Might meet you all in Jacksonville by tomorrow the way this is looking... here in Tallahassee, 95% of the people are completely oblivious to the storm, but the gas stations certainly aren't... idiots gouging up 10-12 cents a gallon in some places near Florida State. Probably headed over to the girlfriend's place in Jacksonville (University of North Florida for anyone from the area) this weekend, as it'll be a hell of a lot safer than here if this b^tch is anything like Ivan was last year... But as a former meteorology major, I remain intrigued to the entire thing. I have some ins at the National Weather Service branch here on campus and should be able to provide some updates faster than the Weather Channel can.
Fish, you should be alright in this one in Tampa, as should you in Orlando Hache... but anyone from the region of about Appalachicola west to the Mississippi/Lousiana border should think about bording up and heading out at some point in the next 12-16 hours.
Fish, you should be alright in this one in Tampa, as should you in Orlando Hache... but anyone from the region of about Appalachicola west to the Mississippi/Lousiana border should think about bording up and heading out at some point in the next 12-16 hours.
Got the pleasure of living through Charlie in Orlando and Ivan in Tallahassee... neither of which were fun, but Charlie far worse. We're still picking up the pieces of Charlie in some places, and personally, our roof got finished 3 weeks ago from the rash of storms last year. Power was out for 8 days in my neighborhood, and my backyard went from looking like a freakin' rainforest to a barren lot of grass after the trees all got knocked down... each and every one of them. At least Ivan only knocked out power for about 36 hours up here, knocked down some smaller trees and some power lines. I don't think anyone was killed in Tallahassee, though the damage in the far panhandle was far worse. I know of at least 3 people personally that got killed either directly from the storm or from damages from tornadoes during the storms in the general Orlando area, so I will always keep a close eye to Mother Nature after that. Can't say I've got too many better things on my mind, and though it does seem like the norm, it can't be treated as your normal 4:00 PM thunderstorm that is severe once a week...
Problem is that the worst part of this (and all) hurricanes is in the northeastern corner... just check this satellite out from the Weather Channel.
Most of the crap is in the northeast corner.... meaning that damn track is great for finding the center of the storm, but not necessarily where all of the damage will be. Obviously a straight shot is much worse, but in terms of significant damage, that cone should probably expand about 35-40 miles east... putting me right in the middle of it all...
Good thing my roomy and I just bought a big bottle of Jack Daniels... gonna need it this weekend if we stay...
Most of the crap is in the northeast corner.... meaning that damn track is great for finding the center of the storm, but not necessarily where all of the damage will be. Obviously a straight shot is much worse, but in terms of significant damage, that cone should probably expand about 35-40 miles east... putting me right in the middle of it all...
Good thing my roomy and I just bought a big bottle of Jack Daniels... gonna need it this weekend if we stay...
5team: Anything right on the water is going to be considered a danger area, and likely a voluntary evacuation area within about 12 hours.
Hitman: My best wishes to you and everyone on the Gulf Coast who went through Ivan last year... but all that's left to do is buckle down once again and hopefully pray that Mother Nature will be kinder to us this time around. I'll be sure to keep you all updated if I can any sort of an update from any of my friends with NOAA.
Hitman: My best wishes to you and everyone on the Gulf Coast who went through Ivan last year... but all that's left to do is buckle down once again and hopefully pray that Mother Nature will be kinder to us this time around. I'll be sure to keep you all updated if I can any sort of an update from any of my friends with NOAA.
Just got off of the phone with someone up there a couple minutes ago. Eye of the storm is fully over Castro in Cuba as we speak... The slightest turn to the north appears like it's beginning to happen... Storm may officially be moving NNW instead of NW by the 5:00 EST update, but if not, then likely by the 8:00 EST update it will be. This would put the storm's eastern edge hitting the Tampa area, and a possible landfall anywhere from Appalachicola to the Alabama/Mississippi border at some point between about 4:00 AM and noon Sunday...
That's the best I've got right now... Probably have more around 5:00
That's the best I've got right now... Probably have more around 5:00
WTNT34 KNHC 081749
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005
...DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
AS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR NEAR CIENFUEGOS
CUBA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES... 205 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA
CUBA AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA.
WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING.
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...235 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS STILL A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS
DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4
TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005
...DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
AS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR NEAR CIENFUEGOS
CUBA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES... 205 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA
CUBA AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA.
WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING.
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...235 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS STILL A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS
DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4
TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
Here's what I've got as of about 6:15 EST...
"Dennis weakening severely while over Cuba. Storm's eye should exit Cuba within 2-3 hours, though reintensification won't continue until the entire storm is into the Gulf of Mexico. This should begin again somewhere in the early morning hours. The turn to the north was very subtle, but will continue to be monitored as the night goes on."
Unless something weird happens, I'll hear from the guys again probably in about an hour or so right before the 8:00 advisory comes out.
"Dennis weakening severely while over Cuba. Storm's eye should exit Cuba within 2-3 hours, though reintensification won't continue until the entire storm is into the Gulf of Mexico. This should begin again somewhere in the early morning hours. The turn to the north was very subtle, but will continue to be monitored as the night goes on."
Unless something weird happens, I'll hear from the guys again probably in about an hour or so right before the 8:00 advisory comes out.
000
Wtnt34 Knhc 090454
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dennis Intermediate Advisory Number 18a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1 Am Edt Sat Jul 09 2005
...eye Of Dennis Moves Over The Florida Straits After Crossing
Havana...
A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For Cuba For The Provinces Of La
Habana...ciudad De La Habana...matanzas...villa Clara...
Cienfuegos...sancti Spiritus...ciego De Avila...camaguey...las
Tunas...granma...santiago De Cuba...holguin And Guantanamo. A
Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For The Isle Of Youth And The
Province Of Pinar Del Rio. A Large Portion Of The Warning Area May
Be Discontinued Soon.
A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Lower Florida Keys From The
Seven Mile Bridge Westward To The Dry Tortugas. A Tropical Storm
Warning And A Hurricane Watch Are In Effect For The Remainder Of
The Florida Keys...east Of The Seven Mile Bridge To Ocean Reef And
Florida Bay.
A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For Portions Of The Northeastern
Gulf Coast From The Steinhatchee River Westward To The Mouth Of The
Pearl River. Hurricane Warnings Will Likely Be Required For
Portions Of This Area Early Today.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast From Anclote Key Southward...and Along The Florida East Coast
From Golden Beach Southward.
A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For The Southeastern Louisiana
Coast West Of The Mouth Of The Pearl River To Grand Isle...
Including Metropolitan New Orleans And Lake Ponchartrain.
A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast From North Of Anclote Key Northward To East Of The
Steinhatchee River.
A Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Warning Means That Hurricane Or
Tropical Storm Conditions...respectively...are Expected Within The
Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To Protect Life
And Property Should Be Rushed To Completion In The Hurricane
Warning Area. A Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Watch Means That
Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Conditions...respectively...are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.
Interests Elsewhere In The Northwestern Caribbean Sea...the Eastern
Gulf Of Mexico...and Florida Should Monitor The Progress Of Dennis.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.
At 1 Am Edt...0500z...the Eye Of Hurricane Dennis Was Located By The
Key West Radar Near Latitude 23.3 North...longitude 82.3 West Just
North Of The City Of Havana Or About About 95 Miles...150 Km...
South-southwest Of Key West Florida.
Dennis Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 14 Mph...22 Km/hr... And
This General Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 24 Hours.
This Motion Should Move Dennis Away From Cuba And Bring The Center
To The Southeastern Gulf Of Mexico Today.
Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 110 Mph...175 Km/hr...with
Higher Gusts. Dennis Is A Category Two Hurricane On The
Saffir-simpson Scale. Dennis Is Expected To Re-intensify Into A
Major Hurricane As It Moves Over The Southeastern Gulf Of Mexico.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 65 Miles...100 Km...
From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up
To 175 Miles...280 Km.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 962 Mb...28.41 Inches.
Dennis Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 4 To 8
Inches Across The Central And Southern Florida Peninsula...and The
Florida Keys. Additional Rain Accumulations Of 3 To 6 Inches Are
Expected Over Cuba And Cayman Islands...with Isolated Maximum Storm
Total Amounts Of 15 Inches Possible. These Rains Could Produce
Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.
Storm Surge Flooding Of 5 To 10 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...
Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...are Still Possible
In Areas Of Onshore Winds Along The South-central Coast Of Cuba.
