Chris Jordan
Wednesday night winners ...
400♦ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS RUN LINE (LIST Carpenter and Bailey) - I couldn’t ask for a better situation in this pitching mismatch, as I’ve been thoroughly impressed by Chris Carpenter this season, and love to go against Homer Bailey. There’s really no other way around it, as that’s the basis for raising the bar to 400♦ tonight for this run-line release.
Let’s start with my boy Carpenter, who persevered in his last start by throwing eight innings to off-set giving up four runs while earning the win. Every one of those runs came by the end of the third inning, as the right-hander yielded back-to-back home runs in the first and later a run in the third. Nevertheless, Carpenter, who has thrown at least eight innings in four of his last five outings, is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season and is the dominant choice in this one.
As for Bailey, he’s 1-2 in his last seven starts and in those outings he’s given up more than three earned runs four times and has an ERA of 6.75 in those games. Granted, what might have been his best start of the bunch was a July 3 outing versus these same Cardinals, that game was in Cincinnati … this one is in St. Louis. Of those seven stints, he’s given up 13 earned runs over 14-2/3 innings in three road starts, in which he’s 0-1 with two no-decisions.
The home-run ball continues to be the crux of his inability to nab a win, or even put his team in position to win. Last season he allowed eight home runs in eight starts; this year he’s already given up nine in nine outings. Even worse, the Reds are mired in losing streaks of 2-10 when he’s an underdog, 1-5 when he’s on the road against a winning team, 0-7 on four days rest and 3-14 when he simply steps on the hill.
All Cardinals in this blowout win.
100♦ SEATTLE MARINERS (LIST Hernandez and Buehrle) - It’s going to be quick and to the point, so I’m not sure where to start with this one …
Yes I do. Mark Buehrle is 0-3 since the perfect game, having allowed 17 earned runs over 18-1/3 innings. And though it might be understandable the first game out of the box, his last two starts have been horrendous – including his last outing, against lowly Cleveland, which battered him for six run (five earned), 11 hits (two home runs) in a 6-2 loss. His ERA in his last three starts is a whopping 8.36.
In siding with Felix Hernandez, I have a pitcher who is 12-4 on the year with a stifling 2.84 ERA. The M’s have won 12 of his last 14 starts, and 17 of his 23 starts this season. And in his first meeting with this team, back on April 28, the Mariners won 9-1, as he tossed eight scoreless innings, while allowing four hits and striking out nine.
Lay the chalk here, it’s value.
Wednesday night winners ...
400♦ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS RUN LINE (LIST Carpenter and Bailey) - I couldn’t ask for a better situation in this pitching mismatch, as I’ve been thoroughly impressed by Chris Carpenter this season, and love to go against Homer Bailey. There’s really no other way around it, as that’s the basis for raising the bar to 400♦ tonight for this run-line release.
Let’s start with my boy Carpenter, who persevered in his last start by throwing eight innings to off-set giving up four runs while earning the win. Every one of those runs came by the end of the third inning, as the right-hander yielded back-to-back home runs in the first and later a run in the third. Nevertheless, Carpenter, who has thrown at least eight innings in four of his last five outings, is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season and is the dominant choice in this one.
As for Bailey, he’s 1-2 in his last seven starts and in those outings he’s given up more than three earned runs four times and has an ERA of 6.75 in those games. Granted, what might have been his best start of the bunch was a July 3 outing versus these same Cardinals, that game was in Cincinnati … this one is in St. Louis. Of those seven stints, he’s given up 13 earned runs over 14-2/3 innings in three road starts, in which he’s 0-1 with two no-decisions.
The home-run ball continues to be the crux of his inability to nab a win, or even put his team in position to win. Last season he allowed eight home runs in eight starts; this year he’s already given up nine in nine outings. Even worse, the Reds are mired in losing streaks of 2-10 when he’s an underdog, 1-5 when he’s on the road against a winning team, 0-7 on four days rest and 3-14 when he simply steps on the hill.
All Cardinals in this blowout win.
100♦ SEATTLE MARINERS (LIST Hernandez and Buehrle) - It’s going to be quick and to the point, so I’m not sure where to start with this one …
Yes I do. Mark Buehrle is 0-3 since the perfect game, having allowed 17 earned runs over 18-1/3 innings. And though it might be understandable the first game out of the box, his last two starts have been horrendous – including his last outing, against lowly Cleveland, which battered him for six run (five earned), 11 hits (two home runs) in a 6-2 loss. His ERA in his last three starts is a whopping 8.36.
In siding with Felix Hernandez, I have a pitcher who is 12-4 on the year with a stifling 2.84 ERA. The M’s have won 12 of his last 14 starts, and 17 of his 23 starts this season. And in his first meeting with this team, back on April 28, the Mariners won 9-1, as he tossed eight scoreless innings, while allowing four hits and striking out nine.
Lay the chalk here, it’s value.
Looks like Miner will be going for Detroit rather than Galarraga, Congrats if you bet that already with unlisted pitchers, you now have a 70 cent edge on the moneyline and 35 cent edge on the run line, otherwise its pretty pricey now, and looks like a NO PLAY for Demarco since he listed the pitchers including Galarraga.
Today's Complimentary Selection
The Yankees busted loose in the eighth inning Tuesday to give me a third straight victory on my complimentary selections, and my eighth win in my last 11 plays. I know St. Louis is laying a big price today, but it will be well worth the money as this one is going to be a rout!
Cardinals ace Chris Carpenter (11-3, 2.26 ERA) has been sharp in his last seven starts, going 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA. He allowed four runs and nine hits in eight innings Friday at Pittsburgh, which basically was his second-worst start of the season and demonstrates how great he has been this year.
The right-hander has completely dominated the Reds, going 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA in his last three outings against them, including 2-0 with a 1.12 this season.
Homer Bailey (2-3, 7.11), the Reds' first-round draft pick in 2004, continues to struggle on the mound. The 23-year-old right-hander allowed five runs and nine hits in six innings Friday at San Francisco, and has allowed at least five runs in four of his last five outings.
Bailey is 0-2 with a 8.59 ERA in three career starts vs. the Cards, and is 1-1 with a 7.32 ERA in four road starts this year. While Cincinnati beat St. Louis 5-4 on Tuesday, the Cardinals have won 10 of their last 14 games and should have this one in hand by the fourth or fifth inning.
Carpenter is 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA in seven home starts. Those numbers will only improve today. Take St. Louis on the run line.
5♦ ST. LOUIS -1 1/2 RUNS (on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale)
Lmfao.. Its like the Salem Witch Hunt.. WTF did I say that makes me a "Shill"? That a play is a no play? That would be one of the worst ways to get business, saying that a play just released has an incorrect starter listed, so its a no play after someone just paid for it.
I could type a 5 page rant about the absurdity that some absolute morons show by throwing around these stupid accusations for what seems like sport.. Take yur 32 Venevuelan posts and shove em. CONGRATS for being the janitor at the hotel Galarraga was sent to. Should've told us all you had to clean up his puke so we knew he'd be out today rather than every site listing him as the starter.
