Wednesday 06/06/18 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 6

Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 505-506
June 6, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
128.016
Cleveland
127.393
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 5
218
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+5); Under

 

[bmd1803]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 6

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GOLDEN STATE (72 - 29) at CLEVELAND (62 - 40) - 6/6/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-55 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-49 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 11-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

NBA

Wednesday, June 6

Game 3
Warriors won their last four games, by 29-9-10-21 points; they shot 57% from floor Sunday- Curry was 9-17 on arc, Durant/Thompson shot combined 18-27 from floor as Golden State jogged in Game 2. When Livingston/McGee shoot a combined 11-11, they ain’t losing. Cavs won their last eight home games, covered last four. Golden State won nine of last ten series games (7-3 vs spread), two of last three in Ohio. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Under is 9-3 in Warriors’ last 12 games, 5-2 in their last seven.

NBA Finals
GState 124-114 OT, -13, O217.5
GState 122-103, -11.5, O216.5

 

[bmd1803]

NBA

Wednesday, June 6

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Trend Report
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Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Golden State

 

[bmd1803]

Jimmy Boyd
Jun 06 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
MLB | A's vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +120

Free pick on Rangers +

We cashed with Texas as a big home dog with our free pick on Tuesday and will fire right back with the Rangers as a home dog on Wednesday. Oakland is simply getting way to much respect on the road in this one.

The A's do have one of their better starters on the mound in Daniel Mengden, who is 6-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 12 starts. However, Mengden hasn't been nearly as dominate on the road as he has at home. He's got a 3.54 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 4 road starts. Mengden has also had a horrible time against division opponents. He's 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 4 starts against the AL West this season. The A's have lost 12 of his last 14 starts against division opponents.

Texas will counter with Bartolo Colon, who is coming off a poor outing at LA against the Angels, where he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in just 3 innings. Colon is going to have outings like that at his age (45), but he can fire right back with a strong outing. He allowed 6 runs in 5 innings against the Yankees on 5/21 and in his very next start allowed 3 runs on just 5 hits in 7 innings at home against KC. Note he faced the A's once already this season and allowed just 1 run on 6 innings. Take Texas!

 

[bmd1803]

Info Plays
Jun 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Mariners vs Astros
Play on: Astros -181

1* Bonus Play on Astros -181

 

[bmd1803]

Bobby Conn
Jun 06 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
MLB | A's vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +113

1* Bonus Play on Rangers +113

 

[bmd1803]

Totals Guru
Jun 06 '18, 10:05 PM in 11h
MLB | KC vs LAA
Play on: UNDER 8 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Royals vs Angels under 8 -105

 

[bmd1803]

Sal Michaels
Jun 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +131 at BMaker

Bonus Play on Blue Jays +131

 

[bmd1803]

Dustin Hawkins
Jun 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 8h
MLB | NYY vs TOR
Play on: UNDER 9½ +100

Bonus Play on Yankees vs Blue Jays under 9½ +100

 

[bmd1803]

Kenny Walker
Jun 06 '18, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Mets
Play on: Orioles +110 at BMaker

Free Pick on Orioles

 

[bmd1803]

John Ryan
Jun 06 '18, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | BAL vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8 -100

 

[bmd1803]

Marc Lawrence
Jun 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +135

Play - Toronto Blue Jays w/Gaviglio vs Gray (Game 964).

Edges - But Jays: Gaviglio 3.64 ERA with 1.10 WHIP this season, including 16 Ks and 3 BBs last three starts … Yankees: Gray 5.24 ERA with 1.48 WHIP this season; and 1-4 last five team starts versus Toronto. With that we recommend a 1* play on Toronto. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[bmd1803]

Mark Wilson
Jun 06 '18, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | BAL vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

Bonus Play on Orioles vs Mets under 8½ -115

 

[bmd1803]

Scott Rickenbach
Jun 06 '18, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | BAL vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8 -110

Free Pick - Rickenbach MLB Game #978 Wednesday UNDER the total in New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles @ 1:10 ET - The Orioles won yesterday's game 2-1. The under is now 7-2 in Baltimore's last 9 games and they've averaged scoring only 1.8 runs per game during this 9-game stretch. The Mets struggles at the plate certainly have continued as they've now been held to 1 run or less in 3 of their last 4 games. The under is 11-6 in New York's last 17 games. Zach Wheeler has never faced the Orioles and Dylan Bundy has never faced the Mets. The few hitters in either lineup whom have ever faced these two starting pitchers have not enjoyed success against them. That said, this one shapes up well to be a pitchers duel. Bundy has a 3.21 ERA in his last 4 starts and has struck out 35 in 28 innings spanning those 4 outings. Also, he survived his last start despite allowing a lot of hits but in his 3 prior starts he gave up only 9 hits in 22 innings. The Mets Wheeler has struck out 33 in his last 28 innings on the mound and the Orioles lineup has a well-deserved reputation as free swingers. Wheeler has a solid 3.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Just like yesterday's game, look for another low-scoring battle in this one. Free Pick UNDER the total in New York Mets

 

[bmd1803]

Larry Ness
Jun 06 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
MLB | A's vs Rangers
Play on: A's -110

My Bonus Play is on the Oak A's at 8:05 ET. It's been a brutal start to the 2018 season for the Texas Rangers but after trailing by two runs on Tuesday, they scoring twice in the seventh inning and three times in the eighth en route to a 7-4 victory. The Rangers hit a season-high five HRs in the win, including Adrian Beltre's leadoff shot in the eighth (just his second in 33 contests this season) that snapped the 4-4 tie and Joey Gallo's two-run shot (his 16th of the year) later in the frame that sealed the win in the opener of their six-game homestand.