Higher Values Of Storm Will Be Possible In Bays And Inlets. A
Storm Surge Of 3 To 6 Feet Is Possible In The Lower Florida Keys. A
Storm Surge Of 4 To 7 Feet Is Possible Along The Southwest Coast Of
Florida Today.
Isolated Tornadoes Will Be Possible Over Central And Southern
Florida Peninsula And The Florida Keys Today.
Repeating The 1 Am Edt Position...23.3 N... 82.3 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 14 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...110 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure... 962 Mb.
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 3 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Am
Edt.
Forecaster Avila
Wtnt34 Knhc 090454
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dennis Intermediate Advisory Number 18a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1 Am Edt Sat Jul 09 2005
...eye Of Dennis Moves Over The Florida Straits After Crossing
Havana...
A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For Cuba For The Provinces Of La
Habana...ciudad De La Habana...matanzas...villa Clara...
Cienfuegos...sancti Spiritus...ciego De Avila...camaguey...las
Tunas...granma...santiago De Cuba...holguin And Guantanamo. A
Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For The Isle Of Youth And The
Province Of Pinar Del Rio. A Large Portion Of The Warning Area May
Be Discontinued Soon.
A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Lower Florida Keys From The
Seven Mile Bridge Westward To The Dry Tortugas. A Tropical Storm
Warning And A Hurricane Watch Are In Effect For The Remainder Of
The Florida Keys...east Of The Seven Mile Bridge To Ocean Reef And
Florida Bay.
A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For Portions Of The Northeastern
Gulf Coast From The Steinhatchee River Westward To The Mouth Of The
Pearl River. Hurricane Warnings Will Likely Be Required For
Portions Of This Area Early Today.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast From Anclote Key Southward...and Along The Florida East Coast
From Golden Beach Southward.
A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For The Southeastern Louisiana
Coast West Of The Mouth Of The Pearl River To Grand Isle...
Including Metropolitan New Orleans And Lake Ponchartrain.
A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast From North Of Anclote Key Northward To East Of The
Steinhatchee River.
A Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Warning Means That Hurricane Or
Tropical Storm Conditions...respectively...are Expected Within The
Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To Protect Life
And Property Should Be Rushed To Completion In The Hurricane
Warning Area. A Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Watch Means That
Hurricane Or Tropical Storm Conditions...respectively...are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.
Interests Elsewhere In The Northwestern Caribbean Sea...the Eastern
Gulf Of Mexico...and Florida Should Monitor The Progress Of Dennis.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.
At 1 Am Edt...0500z...the Eye Of Hurricane Dennis Was Located By The
Key West Radar Near Latitude 23.3 North...longitude 82.3 West Just
North Of The City Of Havana Or About About 95 Miles...150 Km...
South-southwest Of Key West Florida.
Dennis Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 14 Mph...22 Km/hr... And
This General Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 24 Hours.
This Motion Should Move Dennis Away From Cuba And Bring The Center
To The Southeastern Gulf Of Mexico Today.
Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 110 Mph...175 Km/hr...with
Higher Gusts. Dennis Is A Category Two Hurricane On The
Saffir-simpson Scale. Dennis Is Expected To Re-intensify Into A
Major Hurricane As It Moves Over The Southeastern Gulf Of Mexico.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 65 Miles...100 Km...
From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up
To 175 Miles...280 Km.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 962 Mb...28.41 Inches.
Dennis Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 4 To 8
Inches Across The Central And Southern Florida Peninsula...and The
Florida Keys. Additional Rain Accumulations Of 3 To 6 Inches Are
Expected Over Cuba And Cayman Islands...with Isolated Maximum Storm
Total Amounts Of 15 Inches Possible. These Rains Could Produce
Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.
Storm Surge Flooding Of 5 To 10 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...
Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...are Still Possible
In Areas Of Onshore Winds Along The South-central Coast Of Cuba.
Higher Values Of Storm Will Be Possible In Bays And Inlets. A
Storm Surge Of 3 To 6 Feet Is Possible In The Lower Florida Keys. A
Storm Surge Of 4 To 7 Feet Is Possible Along The Southwest Coast Of
Florida Today.
Isolated Tornadoes Will Be Possible Over Central And Southern
Florida Peninsula And The Florida Keys Today.
Repeating The 1 Am Edt Position...23.3 N... 82.3 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 14 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...110 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure... 962 Mb.
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 3 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Am
Edt.
Forecaster Avila
