Saturday: Patriots at Bills
Play: Patriots +4
I am really looking forward to this game/grudge match. I think Buffalo has a lot going for it here, and overall has the better roster. But on another cold night in Orchard Park in a playoff situation, I see this being a very tight game.
Mac Jones will have to make some throws this time for the Patriots to pull it out, though I think New England can probably get away with a run-heavy game plan again. They have a clear advantage in the trenches, and think they can leverage that to make this another low-scoring affair like the one we saw last time in Buffalo.
The major challenge for the Patriots will be containing Josh Allen. They were able to pretty well in that first game, but Allen put on a masterpiece in that second match-up. While it will be hard to replicate that performance again, I think Allen should be able to have a pretty good game here.
Despite that, I think this has a makings of a tight game that could be decided by a field goal in either direction. The coaching advantage that New England has is without question, and I think will play a big role here. This team is going to be ready to play at or near its best, especially after a letdown in Miami this past week.
Gut feeling is Patriots find a way to win this one. While I'm not as confident in that, I think the spread play is the Pats taking the points.