You got to be careful when doing this....practice with a small amount first too.
Just to give you a quick lesson.......Sunday, I had SD at +170 early when Indy took the lead. THen when SD went up I grabbed Indy at nice prices. Hada nice scalp going....... Even with Indy up 3 in the 3rd I still grabbed them at like +380......I just thought for sure they wouldve scored to go up 10 then I couldve got some more SD at a + price but the Indy D just couldnt stop them all game. Needless to say, had I sat on my SD +170, or my nice scalp, I wouldve made a small profit but I got greedy and took a hit.
Wolf-
I understand what you mean on that avenue. I'm just looking at it and wondering at what point do you think it will 'top' out either way. I have already started playing around a little bit, but with low dollars (trust me). What I have been doing: Betting with the lean(-vig) prior to the game starting and then calculating how much profit I want to attempt to make and then wait for that number (+vig) to show up and already know how much to wager based on my pre-game determination. Let me know if this is a suitable way or if things are easier/clearer.
Thanks.
For foots I routinely use 4 outs for in play betting including Matchbook. My approach is not to look at the price as to when it will top out but to get a good feel for the game and anticipate what might happen. Bets early in the game are easier to hedge than later bets if the game swings (i.e. back and forth and not a blowout).
For example in the New England game I had no straight bets before the game. I played Pats-7.5 after the first score by Jacksonville. When the Pats scored a TD in the 3rd to go ahead by 7 one book made the mistake of offering Jacksonville+13.5/-115 (while others were offering +10.5) which I took and also got Pats-13.5/+198 at Matchbook to basically have my original Pats-7.5 balanced by Jacksonville+13.5.
I didn't unload on the huge scalp at -13.5/+13.5 since it's always possible for these offers to quickly disappear so I just slightly overbet the +13.5 and then balanced my action. I made only these 3 bets in play winning both sides on the 11 point win.
As to my feel for the game I had a 6 point middle and expected the Pats to win by 7 or 10 points from the way the game was unfolding. As it turned out I got lucky.
WoodyO - Thanks for the insight into how you manage your live betting situations. Lately, I've been working w/ Matchbook trying to develop scalps early in games and then sit back and watch. Been reading everything CalvinTy has to say on the situation as it appears that he has been successful doing just that. I can already tell that I need to improve my feel for the game in order to maximize scalping opportunities or stick to the original play.
I look forward to all additional input into in game betting.
I look forward to all additional input into in game betting.
You couldve hit all three games tonight & I did..........Wish I wouldve waited a little longer on Duke b/c I couldve had them at like +700 or some crap instead of the +111 I bought back on, as they ended up covering at the end of the game, but I was happy to make my $50 on it.
Got lucky with TT as I grabbed them early when they were down at +140. Then, had to watch TV with wife so hurry and grabbed A & M when TT went up 3 or 4 at +111 early in the first....think I made $28 on this one or so.
