2017 NCAA Systems

[ScottL]

NFL Road Fav, 7 days or less rest, off SUW by 1-6 points as Road Dog in previous game.
0-14 SU + ATS ???

 

[rolltide]

NFL Road Fav, 7 days or less rest, off SUW by 1-6 points as Road Dog in previous game.
0-14 SU + ATS ???

teams with exactly 7 days rest are 3-0 ATS so when i make it 6 days or less it gets stronger but certainly not 14-0 against. let me mess around with a few parameters and see what i find, but here is the info:

AF and rest < 7 and p:ADW and p:margin < 7
SU: 14-26-0 (-2.45, 35.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-27-3 (-6.65, 27.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 14-25-1 (35.9%) -6: 6-33-1 (15.4%) +10: 23-17-0 (57.5%) -10: 4-36-0 (10.0%) O/U: 13-25-2 (-3.88, 34.2%) avg total: 40.0 +6: 6-33-1 (15.4%) -6: 27-13-0 (67.5%) +10: 4-36-0 (10.0%) -10: 28-12-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.2 113.5 32.0 193.9 18.2 2.0 3.6 5.2 4.0 4.0 16.8 Opp 29.3 109.2 32.6 205.1 19.0 1.6 4.8 4.8 2.9 6.7 19.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 24, 2017 view Sunday 3 2017 Dolphins Jets away -6.0 41.5 Dec 24, 2016 view Saturday 16 2016 Titans Jaguars away 0-10 7-9 3-6 7-13 17-38 -4.5 44.0 -21 -25.5 11.0 -7.2 18.2 L L O 0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Rams Fortyniners away 3-0 13-10 0-3 0-3 16-19 -3.0 38.0 -3 -6.0 -3 -4.5 1.5 L L U 1 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Texans Titans away 10-0 7-0 17-0 0-6 34-6 -4.0 40.0 28 24.0 0.0 12.0 -12.0 W W P 0 Sep 27, 2015 view Sunday 3 2015 Falcons Cowboys away 7-14 10-14 8-0 14-0 39-28 -1.5 44.5 11 9.5 22.5 16.0 6.5 W W O 0 Nov 16, 2014 view Sunday 11 2014 Fortyniners Giants away 3-7 6-0 7-3 0-0 16-10 -4.0 44.0 6 2.0 -18.0 -8.0 -10.0 W W U 0 Jan 05, 2014 Sunday 18 2013 Fortyniners Packers away 6-0 7-10 0-0 10-10 23-20 -3.0 45.5 3 0 -2.5 -1.2 -1.2 W P U 0 Nov 13, 2011 Sunday 10 2011 Ravens Seahawks away 0-10 7-9 3-3 7-0 17-22 -6.5 40.0 -5 -11.5 -1.0 -6.2 5.2 L L U 0 Dec 05, 2010 Sunday 13 2010 Rams Cardinals away 3-6 6-0 7-0 3-0 19-6 -3.5 43.5 13 9.5 -18.5 -4.5 -14.0 W W U 0 Sep 19, 2010 Sunday 2 2010 Ravens Bengals away 0-0 0-6 7-3 3-6 10-15 -2.0 39.5 -5 -7.0 -14.5 -10.8 -3.8 L L U 0 Nov 22, 2009 Sunday 11 2009 Bengals Raiders away 7-0 7-7 3-3 0-10 17-20 -9.0 36.0 -3 -12.0 1.0 -5.5 6.5 L L O 0 Nov 15, 2009 Sunday 10 2009 Cowboys Packers away 0-0 0-3 0-0 7-14 7-17 -3.0 48.0 -10 -13.0 -24.0 -18.5 -5.5 L L U 0 Sep 27, 2009 Sunday 3 2009 Giants Buccaneers away 7-0 7-0 3-0 7-0 24-0 -6.5 45.0 24 17.5 -21.0 -1.8 -19.2 W W U 0 Dec 21, 2008 Sunday 16 2008 Steelers Titans away 0-0 7-10 7-7 0-14 14-31 -2.0 34.5 -17 -19.0 10.5 -4.2 14.8 L L O 0 Nov 30, 2008 Sunday 13 2008 Colts Browns away 3-3 0-3 0-0 7-0 10-6 -4.5 44.0 4 -0.5 -28.0 -14.2 -13.8 W L U 0 Dec 09, 2007 Sunday 14 2007 Buccaneers Texans away 0-7 7-7 7-7 0-7 14-28 -3.0 40.5 -14 -17.0 1.5 -7.8 9.2 L L O 0 Dec 10, 2006 Sunday 14 2006 Seahawks Cardinals away 7-14 7-3 7-0 0-10 21-27 -3.0 44.5 -6 -9.0 3.5 -2.8 6.2 L L O 0 Nov 05, 2006 Sunday 9 2006 Falcons Lions away 7-10 7-7 0-3 0-10 14-30 -5.0 47.5 -16 -21.0 -3.5 -12.2 8.8 L L U 0 Sep 17, 2006 Sunday 2 2006 Saints Packers away 0-13 14-0 6-0 14-14 34-27 -2.0 39.0 7 5.0 22.0 13.5 8.5 W W O 0 Nov 06, 2005 Sunday 9 2005 Bears Saints away 7-3 3-7 7-0 3-7 20-17 -3.0 34.0 3 0.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 W P O 0 Oct 09, 2005 Sunday 5 2005 Eagles Cowboys away 0-17 3-10 7-3 0-3 10-33 -3.0 44.0 -23 -26.0 -1.0 -13.5 12.5 L L U 0 Oct 03, 2004 Sunday 4 2004 Saints Cardinals away 0-7 3-7 7-3 0-17 10-34 -3.0 40.0 -24 -27.0 4.0 -11.5 15.5 L L O 0 Nov 09, 2003 Sunday 10 2003 Colts Jaguars away 7-7 13-0 0-7 3-14 23-28 -5.5 44.5 -5 -10.5 6.5 -2.0 8.5 L L O 0 Nov 02, 2003 Sunday 9 2003 Panthers Texans away 7-0 0-0 3-7 0-7 10-14 -5.0 37.0 -4 -9.0 -13.0 -11.0 -2.0 L L U 0 Nov 25, 2001 Sunday 12 2001 Falcons Panthers away 3-0 7-0 0-0 0-7 10-7 -3.0 40.0 3 0.0 -23.0 -11.5 -11.5 W P U 0 Oct 08, 2000 Sunday 6 2000 Colts Patriots away 0-3 10-7 3-0 3-14 16-24 -3.5 44.0 -8 -11.5 -4.0 -7.8 3.8 L L U 0 Dec 23, 1995 Saturday 17 1995 Chargers Giants away 0-3 3-14 7-0 17-0 27-17 -4.5 38.0 10 5.5 6.0 5.8 0.2 W W O 0 Nov 20, 1994 Sunday 12 1994 Chargers Patriots away 0-7 0-3 10-3 7-10 17-23 -3.0 39.0 -6 -9.0 1.0 -4.0 5.0 L L O 0 Dec 19, 1993 Sunday 16 1993 Rams Bengals away 0-3 3-6 0-3 0-3 3-15 -2.0 32.5 -12 -14.0 -14.5 -14.2 -0.2 L L U 0 Dec 05, 1993 Sunday 14 1993 Saints Browns away 7-10 0-0 3-7 3-0 13-17 -3.5 34.5 -4 -7.5 -4.5 -6.0 1.5 L L U 0 Nov 28, 1993 Sunday 13 1993 Raiders Bengals away 0-3 0-7 0-3 10-3 10-16 -8.0 34.5 -6 -14.0 -8.5 -11.2 2.8 L L U 0 Nov 21, 1993 Sunday 12 1993 Vikings Buccaneers away 0-3 7-3 3-10 0-7 10-23 -7.5 38.0 -13 -20.5 -5.0 -12.8 7.8 L L U 0 Sep 26, 1993 Sunday 4 1993 Seahawks Bengals away 0-0 6-0 3-0 10-10 19-10 -3.0 32.0 9 6.0 -3.0 1.5 -4.5 W W U 0 Sep 26, 1993 Sunday 4 1993 Browns Colts away 0-0 0-6 7-3 3-14 10-23 -2.0 34.0 -13 -15.0 -1.0 -8.0 7.0 L L U 0 Dec 27, 1992 Sunday 17 1992 Bills Oilers away 3-10 0-10 0-0 0-7 3-27 -3.5 41.5 -24 -27.5 -11.5 -19.5 8.0 L L U 0 Dec 22, 1991 Sunday 17 1991 Patriots Bengals away 7-7 0-14 0-0 0-8 7-29 -2.0 38.0 -22 -24.0 -2.0 -13.0 11.0 L L U 0 Dec 15, 1991 Sunday 16 1991 Bills Colts away 21-0 7-0 0-0 7-7 35-7 -15.0 42.0 28 13.0 0.0 6.5 -6.5 W W P 0 Oct 20, 1991 Sunday 8 1991 Falcons Cardinals away 7-3 3-0 0-10 0-3 10-16 -2.5 38.0 -6 -8.5 -12.0 -10.2 -1.8 L L U 0 Dec 02, 1990 Sunday 13 1990 Chiefs Patriots away 13-0 10-0 7-7 7-0 37-7 -8.5 37.5 30 21.5 6.5 14.0 -7.5 W W O 0 Oct 07, 1990 Sunday 5 1990 Buccaneers Cowboys away 0-7 3-0 7-0 0-7 10-14 -2.5 39.5 -4 -6.5 -15.5 -11.0 -4.5 L L U 0 Showing 1 to 40 of 40 entries

