I dunno if he will make it. Not really sure on that. Probably depends how the rest of his career goes and how many other guys from the era get in. Tough to say. He definitely isn't a lock or anything. Most people don't even consider him in the top 1/3rd of QBs in the league, how overrated can you really be if that is where people peg you.
Kurt Warner is getting in. Warner is a great guy, great story so people aren't going to spend the time analyzing and picking apart his career but it really isn't HOF worthy at all. He was let go for Mark Bulger 2 years after winning MVP. Then he had to take a gatekeeper job with the Giants until Eli was ready. Why didn't 20 teams want to make him their guy? Same for after Giants cut him...