in last game (only win by less than 15 points); they’re rebounding 42.9% of their own missed shots. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

Minnesota is 9-1 vs schedule #169 with #312 experienced team; Gophers have #3 eFG% defense in country, holding teams to 39.7% inside arc. Northern Illinois lost four of last five games, with three losses by 5 or less points; Huskies as usual are struggling with shooting, making 27.9% on arc- they have #313 eFG%. NIU split pair with #126 Indiana State, best team they’ve played so far this season. Minnesota’s only loss is by 8 at Florida State. Big 14 home favorites are 23-28; MAC road underdogs are 14-15.

Oregon beat Alabama 72-68 in Birmingham LY, rallying back from down 12 in second half. Ducks are 7-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with losses to Baylor/Georgetown- they’re blocking 24.7% of opponents’ shots, most in country- their eFG% is #18. Alabama hasn’t played in nine days, since 77-68 loss at Texas in their only road game. Crimson Tide is 4-3, losing all three top 10 games by 5-8-9 points- their best win is over #169 Ball State. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

St Joe’s beat Drexel the last five years, the last two years by a combined four points. Hawks lost their last four games after a 3-0 start- they beat Columbia by 20 in only game vs team outside the top 200. St Joe’s is #299 experience team thats played schedule #75; all four of their losses are to top 100 teams. Drexel is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 13-21-11 points; best team they’ve beaten is #275 North Texas. A-14 favorites are 14-6 vs spread away from home; CAA home underdogs are 1-4.

Nevada is 6-2 vs schedule #143, winning by 22 at Bradley in only road game- they lost final of Alaskan Shootout by 2 to Iona after beating Gaels by 15 the week before- thats best team they’ve played this season. Washington is #342 experience team playing pace #5- they gave up 92.3 pts/game in losing last three games. Best team Huskies have beaten is #165 Long Beach State, which is 1-10 vs D-I teams. Washington was down 47-22 at half at Gonzaga in last game. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; Mountain West road underdogs are 14-7.

San Diego is #345 experience team; they’re 4-5 vs #302 schedule, playing pace #312. Toreros’ wins are all vs teams ranked outside top 300- best win is by 7 over #306 Fullerton. UCSB is 0-5 vs D-I teams; they haven’t played in 10 days, when they beat a D-II team. Gauchos also haven’t played a team outside 200 yet; they’re shooting 24.2% on arc, 2nd-worst in country. UCSB lost to WCC’s San Francisco by 12, their only WCC opponent so far this year. WCC home favorites are 18-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-18.

Young/thin USC (#327 experience, #269 bench) is 8-0 with three top 60 wins; Trojans are playing #68 pace, have WCC wins over San Diego (76-55), BYU (91-84). This is their first game in eight days. Pepperdine lost its last four games; they lost by 26 to St Bonaventure in their only top 100 game so far- Waves were playing third day in row. Pepperdine is 1-3 vs teams in top 150; their best win is over #146 Little Rock, by a point. Four of their five losses are by 11 or less points. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; WCC road underdogs are 8-8.

St Mary’s got smoked at home by Tex-Arlington last game; Gaels were 8-27 on arc- they’re shooting 38.4% on season from arc. St Mary’s beat Cal-Irvine last couple of years by 10-3 points. Gaels have veteran team is playing 2nd-slowest pace in country. Irvine 4-5 vs D-I teams; they’re #337 in experience, turning ball over 22.1% of time (#305), but because Big West is so awful this year, they still have shot at winning league. Anteaters do have the #34 eFG% defense. WCC home favorites are 18-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-18.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

12:00 PM
MANHATTANVILLE vs. COLUMBIA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbia's last 5 games at home
Columbia is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

1:05 PM
QUINNIPIAC vs. HOLY CROSS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games on the road
Quinnipiac is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

2:00 PM
MONTREAT COLLEGE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
No trends available
Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Appalachian State is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

2:00 PM
ANDERSON SC vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
No trends available
College of Charleston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
College of Charleston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

2:00 PM
SIENA HEIGHTS vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
No trends available
Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

2:00 PM
DELAWARE vs. YALE
Delaware is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Yale is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games

3:00 PM
CHICAGO STATE vs. SAINT LOUIS
Chicago State is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. FLORIDA STATE
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

4:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. INDIANA STATE
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State's last 6 games
Indiana State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

5:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Tennessee is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tennessee's last 13 games on the road
North Carolina is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina's last 9 games

5:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MINNESOTA
Northern Illinois is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. OREGON
Alabama is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Alabama is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. DREXEL
Saint Joseph's is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Drexel is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Drexel is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Saint Joseph's

6:00 PM
SAVANNAH STATE vs. OREGON STATE
No trends available
Oregon State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Oregon State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. NORTHWESTERN
No trends available
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
NEVADA vs. WASHINGTON
Nevada is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games

8:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. ST. MARY'S
UC Irvine is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
UC Irvine is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Mary's is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 5 games

8:00 PM
SANTA BARBARA vs. SAN DIEGO
Santa Barbara is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Santa Barbara

8:15 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST
Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

10:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. USC
Pepperdine is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pepperdine's last 7 games on the road
USC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
USC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MISS at VT 12:00 PM


VT -9.5


DEL at YALE 02:00 PM

DEL +10.0 *****


U 127.5


HOF at UK 03:00 PM


UK -25.5


FLA at FSU 04:00 PM


FSU -2.0 *****


WKU at INST 04:30 PM


WKU +9.0 *****


O 135.5 *****


NIU at MINN 05:00 PM


MINN -14.0 *****


U 135.0


TENN at UNC 05:00 PM


UNC -18.5 *****


JOES at DREX 06:00 PM


JOES -5.5


SAV at ORST 06:00 PM


O 162.5


ALA at ORE 06:00 PM


ORE -11.5








UNO at NW 07:00 PM

U 135.5 *****


UCI at SMC 08:00 PM


UCI +18.0 *****


O 121.0


UCSB at USD 08:00 PM


UCSB -1.5


O 136.5


NEV at WASH 08:00 PM

NEV +4.5 *****


O 166.0 *****


PEPP at USC 10:00 PM

USC -19.0 *****

 

[CNOTES]

Top 25 Capsules
December 11, 2016


NEW YORK (AP) Malik Monk scored 20 points, Isaiah Briscoe had 19 and No. 6 Kentucky took control with a 26-3 run spanning halftime in a 96-73 victory over Hofstra on Sunday in the Brooklyn Hoops Winter Festival at Barclays Center.


De'Aaron Fox had 15 points and Bam Adebayo added 14 for Kentucky (9-1). The Wildcats closed the first half on a 12-0 run and opened the second with a 14-3 spurt to go ahead 62-36 with 16 minutes to play.


The Pride (6-5), who came in having won four of five, stayed with the Wildcats for 16 minutes, trailing 36-33 with 4 minutes left in the first half. Deron Powers had 18 points for Hofstra in the first meeting between the schools.


Monk had seven of the points in the 12-0 run and Adebayo had six in the 14-3 run. Kentucky started dominating inside, finishing with a 48-28 advantage in the paint, and on the perimeter, shooting 51.4 percent overall and 8 of 23 from 3-point range.


Justin Wright-Foreman had 14 points for Hofstra and Rokas Gustys added 13.


NO. 7 NORTH CAROLINA 73, TENNESSEE 71


CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (AP) - Justin Jackson scored the go-ahead basket with 2:14 left to help North Carolina rally from 15 down to beat Tennessee.


Freshman Brandon Robinson added a key tip-in with 52.4 seconds left for the Tar Heels (10-1). Tennessee (4-4) had a last chance to tie, but Tony Bradley Jr. blocked Lamonte Turner's drive.


North Carolina shot just 40 percent, with Jackson managing seven points on 3-for-15 shooting. Sophomore Kenny Williams III had 12 points, while Nate Britt had 11 points, seven assists and five steals in place of point guard Joel Berry II, who missed his second straight with an ankle injury.


Robert Hubbs III led Tennessee with 21 points.


NO. 12 SAINT MARY'S 84, UC IRVINE 53


MORAGA, Calif. (AP) - Jock Landale had 15 points and seven rebounds, Evan Fitzner added a season-high 12 points and Saint Mary's bounced back from its first loss of the season.


Saint Mary's (7-1) was crisp offensively most of the game and shot 56.3 percent from the floor, a vast improvement from two nights earlier when the Gaels went 16 of 51 in a 65-51 loss to Texas-Arlington.


Eyassu Workue scored 14 points for the Anteaters (5-6).