 

[rolltide]

NFL Road Fav, 7 days or less rest, off SUW by 1-6 points as Road Dog in previous game.
0-14 SU + ATS ???

it REALLY tightens up nicely when the opponent did not get blown out last game but since that happened with the Jets last week it drops Miami from the very nice tightener

A and line <= 0 and rest < 7 and p:ADW and p:margin < 7 and op:margin > -17
SU: 8-26-0 (-5.56, 23.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-27-3 (-9.47, 12.9%) avg line: -3.9 +6: 8-25-1 (24.2%) -6: 3-31-0 (8.8%) +10: 17-16-1 (51.5%) -10: 2-32-0 (5.9%) O/U: 13-20-1 (-3.09, 39.4%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 6-27-1 (18.2%) -6: 24-10-0 (70.6%) +10: 4-30-0 (11.8%) -10: 25-9-0 (73.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.1 111.4 32.4 190.2 18.8 2.1 3.8 4.6 3.4 4.0 15.9 Opp 30.9 119.1 30.9 204.3 18.8 1.4 5.1 5.9 3.1 7.3 21.4

 

[Hotpizza]

Which team or teams meet the above criteria for this week?

 

[exploited17]

I'm going to reply if okay. If not I will start my own thread.

I havent updated these in a couple years....so if someone can that would be good. Not necessarily this weeks games.

Play against any teamin a non- conference gamewho won SUas a double digit road dog in last outing its oponent is off a SU win 40-16 ATS
If the against team scored 22 or more 28-7 ATS.....Up that to 35 or more and a perfect 11-0 ATS

 

[exploited17]

If a team lost SU on the road as a double digit favorite if on the road the next game 43-24 ATS. If they were favored by more than 10...lost to a non-conference opponent and are on the road again they are 19-2 ATS. Finally if those conditions are met and our team has winning %of .400 or better 13-0 ATS

 

[exploited17]

NFl

The league is 17- 0 ATS as a 7+ home dog after they suffered a 3+ turnover margin last week if the OU is more than 35

 

[rolltide]

I'm going to reply if okay. If not I will start my own thread.

I havent updated these in a couple years....so if someone can that would be good. Not necessarily this weeks games.

