Sean, definately dont think this is a stupid conversation....
absolutley dont think, you know what your talking about in commodities.. the rate of return is solely dependent on how good the trader is...
do you know all the avenues possible in commodities....
options
selling options
spread trades
straddle trades
strangle trades..
there is many ways to reduce risk in the market as well.....
from buying a PUT and going long the futures,,,,,,,,, to selling a call and going Long the futures.......
many many ways and i dont think, you are even close on the Rate of Return.....
ill be starting with 25k in a couple more weeks.......... check out how im doing...... ill try and post the trades, the night before...... with some of the emini trades in real time........