Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Hey fellas, just saw weather on wgn, wind is se at 11 now, but is expected to pick up and change to nnw (that would be in from left) this afternoon. Took the ov7.5 this morn., hopefully some fly out early. GLTA

i did some over shopping early with those below:

nyy ov 10
tamp ov 10
det ov 9
col ov 9-
sea ov 8-
nat ov 8-

 

[BillDildeaux]

all i need on any new pitchers is there annual salary, and est era and whip, once we hit may i pull ytd numbers off the web, but for april i just use 2006 or estimated

another pitcher tomorrow that is not on list.

R Keisler - a lefty for St. Louis

 

[mlfp]

Looks like somebody just figured out the two plays I'm watching for tonight as the vig on Cin & Ari just took a dive the opposite way that they were going before at my book. Already on Seattle over at 8- and hoping for my last two to fall in line before this evening.

 

[EX-BALLPLAYER]

i did some over shopping early with those below:

nyy ov 10
tamp ov 10
det ov 9
col ov 9-
sea ov 8-
nat ov 8-

Took some of that Det over this morn as well, still blowing 10-20 mph straight out. Last night was sweet, nice when you can cash in by the 3rd.

 

[GOYANKSGONJ]

Keisler

another pitcher tomorrow that is not on list.

R Keisler - a lefty for St. Louis

He's covering Carpenter's spot in the "rotation" temporarily, until Carpenter comes back. He's also already made one start in place of Carpenter, something which was known well in advance of the game in question. Furthermore, he has previous MLB experience; as such, don't see why he wouldn't be on the list.

 

[spesh]

pushed on stl waited too long and caught 7 vs 7.5..shoulda got it early this am.

 

[mlfp]

For everybody's information on Bones' SS the "Game Line Move" tab is a little off. Cells F24 and G24 aren't calculating the correct values as they should read "=SUM(B24/(B24+D24))" and "=SUM(D24/(B24+D24))" respectively. Make this adjustment and you'll see a pretty high percentage on one column that may be satisfactory for the day. glta

 

[presscoverage]

For everybody's information on Bones' SS the "Game Line Move" tab is a little off. Cells F24 and G24 aren't calculating the correct values as they should read "=SUM(B24/(B24+D24))" and "=SUM(D24/(B24+D24))" respectively. Make this adjustment and you'll see a pretty high percentage on one column that may be satisfactory for the day. glta

Actually, columns F & G are all off by 1 row.

PC

 

[roach23]

what's up fellas. i might have missed something but is there a post on what i need to do to get the master ss that was emailed today to work on my computer? i'm using the old version of office...the one for windows xp.

 

[cd329]

league trends

Straight Up (Won Loss)

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="50%">Category</TD><TD width="25%">Record</TD><TD width="25%">Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>91-88</TD><TD class=datacell>50.84%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>88-91</TD><TD class=datacell>49.16%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>103-71</TD><TD class=datacell>59.20%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>71-103</TD><TD class=datacell>40.80%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>36-18</TD><TD class=datacell>66.67%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>53-67</TD><TD class=datacell>44.17%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>67-53</TD><TD class=datacell>55.83%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>18-36</TD><TD class=datacell>33.33%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




Over vs. Under

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD>Category</TD><TD>Overs</TD><TD>Percent</TD><TD>Unders</TD><TD>Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>0</TD><TD class=datacell>0.00%</TD><TD class=datacell>13</TD><TD class=datacell>100.00%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Non-Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>74</TD><TD class=datacell>47.44%</TD><TD class=datacell>82</TD><TD class=datacell>52.56%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>All Games</TD><TD class=datacell>74</TD><TD class=datacell>43.79%</TD><TD class=datacell>95</TD><TD class=datacell>56.21%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[k_t]

what's up fellas. i might have missed something but is there a post on what i need to do to get the master ss that was emailed today to work on my computer? i'm using the old version of office...the one for windows xp.

You need the convertor

http://www.microsoft.com/downloads/t...displayLang=en

 

[roach23]

small sample size, but the yanks have yet to go under against a RHP. they've also yet to have a home under.