Play against any teamin a non- conference gamewho won SUas a double digit road dog in last outing its oponent is off a SU win 40-16 ATS
If the against team scored 22 or more 28-7 ATS.....Up that to 35 or more and a perfect 11-0 ATS

p:ADW and p:line > 9.5 and not C and op:W
SU: 35-72-1 (-6.70, 32.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-64-1 (-3.39, 37.9%) avg line: 3.2

p:ADW and p:line > 9.5 and not C and op:W and opoints > 21
SU: 25-64-1 (-7.98, 28.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-56-1 (-3.71, 35.6%) avg line: 3.8

p:ADW and p:line > 9.5 and not C and op:W and opoints > 34
SU: 14-36-0 (-7.52, 28.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-29-0 (-2.41, 40.8%) avg line: 5.0

If a team lost SU on the road as a double digit favorite if on the road the next game 43-24 ATS. If they were favored by more than 10...lost to a non-conference opponent and are on the road again they are 19-2 ATS. Finally if those conditions are met and our team has winning %of .400 or better 13-0 ATS

drops to 18-8 with the 40% so just using prev non-conf double digit away loss and on road again....

p:AFL and p:line < -9.5 and A and p:conference != o:conference
SU: 17-22-0 (-1.03, 43.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-8-1 (4.93, 78.4%) avg line: 7.0 +6: 34-4-0 (89.5%) -6: 17-20-1 (45.9%) +10: 35-2-1 (94.6%) -10: 9-27-2 (25.0%)

NFl

The league is 17- 0 ATS as a 7+ home dog after they suffered a 3+ turnover margin last week if the OU is more than 35

HD and line > 6.5 and p:TOM > 2 and total > 35 SU: 23-49-0 (-6.82, 31.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-27-1 (2.26, 62.0%) avg line: 9.1 +6: 51-21-0 (70.8%) -6: 30-40-2 (42.9%) +10: 56-14-2 (80.0%) -10: 20-49-3 (29.0%) O/U: 32-38-2 (2.49, 45.7%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 26-46-0 (36.1%) -6: 51-20-1 (71.8%) +10: 19-51-2 (27.1%) -10: 57-13-2 (81.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.4 110.0 31.8 178.8 18.2 1.8 3.4 5.9 3.4 6.0 18.9 Opp 29.0 121.7 33.5 249.5 21.7 1.8 5.2 8.0 6.3 6.1 25.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 24, 2017 view Sunday 3 2017 Bears Steelers home 7.5 45.0

 

[Saints2016]

a couple more NFL from a new newsletter i subscribed to....


1) week 2 teams with point spread +/- 3.5 of even vs opponent that just scored 30+ are 35-8 SU, 30-10-3 ATS (on Wash, on NYG). makes sense...vegas has no belief in that team despite 30+ points scored and probably overachieved last week


2) teams blown out in week 1 divisional games are 11-1-1 ATS the following week (great angle but hou and cincy canceled each other out)


3) home teams week 2 that lost away week 1 are 36-19-1 ATS L7 years (on NO, LAC, IND, SEA, NYG)


4) game 2 dogs in 2nd of b2b divisional game are 17-5 ATS (on JAX, on CLE)


5) oppose teams that played on the showcased opening thur game, 16-7-1 (on NO, on PHI) - interesting considering the extra prep time but keep in mind NO played monday while NE played previous Thur. those MON vs THU are usually very bad spread covers for the MON team (6 straight noncovers....see below...active 3 more times this year. Still prefer NO due to the public inflating this line which should be -3.5 or -4 max)

p:day = Thursday and op:day = Monday and date > 20151123 SU: 4-2-0 (11.67, 66.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-0-0 (9.67, 100.0%) avg line: -2.0 +6: 6-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 3-2-1 (60.0%) +10: 6-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 2-4-0 (33.3%) O/U: 4-2-0 (6.58, 66.7%) avg total: 44.8 +6: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -6: 5-1-0 (83.3%) +10: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -10: 6-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.7 139.8 35.8 251.0 21.8 1.3 4.5 7.3 9.7 10.0 31.5 Opp 24.8 115.3 32.3 204.3 17.8 2.8 3.3 6.8 2.8 6.8 19.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 03, 2017 view Sunday 13 2017 Lions Ravens away 3.0 Oct 01, 2017 view Sunday 4 2017 Fortyniners Cardinals away 9.0 Oct 01, 2017 view Sunday 4 2017 Rams Cowboys away 12.5 Sep 17, 2017 view Sunday 2 2017 Patriots Saints away -6.5 56.0

Was a rough week for these "plays". Looks like they went 2-9 vs the spread. I'm sure it will be better this week.

 

[exploited17]

I'm going to reply if okay. If not I will start my own thread.

I havent updated these in a couple years....so if someone can that would be good. Not necessarily this weeks games.

Play against any teamin a non- conference gamewho won SUas a double digit road dog in last outing its oponent is off a SU win 40-16 ATS
If the against team scored 22 or more 28-7 ATS.....Up that to 35 or more and a perfect 11-0 ATS

I'm not sure where they got these stats from but you got totally different ATS then them. Maybe this isn't a good system

The league is 17-0 ATS as a home dog after they suffered a 3+ turnover margin and the OU is greater than 35. 62% is pretty good, but is there anyway we can get information that adds the turnover margin of 3+ to the equation? i'd like to see if this system as good as it claims. I personally plaid it twice in those situations and both won

 

[ScottL]

Thanks for the work RT. Was looking at above angle to support Jets.

Over the years I've been given many systems by Lawrence, Barbose, Toby Scot, Taxi Driver. Most were accurate but most also fell toward 500 when I u$ed them for wagers so I've tossed most out. Can't remember who gave me that one.

 

[rolltide]

Thanks for the work RT. Was looking at above angle to support Jets.

Over the years I've been given many systems by Lawrence, Barbose, Toby Scot, Taxi Driver. Most were accurate but most also fell toward 500 when I u$ed them for wagers so I've tossed most out. Can't remember who gave me that one.

yeah lawrence put one out this week, supposedly 21-1-1 ATS on the Lions, that I can't get better than 65% .... actually what got me into doing this was backchecking Rocky's newsletter and, to a lesser extent, the Playbook (ML) newsletter. ML does a great job but he's too invested into getting something to 8-0 ATS tightened from a 55-10 ATS system. I'd much rather know the 55-10 ....

the one you posted is very good and I have saved the tightener so thx for posting

 

[rolltide]

I'm not sure where they got these stats from but you got totally different ATS then them. Maybe this isn't a good system

The league is 17-0 ATS as a home dog after they suffered a 3+ turnover margin and the OU is greater than 35. 62% is pretty good, but is there anyway we can get information that adds the turnover margin of 3+ to the equation? i'd like to see if this system as good as it claims. I personally plaid it twice in those situations and both won

i already added previous turnover margin of 3 or greater. it's a 44-27 ATS spot. sorry it's not 17-0. Bears fit this week

HD and line > 6.5 and ​

p:TOM > 2​

and total > 35​

 

[rolltide]

a rare one....

