UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs. dos Santos, preview and predictions
by Riley Kontek - Fansided
Ben Rothwell vs. Junior dos Santos
In the main event, Ben Rothwell looks to punch his ticket to a potential UFC Heavyweight Championship title shot when he takes on former champion Junior dos Santos. Not long ago, I would have taken dos Santos in a heartbeat and not thought twice about it. Now, he has slowed considerably, while Rothwell has gotten a lot better. The fights with Cain Velasquez have really taken a lot out of dos Santos and he hasn’t looked the same, even in victory. Rothwell has won four fights in a row, knocking out Brandon Vera and Alistair Overeem, while submitting Matt Mitrione and Josh Barnett. Rothwell will finish dos Santos and clinch a title shot at the winner of Fabricio Werdum-Stipe Miocic.
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Derrick Lewis
In the co-main event, heavyweights square off, as long-time UFC vet Gabriel Gonzaga takes on the beastly Derrick Lewis. Gonzaga is a BJJ black belt that has improved his striking, but I would assume a ground battle is where he’d want to engage with Lewis. Lewis is a physical specimen with big time power, especially on the feet. He also has ruthless ground-and-pound, where he can knock your lights out. Gonzaga can easily submit Lewis if he gets him down, but I think Lewis will land a haymaker that puts Gonzaga away.
Francis Ngannou vs. Curtis Blaydes
In yet another heavyweight bout, Francis Ngannou looks to continue building his reputation in his sophomore outing, when he takes on late notice prospect Curtis Blaydes. Ngannou is a big, physical stud with strength that is hard to match. He showed solid takedown defense in downing Luiz Henrique, as well as lethal, powerful striking that can end a bout in a hurry. Blaydes is a wrestler with horrifying ground-and-pound. His athleticism and explosiveness are hard to deal with, especially when he achieves the takedown. Ngannou needs to land early and finish Blaydes, or else he’s in big trouble. Blaydes achieves the takedown and wears Ngannou out until he finishes late.
Timothy Johnson vs. Marcin Tybura
The heavyweights look to duke it out in the next bout, as Polish prospect Marcin Tybura makes his debut against rugged big boy Timothy Johnson. Tybura has long been a top prospect in the heavyweight division, as the former M-1 champion has dominated opponents with his suffocating ground game. From the top position, he can pound you out with his sledgehammer fists or finish you with his high-level submissions. As for Johnson, he is a wrestler that thrives when he can get the finish while he has his cardio. Tybura has had success fighting guys like Johnson in the past. That’s why I think Tybura makes a successful debut, though Johnson puts up a strong fight.
Igor Pokrajac vs. Jan Blachowicz
Croatian light heavyweight Igor Pokrajac returns to the UFC after a stint in the regional scene and looks to make the most of his home advantage against Jan Blachowicz. Blachowicz has his back against the wall, as he has fallen to Jimi Manuwa and Corey Anderson in his last two bouts. Those decision losses followed an impressive debut, where he completely trashed Ilir Latifi with strikes. As for Pokrajac, he is a striker as well, which should make this matchup fun. Since his ousting from the UFC, which saw him go on a five-fight winless streak, he has picked up three wins in the regional circuit, all of which come via finish. This will be a rude re-welcoming to the Octagon, though, as Blachowicz downs the Croat with strikes.
Maryna Moroz vs. Cristina Stanciu
Kicking off the main card are the strawweights. Ukraine’s Maryna Moroz looks to give Romanian Cristina Stanciu a not-so-warm welcome to UFC. Stanciu is a 22-year-0ld prospect that has been trashing opponents left and right in Romania. She has shown great strength on the ground, where Moroz is also strong. The difference is that Moroz has fought tougher competition. But I like Stanciu’s potential and smell an upset brewing. I will take Stanciu in the upset, which I am sure will be an unpopular decision.
