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Roz Wins

Roz's June 6, 2018, Free Pick

06/06 05:05 PM MLB (967) OAKLAND ATHLETICS (D MENGDEN - R) VS (968) TEXAS RANGERS (B COLON - R)

Take : A's
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs
Assiniboia Downs - Race 1

DAILY DOUBLE (Races 1-2) / .20 PICK 3 (Races 1-2-3) / .20 SUPERFECTA .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA


Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $12,700 • Post: 7:35P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. MR. MATLOCK is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MR. MATLOCK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BUZZCUT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse 's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MISCHIEF MIKE: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minim um 10 starts). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. WANNAGO: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7
MR. MATLOCK
8/5

5/2
6
BUZZCUT
5/2

6/1
5
MISCHIEF MIKE
10/1

10/1
2
WANNAGO
6/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
WANNAGO
2

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
62

59

63.0

49.0

41.0
6
BUZZCUT
6

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
68

68

57.0

54.1

48.1
7
MR. MATLOCK
7

8/5
Alternator/Stalker
84

78

53.8

60.1

57.6
3
TIGGER TIME
3

7/2
Trailer
72

60

42.4

52.8

44.8
4
HONOUR ROAD
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61

54

61.2

47.2

37.7
1
RUN YOU DOWN
1

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
76

62

35.3

44.7

37.2


Unknown Running Style: MISCHIEF MIKE (10/1) [Jockey: Cumberbatch Renaldo - Trainer: Brown Shelley].
 

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 BAYLOR (ML=4/1)
#12 ANIMAL LADY (ML=6/1)


BAYLOR - I seem to always make money betting Pecoraro horses on the grass. That barn has a powerful win percent for this distance/surface. ANIMAL LADY - Running 1 mile 70 yards on the grass, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This animal has the tops in the bunch. The most recent speed rating of 66 is the highest last race speed rating in the group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 NEVISIAN SPIRIT (ML=3/1), #9 DR. LLENADO (ML=6/1), #2 SUKKARI (ML=8/1),

NEVISIAN SPIRIT - The speed ratings are going downward. I'm not betting this entrant off of that trend. Recorded a somewhat easily forgotten fig in the last race in a $32,000 Maiden Claiming race on Apr 11th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig. DR. LLENADO - 6/1 is just not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts. SUKKARI - Never really did much at all last out on April 4th. Hard to play in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 BAYLOR to win if we can get at least 6/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

06/06/18, GP, Race 4, 2.47 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $12,500 (Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 4-9)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 36.49, $1 ROI 1.04, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 7 Salsa Rita 8/5 Gaffalione T Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. JTSFL
096.7651 5 Tropical Runnings 4-1 Gutierrez R Simon Charles EWC
095.1805 3 Forty Kilos 6-1 Ulloa O Quiroz Angel
094.6338 1 Nothins Free 9/2 Alvarado. Jr. R Levy Tamara L.
092.7772 6 Stellamattutina(b+) 7/2 Reyes L Sano Antonio
090.6547 4 Member 15-1 Perez J M Mejia Jaime
089.7961 2 Magnato Go 20-1 Ramsay R R Mejia Jaime
 

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 61

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 BLUE ASH 6/1

# 11 MAGGIE MAJESTIC 7/2

# 1 HOT N SWEET 5/1

BLUE ASH looks strong to best this field. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figs of this group. With a strong jock who has won at a respectable 18 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. MAGGIE MAJESTIC - Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 60 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most competitive in this field. Formidable gamble today with second time Lasix. HOT N SWEET - Very solid returns have been scored by risk takers using this rider and trainer tandem lately. Should compete soundly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
Mountaineer Park - Race 2

Second Half $2 Early Daily Double (Races 1-2) ($.50) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta


Allowance • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $16,200 • Post: 7:22P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SHEHASIT TOO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHEHASIT TOO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COPABELLA: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. NELLYSFORD: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
1
SHEHASIT TOO
2/1

5/2
5
COPABELLA
7/2

6/1
4
NELLYSFORD
3/1

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SHEHASIT TOO
1

2/1
Front-runner
77

82

82.2

70.6

68.1
4
NELLYSFORD
4

3/1
Front-runner
73

68

71.8

62.4

57.4
9
DO YOU LIKE THAT
9

10/1
Front-runner
61

53

71.1

41.9

29.4
5
COPABELLA
5

7/2
Front-runner
66

67

70.2

64.5

59.5
3
SHEWUZALMOSTGONE
3

12/1
Stalker
59

49

61.0

59.8

46.8
8
ANDICE
8

30/1
Trailer
54

40

32.6

33.6

17.6
2
AUSSIE GOLD
2

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

55

65.6

53.4

42.9
6
MY EXPRESSION
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77

70

59.7

49.0

41.0
7
ABIYA
7

50/1
Alternator/Non-contender
54

47

22.2

23.8

7.3
 

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 LINSANITY 3/1

# 3 FOREVER IN LOVE 2/1

# 6 PROUD MAXX 4/1

LINSANITY is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Is a sharp contender based on figs earned lately under today's conditions. Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. The average Equibase class figure of 87 makes this one difficult to beat. FOREVER IN LOVE - Has to be given a chance as he drops to compete against this less demanding lot. He has been running soundly lately while recording strong speed figures. PROUD MAXX - Has to be considered against this group of animals displaying strong figures recently and an average speed figure of 89 under similar conditions. With a very strong 82 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will surely be a factor in this race.
 

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 8:47pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 SWITCHBLADE (ML=7/2)


SWITCHBLADE - I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the trip. You always have to be on the watch for profit making jock/conditioner combos; we have one right here. Trainer Gonzalez moves this thoroughbred to a lower class level to face a lower class field. Look for a strong race this time out. Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a solid race last race out within the last 30 days. The improved Equibase speed figs over the last 3 races is solid. Gonzalez drops him in this race in shape and ready to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MAJESTIC HEIST (ML=2/1), #1 BUTILOVESYABABE (ML=5/2), #4 CORRYVRECHAN (ML=4/1),

MAJESTIC HEIST - Tough to put your cash on this oft beaten favorite. Not much value. Hard to keep chasing this sort of 'hanger' horse. Improbable that the speed rating he garnered on May 20th will hold up in this affair. BUTILOVESYABABE - Tough to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as frequently as this entrant does. Finished second in his most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch. CORRYVRECHAN - Long breather, then came back and finished sixth. Hard to expect much better today.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SWITCHBLADE - This gelding has the greatest last speed figure at Woodbine. Must be considered in your speculating.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 SWITCHBLADE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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