OVER with any team that lost SU despite allowing less than 10 points and had poor time of possession. 32-6 o/u (DEN/BUF o)

p:L and pooints < 10 and p:TOP < 2018 and season > 1994
SU: 17-21-0 (-3.05, 44.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-20-0 (-1.55, 47.4%) avg line: 1.5 +6: 22-16-0 (57.9%) -6: 15-23-0 (39.5%) +10: 25-11-2 (69.4%) -10: 8-29-1 (21.6%) O/U: 32-6-0 (11.43, 84.2%) avg total: 38.8 +6: 24-14-0 (63.2%) -6: 34-3-1 (91.9%) +10: 20-17-1 (54.1%) -10: 38-0-0 (100.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.5 110.5 32.5 205.7 18.8 2.2 4.0 8.1 5.1 5.9 23.6 Opp 29.0 137.8 32.7 201.6 18.8 2.2 5.4 7.8 5.3 8.1 26.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 24, 2017 view Sunday 3 2017 Bills Broncos home 3.0 40.0

 

[rolltide]

one reworked from newsletter

PLAY ON away dog of 3+ that were a playoff team last year and off a good defensive performance. 68-28 ATS (on NYG) 22-7 if a divisional game

___________________________________________________________________________


here is the PLAYBOOK newsletter NFL play of week vs the actual number. Not ripping on Lawrence at all, because he puts a hell of a lot of work into his stuff, but I can't make any sense out of his #'s....

this is a very simple query for me so you can't blame it on user error


PLAY ON any NFL non-division home dog of 2 or more points with a winning record if they were a playoff team last year and are facing a foe off an ATS win of 7 or more points. 22-1-1 ATS since 1992 (on DET)

tpS(PO, N=2) >= 1 and HD and line > 1.5 and NDIV and WP > 50 and op:ats margin >= 7 SU: 5-5-0 (3.10, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-3-0 (7.40, 70.0%) avg line: 4.3 +6: 10-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 5-5-0 (50.0%) +10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 5-5-0 (50.0%) O/U: 5-5-0 (-1.50, 50.0%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 6-3-1 (66.7%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 8-2-0 (80.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 125.3 36.1 255.8 23.2 1.2 3.4 10.8 3.8 5.9 23.9 Opp 23.9 99.0 34.4 247.0 22.0 2.3 3.8 5.4 5.4 5.9 20.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 24, 2017 view Sunday 3 2017 Lions Falcons home 3.5 49.5

 

[rolltide]

with 2 weeks behind us in NFL it is worth seeing how teams have done in the past 7 years coming off b2b very good scoring weeks and b2b poor scoring weeks. dps=the expected points scored based on line and total. the NYG were negative dps in both weeks so would be worth a look vs philly

p:dps < 0 and pp:dps < 0 and season > 2009 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
21	15-6-0 (6.10, 71.4%)	-1.2	10-10-1 (-2.02, 50.0%)	45.6	15-6-0 (7.29, 71.4%)	Giants
15	10-4-1 (7.13, 71.4%)	-5.2	10-5-0 (2.27, 66.7%)	46.7	13-2-0 (12.33, 86.7%)	Patriots
27	17-8-2 (2.65, 68.0%)	-1.4	13-13-1 (0.69, 50.0%)	42.9	18-9-0 (4.00, 66.7%)	Seahawks
26	17-9-0 (2.37, 65.4%)	0.6	15-9-2 (2.85, 62.5%)	43.6	14-12-0 (1.73, 53.8%)	Texans
23	15-8-0 (2.78, 65.2%)	5.0	13-9-1 (1.24, 59.1%)	45.0	9-14-0 (-2.26, 39.1%)	Raiders
18	10-6-2 (5.28, 62.5%)	-1.2	8-10-0 (-2.17, 44.4%)	42.9	11-7-0 (6.50, 61.1%)	Bengals
19	11-8-0 (0.68, 57.9%)	-1.7	12-7-0 (8.16, 63.2%)	48.0	9-10-0 (2.37, 47.4%)	Saints
20	10-8-2 (2.02, 55.6%)	1.2	13-7-0 (6.62, 65.0%)	43.2	12-8-0 (0.80, 60.0%)	Broncos
27	15-12-0 (1.17, 55.6%)	4.0	11-15-1 (-2.31, 42.3%)	41.6	12-15-0 (-2.81, 44.4%)	Chiefs
18	10-8-0 (3.08, 55.6%)	2.3	7-10-1 (0.33, 41.2%)	45.8	10-8-0 (0.78, 55.6%)	Colts
28	15-12-1 (3.02, 55.6%)	0.6	16-12-0 (0.02, 57.1%)	43.1	15-13-0 (2.39, 53.6%)	Fortyniners
18	10-8-0 (0.69, 55.6%)	1.4	10-8-0 (3.47, 55.6%)	42.8	8-10-0 (-0.67, 44.4%)	Vikings
27	14-12-1 (3.63, 53.8%)	0.8	18-9-0 (4.41, 66.7%)	42.7	15-12-0 (2.81, 55.6%)	Bears
22	11-10-1 (3.00, 52.4%)	3.2	10-12-0 (0.84, 45.5%)	43.6	10-12-0 (-0.23, 45.5%)	Panthers
25	13-12-0 (0.44, 52.0%)	-2.4	11-13-1 (2.26, 45.8%)	42.8	15-10-0 (2.84, 60.0%)	Steelers
22	11-11-0 (-1.41, 50.0%)	2.1	12-10-0 (3.89, 54.5%)	42.3	9-13-0 (-3.50, 40.9%)	Bills
33	16-16-1 (0.38, 50.0%)	5.7	19-13-1 (4.42, 59.4%)	42.5	9-24-0 (-5.27, 27.3%)	Jaguars
26	13-13-0 (1.27, 50.0%)	-3.8	15-11-0 (4.79, 57.7%)	47.1	16-9-1 (5.08, 64.0%)	Packers
21	10-10-1 (3.17, 50.0%)	-1.3	15-6-0 (3.83, 71.4%)	42.7	15-6-0 (4.48, 71.4%)	Ravens
31	15-16-0 (-1.11, 48.4%)	0.2	19-12-0 (0.95, 61.3%)	47.1	14-17-0 (-1.32, 45.2%)	Eagles
26	12-13-1 (1.75, 48.0%)	2.2	10-16-0 (1.12, 38.5%)	42.8	11-15-0 (-0.50, 42.3%)	Dolphins
23	11-12-0 (-1.46, 47.8%)	2.6	13-9-1 (1.09, 59.1%)	42.1	11-12-0 (-4.04, 47.8%)	Cardinals
25	11-12-2 (-1.22, 47.8%)	2.7	11-14-0 (-1.86, 44.0%)	45.0	9-16-0 (-3.96, 36.0%)	Redskins
18	8-9-1 (1.75, 47.1%)	0.8	12-6-0 (4.06, 66.7%)	44.7	7-11-0 (0.94, 38.9%)	Cowboys
25	11-13-1 (-2.52, 45.8%)	2.2	11-14-0 (-0.96, 44.0%)	42.0	10-15-0 (-4.76, 40.0%)	Jets
24	11-13-0 (0.81, 45.8%)	1.4	12-12-0 (0.17, 50.0%)	46.9	11-13-0 (-0.58, 45.8%)	Lions
26	11-14-1 (-2.29, 44.0%)	-0.7	8-18-0 (-3.06, 30.8%)	46.2	12-14-0 (-1.62, 46.2%)	Falcons
29	12-17-0 (-3.52, 41.4%)	4.0	18-11-0 (5.05, 62.1%)	44.8	9-20-0 (-7.55, 31.0%)	Buccaneers
29	12-17-0 (0.09, 41.4%)	-1.5	14-14-1 (2.34, 50.0%)	45.4	16-13-0 (1.55, 55.2%)	Chargers
29	12-17-0 (-2.29, 41.4%)	2.2	16-10-3 (1.62, 61.5%)	43.6	10-19-0 (-4.48, 34.5%)	Titans
28	11-16-1 (-0.29, 40.7%)	5.7	9-19-0 (-3.29, 32.1%)	41.0	7-21-0 (-5.96, 25.0%)	Browns
35	11-22-2 (-3.90, 33.3%)	4.9	18-17-0 (-0.36, 51.4%)	41.7	10-25-0 (-8.80, 28.6%)	Rams