FLORIDA STATE 83, NO. 21 FLORIDA 79


TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Dwayne Bacon scored 24 points, Terrence Mann added 16 and Florida State held on to beat Florida.


Bacon scored nine points during a 15-4 run early in the second half that helped the Seminoles (10-1) take control after it was tied at 38.


Florida State led by 13 midway through the second half before the Gators (7-3) started to slowly chip away. Florida used a 14-5 run to get within three, but could not get closer.


Kasey Hill scored a career-high 21 points for Florida, and KeVaughn Allen added 15.


NO. 24 OREGON 63, ALABAMA 56


EUGENE, Ore. (AP) - Tyler Dorsey scored 19 points and Dylan Ennis hit the tiebreaking 3-pointer as the shot clock expired to help Oregon beat Alabama.


Dillon Brooks and Chris Boucher added 10 points each for the Ducks (8-2). They won their sixth consecutive game and 31st in a row at home.


Ennis' shot started a 9-0 run for the Ducks to finish the game after Donta Hall's fifth dunk tied it for Alabama at 56-all with 3:16 left to play. Hall led the Crimson Tide (4-4) with 14 points.


Brooks found Ennis open on the right wing after getting caught in the air on a baseline drive. Ennis and Brooks each had six of Oregon's 18 assists.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s six-pack


Six most popular picks in Week 14 of the Westgate SuperContest:


6) Green Bay Packers +2.5 (408)- W


5) Minnesota Vikings -3 (420)- W


4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (440)- W


3) Washington Redskins -1 (481)- W


2) Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 (558)- W


1) Baltimore Ravens +7 (577)


Strong week for popular opinion


Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..


Titans 13, Broncos 10— Tennessee has to be excited; they’re 7-6, tied for first in AFC South and they have the Rams’ #1 draft pick next year, so they’ll clean up next April and get even better. This was an ugly game; Titans scored 10 points on first two possessions, then held on for the win despite gaining only 178 yards the rest of the game. Mariota was 6-20/88 passing, but his team won. Five of last six Denver games stayed under the total.


Panthers 28, Chargers 16— San Diego turned ball over five times (-4). I have a question: Why can’t the Chargers just stay in San Diego and play in Qualcomm? Why is it better for them to move to LA and be a second rate tenant in a new ballpark? Who will go to their games there? At least in San Diego they have a whole city behind them, buying their gear, Maybe I’m an idiot, but seems to me every NFL team doesn’t need a brand-new stadium.


Texans 22, Colts 17— Houston is tied for first with Titans in AFC South; they ran ball for 185 yards, had 3 takeaways (+2), kicked five FGs- usually when a team scores one TD and kicks five FGs, they lose. Colts are 1-4-1 vs spread this year in game following a win; some teams cannot stand prosperity. This is only second time Texans have won in Indy (2-13). Under is 5-2 in last seven Houston games, 4-0 in Colts’ last four home games.


Bengals 23, Browns 10— I’m still amazed that an NFL franchise is worth roughly $1B, give or take, and the Browns are being run by Jonah Hill’s character from Moneyball. Seriously, why would you have a guy who spent most of the last 15 years as a baseball executive run your NFL team? It makes zero bleeping sense. Cleveland is 1-5-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-20-3-25-15-14-13 points


Steelers 27, Bills 20— Pittsburgh ran ball for 240 yards in the snow, amidst rumors that Rex Ryan is going to get fired. If Ryan and Jeff Fisher both get fired, then maybe their teams can hire coaches who actually care about offense and the league will put out a better product. Pittsburgh has now won/covered its last four games.


Non-football observation: if you’re going to be outside in a snowstorm for 3.5 hours, put on a goddamn coat. Rex Ryan wore same clothes for this game he wore in the LA Coliseum when the Bills played there. Even his brother wore a parka.


Dolphins 26, Cardinals 23— Game was played in a monsoon; Arizona’s kicker had an awful day, but did make a 56-yard FG. Miami kicked FG on last play to win, but they lost QB Tannehill to an ACL injury, so looks like Matt Moore gets to run the ball club the rest of the way- their #3 QB is former Western Kentucky QB Doughty. Arizona needs to draft a QB next spring; Carson Palmer is getting up there in years.


NFC West went 0-4 Sunday, turning ball over 15 times and 49ers didn’t have any turnovers.


