Baseball from Across the Pond

[trentmoney]

I thought Rasner was a non-qualifier. But that gets to the point of the favored pitcher question again.

he's made 3 starts and one since being brought up from AAA...

personally, i don't follow the guidelines about the DL the same as drew15 does... my feeling is if the pitcher was not top 20 before the DL, and now hasn't pitched in 2 weeks and is coming off injury, why wouldn't you fade him as a favorite..??

i'm sure drew has researched this and i'm probably wrong but it just doesn't seem like a reason to not count him as a non- top 20 to me

good luck

:toast:

 

[drew15]

In response to yesterday's query about Rasner. Hehsd indeed made three starts. He started twice before going back to the minors and then came back to pitch his third start, therefore qualifying him on the list.


12th May


SECTION 1 38-65 -13.69

Oakland +106

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 36-37 +11.57

Florida -125

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 36-47 -4.06

05/12 NY Mets +110 (vs. Milwaukee) Pelfrey/Sheets
05/12 Washington +120 (vs. Florida) Chico/Nolasco
05/12 St Louis +129 (@ San Diego) Looper/Young

 

[drew15]

13th May


SECTION 1 38-66 -14.69

Baltimore +230
Cincinnati +164
Tampa Bay +137
Kansas City +190
Atlanta -104
Detroit -111
Oakland -109

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 36-38 +10.57

Kansas City +190
Baltimore +230

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 38-48 -2.57

05/13 Milwaukee +113 (@ NY Mets) Capuano/Perez
05/13 Arizona +126 (@ Houston) Davis/Rodriquez

 

[drew15]

14th May


NOTE: I am presently monitioring a system since the start of the 2006 baseball season (playing on road teams). At present upto the 13th May this season the results are 211-237 for +62.45 units. The average line of these selections are +142 and over 90% of the plays have been underdogs. Those that are interested please let me know and I will post to you at end of season with full workings and all plays to date.


SECTION 1 41-70 -14.57

Detroit +148
Oakland -172 x2

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 37-39 +11.47

Detroit +148

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 38-50 -4.57

05/14 Chicago Cubs +139 (@ NY Mets) Marquis/Glavine
05/14 Toronto +120 (vs. Baltimore) Ohka/Bedard

 

[Jambruins]

drew15, I am intereted in your system regarding road teams. Can you explain the system? Thanks

 

[drew15]

I am not prepared at the present time to give out anything on the present system I am testing. I always monitor for a two year period and despite the underdogs not performing well this season, this system has stood up real weel to date this season, and is actuallt out performing last years results.

 

[Stabler12]

I would appreciate hearing from you when you are ready, Drew.

 

[drew15]

Stabler12, your request has been noted. I will be in touch later.


15th May


SECTION 1 41-73 -18.99

Tampa Bay -142
Washington +190

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 37-40 +10.47

Detroit +127
Minnesota +149
LA Angels +115
St Louis +137
Texas +139
San Francisco +108

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 39-51 -4.37

05/15 Philadelphia +103 (vs. Milwaukee) Eaton/Vargas
05/15 San Francisco +108 (@ Houston) Morris/Williams
05/15 St Louis +137 (@ LA Dodgers) Wainwright/Lowe
05/15 Minnesota +149 (@ Cleveland) Ortiz/Byrd
05/15 CWS +145 (vs. NY Yankees) Danks/Mussina

 

[bet4profit]

I personally like betting on road team especially on the Run line and will be interested in hearing more about your system when the time comes thanks for you hard work.

 

[Stabler12]

Stabler12, your request has been noted. I will be in touch later.

Thanks.