Showing 1 to 32 of 32 entries

_____________________________________________________________________________________________-

p:dps > 0 and pp:dps > 0 and season > 2009 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
16	12-3-1 (4.50, 80.0%)	2.8	9-7-0 (3.62, 56.2%)	44.9	10-6-0 (1.69, 62.5%)	Buccaneers
23	14-8-1 (0.67, 63.6%)	1.6	8-15-0 (-4.09, 34.8%)	44.3	14-9-0 (-0.91, 60.9%)	Dolphins
24	14-10-0 (2.21, 58.3%)	-3.2	9-15-0 (-1.98, 37.5%)	43.8	16-8-0 (5.38, 66.7%)	Chiefs
32	18-13-1 (-0.55, 58.1%)	-5.4	16-16-0 (-0.97, 50.0%)	49.1	22-10-0 (4.84, 68.8%)	Packers
32	18-13-1 (3.89, 58.1%)	-0.9	19-13-0 (3.08, 59.4%)	45.2	21-11-0 (4.75, 65.6%)	Panthers
46	26-19-1 (4.74, 57.8%)	-6.3	28-18-0 (1.26, 60.9%)	48.6	37-9-0 (11.04, 80.4%)	Patriots
33	18-14-1 (2.73, 56.2%)	-2.5	15-18-0 (0.74, 45.5%)	44.2	21-12-0 (5.18, 63.6%)	Steelers
27	15-12-0 (-0.96, 55.6%)	2.4	14-11-2 (2.52, 56.0%)	44.0	12-14-1 (-3.37, 46.2%)	Vikings
28	15-13-0 (-1.05, 53.6%)	2.6	13-15-0 (-0.29, 46.4%)	46.8	11-17-0 (-3.68, 39.3%)	Redskins
30	15-13-2 (4.43, 53.6%)	-3.3	18-12-0 (3.15, 60.0%)	42.0	17-13-0 (7.77, 56.7%)	Seahawks
33	17-15-1 (-0.47, 53.1%)	-2.6	22-9-2 (6.94, 71.0%)	50.8	18-15-0 (2.12, 54.5%)	Saints
23	12-11-0 (-1.83, 52.2%)	-1.4	10-11-2 (-0.09, 47.6%)	47.2	12-11-0 (-0.39, 52.2%)	Giants
14	7-7-0 (-2.46, 50.0%)	2.0	4-9-1 (-5.18, 30.8%)	44.5	5-9-0 (-4.43, 35.7%)	Jaguars
20	10-10-0 (0.45, 50.0%)	1.1	8-12-0 (-1.62, 40.0%)	46.3	10-10-0 (-0.65, 50.0%)	Lions
23	11-11-1 (2.02, 50.0%)	-2.2	6-16-1 (-4.43, 27.3%)	44.2	13-10-0 (4.26, 56.5%)	Bengals
31	15-16-0 (2.16, 48.4%)	-1.9	13-18-0 (0.00, 41.9%)	48.3	21-10-0 (4.06, 67.7%)	Cowboys
29	14-15-0 (2.60, 48.3%)	-2.3	15-13-1 (2.07, 53.6%)	49.7	17-12-0 (4.93, 58.6%)	Falcons
23	11-12-0 (-1.93, 47.8%)	-0.2	13-10-0 (-0.13, 56.5%)	42.4	9-14-0 (-1.78, 39.1%)	Jets
17	8-9-0 (-2.91, 47.1%)	-2.3	6-11-0 (-5.00, 35.3%)	43.9	8-9-0 (-0.65, 47.1%)	Texans
30	13-15-2 (-1.97, 46.4%)	3.0	15-15-0 (0.02, 50.0%)	45.1	10-20-0 (-4.93, 33.3%)	Bills
19	8-10-1 (-0.68, 44.4%)	-3.1	5-14-0 (-3.79, 26.3%)	47.2	8-11-0 (2.37, 42.1%)	Chargers
27	12-15-0 (-1.96, 44.4%)	1.6	15-9-3 (5.76, 62.5%)	45.0	12-15-0 (-3.52, 44.4%)	Raiders
28	12-15-1 (0.84, 44.4%)	-1.2	16-12-0 (0.50, 57.1%)	43.7	15-12-1 (2.07, 55.6%)	Cardinals
31	13-18-0 (-1.50, 41.9%)	-6.4	19-11-1 (3.89, 63.3%)	48.0	20-11-0 (4.90, 64.5%)	Broncos
18	7-10-1 (-2.89, 41.2%)	1.8	9-8-1 (-0.89, 52.9%)	45.5	5-13-0 (-4.72, 27.8%)	Bears
22	8-12-2 (-0.64, 40.0%)	-2.5	8-14-0 (-1.70, 36.4%)	44.1	13-9-0 (1.86, 59.1%)	Ravens
32	12-18-2 (-4.69, 40.0%)	-0.2	18-14-0 (3.48, 56.2%)	47.2	14-18-0 (-4.53, 43.8%)	Colts
27	10-16-1 (-1.54, 38.5%)	-1.6	11-16-0 (-1.33, 40.7%)	48.4	13-14-0 (0.04, 48.1%)	Eagles
20	7-12-1 (-5.20, 36.8%)	-2.8	8-12-0 (-2.88, 40.0%)	42.2	9-11-0 (-2.45, 45.0%)	Fortyniners
14	5-9-0 (0.29, 35.7%)	2.9	6-8-0 (-2.04, 42.9%)	43.0	4-10-0 (-2.64, 28.6%)	Rams
17	5-12-0 (-4.65, 29.4%)	1.8	8-9-0 (-0.03, 47.1%)	42.1	3-14-0 (-6.47, 17.6%)	Browns
14	2-12-0 (-5.54, 14.3%)	0.2	8-6-0 (3.89, 57.1%)	45.5	4-10-0 (-5.79, 28.6%)	Titans