Lions 20, Bears 17— Detroit is now 9-4 despite trailing in 4th quarter in 12 of 13 games. You know it might be the Lions’ year when Stafford throws a pick-6 to give Chicago a 17-13 lead with 7:07 left, but Detroit drives back down field to score game-winning TD with 3:17 left. Lions are 6-1 at home with four wins by exactly three points.


Pretty sure I’m going to be in Las Vegas when the NFL schedule comes out for 2017; first thing I’m going to do is bet the under on the Lions’ win total for next year.


Vikings 25, Jaguars 16— Minnesota ran ball 29 times for 85 yards (28 for 70 if you take out one Bradford scramble for 15 yards); they scored only 16 points on five red zone drives, but won anyway. Jaguars are 0-6 at home, have lost eight games in a row (2-6 vs spread). Vikings had been 2-6 this season when they didn’t score a TD on defense/special teams, now they’re 3-6.


Mike Zimmer coached this game with his right eye totally covered by tape; he is one tough human. He wore sunglasses when Minnesota had the ball, but took them off so he could read his defensive call charts when Jaguars had the ball. Lot of admiration for coach Zimmer.


Bucs 16, Saints 11— Sean Payton was yukking it up two weeks ago when he ran the score up on the sorry Rams, but since then his team scored a total of 24 points in losses to Detroit, Tampa Bay. New Orleans is 5-8 and going nowhere with an aging QB; they’re 0-6 when they score less than 25 points. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 2-0-1 in Bucs’ last three.


Tampa Bay has won five games in a row and is looking smart for drafting Jameis Winston.


Redskins 27, Eagles 22— Washington won last five meetings with Philly, with average total in last six series games, 53.8; Eagles scored one offensive TD on 17 drives in two games with Redskins this year. Over is 11-2 in Washington games this season.


Jets 23, 49ers 17 OT— Niners snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, blowing a 17-3 halftime lead, losing their 12th straight game. Bryce Petty gets his first NFL win. Weird that SF was favored in its last two games, despite being an awful team.


I’m wondering if the networks stopped showing Colin Kaepernick kneeling during the National Anthem because he said he didn’t vote on Election Day. Just curious, thats all.


Packers 38, Seahawks 10— Seattle has now lost their last seven visits here; they’re 1-4-1 this season when scoring less than 26 points. Somehow, Green Bay’s defense has revived itself, allowing 36 points in last three games, after allowing 153 points in the four games before that- they had six takeaways in this game. Seattle is 2-4-1 on the road and they’ve fallen out of the #2 slot in the NFC, so they might be going on the road in the second week of the playoffs.


Falcons 42, Rams 14— Observations from this game and with apologies to the Falcons, I’ve got nothing to say about them— picked them last week and they lost.


— Rams should fire their head coach today, just to save everyone three more weeks of aggravation.


— Last three weeks: L21-49, L10-26, L14-42. Unacceptable results. Sometimes divorce is a good thing— just ask my ex-wife (its a joke!!!)


— The next coach should a) be an offensive guru or b) hire an offensive guru to be OC and yes, I’m thinking of Norv Turner, if we go the OC way.


— Find the best offensive line coach in America and pay him a boatload of cash to come to LA.


— They can keep Gregg Williams and John Fassel; defense/special teams ain’t the problem.


— Here are some W-L records of how QBs did their rookie year: Elway 4-6, PManning 3-13, EManning 1-6, Aikman 0-11, Stafford 2-8, Marino 7-2. Playing QB in the NFL is a hard job.


— I pay more money than I should for DirecTV, for one reason; to watch NFL games on Sundays, specifically the Rams. 13 consecutive non-winning seasons is getting my money’s worth.


Giants 10, Cowboys 7— Dak Prescott grew up in Louisiana; wonder if he ever played in a frigid night game before? Dallas is 11-2 with two losses to the Giants by total of four points. If playoffs started tomorrow, NFC Wild Card game would be Bucs @ Giants. AFC would be either Miami/Denver @ Oakland. Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
ATS

7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(515) PENNSYLVANIA @(516) UCF
Play ON UCF against the spread in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!


-----------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Money Line


9:00 pm 12/12/2016
(519) S CAROLINA @(520) SETON HALL
Play ON S CAROLINA using the money line in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.35 units)
BET NOW!