Shin-Soo Choo's two-run shot in the seventh extended his hitting streak to 12 games. Texas hopes to pick up where it left off in the series opener when the 26-37 Rangers conclude their two-game set against the visiting Oakland A's on Wednesday. Oakland fell to 2-2 on its five-game road trip and to 31-30 on the season. The A's received five of their 10 hits in the loss from Matt Olson (three) and Khris Davis (two). Each player drove in two runs, with Olson raising his RBI total to 11 over his last five games and Davis ending a seven-game drought with his 14th HR of 2018, which gave the A's at least one HR in 18 straight road games.

The pitching matchup features Oakland's Daniel Mengden (6-4, 2.91 ERA) up against the 45-year-old Bartolo Colon (2-3, 4.21 ERA) of Texas. Mengden enters riding a four-start winning streak after he allowed three runs on six hits over eight innings of a 7-3 win May 31 against Tampa Bay. He has worked at least seven innings in each of his last three starts and had strung together 16 scoreless innings in two outings before facing the Rays. Mengden fell to 1-2 with a 3.09 ERA in four career starts against Texas after yielding four runs (three earned) in 5 1/3 innings on April 5 in a 6-3 loss. Colon makes his fourth attempt at career victory No. 243, which will tie him with Juan Marichal for most by a pitcher from the Dominican Republic. He lasted only three innings against the Angels in Los Angeles on Friday, as he was battered for six runs and eight hits (including two HRS) en route to his third loss in four decisions. Colon is 9-6 with one shutout and a 3.33 ERA in 22 career starts and one relief appearance versus Oakland, including a no-decision in his season debut on April 2 in which he gave up one run over six frames.

Colon will eventually get win No. 243 (and No. 244, as well), but not here. Mengden went 4-1 with a 1.51 ERA and .181 opponents' batting average in six starts during May and dating back to April 16, he is 5-2 with a 2.01 ERA and .210 opponents' batting average over his last nine starts (A's are 7-2). He has issued just eight walks in 74 1/3 innings and his average of 0.97 walks per nine innings is the lowest in the major leagues. Play Oakland.

 

[bmd1803]

Sean Murphy
Jun 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | SEA vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 8 +105

Wednesday MLB Bonus Play. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday.

The 'over' has cashed in each of the Astros last four games but I look for that trend to reverse on Wednesday night in Houston.

Last night's expected pitcher's duel fizzed early as Astros starter Dallas Keuchel struggled to keep the Mariners bats at bay. I look for tonight's starter, Lance McCullers Jr. to do a better job against the M's. Note that McCullers has posted a 1.97 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 32 innings of work at home this season. He enters this start having worked at least six innings in three of his last four trips to the hill and turned in one of his best performances of the season against the Mariners back in April, giving up just one hit and one earned run while striking out 11 over seven innings in a 4-1 Astros win.

Wade LeBlanc will take the ball for the Mariners. The 'under' is a perfect 6-0 in his last six starts and I believe he's catching the Astros at the right time as they have been average at the dish lately, scoring five runs or less in seven of their last eight games overall. Note that LeBlanc has at least worked into the sixth inning in three of his last four starts and was effective over five innings last time out, allowing just one earned run on four hits against the Rangers. He hasn't faced the Astros since 2016.

Neither of these clubs have been tearing the cover off of the ball lately and I'm confident both staffs can keep things in check on Wednesday night at Minute Maid Park. Take the under (8*).

 

[bmd1803]

Steve Janus
Jun 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | SEA vs HOU
Play on: OVER 8 -105

1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners vs Astros over 8 -105

 

[bmd1803]

Art Aronson
Jun 06 '18, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Warriors vs Cavs
Play on: UNDER 217 -110

This is a 1* Bonus Play on the UNDER between the Warriors/Cavs.

The first two games of this series have gone OVER the number, but we feel that the conditions for Game 3 point to the UNDER as the correct call. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS trends and common sense. Clearly the Cavs will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight as they look to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Cleveland can clearly ill afford to turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the sharp-shooting Warriors. So with the home side indeed doubling down on the defensive end, we’re definitely expecting a slower pace overall to this one. Also note that Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of 20 already this year when playing with two or more days rest, while Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in four of seven already this year when trailing in a playoff series. Consider the UNDER in Game 3.

AAA Sports

 

[bmd1803]

Mike Lundin
Jun 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Rockies vs Reds
Play on: Rockies -130

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Colorado Rockies ended a four-game losing streak when they dealt the Cincinnati Reds their sixth loss in eight games with a 9-6 triumph here at Great American Ballpark last night.

Tonight they'll face Reds starter Sal Romano (3-6, 6.00 ERA) who was tagged with five runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings when he took on the Rockies on May 25. Colorado turns to Jon Gray (5-6, 5.68 ERA) who has given up plenty of runs lately, but note that he is 3-0 lifetime versus Cincinnati.

The Rockies are a solid 20-13 on the road this season and the Reds are just 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Free pick on Colorado Rockies.