Showing 1 to 32 of 32 entries

 

[exploited17]

Does not apply this week. If you wan I can just post what applies. Because if it doesn't it might clog your thread and may get lost. But for future reference anyway. Your choice

The Sports Data Query Language (SDQL) offers plentyof opportunity to fine-tune systems and trends with thewealth of parameters available. This system starts off witha road team on grass off a double-digit road loss. The SDQLfor this situation isp:margin<=-10 and p:A and A and surface = grassNext we insist that they had single-digit wins in theprevious regular season and are facing a non-divisionopponent that had more regular season wins in the previousseason.NDIV and PRSW < oRSW and PRSW<10Note that NDIV is the SDQL shortcut for a game betweennon-divisional opponents and PRSW is the SDQL shortcut forprevious regular season wins.What all this adds up to is an overconfident home team.They are facing a team that:1. Is playing their second straight road game.2. Is off a double-digit loss.3. Has fewer wins than them.4. Had fewer than ten wins the previoous season.p:margin<=-10 and p:A and A and surface = grass andNDIV and PRSW < oRSW and PRSW<10 and date >=20031221This system is 35-3 ATS and what is really interesting isthat the system was 0-3 ATS 2011. If we exclude 2011, thesystem is a perfect 35-0 ATS. We can also get it perfect witha number of other “tweaks.” One is by insisting that theteam has a season-to-date rushing average of at least 3.3yards per rush and that their opponent is not on a 12-plusgame winning streak. These two modest requirementsbring the system to 33-0 ATS since December 21st, 2003.The complete SDQL for the 33-0 ATS system

 

[ScottL]

yeah lawrence put one out this week, supposedly 21-1-1 ATS on the Lions, that I can't get better than 65% .... actually what got me into doing this was backchecking Rocky's newsletter and, to a lesser extent, the Playbook (ML) newsletter. ML does a great job but he's too invested into getting something to 8-0 ATS tightened from a 55-10 ATS system. I'd much rather know the 55-10 ....

the one you posted is very good and I have saved the tightener so thx for posting

He gave me a ton of stuff once 20 years ago in a 2 hour phonecall. This was back when he kept stuff by hand and found it by pouring through years of ATS logs (BTW worthless as it is I have every lined Football ATS line and score since 1974). He had names for all his systems.... "All Revved Up" .... "Hibernating Wolf" etc. I would keep them all until they would fail 3 straight and eventually they all did.

Mike Neri set up his original DB before he quit to go out on his own and put out all double digit chalk the last 20 years. Lawrence's son (who doubles as a professional thief) took it over. They have the DB set to run queries and juggle numbers around 24/7 until it produces something that's "never lost" they can promote. No one handicaps in that office anymore. But there is a 6 car garage next to his house so he did something right over the years.

 

[Biz]

Does not apply this week. If you wan I can just post what applies. Because if it doesn't it might clog your thread and may get lost. But for future reference anyway. Your choice

The Sports Data Query Language (SDQL) offers plentyof opportunity to fine-tune systems and trends with thewealth of parameters available. This system starts off witha road team on grass off a double-digit road loss. The SDQLfor this situation isp:margin<=-10 and p:A and A and surface = grassNext we insist that they had single-digit wins in theprevious regular season and are facing a non-divisionopponent that had more regular season wins in the previousseason.NDIV and PRSW < oRSW and PRSW<10Note that NDIV is the SDQL shortcut for a game betweennon-divisional opponents and PRSW is the SDQL shortcut forprevious regular season wins.What all this adds up to is an overconfident home team.They are facing a team that:1. Is playing their second straight road game.2. Is off a double-digit loss.3. Has fewer wins than them.4. Had fewer than ten wins the previoous season.p:margin<=-10 and p:A and A and surface = grass andNDIV and PRSW < oRSW and PRSW<10 and date >=20031221This system is 35-3 ATS and what is really interesting isthat the system was 0-3 ATS 2011. If we exclude 2011, thesystem is a perfect 35-0 ATS. We can also get it perfect witha number of other “tweaks.” One is by insisting that theteam has a season-to-date rushing average of at least 3.3yards per rush and that their opponent is not on a 12-plusgame winning streak. These two modest requirementsbring the system to 33-0 ATS since December 21st, 2003.The complete SDQL for the 33-0 ATS system

This looks like its more back fitting data than being predictive.