9:00 pm 12/12/2016
(519) S CAROLINA @(520) SETON HALL
Play ON S CAROLINA using the money line in All games after a non-conference game.
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.35 units)
BET NOW!


7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(515) PENNSYLVANIA @(516) UCF
Play AGAINST PENNSYLVANIA using the money line in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 57 Wins and 105 Losses since 1997 (-66 units)
BET NOW!


7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(515) PENNSYLVANIA @(516) UCF
Play AGAINST PENNSYLVANIA using the money line in All games in December games.
The record is 16 Wins and 38 Losses since 1997 (-28.5 units)
BET NOW!


7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(521) JACKSONVILLE ST @(522) MARYLAND
Play ON MARYLAND using the money line in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 17 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.45 units)
BET NOW!


7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(521) JACKSONVILLE ST @(522) MARYLAND
Play AGAINST JACKSONVILLE ST using the money line in All games when the total is 130 to 139.5.
The record is 23 Wins and 66 Losses since 1997 (-47.1 units)
BET NOW!


------------------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time


7:00 pm 12/12/2016
(515) PENNSYLVANIA @(516) UCF
Play AGAINST PENNSYLVANIA in the first half in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.1 units)
BET NOW!


-----------------------------------


BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Under

9:00 pm 12/12/2016
(519) S CAROLINA @(520) SETON HALL
Play UNDER S CAROLINA on the total in Road games after allowing 60 points or less.
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.9 units)
BET NOW!

 

[CNOTES]

DAILY PLAYS RECORD:


12/01/2016 7-7-0 50.00% -350
12/02/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
12/03/2016 40-38-1 51.28% -900
12/04/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/05/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/06/2016 16-17-1 48.48% -1350
12/07/2016 22-19-0 53.66% +550
12/08/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
12/09/2016 2-1-0 66.67% +450
12/10/2016 43-39-3 52.44% +50
12/11/2016 12-9-0 57.14% +1050


WLT Pct Units


ATS Picks 401-394-13 50.44% -16200


O/U Picks 79-71-2 52.67% +450


DAILY BEST BETS:


12/11/16: 8 - 3 - 0


DEC- RECORD


ATS - 65 - 48 - 0 + 6370
TOTALS - 12 - 9 - 0 + 250


OCT-NOV BEST BET RECORD
ATS Picks 124 -113- 1 52.32 % - 150
O/U Picks 14 - 17 - 3 45.16% - 2336


NOVEMBERS BIG PLAYS GO 13 - 7


DECEMBERS BIG PLAYS - 19 - 16 - 1

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 12

Jacksonville St @ Maryland

Game 521-522
December 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
52.718
Maryland
61.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 9
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 14
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+14); Over

South Carolina @ Seton Hall

Game 519-520
December 12, 2016 @

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
72.000
Seton Hall
65.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 6
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seton Hall
by 2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+2); Under

Auburn @ Boston College

Game 517-518
December 12, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
61.716
Boston College
44.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 17 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 9 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-9 1/2); Over

Pennsylvania @ UCF

Game 515-516
December 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pennsylvania
52.058
UCF
67..935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 16
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 9
128 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-9); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENNSYLVANIA (3 - 5) at UCF (7 - 1) - 12/12/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (6 - 1) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 5) - 12/12/2016, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (8 - 0) vs. SETON HALL (7 - 2) - 12/12/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SETON HALL is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE ST (5 - 5) at MARYLAND (10 - 1) - 12/12/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARYLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 12

Central Florida has #1 eFG% defense in country despite forcing 9th-least turnovers in country; why? Because they’ve got a 7-6 center who is pretty good. Opponents are shooting 34.4% inside the arc against UCF, which is 7-1, with only loss by 10 to Villanova on a neutral floor. Knights are without PG Taylor (thumb for couple weeks; they’re turning ball over 22% of time. Penn is 3-5 with best win over #286 Robert Morris; they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 12-25-8 points. Ivy league road underdogs are 9-10 vs spread.

Auburn coach Pearl was once a basketball manager at Boston College; his Tigers are 7-1 with a 74-70 win at UAB in their only true road game. Auburn is forcing turnovers 24% of time (#12), they’re #319 in experience but #4 in bench minutes, so lot of guys are getting experience. BC is 4-5 with two losses to teams outside top 300; they’ve lost four of last five games. Eagles turn ball over 21.7% of time; they’re 1-3 vs top 200 teams, with one win by 10 over Towson State. This is Auburn’s first game since the UAB win nine days ago.