 

[drew15]

16th May


SECTION 1 42-74 -18.99

Tampa Bay +112
Baltimore +154
Cincinnati +176

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 38-45 +6.74

St Louis +143 x2
Kansas City +210
Seattle +121 x2
Colorado +111
CWS (G2) +133
Chicago Cubs +117

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 40-54 -6.34

05/16 Colorado +111 (vs. Arizona) Cook/Webb
05/16 St Louis +143 (@ LA Dodgers) Wells/Wolf
05/16 Detroit +131 (@ Boston) Maroth/Tavarez
05/16 Tampa Bay +112 (vs. Texas) Fossum/Padilla
05/16 CWS +133 (vs. NY Yankees) Contreras/Wang

 

[TheWolf]

DREW....Quick question...... I know under the system this would be a play, but in wake of the recent struggles of the U-Dog system, what is your take on the following.....

For example.......Say a #29 ranked NPERA (3.95) pitcher is facing off against a #46 NPERA (6.68) ranked pitcher. Too me, that doesnt seem like a play I'd like to invest in, or one with a 50% chance or better of winning. Just wondering if it would seem feasible to play something like pitchers 21-35 or something like that.......I dont know just thinking out loud. Very interested in your thoughts though.

 

[drew15]

TheWolf ..... Sorry that I can't really help on your enquiry. I have never logged rating of pitcher vs. rating of pitcher, so I am unable to let you know what the outcomes have been.

The ratings Sagarin uses have held good for half a decade, and I see no reason in which to alter at present time.


17th May


SECTION 1 43-76 -19.87

Detroit (G2) +180
San Francisco +168
Texas +142

-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 40-51 +3.95

Atlanta -164
Texas +142
LA Angels +113
CWS +115
Chicago Cubs +120
San Francisco +168

----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 42-56 -6.11

05/17 Philadelphia +111 (vs. Milwaukee) Garcia/Sheets
05/17 Arizona +104 (@ Colorado) Hernandez/Fogg
05/17 Pittsburgh +100 (vs. Florida) Armas/Nolasco
05/17 Cleveland +122 (vs. Minnesota) Carmona/Santana
05/17 Detroit +128 (@ Boston) Miner/Tavarez

 

[TheWolf]

Thanks Drew. I know Interleague should be a pass but what are you thinking now with the poor start this year with the system? Can it be any worse rolling the dice on IL?

 

[Stabler12]

Thanks Drew. I know Interleague should be a pass but what are you thinking now with the poor start this year with the system? Can it be any worse rolling the dice on IL?

Not trying to speak for him, but IMO I can't imagine that drew would consider alterations to a system that's been so good over several years. Remember, we're only looking at a sample size of about a month, and we're only down about 3 units. The rules he came up w/ are sound and I don't believe we should ask for any changes that won't be forthcoming, anyway. Just one man's opinion, Wolf. :toast:

 

[TheWolf]

Not trying to speak for him, but IMO I can't imagine that drew would consider alterations to a system that's been so good over several years. Remember, we're only looking at a sample size of about a month, and we're only down about 3 units. The rules he came up w/ are sound and I don't believe we should ask for any changes that won't be forthcoming, anyway. Just one man's opinion, Wolf. :toast:

Good point Stabler. Looks like it is break time.

 

[Stabler12]

Good point Stabler. Looks like it is break time.

Only 3 days this time, but the next interleague play lasts 1-1/2 -2 weeks! Here's hoping we're in the black by the next break for the system.:toast:

Are you playing them all, Wolf?

 

[TheWolf]

Ya, I am using 5 Dimes so I have gotten a few good overnight dogs too at + money that arent plays b/c lines swung in other direction, so that has helped some. It figures though, the year I jump on this thing it starts off like crap. LOL.

 

[Stabler12]

Ya, I am using 5 Dimes so I have gotten a few good overnight dogs too at + money that arent plays b/c lines swung in other direction, so that has helped some. It figures though, the year I jump on this thing it starts off like crap. LOL.

Let's see if we can't get some winners starting tomorrow!:toast:

 

[TheWolf]

Drew, where ya been? I appreciated you keeping track of the records for this thing......Now I gotta do it myself:/