 

[Biz]

with 2 weeks behind us in NFL it is worth seeing how teams have done in the past 7 years coming off b2b very good scoring weeks and b2b poor scoring weeks. dps=the expected points scored based on line and total. the NYG were negative dps in both weeks so would be worth a look vs philly

p:dps < 0 and pp:dps < 0 and season > 2009 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
21	15-6-0 (6.10, 71.4%)	-1.2	10-10-1 (-2.02, 50.0%)	45.6	15-6-0 (7.29, 71.4%)	Giants
15	10-4-1 (7.13, 71.4%)	-5.2	10-5-0 (2.27, 66.7%)	46.7	13-2-0 (12.33, 86.7%)	Patriots
27	17-8-2 (2.65, 68.0%)	-1.4	13-13-1 (0.69, 50.0%)	42.9	18-9-0 (4.00, 66.7%)	Seahawks
26	17-9-0 (2.37, 65.4%)	0.6	15-9-2 (2.85, 62.5%)	43.6	14-12-0 (1.73, 53.8%)	Texans
23	15-8-0 (2.78, 65.2%)	5.0	13-9-1 (1.24, 59.1%)	45.0	9-14-0 (-2.26, 39.1%)	Raiders
18	10-6-2 (5.28, 62.5%)	-1.2	8-10-0 (-2.17, 44.4%)	42.9	11-7-0 (6.50, 61.1%)	Bengals
19	11-8-0 (0.68, 57.9%)	-1.7	12-7-0 (8.16, 63.2%)	48.0	9-10-0 (2.37, 47.4%)	Saints
20	10-8-2 (2.02, 55.6%)	1.2	13-7-0 (6.62, 65.0%)	43.2	12-8-0 (0.80, 60.0%)	Broncos
27	15-12-0 (1.17, 55.6%)	4.0	11-15-1 (-2.31, 42.3%)	41.6	12-15-0 (-2.81, 44.4%)	Chiefs
18	10-8-0 (3.08, 55.6%)	2.3	7-10-1 (0.33, 41.2%)	45.8	10-8-0 (0.78, 55.6%)	Colts
28	15-12-1 (3.02, 55.6%)	0.6	16-12-0 (0.02, 57.1%)	43.1	15-13-0 (2.39, 53.6%)	Fortyniners
18	10-8-0 (0.69, 55.6%)	1.4	10-8-0 (3.47, 55.6%)	42.8	8-10-0 (-0.67, 44.4%)	Vikings
27	14-12-1 (3.63, 53.8%)	0.8	18-9-0 (4.41, 66.7%)	42.7	15-12-0 (2.81, 55.6%)	Bears
22	11-10-1 (3.00, 52.4%)	3.2	10-12-0 (0.84, 45.5%)	43.6	10-12-0 (-0.23, 45.5%)	Panthers
25	13-12-0 (0.44, 52.0%)	-2.4	11-13-1 (2.26, 45.8%)	42.8	15-10-0 (2.84, 60.0%)	Steelers
22	11-11-0 (-1.41, 50.0%)	2.1	12-10-0 (3.89, 54.5%)	42.3	9-13-0 (-3.50, 40.9%)	Bills
33	16-16-1 (0.38, 50.0%)	5.7	19-13-1 (4.42, 59.4%)	42.5	9-24-0 (-5.27, 27.3%)	Jaguars
26	13-13-0 (1.27, 50.0%)	-3.8	15-11-0 (4.79, 57.7%)	47.1	16-9-1 (5.08, 64.0%)	Packers
21	10-10-1 (3.17, 50.0%)	-1.3	15-6-0 (3.83, 71.4%)	42.7	15-6-0 (4.48, 71.4%)	Ravens
31	15-16-0 (-1.11, 48.4%)	0.2	19-12-0 (0.95, 61.3%)	47.1	14-17-0 (-1.32, 45.2%)	Eagles
26	12-13-1 (1.75, 48.0%)	2.2	10-16-0 (1.12, 38.5%)	42.8	11-15-0 (-0.50, 42.3%)	Dolphins
23	11-12-0 (-1.46, 47.8%)	2.6	13-9-1 (1.09, 59.1%)	42.1	11-12-0 (-4.04, 47.8%)	Cardinals
25	11-12-2 (-1.22, 47.8%)	2.7	11-14-0 (-1.86, 44.0%)	45.0	9-16-0 (-3.96, 36.0%)	Redskins
18	8-9-1 (1.75, 47.1%)	0.8	12-6-0 (4.06, 66.7%)	44.7	7-11-0 (0.94, 38.9%)	Cowboys
25	11-13-1 (-2.52, 45.8%)	2.2	11-14-0 (-0.96, 44.0%)	42.0	10-15-0 (-4.76, 40.0%)	Jets
24	11-13-0 (0.81, 45.8%)	1.4	12-12-0 (0.17, 50.0%)	46.9	11-13-0 (-0.58, 45.8%)	Lions
26	11-14-1 (-2.29, 44.0%)	-0.7	8-18-0 (-3.06, 30.8%)	46.2	12-14-0 (-1.62, 46.2%)	Falcons
29	12-17-0 (-3.52, 41.4%)	4.0	18-11-0 (5.05, 62.1%)	44.8	9-20-0 (-7.55, 31.0%)	Buccaneers
29	12-17-0 (0.09, 41.4%)	-1.5	14-14-1 (2.34, 50.0%)	45.4	16-13-0 (1.55, 55.2%)	Chargers
29	12-17-0 (-2.29, 41.4%)	2.2	16-10-3 (1.62, 61.5%)	43.6	10-19-0 (-4.48, 34.5%)	Titans
28	11-16-1 (-0.29, 40.7%)	5.7	9-19-0 (-3.29, 32.1%)	41.0	7-21-0 (-5.96, 25.0%)	Browns
35	11-22-2 (-3.90, 33.3%)	4.9	18-17-0 (-0.36, 51.4%)	41.7	10-25-0 (-8.80, 28.6%)	Rams