One of South Carolina’s key players (Thornwell) is still suspended here; Gamecocks are 8-0 vs schedule #240- they beat Syracuse in NYC in only game away from home this season. Carolina is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time; they’ve got #2 eFG% defense in country. Seton Hall was in Hawai’i last week, winning two games; Pirates are 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Florida by 5, Stanford by 14. Seton Hall starts four juniors who helped win Big East tournament last March, but Seton Hall is shooting only 60.9% on foul line.

Maryland is 10-1 but has three wins by a point, a 4th win in OT; Terrapins are 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, with wins by 6-14-23 points. Other than Trimble, Terrapins have a young team (#320 experience). Jacksonville State is improved under new coach Harper; they’re 5-5 with only one home game. Gamecocks lost by 19 at TCU in only top 100 games- they’re shooting 41.9% on arc, but turning ball over 21.5% of time. JSU won at Tulsa; three of their five losses are by 7 or less points.




NCAAB

Monday, December 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:30 PM
AUBURN vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
No trends available
Boston College is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
LONGWOOD vs. GEORGE MASON
No trends available
George Mason is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of George Mason's last 8 games

7:00 PM
BETHUNE-COOKMAN vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
No trends available
South Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games

7:00 PM
PENNSYLVANIA vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Pennsylvania is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
ALBANY vs. CANISIUS
No trends available
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Canisius is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE STATE vs. MARYLAND
Jacksonville State is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games at home
Maryland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

8:00 PM
NORTH FLORIDA vs. TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN
No trends available
Texas-Pan American is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games

8:00 PM
BETHEL TN vs. MURRAY STATE
No trends available
Murray State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BLUE MOUNTAIN vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
No trends available
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. SETON HALL
No trends available
Seton Hall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seton Hall is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF vs. SEATTLE
No trends available
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
ALABAMA STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
No trends available
San Diego State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
San Diego State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's Tip Sheet
December 11, 2016


It’s a light college basketball card on Monday night as two of the highlighted affairs take place at Madison Square Garden for the Under Armour Reunion. Both contests will air on FS1 as a pair of SEC squads look to grab neutral site victories.

Auburn (-9 ½) vs. Boston College – 6:00 PM EST


The Tigers have jumped out to an impressive 6-1 start on the campaign in Bruce Pearl’s third season as head coach. Auburn won only 11 games last season, including three victories on the highway. However, the Tigers have already picked up two wins away from Auburn by beating Texas Tech in Cancun, Mexico by a 67-65 count and most recently knocking off UAB.


In last Saturday’s 74-70 triumph at UAB, the Tigers overcame a four-point halftime deficit to outscore the Blazers, 41-33 in the second half to grab the cash outright as 3 ½-point underdogs. Guard Jared Harper knocked down five three-pointers for Auburn, while scoring a season-high 21 points. Auburn was held to 40% shooting from the floor, but limited UAB to 4-of-20 shooting from three-point range. In five of seven games this season, Auburn has held opponents to 70 points or fewer, while cashing the UNDER in four of five lined contests.

Boston College failed to win an ACC game last season, while posting a horrendous 7-25 record. The Eagles started this season with a shocking home loss to Nicholls State, who won just 11 games last season. BC rebounded with three consecutive victories, including a minor home upset of Towson as three-point underdogs, 80-70 on November 22.


Since that victory, the Eagles has lost four of five games, including recent home defeats to Harvard and Hartford. In Friday’s 65-63 defeat to Hartford, Boston College shot 34% from the field, as leading scorer Jerome Robinson was limited to a season-low four points on 2-of-13 shooting. In two neutral site games this season, the Eagles have lost by double-digits to Kansas State and Richmond, while BC has scored 66 points or less in each of their past four defeats.


Auburn and Boston College are meeting for the first time since December 2013 as the Tigers topped the Eagles, 77-67 as 1 ½-point home underdogs.

South Carolina vs. Seton Hall (-2 ½) – 9:00 PM EST


In the headline game of the evening at MSG, the Gamecocks look to stay undefeated following an 8-0 start. Last season, South Carolina didn’t lose its first game until January 13, posting a 15-0 run the first 15 games.