Nicolas Dalby vs. Zak Cummings
The featured prelim will take place in the welterweight division, as Denmark’s Nicolas Dalby takes on late replacement Zak Cummings. Dalby will be the striker to Cummings wrestler. Dalby is a very powerful, precise striker that can hurt you quickly and accumulate damage. Cummings is rugged and aggressive, looking to constantly push forward and achieve the takedown. Can he do that against Dalby? My guess is he locks him up in the clinch a few times, but Dalby does enough damage on the feet to walk away the winner.
Mairbek Taisumov vs. Damir Hadzovic
Known as “The Bosnian Bomber,” Bosnian-Dane Damir Hadzovic has a tall task in his UFC debut when he takes on top-40 lightweight Mairbek Taisumov. Hadzovic dives into the deep end right away, as Taisumov has been a high-level UFC guy since entering the company in 2014. In Taisumov’s last three fights, he has knocked out Alan Patrick, Tony Christodoulou and Marcin Bandel. He is a physical brute and will look to bully Hadzovic. Hadzovic is a finisher too, and has earned big wins over Martin Delaney and John Maguire. Hadzovic is definitely an intriguing prospect, but Taisumov should be able to score a convincing win here.
Ian Entwistle vs. Alejandro Perez
It’s been a while since we’ve seen Britain’s Ian Entwistle, but he makes his return in the next bout when he takes on fellow bantamweight Alejandro Perez of Mexico. Entwistle is a submission specialist, who prefers the leg lock attack on the ground. It leaves him open to ground-and-pound, but he does have solid proficiency when it comes to finishing those leg locks. Perez is an athletic striker who diversifies his attack on the feet. His takedown defense will need to be on high alert, as his grappling is not on the level of that of Entwistle. The Brit takes the win, possibly by submission.
Filip Pejic vs. Damian Stasiak
Fellow Europeans will square off in the next fight, as Croatian Filip Pejic defends his home turf against Poland’s Damian Stasiak. Pejic has fought a dozen times, falling just once. The 23-year-old has finished most of his fights by knockout, though he has not really fought anybody of much note. Stasiak has not fought a high level of competition either, but does have a UFC fight under his belt. In it, he lost a decision in unimpressive fashion to Yaotzin Meza. Stasiak is more of a submission guy, so this will be a striker vs. grappler bout. I will give Pejic the win here with the home crowd at his back.
Robert Whiteford vs. Lucas Martins
Scottish featherweight Robert Whiteford returns to the Octagon in the next bout. He will face the Brazilian Lucas Martins. This is a grappler vs. striker fight, straight up. Whiteford is a judo fighter that has been running with American Top Team in recent times. He is vastly improved, though a setback to Darren Elkins kind of stymied the momentum he’s built. Martins is a muay Thai stylist. He has struggled against grapplers, especially ones that can achieve the takedown. I think Whiteford can get the takedown in this fight, controlling Martins to a submission or decision.
Jared Cannonier vs. Cyril Asker
The heavyweights will take to the cage next, as France’s Cyril Asker makes his UFC debut against Alaskan Jared Cannonier. Cannonier is a smaller heavyweight who has already contemplated a move to light heavyweight. He has finished all but one of his wins, but his debut against Shawn Jordan was less than stellar. Asker is a world-traveled heavyweight that has fought everywhere from South Africa to Germany to Finland. He is a finisher as well, especially in the first round, and won a submission in the first frame over UFC vet Ruan Potts. Cannonier has a lot to prove here, but I don’t think he will get the win. Asker to score another first-round victory.
Bojan Velickovic vs. Alessio di Chirico
The welterweights will contest the first fight of the night as Serbia’s Bojan Velickovic and Italy’s Alessio di Chirico, both making their official UFC debuts, square off. Velickovic first appeared on TUF, where he failed to make it past the elimination round. Since then, he has won five of six bouts outside the company, and took the RFA title in a win over Ben Smith. As for di Chirico, he is undefeated at 9-0, though he has not really faced any great competition. He has finished all but one fight, while Velickovic as gone the distance just five times in 15 outings (he lost three of the decisions). These finishers will both throw down, but I expect Velickovic to edge di Chirico in what should be a thriller.