Showing 1 to 32 of 32 entries

_____________________________________________________________________________________________-

p:dps > 0 and pp:dps > 0 and season > 2009 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
16	12-3-1 (4.50, 80.0%)	2.8	9-7-0 (3.62, 56.2%)	44.9	10-6-0 (1.69, 62.5%)	Buccaneers
23	14-8-1 (0.67, 63.6%)	1.6	8-15-0 (-4.09, 34.8%)	44.3	14-9-0 (-0.91, 60.9%)	Dolphins
24	14-10-0 (2.21, 58.3%)	-3.2	9-15-0 (-1.98, 37.5%)	43.8	16-8-0 (5.38, 66.7%)	Chiefs
32	18-13-1 (-0.55, 58.1%)	-5.4	16-16-0 (-0.97, 50.0%)	49.1	22-10-0 (4.84, 68.8%)	Packers
32	18-13-1 (3.89, 58.1%)	-0.9	19-13-0 (3.08, 59.4%)	45.2	21-11-0 (4.75, 65.6%)	Panthers
46	26-19-1 (4.74, 57.8%)	-6.3	28-18-0 (1.26, 60.9%)	48.6	37-9-0 (11.04, 80.4%)	Patriots
33	18-14-1 (2.73, 56.2%)	-2.5	15-18-0 (0.74, 45.5%)	44.2	21-12-0 (5.18, 63.6%)	Steelers
27	15-12-0 (-0.96, 55.6%)	2.4	14-11-2 (2.52, 56.0%)	44.0	12-14-1 (-3.37, 46.2%)	Vikings
28	15-13-0 (-1.05, 53.6%)	2.6	13-15-0 (-0.29, 46.4%)	46.8	11-17-0 (-3.68, 39.3%)	Redskins
30	15-13-2 (4.43, 53.6%)	-3.3	18-12-0 (3.15, 60.0%)	42.0	17-13-0 (7.77, 56.7%)	Seahawks
33	17-15-1 (-0.47, 53.1%)	-2.6	22-9-2 (6.94, 71.0%)	50.8	18-15-0 (2.12, 54.5%)	Saints
23	12-11-0 (-1.83, 52.2%)	-1.4	10-11-2 (-0.09, 47.6%)	47.2	12-11-0 (-0.39, 52.2%)	Giants
14	7-7-0 (-2.46, 50.0%)	2.0	4-9-1 (-5.18, 30.8%)	44.5	5-9-0 (-4.43, 35.7%)	Jaguars
20	10-10-0 (0.45, 50.0%)	1.1	8-12-0 (-1.62, 40.0%)	46.3	10-10-0 (-0.65, 50.0%)	Lions
23	11-11-1 (2.02, 50.0%)	-2.2	6-16-1 (-4.43, 27.3%)	44.2	13-10-0 (4.26, 56.5%)	Bengals
31	15-16-0 (2.16, 48.4%)	-1.9	13-18-0 (0.00, 41.9%)	48.3	21-10-0 (4.06, 67.7%)	Cowboys
29	14-15-0 (2.60, 48.3%)	-2.3	15-13-1 (2.07, 53.6%)	49.7	17-12-0 (4.93, 58.6%)	Falcons
23	11-12-0 (-1.93, 47.8%)	-0.2	13-10-0 (-0.13, 56.5%)	42.4	9-14-0 (-1.78, 39.1%)	Jets
17	8-9-0 (-2.91, 47.1%)	-2.3	6-11-0 (-5.00, 35.3%)	43.9	8-9-0 (-0.65, 47.1%)	Texans
30	13-15-2 (-1.97, 46.4%)	3.0	15-15-0 (0.02, 50.0%)	45.1	10-20-0 (-4.93, 33.3%)	Bills
19	8-10-1 (-0.68, 44.4%)	-3.1	5-14-0 (-3.79, 26.3%)	47.2	8-11-0 (2.37, 42.1%)	Chargers
27	12-15-0 (-1.96, 44.4%)	1.6	15-9-3 (5.76, 62.5%)	45.0	12-15-0 (-3.52, 44.4%)	Raiders
28	12-15-1 (0.84, 44.4%)	-1.2	16-12-0 (0.50, 57.1%)	43.7	15-12-1 (2.07, 55.6%)	Cardinals
31	13-18-0 (-1.50, 41.9%)	-6.4	19-11-1 (3.89, 63.3%)	48.0	20-11-0 (4.90, 64.5%)	Broncos
18	7-10-1 (-2.89, 41.2%)	1.8	9-8-1 (-0.89, 52.9%)	45.5	5-13-0 (-4.72, 27.8%)	Bears
22	8-12-2 (-0.64, 40.0%)	-2.5	8-14-0 (-1.70, 36.4%)	44.1	13-9-0 (1.86, 59.1%)	Ravens
32	12-18-2 (-4.69, 40.0%)	-0.2	18-14-0 (3.48, 56.2%)	47.2	14-18-0 (-4.53, 43.8%)	Colts
27	10-16-1 (-1.54, 38.5%)	-1.6	11-16-0 (-1.33, 40.7%)	48.4	13-14-0 (0.04, 48.1%)	Eagles
20	7-12-1 (-5.20, 36.8%)	-2.8	8-12-0 (-2.88, 40.0%)	42.2	9-11-0 (-2.45, 45.0%)	Fortyniners
14	5-9-0 (0.29, 35.7%)	2.9	6-8-0 (-2.04, 42.9%)	43.0	4-10-0 (-2.64, 28.6%)	Rams
17	5-12-0 (-4.65, 29.4%)	1.8	8-9-0 (-0.03, 47.1%)	42.1	3-14-0 (-6.47, 17.6%)	Browns
14	2-12-0 (-5.54, 14.3%)	0.2	8-6-0 (3.89, 57.1%)	45.5	4-10-0 (-5.79, 28.6%)	Titans

Showing 1 to 32 of 32 entries

Why would the past 7 years be relevant today?

Coaches change, players change, etc...