WVU/NCAA Specialist Challenge @ Pokerstars!!!

[NCAASpecialist]

Cashed this one, its still going.

4 cashes
7 non-cashes

 

[NCAASpecialist]

2nd place...pissed away a huge chip lead.

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Heading back to the tables.

Tournament #12 - Table 45061011


Ill be playing until around midnight if anyone cares to join me

 

[ProPokerPlayer]

im wondering if this isnt even harder to accomplish playing 6 handed tables...i know when i play 9/10 handed i rarly see a hand before 4 guys are gone anyway and the extra payout spot seems kinda large to me in terms of winning this wager....
anyways im watching a few, might even jump in 1 with ya...35's a lil steep for somebody who hasnt cashed in...ughhhhh welllllll ughhhh a long time...lol

 

[NCAASpecialist]

THe only reason I dont play in the full table SNG's is because the blinds go up too fast. By the time it gets down to 4 or 5 people I feel like the actually playing is over and it comes down to who gets lucky at the right time.

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Got sucked out on, finished 3rd.

Cashes - 4
Non-Cashes - 8

 

[Matt]

Nice little retirement fund after retiring from the bonus whoring lifestyle WVU.

 

[WVU]

Nice little retirement fund after retiring from the bonus whoring lifestyle WVU.

keeps me in the loop. Maybe I should challenge the guys at 2+2
:money8:

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Playing my last one of the night

Tournament 12 - Table 450654659

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Still playing but in the money

Cashes - 5

Non-Cashes -8

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Playing my last one of the night

Tournament 12 - Table 450654659

This should have read tournament 13

 

[ProPokerPlayer]

i dont think u would get any takers at 2+2....anybody there even says they came close to 40% itm gets a 4 page thread with every stat ever made and every name ever called....you might get a few takers across the street or over at MJ's... to many "experts" at 2+2 that will talk anybody out of taking it..

 

[Higgs]

yeah everybody on 2+2 would want wvu's side of the bet. lol donkngoes!!

 

[NCAASpecialist]

I apparently am a degenerate with nothing better to do.

Tournament 14 - Table 45068845

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Down to the final 2 again, another cash for me. Not sure if anyone is paying attention, but I can request the history for WVU if needed

Cashes - 6

Non-Cashes - 8

 

[WVU]

You are on a roll. Keep it up.

 

[NCAASpecialist]

Done for the night, took 2nd again. Need to turn these into firsts if Im gonna make a profit doing this thing. Made a little comeback today. I still dont like my chances

 

[royalfan]

Done for the night, took 2nd again. Need to turn these into firsts if Im gonna make a profit doing this thing. Made a little comeback today. I still dont like my chances

You are going to have a ton of second places if you even flirt with winning the bet as you will have to play non optimal poker tournament strategy to give yourself a better shot at cashing. This is exactly why I decided against doing the challenge and thank WVU for letting me out.

 

[WVU]

changing from optimal strategy would cost you a boatload over 100 tournaments. I hope you guys are not doing that. I want you to get close to winning the bet, but I sincerily do not want you to lose money attempting it.

 

[CalvinTy]

changing from optimal strategy would cost you a boatload over 100 tournaments. I hope you guys are not doing that. I want you to get close to winning the bet, but I sincerily do not want you to lose money attempting it.

I wondered about that and did some math but realized I forgot one key thing: taking out the initial SNG cost+fee out from the 2nd place profits, duh me.

That said, I am going to post this interesting tidbit --not that anyone should be limping into the money just to win a bet to spite you, WVU-- but the magical number for 6-seaters would be NO MORE than 46 non-cashes for this particular format:

for $35+$3 6-seater SnG (top 2 pays)

1st: $136.50 (65% of prize pool)
2nd: $73.50 (35% of prize pool)

let's say getting 50th 2nd place cashes after exactly 46 non-cashes:

50 2nd cashes at +$35.50 each = $1,775
46 non-cashes at -$38 each = -$1,748

I didn't know that information. If someone decided to take this approach and play only premium cards & be extremely tight-passive in hopes of limping into the money & KNOW they have a potential bet of 10-1 at $100 risked for a profit of $1,000, they might do this way. I know nobody is going to do this as WVU can see/judge for himself but just interesting information anyway.

(I agree with NCAA Specialist that 2nd place out of 6 in the 6-seaters is easier done than 3rd place out of 9/10-seaters, because as mentioned, the blinds are proportionally actually higher in the 9/10-seaters approaching the bubble).

* CalvinTy