Afc & Nfc Conference Championship Games

[ca$hmoney]

Eagles have covered 11 out of the last 14 games vs Minnesota.

useless stat dude. What is this over the last 35 years?

 

[TheComputerGroup]

NEW ENGLAND is 11-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over L2 seasons.
• NEW ENGLAND is 16-2 ATS after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons

Strong trends, but I still like the Jags........nice trends tho.

Patriots are 2-6 ATS past 8 championship games.......

 

[powerz]

This is NE's 6th straight Conference title game

they are 2-4 ATS & 3-3 SU

Split back to back years at home with BALT ....but did not cover as -8 and -7 favs
Lost to Denver OTR
We all remember the Indy Game no contest 45-7 blow out
Lost to Denver again OTR
Last Year they won VS pitt at home again 36-17 5.5 favs

 

[TheComputerGroup]

This is NE's 6th straight Conference title game

they are 2-4 ATS & 3-3 SU

Split back to back years at home with BALT ....but did not cover as -8 and -7 favs
Lost to Denver OTR
We all remember the Indy Game no contest 45-7 blow out
Lost to Denver again OTR
Last Year they won VS pitt at home again 36-17 5.5 favs

This is the Pats 7th str conf championship game.......


2017 Jacksonville at New England -9.5.......?

2016 Pittsburgh at New England -5.5.......Pats 36-17

2015 New England -3 at Denver.......Denver 20-18

2014 Indianapolis at New England -7.......Pats 45-7

2013 New England at Denver-5.......Denver 26-16

2012 Baltimore at New England -8.....Ravens 28-13

2011 Baltimore at New England -7........Pats 23-20

 

[TheComputerGroup]

2007 San Diego at New England -14......Pats 21-12

2006 New England at Indianapolis -3.5......Colts 38-34


Pats 2-6 ATS past 8

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Patriots just got popped from -9.5 to -8.5 at Pinnacle.......

 

[bobbyjones2]

guess im not getting dd s... kinda shocking to see how pats have fared ats in championship games.. its like the 1 time of year the books make any money of them

 

[TheComputerGroup]

guess im not getting dd s... kinda shocking to see how pats have fared ats in championship games.. its like the 1 time of year the books make any money of them

Bookmaker brought it down to +8.5 as well......yeah, I don't think you will see +10 or higher, IMO, it might drop a bit more.

 

[3pointdog]

Will Vegas "NEED" the Pats come Sunday??? I BET they would like that!!!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Will Vegas "NEED" the Pats come Sunday??? I BET they would like that!!!

Lol, no......the money coming in on the Jags isn't public money, its pros betting the Jags.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Coughlin is the executive president of football operations of Jags, & he has been Belichick's kryptonite as Coughlin's teams are 5-2 SU, 7-0 ATS against Belichick

 

[TheWorldIsMine]

Brady #1 Passer in NFL with 286.1 YPG
Jags #1 pass defense allowing 169.9 YPG
This is the 4th time since 1990 that the #1 Passer went up against the #1 pass defense. So far the pass defense is 3-0.

Maybe that's why Tom injured his hand today. Excuse in place for the loss coming

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Brady #1 Passer in NFL with 286.1 YPG
Jags #1 pass defense allowing 169.9 YPG
This is the 4th time since 1990 that the #1 Passer went up against the #1 pass defense. So far the pass defense is 3-0.

Maybe that's why Tom injured his hand today. Excuse in place for the loss coming

My brother said the same thing, if the Pats lose SU, they will use the excuse that Brady was injured.......

 

[PeePee]

Vikings at Philly........I wish Wentz didn't get hurt, we may have had an epic game in Philly.....not saying this will be a blowout, cuz I don't know what to think as of now.

This may come down to the wire like the Vikings/Saints game.....one thing I do know, the Vikings received a miracle win last night, thanks to the Saints defender taking a swan dive into his own player going under the receiver......maybe he was trying to tackle his own teammate to get him out of the way so Minny can score? Lmao......just kidding, who knows wtf these guys are thinking when they're out there.

I do know that Payton made several bad calls through out the game, the most important one was on 3rd & 1 with :33 seconds left.....you don't run up the freaking middle against a top defense stacking the line.....come to think of it, Payton did the exact same sh*t in week 1 at Minny, 4 times inside the 10, & with 1st & goal all 4 times, he ran up the middle.....maybe he's losing his mind, who knows.

After that mistake, you gotta send your defenders deep to cover the field, lol, what a joke.

Congrats to the Vikings for advancing, they have a great defense, & Keenum looked sharp in the 1st half, the Vikings kind of let their foot off the gas in the 2nd half, & almost had their heart broken for playing not to lose.....& I believe that wax a wake up call.

Teams usually do quite well after getting a miracle like this in the playoffs......Music City Miracle by Titans in the wildcard round got them to the SB & lost, Bills in 1992 down like 3-38, came back to win 41-38 in overtime in the wildcard round & got to the SB & lost, etc, plenty of other examples......If Vikings win in Philly, they are the first team to host the SB & be in it......very interesting stuff going on this coming week in the NFL.

As of now, I'm leaning towards Vikings ML, but that could change, very tough game.

The Eagles have a good defense as well, but will Foles do just enough to not lose? Foles is a shell of himself from his 27 td & 2 int season.......Phillys defense was the reason they beat Atlanta, not Foles, altho Foles showed signs of dome great 8-10 yard passes, he shoots himself in the foot other times.

Phillys RB gotta protect the ball, cuz in this hame, Vikings will be going forvthe strip every time he runs with it.......will try & break down this NFC game more as the week goes on.....

If anyone has any angles, trends, systems, etc......please do add them in here, TIA!

Need confirmation...
There were 5 teams (not including Vikings last wee) that won a playoff game off of walkoff TD.... All 5 of them lost the next round by avg of 23 pts.

 

[bobbyjones2]

Keenum turned the saints game around in b2b plays. Up 17, in fg range, takes a sack. The very next possession he throws while getting hit, an easy pick for saints db. He will be facing the nfls best and deepest d line, outside, in the most hostile environment he s played in off a miracle win.. Vikings D fell off late.. I cannot see Keenum playing well this week.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Need confirmation...
There were 5 teams (not including Vikings last wee) that won a playoff game off of walkoff TD.... All 5 of them lost the next round by avg of 23 pts.

If I'm not mistaken, those 5 teams you are referring to all won in OT, Vikings did not.......neither did the Music Miracle City.

As of now, I haven't decided on who I'm playing in the 2nd game.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Official plays so far:


Jags +9 (-110)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

If I'm not mistaken, those 5 teams you are referring to all won in OT, Vikings did not.......neither did the Music Miracle City.

As of now, I haven't decided on who I'm playing in the 2nd game.

Also, 2012, Ravens +9 went into Denver & won SU in double OT 38-35 on a crazy pass & catch.......Ravens went on to beat Pats in champ game & the SB over the 49ers.

I consider that Ravens pass & catch miracle, but not as big of a miracle as the Vikings has last Sunday.

 

[croaker]

If Jags beat NE, would they be favored over Vikings/Philly in the SuperBowl.

Currently Jags +345 ML vs Pats and +700 SuperBowl future.

In decimals I get the implied odds for the Jags to win SuperBowl if they beat NE at 1.77, which would make them slight favorite.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

If Jags beat NE, would they be favored over Vikings/Philly in the SuperBowl.

Currently Jags +345 ML vs Pats and +700 SuperBowl future.

In decimals I get the implied odds for the Jags to win SuperBowl if they beat NE at 1.77, which would make them slight favorite.

Jags -3 vs Philly........Vikings -5.5 vs Jags.......