The Gamecocks won their first game without leading scorer Sindarius Thornwell in last Sunday’s 16-point victory over FIU as the guard is suspended indefinitely. Guard Duane Notice stepped up in Thornwell’s absence to score 27 points, while P.J. Dozier posted his third consecutive double-digit scoring game with 20 points. However, South Carolina failed to cash as 20 ½-point favorites to fall to 3-3 ATS in lined contests.


Seton Hall shocked Villanova to capture the Big East tournament championship last season, but fell flat in their NCAA tournament opening round loss to Gonzaga. The Pirates own a solid 7-2 record this season, as both losses came in Thanksgiving weekend tournament in Orlando to Florida and Stanford. Seton Hall is fresh off a pair of victories in Honolulu over Hawaii and California, but Kevin Willard’s club has put together a 3-5 ATS record.


In last Wednesday’s 60-57 triumph over Cal, Pirates’ leading scorer Khadeen Carrington was held to a season-low 14 points, but Seton Hall allowed the Golden Bears to hit only 3-of-16 attempts from three-point range. Seton Hall cashed as short underdogs in that win, but have covered only once in four tries in the favorite role this season.


Other action:


Penn at UCF (-9 ½) – 7:00 PM EST


The Johnny Dawkins era in Orlando has been a successful one, albeit through eight games. UCF owns a 7-1 record through eight games with the only loss to defending national champion Villanova, 67-57 as 16-point underdogs. The Knights haven’t exactly played difficult competition of late by beating Seattle, Stetson, and Maryland-Eastern Shore at home, but UCF picked up a 65-62 road victory at UMass on December 3.


UCF closed last season with a 12-18 record, including losses 12 of its final 14 games. Dawkins looks to turn things around with this season’s quick start, but will be without point guard B.J. Taylor through the end of non-conference play after suffering a broken right thumb against UMass. Senior guard Matt Williams stepped up with 23 points and 10 rebounds against Maryland-Eastern Short, as he is averaging 15.4 points per game this season.


The Quakers have slumped to a 3-5 start, which includes losses to Miami, Villanova, and Temple. Penn managed covers in the Miami and Temple losses, while falling to the Owls, 70-62 as 8 ½-point underdogs. Penn is coming off a 79-60 setback to George Mason on Saturday as 3 ½-point favorites, as the Quakers put up their second-fewest points on the season.

 

[CNOTES]

The Top Twenty Five
December 12, 2016


The top 25 teams in The Associated Press' college basketball poll, with first-place votes in parentheses, records through Dec. 11, total points based on 25 points for a first-place vote through one point for a 25th-place vote and last week's ranking:


Record Pts Prv


1. Villanova (56) 10-0 1613 1


2. UCLA (3) 10-0 1505 2


3. Kansas 9-1 1455 3


4. Baylor (6) 8-0 1439 4


5. Duke 10-1 1391 5


6. Kentucky 9-1 1277 6


7. North Carolina 10-1 1222 7


8. Gonzaga 10-0 1195 8


9. Indiana 8-1 1124 9


10. Creighton 10-0 1043 10


11. Louisville 9-1 981 11


12. West Virginia 8-1 864 15


13. Virginia 8-1 848 14


14. Wisconsin 9-2 779 17


15. Purdue 8-2 652 18


16. South Carolina 8-0 598 19


17. Xavier 8-2 526 13


18. Butler 9-1 492 16


19. Arizona 8-2 436 20


20. Saint Mary's (Cal) 7-1 391 12


21. Notre Dame 9-1 310 23


22. Oregon 8-2 251 24


23. Florida St. 10-1 227 -


24. Southern Cal 9-0 158 -


25. Cincinnati 7-2 155 22


Others receiving votes: Florida 44, Wichita St. 33, Virginia Tech 32, Maryland 31, Valparaiso 9, TCU 8, Middle Tennessee 7, Minnesota 6, Miami 6, Kansas St 4, UCF 2, Michigan St. 2, Syracuse 2, Ohio St. 2, Pittsburgh 2, Clemson 1, Loyola of Chicago 1, Iowa St. 1.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


AUB at BC 06:30 PM

AUB -10.0 *****


U 149.5 *****


PENN at UCF 07:00 PM

UCF -9.5 *****

JVST at MD 07:00 PM

JVST +13.5 *****


SCAR at HALL 09:00 PM

HALL -2.5 *****


O 134.5 *****