 

[mlfp]

Buried myself in the master again today and came up with a couple I really like
Cin Un 9
Ari Un 9
Sea Ov 8- (also based on the research I've done outside of this information)

glta, just rented Smokin' Aces and gonna watch that after the Cubs game finishes up

 

[spesh]

montague in tor

HP: Dan Iassogna in NYY

 

[spesh]

Umpires: HP: Jeff Nelson. 1B: Jim Wolf. 2B: Tim Tschida. 3B: Jim Joyce. NYM/PHIL

 

[cd329]

Pops,
question for you or anybody else that can answer.

am looking at line move tab on todays sheet and dont understand how the numbers are calculated.

example of what i mean.

am looking at the 8 total column and it shows the record of 10 overs 9 unders
then in the boxes below there is a -1.5 box which shows 1 over and o unders
below that there is a box -0.5 which shows 3 overs and 4 unders
below that there is a box 0 which shows 8 overs and 9 unders
below that there is a box 0.5 which shows 1 over and 5 unders

so the way am reading this is if the total is 8 and moves -1.5 then the record for that is 1 over and 0 unders.

what i cant figure out is how the total column of 10 overs and 9 unders is calculated considering the box that shows 0 has a record of 8 o and 9 u
so wouldnt the total column for 8 be 8 and 9 and not 10 and 9?

I hope you can understand what am trying to ask, this really is why its hard to try and ask questions about the sheet because its really hard to phrase the questions. If we were in the same room, you could probably answer it in a split second.
thanks
cd

 

[cd329]

according to the spreadsheet, when games are played at a humidity of between 50 and 65, the unders are 42-14.

 

[pops69]

Pops,
question for you or anybody else that can answer.

am looking at line move tab on todays sheet and dont understand how the numbers are calculated.

example of what i mean.

am looking at the 8 total column and it shows the record of 10 overs 9 unders
then in the boxes below there is a -1.5 box which shows 1 over and o unders
below that there is a box -0.5 which shows 3 overs and 4 unders
below that there is a box 0 which shows 8 overs and 9 unders
below that there is a box 0.5 which shows 1 over and 5 unders

so the way am reading this is if the total is 8 and moves -1.5 then the record for that is 1 over and 0 unders.

what i cant figure out is how the total column of 10 overs and 9 unders is calculated considering the box that shows 0 has a record of 8 o and 9 u
so wouldnt the total column for 8 be 8 and 9 and not 10 and 9?

I hope you can understand what am trying to ask, this really is why its hard to try and ask questions about the sheet because its really hard to phrase the questions. If we were in the same room, you could probably answer it in a split second.
thanks
cd

show you and easy trick to look at the data for any number. for example on the -1- you show a 2 for Overs. double click on that number 2 and it will show you the details for every game in that catagory. but to answer your questions. all line moves are based off the open at don best. so if a line opened at 10- anc closed at 9 it would be a -1.5 line move. i this case a small sample but 66% of the time those that bet the line down by a -1.5 were wrong.

 

[pops69]

according to the spreadsheet, when games are played at a humidity of between 50 and 65, the unders are 42-14.

thats what is showingfor games played outdoors, and three games today fit the bill wash, phil and colorado

 

[cd329]

show you and easy trick to look at the data for any number. for example on the -1- you show a 2 for Overs. double click on that number 2 and it will show you the details for every game in that catagory. but to answer your questions. all line moves are based off the open at don best. so if a line opened at 10- anc closed at 9 it would be a -1.5 line move. i this case a small sample but 66% of the time those that bet the line down by a -1.5 were wrong.

Thanks Pops for the trick, pretty neat.
Still a little confused thou because am still trying to figure out why the record for the total 8 is differnt then the 0 column under the 8 total.
I would think if there was no move then they should match up with the same record.
also thanks for the list of games that fall under the humidity range.
One other thing, why did you go over on wash and colorado when those numbers are really good favoring the under?
Gotta say these sheets have got just about every bit of info you could ever need, about the only thing missing is when the players took a dump and what time they went to bed, lmfaooooo.
Great job to you and your team of guys who put this thing together. Thanks
cd